Category: Gold and Silver 2018
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Sunday, November 11, 2018
Gold Asks: Are US Bonds Overvalued? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
“We are in a bond market bubble that’s beginning to unwind.” This is the statement of Alan Greenspan. Is he right? We invite you to read our today’s article about the US bond market and find out whether it is in bubble or not – and what does it all mean for the precious metals market.
Bond yields are in an upward trend since 2016/2017. And they hit the accelerator again last month. The 10-year Treasury yield topped 3.2 percent, the highest level since May 2011. Other yields have also increased recently: on 30-year Treasuries hit 3.40 in October, while on 5-year US government bonds jumped above 3 percent, as one can see in the chart below.
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Saturday, November 10, 2018
In US Elections Both Parties Won. And Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
US mid-term elections are behind us. Surprisingly, both parties won! How is it possible? Let’s read our article and find out! We will also explain what the election results imply for the world and the gold market.
Democrats Win
The elections were very interesting. We provide you with the key takeaways, focusing on the possible implications for the precious metals. First, Democrats took control of the House, the first time in eight years. Their victory will make it harder for Trump to push his agenda forward. Given that investors liked his pro-business stance, the change should upset the Wall Street. It implies weaker greenback, while stronger gold.
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Thursday, November 08, 2018
End in Sight for 'Unloved' Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Clive Maund charts silver and explains why he believes the metal's prospects are changing. Silver continues to be a singularly neglected and unloved investment, and has been for years now, but as we will proceed to see, this is not a situation that is likely to continue for much longer.
On its 10-year chart we can see that silver has basically been moving sideways marking out a low base pattern since late 2014–late 2015, following a severe bear market from its 2011 highs. For a while this year it was thought to be marking out a downsloping Head-and-Shoulders bottom, but with the renewed decline from June through late August, it was clear that the pattern had morphed into something else, and on the basis of what we are seeing in other metals, principally copper, gold and platinum, it now looks like it may instead be completing a large Double Bottom pattern, and if this is what it is, then it is very close to the second low of the Double Bottom here, and thus at an excellent point to buy.
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Thursday, November 08, 2018
Outlook for Gold & Silver Precious Metals Sector is 'Positive' / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
The precious metals sector continues to be viewed with disdain, posits technical analyst Clive Maund, who discusses the factors that he sees are behind changes in the market. The precious metals sector continues to be viewed with disdain and skepticism by the vast majority of investors, which is exactly what you want and expect to see at the earliest stages of a major bull market. However, the charts continue to shape up well, as we will now see.
Starting with the long-term 10-year chart for gold, we see that it is approaching completion of a more or less symmetrical complex Head-and-Shoulders bottom, with multiple shoulders. It is now believed to be rising up to complete the final Right Shoulder, that should be followed by a breakout above the resistance at the top of the pattern, which will be a positive technical development of huge significance.
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Wednesday, November 07, 2018
USD’s Weekly Breakout and the Gold Golden Spring / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
USDX’s Friday’s close was its highest weekly closing prices of 2018. This is an extremely significant confirmation of the bullish outlook for the US currency that followed the verification of the breakout above the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. The implications are clearly bullish for the US dollar. But are they clearly bearish for gold? The yellow metal ended the week close to its October lows and the SLV ETF closed at the highest level since late August. Is the outlook for the precious metals market really bearish?
Yes, it is. Precious metals’ reaction to the action in the USD could be delayed at times and it's most likely the case also this time. The current times are far from being calm due to the recent volatility on the stock market and because we are just before US elections. Consequently, it’s not that odd to see gold and silver hold up relatively well despite the build-up in the bearish implications from many long-term charts and from the USD Index.
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Monday, November 05, 2018
Is the Gold Bull Back? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Peter_Degraaf
The Price of Gold appears to have bottomed, after declining since 2011. Here is a look at the weekly trend.
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Monday, November 05, 2018
Will the US Mid-Term Elections Boost Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Democrats take control of the Congress and move Trump out of the White House. Sounds unbelievable? So what is probable and what is not? We invite you to read our today’s article about the upcoming US Mid-Term Elections and find out what are the likely consequences for the gold market.
Elections are approaching the US again. Two years after Donald Trump was elected as POTUS, American voters go to the polls again on November 6th for the mid-term elections. They will elect all 435 members of the House of Representatives and 35 of 100 Senators (as well as 36 state governors and many other local officers).
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Sunday, November 04, 2018
Gold Price Sets Up For A November 2018 Rally To Near $1300 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Today’s upside price move in gold, already up over $18 (+1.5%), sets up a real potential for a move to near $1300 before the end of November. We have been advising our followers that a strong potential for an upside move in the precious metals markets was likely and that a potential move to above $1300 was in the works prior to the end of 2018.
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Saturday, November 03, 2018
Silver Bottoming Almost Complete / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Hubert_Moolman
The current silver bottoming process is very similar to that of 2001 to 2003. It took a while for silver to establish a base which set up the bull rally in the following years to 2011.
The current bottoming has been longer, but it fits the profile of the early 2000 bottom in many respects. Below, is a chart which show the similarity:
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Friday, November 02, 2018
Trump Is Not Thrilled. But What about Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Trump is going to influence the US monetary policy or even to destroy the Fed’s independence. This is what many analysts say after the recent President’s comments. But are they right? We invite you to read our careful examination of Trump’s remarks about the Fed’s policy and find out what does it imply for the independence of the US central bank and the gold market.
Friday, November 02, 2018
Iron Lady of Europe Quits. Will Gold Replace Her? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
On Thursday, Mr. Draghi held a press conference. But the real thunderbolt hit on Monday, when Ms. Merkel announced that she would step down this year as a leader of her conservative party. Will that lighting make gold shine?
