Category: Gold and Silver 2018
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, October 17, 2018
Gold 7-Year Bear Market Phase Is Over / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Clive Maund uses charts to explain why he believes the gold bear market is over. Thursday was a momentous day for the precious metals sector with gold, GDX and other índices, and giant gold ETF, GLD all breaking out on impressive volume, and this development was all the more extraordinary because it happened when the broad stock market was crashing. This is viewed as a strong sign that instead of being dragged lower still by a crashing stock market, the precious metals sector will soar. Silver hasn’t broken out yet, but it should soon follow suit.
In recent weeks we have been wary that, despite highly favorable COTs and Hedgers charts and rotten sentiment indicators, etc,. a general asset liquidation might drag the precious metals sector even further down, but Thursday's extraordinarily positive action by the sector serves to allay those fears. Of course, it's not hard to see why the precious metals sector might do the opposite to what it did back in 2008 when the market crashed, and it nosedived too. There are two very big differences this time. One is that, before the 2008 crash, the precious metals sector was actually quite elevated. That is in marked contrast to now where it is beaten into the ground with sentiment in the basement – basically it is so unloved and neglected that the only way is up. The other big difference between now and 2008 is that while a major asset liquidation cycle will result in a flight to cash that could drive the dollar significantly higher, beyond that the longer-term outlook for the dollar is grim, with much of the rest of the world, tired of U.S. bullying in the form of sanctions, military threats, and now trade wars, and its unquestioning support of rogue states like Saudi Arabia and Israel, committed to freeing themselves from dollar hegemony – and plans in this direction are now well advanced, with countries like China and Russia having built up big gold reserves that can at some point be used to back their currencies, and workable substitutes for the SWIFT payments system at the trial run phase. Subjected to continuous provocation, China may at some point decide to go for the "nuclear option" and dump its huge Treasury hoard, sending the Treasury market reeling and interest rates skyrocketing, which will cause the US economy to buckle and implode – the U.S. appears to be overlooking that China has this power.
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Wednesday, October 17, 2018
Gold - A Golden Escape / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Richard_Mills
The oil price is rising due to the upcoming restrictions on the sale of Iranian oil - the second of a two-part set of sanctions imposed on the Middle Eastern power following the Trump Administration’s decision in May to withdraw from the Iran nuclear agreement, known formally as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPA). Sanctions lifted under the Obama Administration were re-imposed.
Trump said the deal was disastrous for the United States and a security threat. He also said Iran wasn’t following through on a number of changes it agreed to make, such as more diligent inspections, including Iran’s ballistic missile program in the agreement, removing Iran's presence in Lebanon, and stopping funding terrorist groups like Hezbollah.
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Tuesday, October 16, 2018
Stephen Leeb Predicts 3-Digit Silver and 5 Digit Gold?! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: MoneyMetals
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up we’ll hear a wonderful interview with first time guest Dr. Stephen Leeb of Leeb Capital Management. Dr. Leeb weighs in on what he believes will be a major fly in the ointment for the U.S. when it comes to the trade war with China and also tells us if he’s still holding onto the thought that we’ll see triple digit silver prices sometime during the next decade. Don’t miss our conversation with the great Stephen Leeb, coming up after this week’s market update.
As Hurricane Michael ravaged Florida, the stock market got ravaged by some of the heaviest selling it’s seen in years. The Dow Jones Industrial Average careened 831 points on Wednesday and plunged another 545 points Thursday. The markets are rebounding somewhat early here on Friday however, although there was still plenty of damage done for the week.
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Monday, October 15, 2018
Consider This Your Final Warning About Gold, For Bulls And Bears Alike / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
Sentiment is a funny bedfellow. When the metals market was at the lows back in August, everyone and their mother were again certain that we were going to break below $1,000 in gold. Yet, that exact sentiment is what kept us from doing so, no different than what we saw at the end of 2015.
Currently, the sentiment has been turning bullish again, with many thinking the current rally is the break out everyone has been awaiting. As for me, I am not quite so certain.
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Friday, October 12, 2018
Gold Action Does Not Make Sense / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
I have been hearing for years how gold is manipulated to go down, and is expected to rise when allowed to trade freely. So, according to these manipulation theorists, gold is really only supposed to move in one direction and would never see any corrections.
Yes, I know that sounds ridiculous, but this is a perspective in the market. And this is why so many were not able to foresee the correction which began in 2011.
