Category: Stock Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Saturday, March 07, 2015
NYA Stocks Index Important Triple Top Test is Going On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Update on: The Old Double Top is being tested now ...
Today, we will look at the NYA Index because of its importance to Institutional Investors.
When you look at today's chart (below), you can see that an important triple top test is going on.
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Saturday, March 07, 2015
Stock Market Remain Bullish - But Watchful / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Remain bullish because the bull market remains in place, with most indexes making new highs as recently as last week. Support levels continue to hold on short-term pullbacks, technical indicators remain on buy signals, and the market’s favorable season usually lasts into April/May.
However, be watchful - because the rally is increasingly abnormal, is unlikely to be sustainable much longer, and could change quickly.
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Friday, March 06, 2015
Stock Market Major Selloff Looms / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The latest record highs in the US stock markets have unleashed astounding complacency. Traders are utterly convinced that the past couple years’ massive Fed-fueled rally will continue indefinitely. But with today’s lofty stock markets extremely overvalued, wildly overextended, and rampantly euphoric, a serious selloff is looming. The prudent contrarians preparing for this inevitable major reversal are going to earn fortunes.
Though you wouldn’t know it from recent history, stock markets rise and fall. They are forever cyclical, an endless parade of alternating bulls and bears. Market history simply couldn’t be clearer on this. Yet ironically after long bull or bear markets, the great majority of traders forget this. They get caught up in their own emotions, and wrongly assume the long-in-the-tooth trend is the new norm that will endure perpetually.
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Friday, March 06, 2015
Stock Market Dow Theory Divergence / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
European Basic Income Initiative.
Based upon the teachings of Major Clifford Douglas and his Social Credit ideals a major citizens initiative is gaining traction in Europe called UBIC: Unconditional Basic Income Europe.
This movement aims to try to solve the issue of structural unemployment in Europe. Unemployment caused not by recession and austerity but labour displacement resulting from the technological fact that increasingly more and more can be produced by less and less labour. Thus the powers that be are beginning to realise that if folk do not have wage income to purchase what is produced a permanent recession will ensue.
Thursday, March 05, 2015
Stock Market FTSE 100: New Record Highs In Store? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Stock markets continue to impress and the bull run in the FTSE 100 has its sights set on the 7,000 level. With price activity trading this close to a clearly defined psychological level, it would not be at all surprising to see an upward break. But the real question is whether or not a move like this would actually show sustainability in the coming months. This is a critical question for those that are considering long exposure while valuations are trading at such elevated levels. Clearly market momentum is still positive but traders entering late still run the risk of being caught long at the wrong market price. For these reasons, newer investors must assess the underlying strength of the blue chip stocks that actually make up the FTSE 100.
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Thursday, March 05, 2015
Fading Recovery, Skittish Stock Market Asset Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
I wonder how far they are willing to take this stock bubble?
It can keep drifting while there is no adverse geopolitical or economic news.
But the economic recovery is faltering. Or perhaps it would be more correct to say that the illusion is fading.
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Thursday, March 05, 2015
Here's What Stock Market Bulls Might Be Overlooking / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
A growing economy is not necessarily bullish -- see for yourself
Editor's note: You'll find a text version of this story below the video.
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Wednesday, March 04, 2015
Stock Market Sell Signals! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
This is a good sell signal. The cross beneath the lower trendline of the Broadening Wedge has a 94% probability of success. Further confirmation of that signal would be a decline beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 2059.94. However, those who “loaded up” yesterday are being rewarded.
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Wednesday, March 04, 2015
Stock Market Investor Psychology Crazy Ratio Record Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Editor's note: This article is excerpted from "The State of the Global Markets 2015 Edition," a comprehensive report by Elliott Wave International, the world's largest independent market-forecasting firm (data through December 2014). You can download the full, 53-page report here -- 100% free.
With so many once-bright investment ideas flaming out— houses, condos, commodities, gold & silver, oil, junk bonds and hedge funds, to name a few—one would think that the buy-and-hold ethos of the Mania Era would at least be under review. But it isn’t. All it has done is become more focused while remaining as cherished as ever.
