Category: Stock Markets 2013
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, December 11, 2013
Stock Market Decline Resumes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
VIX has lifted above its 50-day moving average at 14.23 and its mid-Cycle support/resistance at 14.43. The sell signal is re-confirmed.
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Wednesday, December 11, 2013
Stock Market Hindenburg Omen and the Titanic Syndrome / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Ed_Carlson
With the reporting of a Hindenburg Omen last week, like Pavlov's dog I rushed to check my charts for evidence of the Titanic Syndrome. The creator of the indicator, Bill Ohama, wrote that after the Titanic Syndrome, all major averages/indices will drop at least 10% from their highs. The Syndrome warned of the October 19, 1987 stock market crash as well as others.
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Tuesday, December 10, 2013
Why a Serious Stock Market Correction is Overdue / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Profit_Confidential
Mitchell Clark writes:
There is going to be considerable pressure on interest rates and the Federal Reserve very soon, and it’s very likely that we’re going to get some choppy trading action in stocks. The reason for this is, of course, positive economic news, which is increasing the likelihood of a decrease in monetary stimulus. As contradictory as it may seem, good economic news is actually bad news for stocks; that’s just the way the counterintuitive system of the stock market works—buy on rumor, sell on news. But what’s transpired recently goes more like buy on expectations, sell on hints of growth.
Tuesday, December 10, 2013
Stock Market Flat...Still No Splat... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
Poor bears. Even at the final bell they had to watch the Dow go from -5 to plus 6. Meaningless, of course, but it seems like a slap in their face as the market just won't give the bears even a sliver of a good vibe. Each sector was up a drop, refusing to go red seemingly in spite of the bears. This is why we have the sentiment problem we're dealing with now for a few weeks. The bears just can't gain any traction, and, of course, the moment the market sells even just a little bit the sentiment seems to be a rousing here we go. It hasn't happened with the bears growing increasingly frustrated. I can't even imagine how bad it has been for these bears the past many months as overbought has stayed that way while sentiment is flashing an outright sell signal.
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Monday, December 09, 2013
The Best and Worst Investment Strategies to Battle Coming Inflation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: InvestmentContrarian
Sasha Cekerevac writes: The S&P 500 may be entering bubble-like territory: that’s what I’ve been writing for the past few months.
Now, it appears as though I’m not the only one who’s worried about asset classes beginning to form bubbles from the excess money printing. 2013 Nobel Prize-winner Robert Shiller also recently stated that he is concerned that prices have risen far too quickly across many asset classes, from real estate to stocks.
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Monday, December 09, 2013
Stock Market Rally Expanding the Distribution Phase / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - An important top formation is in the making.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, December 08, 2013
Stock Market Christmas Rally Starts Monday! - ETF Trading Strategies / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Tis the Season for the most powerful seasonality trade of the year!
Seasonal ETF Trading StrategiesWith the stock market up big in 2013 and most participants are speculating on a pullback in the next week or two, I have to say I am on the other side of that bet. Being a technical trader I focus on patterns, statistics and probabilities to power my ETF trading strategies. So with 37 years of stats the seasonality chart of the S&P 500 index paints a clear picture of what is likely to happen in December.
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Sunday, December 08, 2013
World Stocks Markets Rally Takes a Pause / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short writes: Six of the eight indexes in my international focus group posted losses over the past week, and for the three European indexes and the Japan’s Nikkei, the declines were relatively step. The two winners were India’s SENSEX, topping our list for the second week after four weeks at the bottom of the heap, and China’s Shanghai Composite. The S&P 500 logged a fractional loss, ending an eight-week streak of gains. France’s CAC 40 fared the worst with its 3.86% selloff.
Sunday, December 08, 2013
Stock Market Big Friday Rally But Down Fractionally for the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short writes: The big November Job Report posted headline numbers that beat the expectations of even the most optimistic analysts, especially the plunge in the unemployment rate. And then the Michigan Consumer Sentiment followed suit surprising surge. The S&P 500 opened at its intraday low, up 0.18%, and rallied to the 1800 level, where it struggled for a couple of hours. It then rose to its 1.18% intraday high around 2 PM. Some afternoon selling reversed in the final minutes, and the index posted a 1.12% gain for the day, thus snapping a 5-day losing streak. But today’s rally was a tad shy of logging a gain for the week, which thus ended an eight-week winning streak — the longest string of weekly gains in 2013.
Saturday, December 07, 2013
Stocks Rise On Peachy U.S. Jobs Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jesse
Stocks rose sharply on better-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls report.
What happened to all the fear about the taper?
The tape will be painted into the year end. There are a lot of hedge fund and trading desk bonuses at stake.