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Wednesday, October 10, 2018
A Bottom in Gold but not THE Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Gold has struggled to rebound despite an extreme oversold condition and extreme bearish sentiment. Nevertheless, conditions for Gold have not worsened in recent days. In fact, Gold as well as gold stocks appear to be basing for a potential rebound into the holiday season. While some gold bulls expect a major bottom, we aren’t in that camp because the fundamentals are not in place yet to support a sustained advance.
The weekly chart below shows several positives for Gold.
First, last week Gold made a somewhat bullish candle after six weeks of testing $1180-$1190 support and failing to make new lows. With a daily close above $1215, a short-term bottom would be confirmed.
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Tuesday, October 09, 2018
The Gold Standard: Protector of Individual Liberty and Economic Prosperity / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Antonius_Aquinas
The idea of a constitution and/or written legislation to secure individual rights so beloved by conservatives and among many libertarians has proven to be a myth. The US Constitution and all those that have been written and ratified in its wake throughout the world have done little to protect individual liberties or keep a check on State largesse. Instead, in the American case, the Constitution created a powerful central government which eliminated much of the sovereignty and independence that the individual states possessed under the Articles of Confederation.
While the US Constitution contains a “Bill of Rights,” the interpreter of those rights and protections thereof is the very entity which has enumerated them. It is only natural that decisions on whether, or if such rights have been violated will be in favor of the state. Moreover, nearly every amendment which has come in the wake of the Bill of Rights, has augmented federal power at the expense of the individual states and that of property owners.
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Monday, October 08, 2018
The Chartology of Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Rambus_Chartology
Several weeks ago we looked at some resistance points for gold and silver from the short to the longer term time perspective. Below is a daily chart for gold which starts with the 2018 five point rectangle reversal pattern which broke down in May. The backtest to the underside of the five point rectangle took about five weeks to complete, forming a bearish rising wedge. From that point the impulse move down began in earnest stopping in mid July to form a small rectangle. After trading sideways for about three weeks gold broke down from that small rectangle and finally bottomed in mid August where it began a countertrend rally.
Sunday, October 07, 2018
One More Bounce for the Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Harry_Dent
You know by now that I think gold is above all a commodity, and in a bubble that was more extreme than stocks… a bubble that’s been bursting since September 2011, but…Gold and bitcoin are two examples of bubbles bursting that are NOT following my bubble model as well as most. Both, thus far, are basing out at higher levels than I expected.
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Saturday, October 06, 2018
Prepare for a Gold/Silver Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our modeling systems are suggesting that Gold and Silver will begin a new upside rally very quickly. We wrote about how our modeling systems are suggesting this upside move could be a tremendous opportunity for investors over 2 weeks ago. Our initial target is near the $1245 level and our second target is near the $1309 level. Recent lows help to confirm this upside projection as the most recent low prices created a price rotation that supports further upside price action. What is needed right now is a push above $1220 before we begin to see the real acceleration higher.
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Saturday, October 06, 2018
More Evidence Of Manipulation In The Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
This past week, we saw that the Bank of Nova Scotia was charged by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission with multiple acts of spoofing in gold and silver futures between June 2013 and June 2016. Traders placed orders to buy or sell precious metals futures contracts with the intent to cancel the orders before execution, the CFTC said.
So, the tin-foil hat wearers are back out in full force screaming about how this market rigging has caused gold to collapse over the last seven years. Unfortunately, anyone who believes this is simply not dealing with the facts of any of the supposed “manipulation” cases. You see, believing that these manipulation cases caused the gold market to drop from is 2011 high is no different from believing that a paper cut can cause someone to bleed to death.
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Thursday, October 04, 2018
Gold and Silver Bottoming Pattern May Be in Process / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical expert Jack Chan updates the gold and silver charts, including what he believes to be a bottoming pattern.
Our proprietary cycle indicator is now up.
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Wednesday, October 03, 2018
Ratcheting Up the Gold Friendly COT Tension / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the most recent gold COT report and movements in the market. Once again the COT report from last Tuesday has revealed continued pressure on the already taut firing pins of the gold and silver markets with more shorts added by the Large Spec algobots and more longs/fewer shorts reported by the Commercials largely represented by the bullion banks. If it is the gold cartel that has capped rallies in the $1,350-1,375 range since August 2016, it is that same gold cartel that are actually positioned for a rally today and where the market is baffling everyone is the failure of the Crimex Criminals to launch the rally. The answer lies in the ascent of the machines in dictating direction in any and all markets. Whereas the algos have been focused on all things non-metal in recent years, they have taken to the gold and silver markets lately and are displaying phenomenal power and control in thwarting the intentions of the bullion bank cartel.