Draghi Says That We Shouldn’t Worry
Let’s start with the latest ECB’s monetary policy statement and the following Draghi’s press conference. In short, the ECB kept its monetary policy unchanged, which means that the European quantitative easing will end in December 2018. Given a somewhat weaker economic momentum in the euro area and the turmoil in Italy, the lack of any changes might seem to be rather hawkish. However, the expansion of the euro area economy continues, while inflation pressure is gradually rising. According to Draghi, we should not worry about the weaker momentum, as “it’s simply that we're having growth returning to potential after 2017, where it was clearly above potential.”
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Sunday, October 28, 2018
Gold Stocks Will Benefit From Cyclical Change / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
As we have noted over the many years of the gold sector’s bear market, the gold miners will not rally for real until the real sector and macro fundamentals come into place. Those fundamentals do not include commonly promoted inflation, China/India “love” trades, a US dollar collapse or especially, war, pestilence or any other human misery than economic. The more astute gold bugs do not fall for that.
The gold miners are counter-cyclical as they leverage gold’s performance (whether positive or negative) relative to cyclical assets and markets. Hence the handy picture showing the key fundamental items with the 4 largest planets orbiting the golden sun being the most important.
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Saturday, October 27, 2018
Gold Upleg Fuel Abounds / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold and its miners’ stocks have proven rare bastions of strength during recent weeks’ market carnage. They are powering considerably higher while nearly everything else burns. The markets’ major sentiment shift is accelerating a young gold upleg, which ought to grow much larger as speculators and investors continue returning. Their collective gold positioning remains very low, making for abundant gold upleg fuel.
October’s outperformance by gold and gold stocks has been impressive. As of Wednesday, the flagship US S&P 500 broad-market stock index had plunged 8.8% month-to-date. That heavy selling was led by the market-darling mega tech stocks, pummeling the NASDAQ down 11.7% MTD! Stock investors are starting to pay the piper for getting far too complacent in bubble-valued markets, the reckoning is underway.
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Friday, October 26, 2018
Stronger Dollar is Bullish Catalyst for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The US$ index is breaking higher. Its trading at 96.41 as we pen this.
A daily close above 96.61 marks a new 52-week high and puts the dollar in position to eventually retest its bull market high at 104.
If this strength continues then the relief rally in precious metals could be over.
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Thursday, October 25, 2018
Rome vs Brussels. Will That Battle Benefit Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Only one digit has changed. But it may have profound consequences, sending the country closer to junk status. Meanwhile, Rome and Brussels clash over budget plan. Will that duel benefit or harm the yellow metal?
Only One Notch Above Being Junk
Italian drama continues. On Friday, Moody’s, one of the most significant rating agencies in the world, downgraded the Italian credit rating from Baa2 to Baa3. It means that Italy’s local and foreign-currency bonds are now only one notch above junk territory. The move was not surprising, as well as the reasons behind this decision:
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Wednesday, October 24, 2018
Sentiment Is The Most Important Factor To Focus On in Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
I have now been a contributor at Seeking Alpha for seven years, during which time I have written for approximately six years, as I took a one-year hiatus. And, during that time, I have had the honor of penning almost 400 articles.
During the six years I have been actively writing on Seeking Alpha, 30,000 of you have trusted me enough to begin following my work, as I just hit the 30,000-follower mark. For that I am very grateful, honored and humbled. So, I wanted to first thank you all.
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Saturday, October 20, 2018
The Incredibly Bullish Set-Up for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the bullish set-up for gold and why he believes this time is different. For the first time in months, Fido the Wonder Dog has been in my office and at the foot of my bed 24/7 for the past few days giving me great solace that the current advance in precious metals prices is here to stay. Gone are his nervous tics every time my chair squeaks or when I give a little "Whoop-whoop!" at the sight of decent gold quote and most certainly absent are all of the caked mudballs in his fur from having to sleep (hide) under the tool shed.
Friday, October 19, 2018
Gold Would Not Enjoy That FOMC Is Going More Restrictive / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
“Policy would need to become modestly restrictive for a time.” This is the key quote from the recent FOMC minutes. This is not a reason for gold’s joy.
Fed Is Becoming More Hawkish
Yesterday, the Fed released minutes from the recent FOMC meeting. As everyone knows, the Committee hiked interest rates by another 25 basis points in September. But what about the future stance? Well, the minutes signal that the FOMC is going to be more hawkish in the near future (as we have been warning for some time). The key paragraph is as follows:
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Thursday, October 18, 2018
Global Warming (Assuming You Believe In It) Does Not Affect Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
When the market, represented by SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEARCA:GLD), broke down below 117.40, and then followed below the next support in the 114 region, we were hyper-focused on the 109 region. Thus far, that is where GLD has bottomed out (in overnight action). From there, we were expecting a rally, and the market has not disappointed.
For the last two weeks, I have been outlining how the metals complex was bottoming out and setting up to rally to a minimum target of 116.25 in the GLD. But, if you read my analysis carefully, you would know that I am viewing this rally as a corrective rally, until the market is able to prove otherwise.
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Wednesday, October 17, 2018
Silver's Time Is Coming / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Clive Maund charts silver and discusses the factors that he believes will lead silver upward.
Unlike gold and precious metals stocks, silver did not break out strongly on Thursday – although it rose, it did not break out at all, nor was volume exceptional, as we can see on its latest 6-month chart below. However, this is not a cause for concern, because in the early stages of sector bull markets gold leads, so we can expect silver to "follow suit" shortly. This is worth knowing, because it means that it is still possible to pick up a lot of silver stocks (and ETFs) at knock down silly prices before it really starts to move.
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