Category: Stock Markets 2013
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, November 22, 2013
Why 2013 Stock Market Santa Rally Will Be the Best in Years / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
Kyle Anderson writes: The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 typically see their largest gains of the year in December, thanks to a surge coined the "Santa Claus rally."
Since 1929, the S&P 500 has averaged a 1.5% return in December, with markets posting positive returns more than 70% of the time. The only other month with a 1.5% average return is July, with the remaining months' average gains ranging from -1.1% to 1.2%.
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Thursday, November 21, 2013
Fed Minutes Triggered Stock Market Wash and Rinse / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jesse
The market was clicking along, buoyed by weak economic news, until the Fed minutes from a month ago came out, and traders hit the markets on QE taper thoughts, despite what Chairman Ben said yesterday.
I think the corruption of some members of the Fed is unfortunate but inevitable, and sometimes barely hidden by the fig leaf of plausible deniability and the 'scientific objectivity' of economics.
Thursday, November 21, 2013
Fed Minutes Bring The Stock Markets Lower... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
And that's not a bad thing at all. It wasn't a crushing blow lower, but it was a nice, solid move lower as the market used whatever it could in terms of an excuse to sell things off a bit. Mr. Bernanke spoke about keeping rates low basically forever, but some talk of tapering sooner than later, especially through the foreign banks, gave the market an excuse to sell lower.
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Tuesday, November 19, 2013
Stock Market S&P Surge Above 1800 That Does Not Hold / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: The S&P 500 rose at the opening bell and broke out (briefly) above 1,800 — hitting its 0.23% intraday high 10 minutes later. The index then used Friday’s closing price as a trampoline while trading in a narrow range until the final 90 minutes of the day, when a wave of profit-taking dropped the index to a modest closing loss of 0.37%. Reuters, always eager to explain daily market behavior, attributes the late selling to Carl Icahn’s comment that he is “very cautious” about equities.
Tuesday, November 19, 2013
Stock Market Late Selling..... Not Anything Terrible / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
It wasn't anything terrible, but it did come from some nasty looking MACD's on those daily-index charts. When studying them we see that they are making lower highs on the MACD's while printing higher highs in price. The small-cap stocks and Nasdaq look particularly poor, although with this market who knows if they'll ever play out, but you can't like what you see when looking at those charts. Add in the poor readings on sentiment and the combination, one would think, would bring about a fairly reasonable pullback, but who knows for sure. The market has been so strong it's hard to bet against it but you need to be safe when things show themselves and with today's reversals it seemed appropriate to raise some cash.
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Monday, November 18, 2013
Stock Market Closing In on Primary Wave III / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Important top formation is in the making.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, November 17, 2013
World Stocks Markets Rally Resumes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Six of the eight indexes in my international focus group posted gains over the past week, with Japan’s Nikkei making an impressive 7.66% advance. The S&P 500 was a distant second with a more modest gain of 1.56%, largely in response to the dovish stance of Fed chair nominee Janet Yellen. At the other end of the scale, India’s SENSEX lost 1.29% in a holiday shortened four days of trading.
Sunday, November 17, 2013
Stocks Market Talks, Few Listen - Profit Is The Only Objective / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Michael_Noonan
What if you had someone, or something, to act as a reliable advisor telling you what to buy and when, and also how to manage your risks? Would you pay attention? Who would say "No" to such a proposition? Yet, almost everyone does ignore the source. Instead, people listen to brokers, [foolish]talking heads on financial networks, or whatever other source one may choose for advice or direction.
The best and most reliable source is the market itself. It provides all available information from all available sources condensed into a bar, depicting the open, high, low, and close of whatever time frame one chooses: intra day, daily, weekly, monthly, annually, etc. What is interesting about this is that the information is available to everyone, at the same time any price is executed in the marketplace.
Sunday, November 17, 2013
The Stocks Bull Market No One Believes In / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Clif_Droke
Despite a string of new all-time highs, many investors are sitting out what has been one of the most impressive stock market rallies in years. A “buyer’s strike” has materialized this year in which value-oriented investors have deemed the market to be too expensive. Their collective response: taking no action while the bull market passes them by.
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Sunday, November 17, 2013
Stock Market All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market opened the week higher, tried to break out above SPX 1775, pulled back to 1761 Wednesday morning, then made all time new highs for the rest of the week. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.45%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.70%, and the DJ World index was +1.5%. On the economic front negative reports out numbered positive ones 7 to 4. On the uptick: wholesale inventories, the monetary base, the WLEI and the Treasury deficit improved. On the downtick: export/import prices, the NY FED, industrial production, capacity utilization, plus both the trade deficit and weekly jobless claims were higher. Next week we get a look at the Philly FED, CPI/PPI, Retail sales and the FOMC minutes.
Saturday, November 16, 2013
Yet Another Stock Market All-Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: The S&P 500 gained 0.42% today, closing its sixth consecutive week of gains at yet another all-time high. Janet Yellen support for dovish monetary policy was the key driver of this week’s market optimism — first with her prepared statement and then with the testimony itself. Meanwhile, today’s economic data was a bit on the weak side: Empire State Manufacturing showed contraction with the weakest numbers since January and the Fed’s report on October Industrial Production came in below expectations. But the market is more focused on the odds of more Fed stimulus, which weak economic data supports.
