Category: Stock Markets 2013
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, December 02, 2013
Stock Market Seasonality And The Fed Are A Powerful Combination / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Sy_Harding
The market makes most of its gains each year in its favorable season of approximately October to May. A separate positive influence is the Federal Reserve when it’s providing easy money and low interest rates in an effort to revive a flagging economy.
Those individual influences are so consistent they’ve been memorialized in long time market maxims ‘Sell in May and Go Away’ (to come back November 1), and ‘Don’t Fight the Fed’.
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Monday, December 02, 2013
Stock Market Rally Stretched to its Limit / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - An important top formation is in the making.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, December 02, 2013
How Long Will the “Miracle on Wall Street” Stock Market Rally Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: DailyGainsLetter
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: As the key stock indices are going higher, there’s a growing concern among investors that we are reaching a top. There’s a significant amount of noise that says the key stock indices are running on nothing but free money and the fundamentals that drive them higher are dead. We’re hearing that it’s all going to fall soon.
To some degree, I agree that easy money has a hand in the rise of key stock indices, and that current corporate earnings aren’t all that impressive. However, while observing the markets over time, I have learned that tops and bottoms are not easy to predict; in fact, it’s impossible. That’s because it isn’t clear when they happen and they can only be identified once they have been made.
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Monday, December 02, 2013
Stock Market Rally Accelerates / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short. Seven of the eight indexes in my international focus group posted gains over the past week. After three weeks as the worst performer, India’s SENSEX topped the latest list with a 2.84% surge. Germany’s DAXK came in second with a 2.02% gain for the week. The S&P 500 finished seventh with a fractional 0.06% weekly gain to finish next to last, but that was enough to register the eighth consecutive positive weekly close, the longest stretch since the nine weeks in early 2004. The UK’s FTSE 100 was the sole loser, with a modest 0.36% decline.
Saturday, November 30, 2013
Stock Market Normal Bull or Bubble Bull? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Caldaro
After making a new high at the open on Monday the market pulled back a bit, then bounced off that high for two more days. After the holiday the market opened above the high, rallied to SPX 1814, then pulled back in the last hour of trading. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.1%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.8%, and the DJ World index was +0.3%. On the economic front positive reports finally outpaced negative reports for the week. On the downtick: pending home sales, consumer confidence, durable goods orders, and the Chicago PMI. On the uptick: building permits, Case-Shiller, the FHFA, consumer sentiment, leading indicators, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims improved. Next week will be incredibly busy highlighted by: Q3 GDP, the monthly Payrolls, and the FED’s beige book.
Saturday, November 30, 2013
Stock Market All-Time Intraday High Fades at the Finish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short. On a light day of post-Thanksgiving trading, the S&P 500 opened higher and rallied to its mid-morning intraday high, up 0.35%, which set a new all-time intraday high for the index. Action moved sideways until the lunch hour, selling dropped the index to its 0.18% intraday low, which was subsequently trimmed to a 0.08% loss at the 1 PM early close.
Friday, November 29, 2013
Stock Market Euphoria During Troubled Times / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Stephen_Lendman
Major equity markets approach nosebleed levels. Experts disagree on whether bubble extremes approach. They’re not unusual. They happen often.
The myth about markets reflecting reality is hokum. Keynes once warned about “enterprise becom(ing) the bubble on a whirlpool of (destructive) speculation.” Hard times usually follows.
Thursday, November 28, 2013
Stock Market Rally the Biggest Case of “Financial Engineering” in History? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes: Key stock indices are roaring higher each day. The S&P 500 is breaking through to new records; the Dow Jones Industrial Average sits above the 16,000 level, and the NASDAQ Composite Index trades at a level not seen since the Tech Boom. Sadly, as all of this happens, the one fundamental that has historically driven stock prices higher—corporate earnings—is missing from the equation.
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Wednesday, November 27, 2013
Stock Markets Are on the Edge and So Are People / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I suspect that the sell-off in the last 20 minutes of the day may have been nothing more than traders taking their trades off the table so that they could enjoy an early Thanksgiving weekend.
But if that is the case, it shows just how thin and vulnerable the market is right now. Tomorrow will likely be another thinly traded day and we may see yet another episode like this, or worse, as even more traders prepare for the weekend.