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Saturday, December 07, 2013
Jobs, Jobs and More Jobs.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
The market was keyed in to this report for many reasons, some of them for the wrong reason and some for the right reason. The wrong reason is worrying about tapering. Tapering is good news, and only fools will sell when that becomes a reality. The good reason is clear. More jobs means more people who aren't struggling. That should be ultimately what it's all about. The Jobs Report came in at two-hundred thousand new jobs created versus the consensus of a hundred and eighty thousand expected. Not too hot so folks weren't too unnecessarily worried about tapering. On the other hand, it was strong enough to show the economy is improving. Goldilocks report, and with it the futures rocked, fell, and then blasted up again. It was strong all day, and is set up to possibly break out again, although that's still unclear.
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Friday, December 06, 2013
Stock Market Pop-n-Drop Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The action this morning may be clarifying the Elliott Wave structure. It also sets up the SPX for a Minute Wave [c] pop to 1797.64 – 1800.00.
The Monthly Employment Situation Report is bringing Tape talk back…big time.
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Friday, December 06, 2013
Stock Market Short Term pull-back Developing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Christopher_Quigley
It is highly probable that a short-term correction is developing in the markets.
The price point to watch on the Dow Industrials is 15750 and on the Transports it is 7100. If these levels hold solidly over the next few days then we will more than likely have a year-end rally. However, if they break over the next week or so the Industrials could quickly fall by 1000 points to the October lows.
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Friday, December 06, 2013
The Mother of All Bubbles? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes: As I often harp on about in these pages; economic growth occurs when the general standard of living in a country gets better. You can’t say an economy is improving when a significant portion of the population is suffering. You can’t claim there’s economic growth when the poverty rate is increasing. You can’t say the economy is improving when personal incomes and savings are declining.
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Thursday, December 05, 2013
Stock Market Bears Came Oh So Close.....Sentiment Out Of Control... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
But they didn't get it done. It looked good for them. They had the S&P 500 well below the 20-day exponential moving average, but they just couldn't keep it below far enough to give them some confidence going forward. The problem being each time the S&P 500 got to 30 RSI on the 60-minute short-term chart it bounced hard. The bears ultimately needing to keep the market oversold for an extended period of time to get that break down below the 20's and head lower with force. It shouldn't be hard, one would think, when markets get complacent, but the bears haven't been able to accomplish anything yet. You know they will in time because there's no other alternative. Sentiment will get unwound in time.
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Wednesday, December 04, 2013
German DAX Stock Index And AUDUSD Look Weaker / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Gregor_Horvat
Traders, the stock market is looking weak for the last 24-48 hours. We have seen DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ all down between 0.2 and 0.6%. The similar pattern was also seen during Asian session with NIKKEI and HSI down 2.17 and 0.76%. German DAX also reversed significantly lower in this week so it seems that stocks are turning slightly bearish but most likely only for another correction. On German DAX daily chart I see wave four unfolding back to 8970/80 region.
Wednesday, December 04, 2013
Stock Market Indices Uptrends Are Intact / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short. This is an update of the bullish trend in stocks that I have been monitoring for some time. First let me say I fully understand the macro-headwind of enormous debt. I’m also aware some argue there remains excessive leverage and risk-taking in the economy, poor demographics (e.g. large generation retiring), and less than stellar growth, which is often referenced by those in disbelief of the current rally. I also understand that weekly economic reports are often contradictory to this stock market rally. But one thing remains quite clear — the trend is up until it isn’t (Thanks Yogi).
Tuesday, December 03, 2013
Stock Market Sell Signals Abound / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The NYSE Hi-Lo index went negative this morning and exceeded its two prior lows. This confirms the sell signal in SPX.
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Tuesday, December 03, 2013
Investors Borrowing Like Drunkards to Buy Stocks Again? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes:
This morning we learned sales for this year’s Black Friday weekend declined for the first time since 2009. I have been warning my readers for months that falling consumer confidence would result in a pullback in consumer spending—and that’s exactly what’s happening this holiday shopping season.
According to the National Retail Federation, consumers spent an average of $407.02 from Thursday through Sunday, down about four percent from what they spent last year. (Source: National Retail Federation press release, December 1, 2013.)
Tuesday, December 03, 2013
Stock Market Chart Analysis of SPX, $VIX,UVXY / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Submissions
Thomas Clayton writes: I have iterated the numerical variables of the Indicators to Synchronize with the Price. As noted the Sell is triggered with a cross below Stoch RSI 0.8, Slow Stoch 80, %B Peak, and MACD fast line impending crossing Below Zero and MACD line Crossing down in this case. The Stoch RSI will lead Slow Stoch for an early warning. Notice the MACD cross below Zero, there is usually and acceleration in Price in that respective direction. The MACD dark blue line is just passing below Zero, If follow through on Tues. Will be a surge down in the $SPX.