Saturday, November 16, 2013
Technical Evidence Dow's Bew high is Not a Stock Market Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Brian_Bloom
Complacency does not equal buying hysteria
There’s too much “loose talk” that the public is going to pile into the market for the third, and final, blow-off phase.
The first chart below (bigcharts.com) shows that, since August 2011, the index has been rising on falling volume. Over a two year period (+- 700 days) at an average daily volume (visually) of around 150 million, (700 X 150 million =) 105 billion shares changed hands. By contrast, OBV has risen from around 2.5 billion to 7.5 billion = 5 billion.
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Saturday, November 16, 2013
Stock Market Status Quo....More Red Flags.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
Nothing has changed. After trading sideways for three weeks and refusing to really fall with any force, the market heated back up this week with some decent gains, basically across the board. The bulls were bored not having gains for a few weeks, thus, they decided it was time, once again, to get moving, since the bears were unable to do anything of significance for that period of time prior. No great blow up and out, but there was one very strong day this week, which also included your typical grind higher most of the other days. Classic bull-market action for sure. Spend some time calming things down a bit, and then rock things up again once oscillators unwound some on the key daily-index charts.
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Friday, November 15, 2013
Stock Markets Set Another All-Time High - Thank You, Janet Yellen! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: The S&P 500 posted another all-time high with a closing gain of 0.48%. The popular financial press (e.g., CNBC, Bloomberg and Reuters) attributes the market’s merry mood to Janet Yellen’s congressional testimony before the Senate Banking Committee, where she has underscored her support for the Fed’s policy of Quantitative Easing.
Meanwhile, key segments of the real economy, represented by the likes of Cisco (down 13% after revenue warning) and Wal-Mart (forecasting a disappointing profit for the holiday season), are sending less happy signals.
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Friday, November 15, 2013
VIX Appears Finished, is the SPX Too? Black Friday? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Earlier I suggested that the SPX would probably stay glued to the top at least throughout the morning. The fact is, it lasted all day. The head fake usually stops at or very near the Cycle Top. In this case, it turned 5 waves into 9 waves through the extension of the rally.
Tomorrow is day 262 in a very mature Master Cycle and a Cycle Pivot day, to boot. The last time this happened was in July 21, 2011, when the indexes peaked, then proceeded to decline impulsively for 19 calendar days (12.9 market days). A similar decline starting tomorrow would go to December 3.
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Thursday, November 14, 2013
Why I’m Still Skeptical on Key Stock Stock Market Indices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: DailyGainsLetter
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: The companies on key stock indices are showing very troubling trends, which can cause them to slide lower and generate losses in investors’ portfolios. Don’t just look at the number on the surface.
As of November 8, 446 companies on the S&P 500 have reported their corporate earnings and 73% of them were able to show earnings above estimates. The corporate earnings growth rate was 3.4%. (Source: “Earnings Insight,” FactSet web site, November 8, 2013.)
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Thursday, November 14, 2013
Chart Shows Stock Market Investor Sentiment Out of Touch with Reality / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: InvestmentContrarian
Sasha Cekerevac writes: To some people in the mainstream media, last week’s advance estimate on U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) growth was seen as a positive surprise.
According to the U.S. Department of Commerce, the advance estimate on U.S. GDP growth for the third quarter of 2013 was an annual rate of 2.8%. In the second quarter, real GDP growth was 2.5%. (Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, November 7, 2013.)
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Wednesday, November 13, 2013
Stock Market Wednesday Worries – Fed Speak Not Helping? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Good golly, what a mess!
As you can see from Dave Fry's S&P chart, even yesterday's PATHETIC volume was too much for the bulls to maintain the illusion of strength. What little volume there was had 50% more decliners than advancers on the NYSE, led lower by energy stocks (as we expected) as oil collapses below that $95 line (as we expected).
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Tuesday, November 12, 2013
Stock Market Meandering Along.....No Big Sellers Yet...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
Since I wrote Friday's letter, we have had one single day of trading. That was today. So what great wisdom can I impart on you that's different from Friday. To be blunt, there is none other than to repeat what we already know to be true. We have two great forces at work against each other, and the market behaved in perfect step with that reality today. The Fed will continue to print seemingly forever, as he is very unhappy thus far with the economic recovery, if left to its own devices. He feels the need to throw endless dollars at the economy, while keeping short-term rates at zero. He doesn't see commodity inflation, so why not keep it going for now, until he does. Then it'll be Janet Yellen's problem anyway, and he can blame it on her. He's gone in January, so he will likely say little when he speaks Wednesday evening.
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Monday, November 11, 2013
Get Ready for a Major Stock Market Pivot Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The Pre-Market is losing what little gain that it had over the weekend. All of the analysts that I have reviewed this morning are looking for (at least) one more push higher. Despite all that, Elliott Wave analysis suggests the surge is over.
Admittedly, the decline so far is unimpressive. One of the results of the shallow decline is that it allowed the support levels to move higher, making it easier to break them. For example, the 50-day moving average is at 1709.70, less than 4% from the closing price on SPX.
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