Category: Stock Markets 2013
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Saturday, December 21, 2013
Stock Market QE3 End Date Meaning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Toby_Connor
The market gapped up on Monday, rallied to SPX 1792 in the opening minutes, then pulled back until just after the FOMC statement at 2pm on Wednesday. After that the market soared right into late Friday afternoon reaching all time new highs. For the week the SPX/DOW were +2.7%, the NDX/NAZ were +2.3%, and the DJ World gained 2.1%. Economic reports for the week were quite positive. On the uptick: the NY/Philly FED, industrial production, capacity utilization, the CPI, NAHB housing, housing starts, leading indicators, Q3 GDP, and the current accounts deficit improved. On the downtick: building permits, existing home sales, the WLEI, the M1-multiplier and weekly jobless claims increased. Next week is highlighted by Durable goods orders, the PCE and Consumer sentiment.
Saturday, December 21, 2013
Stock Market Fed....Overbought....Froth.......Still Heading Higher.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
An interesting week to be sure. Wednesday when he tapered just enough to start the ball rolling, but not so much that folks are fearful of the entire liquidity pool being drained out too fast. He also let the world know that zero rates are with us for years to come. That was really the magic that sent the market flying higher throughout the afternoon on Wednesday after his announcement. After a pause Thursday, his magical wand got those buyers back in the game on Friday with the S&P 500 making a nice breakout over 1813.
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Friday, December 20, 2013
Bubblenomics: The Federal Reserve Balance Sheet and the SP 500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jesse
"How could I have done this? I was making a lot of money. I didn’t need the money. Am I a flawed character?
I realized from a very early stage that the financial market is a wholly rigged job. There’s no chance that investors have in this market....It’s unbelievable. Goldman-- no one has any criminal convictions. The whole new regulatory reform is a joke." - Bernie Madoff
Thursday, December 19, 2013
QE and the Stock Market - The "Taper" Is Here... This Is What You Need to Know / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: DailyWealth
Porter Stansberry writes: We knew it would happen eventually... so now what?
Yesterday, I explained how the Federal Reserve's quantitative-easing programs have transferred enormous wealth into the hands of the very rich.
Today, I'm going to show you what's going to happen now that the Fed is beginning to rein in these quantitative-easing bond-buying policies. This is what people refer to as "tapering."
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Thursday, December 19, 2013
Why Slow US Growth Isn’t Impacting Stocks - Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Submissions
Ronan Keenan writes: There is a reason why asset management firms don’t employ legions of economists to do their investing. Providing accurate economic forecasts is very useful, but financial markets generally don’t reflect the state of the world.
US stock markets have rallied strongly over the last two years, while economic growth has been weak. Appetite for stocks has been driven by central bank action, not forecasts of skyrocketing consumer demand. The Federal Reserve has held its interest rates close to zero for the last five years while implementing vast amounts of quantitative easing - printing money to buy government bonds.
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Thursday, December 19, 2013
QE Taper - Did Someone Say “Crash”? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Mike_Whitney
Guess who’s investing in America’s future?
Nobody, that’s who.
Just check out this excerpt from an article by Rex Nutting at Marketwatch and you’ll see what I mean. The article is titled “No one is investing in tomorrow’s economy”:
“The U.S. economy simply isn’t investing enough to ensure that there will be enough good paying jobs for our children and our children’s children. Net investment — the amount of capital added to our stock — remains at the lowest levels since the Great Depression. …
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Thursday, December 19, 2013
Stock Market Year End Rally as Fed Spreads Holiday Cheer / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jesse
"I am not alone at all, I thought. I was never alone at all. And that, of course, is the message of Christmas. We are never alone. Not when the night is darkest, the wind coldest, the world seemingly most indifferent. For this is still the time God chooses." -
Taylor Caldwell
Yesterday's action was all end of year window dressing and bonus pumping, triggered by the 'tiny taper' from the Fed, in which they pledged to reduce the rate at which they are expanding their balance sheet and handing money over the primary dealers at a slightly slower rate.
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Thursday, December 19, 2013
QE Tapering - Ben Bernanke Plays It Perfectly....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
The uncertainty of what big bad Ben would do was put behind us at 2:00 PM Eastern Time today. He played his cards perfectly. Think about it. It was time to taper, but would he was the real question. It wouldn't be good for his legacy to have a new Fed come in and be the one to have to do the dirty deed of unwinding the liquidity fix. It made sense for him to go out with a small tapering program in place. Not too much, but something.
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Wednesday, December 18, 2013
Stock Market Throws QE Taper Party Not Tantrum / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market closed sharply higher today following the U.S. Fed central banks decision to start tapering by reducing the rate of QE money printing from $85 billion to $75 billion per month. The immediate reaction by the stock market was to ADD near 300 points to the Dow, breaking back above the 16000 level to close at 16,168.