Tuesday, October 02, 2018
The Silver Exclamation Mark / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Rallying mining stocks? Forget about them. Silver is the new cool kid in the neighborhood. Having rallied by almost 50 cents in just one day, silver stole the spotlight and seems to be ready to move much higher… Or much lower. Does anyone still fall for silver’s fake rallies? Based on the size of the rally and the corresponding volume, it certainly seems to be the case. But you don’t have to fall for it – that is if you prefer to analyze the market’s emotionality instead of acting on it. It’s not an easy thing to do, because each silver rally seems to be “it”. But what’s easy and what’s profitable is rarely the same thing.
Today’s analysis will be quite specific, because we already wrote about “the silver signal” several times in the past several days. We did emphasize our take on the silver market more than once, because the market itself provided us with the signal more than once.
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Monday, October 01, 2018
Gold and Silver: Bottoming is a Process / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Last Friday we examined the fact that gold has now fallen 6 months in a row. Historically, this suggests that gold is at a short term bottom.
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Monday, October 01, 2018
Gold: New Bull Or Same Old Bear? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Gary_Savage
There are two schools of thought right now, and both sides are firmly convinced they are correct.
The bullish case: Gold started a new cyclical bull market in late 2015.
The bearish case: The bounce out of the 2015 bottom was just a counter trend bear market rally, and at best gold is stuck in a long sideways channel similar to the 1980-2001 period.
While I have to admit there is a lot of compelling evidence to support the bearish scenario I’m not convinced that is correct.
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Sunday, September 30, 2018
Gold And Silver – Still Weak, Qrtly, Mthly, Wkly Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Michael_Noonan
We did an interview with Rory from The Daily Coin, last week, and we mentioned how crypto currencies could be problematic for gold and silver. Their existence could replace the massive fiat debt and preclude any reason for gold and silver to rally. You can find the interview here.
There has been a lot of discussion of a possible reset whereby gold and silver would eventually replace the failing fiats, and that potential scenario was how $10,000/oz gold and $400/oz silver came about, for the most part.
The pertinent question is, which country would want to have a gold and silver backed currency which would severely restrict the ability to issue increased amounts of the currency? Also, every other nation would want to buy and take delivery of any and all available gold and silver. That would not fly, at all. Recall how Nixon closed the gold window back in the 1970s.
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Saturday, September 29, 2018
Gold Investors: It Is Time for a Logic Lesson / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses distortions in the markets. Here is a question for any and all of you that have ever purchased a lottery ticket or played the slots or bet on a horse: If you had proof that the outcomes were all rigged, would you still play? If someone showed you a video of pit bosses stacking decks or tampering with dice, would you ever enter that establishment again? If your wife or mother or employer knew that you would constantly blow your paychecks in a rigged casino, would you ever be able to face them? The answer to all of the above-mentioned scenarios is a resounding "NO!" Yet millions of people (albeit that figure is rapidly shrinking) are still committing many hundreds of millions of dollars every week to the Crimex Casino, which has now proven that every single input into determining prices for gold and silver (Bitcoin, too) is completely controlled by the bullion banks, the Crimex bosses and the regulators.
Friday, September 28, 2018
Gold, Silver HUI Stocks Precious Metals Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
In honor of the men staring at silver’s daily chart, let’s highlight NFTRH 518’s Precious Metals segment this morning. We have 60% of the new trading week in the books and not much has changed for the PMs since this was written. You’ll notice that this man who stares at charts gets a little wordy at the end. There is much context that would-be gold bugs need to have in hand.
First, the intro per our anniversary series of posts…
To celebrate NFTRH’s 10 year anniversary (Friday, Sept. 28) I’d like to present one segment from this week’s report, NFTRH 518 each day until Friday. These excerpts will give you an idea of what it takes to provide a top tier, best of breed product. But there is much more to a single weekly report than will be shown here publicly. Oh and don’t forget the dynamic in-week market updates as events dictate.
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Thursday, September 27, 2018
Gold Price Can Still See a Lower Low / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
The Fed controls the gold market. The manipulators control the gold market. The “swaps” control the gold market. The hedge funds control the market. Yes, I have heard about how everyone is controlling the gold market.
In fact, I even hear such ridiculous statements as, "The banks are pushing us down so that they can buy at lower prices." The problem with this is that the banks have been long for weeks - yet they are still pushing us down?
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