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Tuesday, March 03, 2015
Stock Market Three Peaks and a Domed House? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
A possible 3PDh formation can be seen on the Dow Industrials index chart. The peaks in Dec’13, July’14, and Sept’14 are the three peaks. At 9mo, the distance between peaks one and three meets Lindsay’s requirement that they be no more than 10mo apart.
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Tuesday, March 03, 2015
Stock Market Reversal May Be Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
There is a rising probability that my original Wave structure was correct. I have put it back to that count with the anticipation of a break beneath the lower trendline of the Broadening Wedge at 2103.75, with Short-term support beneath it at 2102.39. Thus far, today’s low was 2104.92.
Should they both be broken, SPX would have an aggressive sell signal. There may be an aggressive sell signal from the Hi-Lo Index, since it has fallen beneath its mid-Cycle support at 67.08. It is currently at 54 and It still must decline beneath 14 to have a confirmed sell signal. We must monitor it for any upward movement.
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Tuesday, March 03, 2015
SPX, NDX Approaching Their Respective Stock Market Tops / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The pattern in the NDX is the clearest. It shows an expanding Ending diagonal consisting of 5 – abc’s. The final c of (v) appears to be underway and may even be complete by the end of the day, one week shy of 6 years from the March 9, 2000 low at 1040.41. Today it is at 430% of its starting value. I don’t know whether that is a coincidence or not.
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Tuesday, March 03, 2015
Stock Market Investors Herd Can Be Blind / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Going into 2015 the economic outlook held by the U.S. investment establishment could not have been much more positive, and more unified. Pundits saw all the variables aligning to create the best of all investment worlds, a virtual "no-brainer" of optimism. Many believed that the 5.0% annualized growth in 3rd quarter would stay strong in the 4th Quarter and then usher in a strong 2015, which many believed would be the best economic year since the crash of 2008. The only question that divided most forecasters was how good the year would be.
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Tuesday, March 03, 2015
Not So Good Stock Market SPY Wedge Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Yes, the short term Inflowing Liquidity has been positive and up trending. The affect of the Liquidity can be seen on this weekly chart of the SPY. As expected, the SPY has been moving higher, but is getting very close to its resistance area.
What doesn't look so great, is the longer term, rising wedge pattern that you can see on the SPY.
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Monday, March 02, 2015
Stock Market Party Like It’s 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
In 1982 the artist formally known as Prince released a popular party anthem called “1999”. The song was a premonition that 1999 would be a year we would all aspire to “party like”. It was obvious that Prince was making reference to the excitement associated with ringing in a new century. However, unbeknownst to him, the accommodative policies of the Federal Reserve would lead to a festal bubble in NASDAQ stocks, making his call to party in 1999 that much more appropriate.
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Monday, March 02, 2015
Stocks Fluctuate Along Record Highs - Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,150 and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, March 02, 2015
The Stock Market is in The Process of Major Top! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The 10/20 week cycle low is due within this time frame. The previous 10 wk cycle low (ideally 50 trading days) on Dec 15, 2014 ran just 43 trading days. The next ideal trading low is due on March 6, 2015.
Feb 24 marked an irregular topping pattern off the Feb 20 top, which in Elliott Wave terms means that after the expected fast sell-off, a fast rally should ensue. The larger (b) wave shown on the chart should tag near SPX 2008/09. The next top (wave 'c') should occur about 15 trading days after the Feb 24 top and that should be around Mar 18 near 2130.
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Monday, March 02, 2015
Stock Market Weakening Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an intermediate top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which ultimately indicate the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, March 01, 2015
Stock Markets Are Riding High on Thin Air / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
I am often asked by the investors in my funds, "When will markets finally start paying attention to the signs of weak economic growth?" I tell them that the consensus answer is that bull markets only end when the Fed starts aggressively raising interest rates.
I also tell them that when interest rates are at zero, as they have been for the last seven years, the normal answer may not apply. In the meantime, stocks keep hitting new record highs while bonds and commodities are telling a very different story about the state of the economy…
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Sunday, March 01, 2015
Toppy Stock Market Charts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Stocks were floundering around most of the day on a weak GDP revision this morning, and a shockingly low Chicago PMI which *could* be an effect, at least in part, of the weather.
Stocks are looking a bit lofty here, and volumes are thin.
But here comes March, and another month in which the wolves can thin the saving herd, as thin as they may have become.
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