Wednesday, December 18, 2013
Stock Market Forgets about the Rally into Fed Accouncement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It appears that the rally attempts into the Fed announcement are failing.
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Tuesday, December 17, 2013
Stock Market Pop-n-drop, BKX May Lead the Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The Pre-Market is mildly higher. SPX still has to finish Minute Wave [v] of Minor Wave 2. The entire Cycle from the 1811.52 top to today’s high will take 43 hours at 11:00 am. The larger degree Cycle Model agrees.
Tuesday, December 17, 2013
Stock Market Four Day Losing Streak Ends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: When the US stock exchange opened, world markets were a mixed bag. The Nikkei and Shanghai Composite had both closed with 1.6% losses, but the EURO STOXX 50 was up 1.7% on Markit’s strong Flash Eurozone Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI). The US followed the EU exemplar with an Industrial Production increase that substantially exceeded expectations. The S&P 500 rallied at the open and hit its 0.95% intraday high at 10 AM. The index then coasted to a trimmed gain of 0.63% for the day, snapping a four-day losing streak.
Monday, December 16, 2013
Start of Stock Market Intermediate Decline, Or...? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - An important top formation may be in the making.
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Monday, December 16, 2013
Stock Market SPX Decline is More Complex, Possibly More Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
We saw the SPX decline beneath its 50-day moving average in the overnight futures, only to be ramped up starting around 3:00 am. This is a sub-Minute Wave (iii) of Minute Wave [c]. The Model now calls for a pullback and a final sub-Minute Wave (v) to double overhead resistance at 1796.17.
The Cycles Model calls for a turn in SPX tomorrow, so it may be that today may be a slow day of bouncing between support and resistance.
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Monday, December 16, 2013
Stock Market VIX Shows Biggest Drop Since Mid-August / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Submissions
Richard Cox writes: The benchmark index that is used to price US stock options started to show declines on Friday for the first time in eight trading sessions, as positive economic data supported equity markets in the early part of the month. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) dropped 8.6% to 13.8, which was the largest single-session decline since Oct. 16. The VIX essentially measures appropriate costs for the use of options as protection against losses in the S&P 500. In the eight-session span prior to Friday, the VIX has risen 23%, after valuations in equity markets rose to their highest levels in four years.
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Sunday, December 15, 2013
Stock Market Primary Wave III Rally Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Caldaro
After hitting a rebound high at SPX 1812 early Monday the market experienced its first real, (not a point or two), week over week decline since late September. And its largest weekly decline since the last downtrend. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.65%, the NDX/NAZ were -1.45%, and the DJ World lost 1.45%. On the economic front positive economic reports again outpaced negative ones. On the uptick: wholesale/business inventories, retail sales, export/import prices, the monetary base, plus the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: the PPI, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week is FED week, plus we get reports on Capacity utilization, Housing and Q3 GDP. Should be an interesting week before the following holiday week.
Saturday, December 14, 2013
Stock Market Bummer! Losing Streak Now at Four Days / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short writes: At one minute before the close, it looked like the S&P 500 would snap its three-day losing streak. But at the Friday 13th closing bell, the index had tipped into the red, increasing the streak to day four. And the 1.65% weekly decline gives us the second week of losses (although the previous one was a microscopic -0.04%). The Dow and Nasdaq fared a bit better, both closing with fractional Friday gains.
Saturday, December 14, 2013
Stock Market Upside Getting Tougher.....Complacency Soars....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
Never a good thing to see complacency in anything we partake in during our lifetimes. It has a way of coming back to haunt us. Once we think there's only one outcome to things we get the lesson that there's another outcome sitting out there lurking and surprising us when we want no part of it. I mean, come on, things were so nice. Who needs this headache! When complacency hits the market you know there's trouble coming. We had a bull-bear spread coming in to this week at 43.9%. That is a very rare-reading indeed. You also know that we won't stay at those levels forever. There will have to come a time when we likely see levels back in the 20's again. So you have to ask yourself, how do we get there. How could we ever get back down to a spread with a 2 as the first number?
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Friday, December 13, 2013
Current Stock Market Euphoria a Carbon Copy of 2007? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: DailyGainsLetter
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: Increasing optimism towards the key stock indices worries me. In the beginning of 2013, you would hear the bears’ opinions all over the financial news channels. Now, it seems they have all disappeared—or have turned outright bullish. No matter where I look, it’s pretty much the same opinion across the board in the mainstream: key stock indices are going higher, they say.
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Friday, December 13, 2013
Stock Buybacks at Market All-Time Highs: Poor Use of Corporation Capital / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: EconMatters
Era of Stock Buybacks
This has definitely been the era of stock buybacks with such low borrowing costs as companies are borrowing at very low rates not to expand the business, create innovative products, increase research and development but to buy back their own stock which isn`t cheap considering the multiple expansion in markets the last five years.
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