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Wednesday, November 27, 2013
Stock Market All-Time High Gets Punctured Near the Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short. Today the Nasdaq stole the show with its first close above 4,000 since September 7th, 2000. Quick sidebar: The Nasdaq hit its all-time closing high of 5,048.62 six months earlier on March 10. Meanwhile today, after setting an all-time intraday high, the S&P 500 closed with a miniscule 0.01% gain. The index survived shrugged off this morning’s weak consumer confidence. So what triggered the late day selling? Bloomberg almost never fails to offer an explanation (however lame): “investors rebalanced portfolios.”
Tuesday, November 26, 2013
Stock Market Fundamentals Rendered Irrelevant by Fed Actions / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: J_W_Jones
The fundamental backdrop behind the ramp higher in equity prices in 2013 is far from inspiring. However, fundamentals do not matter when the Federal Reserve is flooding U.S. financial markets with an ocean of freshly printed fiat dollars.
As we approach the holiday season, retail stores are usually in a position of strength. However, this year holiday sales are expected to be lower than the previous year based on analysts commentary and surveys that have been completed. This holiday season analysts are not expecting strong sales growth. However, in light of all of this U.S. stocks continue to move higher.
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Tuesday, November 26, 2013
The Biggest Stock Market Bubble in History? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes:
The only thing keeping the stock market alive is the easy money that is indirectly being pumped into it by the Federal Reserve, nothing else. The fundamentals for the market are dead in the water.
Here, I present five indicators that point to high risk for key stock indices.
Tuesday, November 26, 2013
Fractional Stock Market Decline, But Still Above 1,800 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short. The S&P 500 closed the day with a fractional loss of 0.13% but remains above the 1,800 benchmark. Meanwhile, its elderly cousin the Dow set another all-time high with a tiny 0.05% gain, and the Nasdaq hit an intraday high above 4,000. However, this benchmark, last seen in the year 2000, didn’t hold to today’s closing. Tomorrow and Wednesday we get some significant economic news, but the only report today was the 10AM Pending Home Sales, which, despite coming in a bit below expectations, didn’t much phase the market. Today’s intraday range of 0.42% was only at the 7th percentile of the 228 market days in 2013.
Tuesday, November 26, 2013
Stock Market Bears Can't Get Going..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
Although every day the risk does increase. We are at a time of year when markets try to hold up but you have to wonder how many negative divergences, and how many 70 RSI tags there can be before this thing rolls over for even a tiny correction. 2-3-4%, or so, wouldn't be too much, but for now the bears can't do a thing with this market regarding sustainable down side action. The markets at least, the bears can argue, closed below their opens today. You have to hang your hat on something when nothing is going your way and that is a legitimate argument. That said, the argument is weak since they never follow through on anything.
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Tuesday, November 26, 2013
Stock Market Dementia / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Brian_Bloom
The patterns below are counter intuitive. Falling volume, falling momentum and rising prices.
Monday, November 25, 2013
Why Sitting and Waiting Makes More Investment Sense Today Than Chasing Stock Market Gains / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: InvestmentContrarian
George Leong writes: The more I view this stock market, the more nervous I get. While Wall Street gets set for some terrific year-end bonuses and investors take some amazing gains off the table, I’m sensing some euphoric buying in numerous areas of the stock market.
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Monday, November 25, 2013
Stock Market Intermediate Top Minimum Projection Reached! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Important top formation is in the making.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, November 24, 2013
Why the Stock Market is Not a Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Investment_U
Alexander Green writes: In the past week, there have been major stories in both The Washington Post and The Wall Street Journal – as well as a cover story in Barron’s – asking the same pointed question: Is this stock market a bubble?
And my column in Investment U last week raised a warning flag, too, about a bull market that’s starting to show its age. So it’s understandable that people are getting nervous.
Saturday, November 23, 2013
Fed Backed into a Corner on How to Exit its QE Program / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Sy_Harding
The minutes of the Fed’s last FOMC meeting, released this week, confirm that the Fed believes it must begin to taper back its stimulus soon. At this point, the longer QE continues the greater the risk of asset bubbles forming, the bursting of which would destabilize the economy and make it even more difficult to exit.
Economists and analysts have been concerned from the beginning about how the Fed would be able to reverse the massive QE stimulus, which has been the major driving force of the anemic economic recovery and the powerful bull market in stocks, without also reversing the momentum of both.
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Friday, November 22, 2013
Stock Market On the Edge of a Trend Change / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The final pattern continues to change in such a way as to allow this alternate wave pattern, if the November 18 high is exceeded. Allowing for that event, Minute Wave [v] may go to 1804.50 or slightly higher.
As it stands, it could be counted either as a possible wave 2 or [v] of C.
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