Category: Stock Markets 2013
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, July 09, 2013
U S Stock Markets… Chartology’s Best Kept Secret…The Bullish Rising / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Rambus_Chartology
As most of you know I’ve been bullish on the stock markets for quite sometime now. I know there are a lot of investors that are bearish on the US markets and are looking for them to crash on burn. From my perspective nothing is broken that would tell me at this point in time to expect a major correction. So far the charts have been playing out beautifully and if nothing is broken there is no need to fix it.
The first chart I would like to show you is a very long term monthly look at the INDU that seems to be repeating a pattern that formed back in 2002 to 2007 rally phase. I’ve shown this chart several times in the past that shows the bullish rising wedge that formed as a halfway pattern in the middle of the 2002 to 2007 rally. No one at the time recognized this pattern, the bullish rising wedge, because everyone always considers these patterns as bearish. Nothing could be further from the truth as I have shown many times they act and perform just as any other consolidation if the price action breaks out through the top rail. The chart below shows the bullish rising wedge that formed in 2002 to 2007 as a halfway pattern that measured out perfectly in time and price to the 2007 high just before the crash. You can see our current bullish rising wedge that I’ve been showing since the breakout about 6 months or so ago.
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Tuesday, July 09, 2013
Stock Market Holding 1628.... Nasdaq Lags… Nothing Bad... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
Today was an important day for the bulls. They finally captured the gap resistance level of 1628 on the S&P 500 on Friday after numerous failures. They didn't clear cleanly as the close was only approximately four points above, but it was good to see the close above 1628. Today the bulls were able to get a gap up again putting some further distance away from 1628. Every point counts when you're trying to move through a key level of resistance such as 1628. The move today wasn't huge, but it was decent and that's really all that matters as you can't have explosive days every day.
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Monday, July 08, 2013
Stock Market Uptrend Asserting Itself? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - SPX continues to progress according to its structure. After reaching 1687,an intermediate reversal took it down to the 1560 level, from which it rebounded strongly. That rebound appears to be evolving into the beginning of a new uptrend.
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Monday, July 08, 2013
U.S. Stock Market is Uptrending / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Caldaro
After a gap up Monday to SPX 1627, the market pulled back to 1605 on Wednesday, then gapped up again Friday and hit 1632. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.55%, the NDX/NAZ were +2.00%, and the DJ World index was +0.70%. On the economic front positive reports continued to lead negative ones. On the uptick: ISM manufacturing, factory orders, the ADP, the Payrolls report and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: ISM services, the WLEI, the M1 multiplier and the trade deficit widened. Next week we get the FOMC minutes, the PPI and Consumer sentiment.
Sunday, July 07, 2013
Stock Market (Bernanke) Demand Cannot be Sustained As Is / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Michael_Noonan
If central planners were put in charge of managing the Mohave Desert, out West, it would eventually run out of sand. When central planners manage anything, they distort natural market forces, and that ultimately creates an exaggerated effect in the opposite direction. At some point, and now sooner rather than later, the Fed's [Bernanke] interference with the stock market is going to make the 2008 crash seem like a minor correction.
There is one thing, and one thing only, driving the stock market, and that is debt. It is not new capital. It is not new investment in plants and machinery, the "old fashion" way of creating a sustained bull market. It is borrowed money, and the cost of cheap money is going to become dear. When that happens, the [overly] leverage factor is going to destroy everyone who is leveraged. This "party" to the upside will end, and when it does, those who chose to believe in the lies will suffer dire financial consequences.
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Wednesday, July 03, 2013
Has the Stock Market's Next Down Leg Begun? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Graham_Summers
Well we got right to the trendline noted in earlier articles. We’re now beginning to roll over as we predicted.
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Wednesday, July 03, 2013
Stock Market Drop Forecast by Leading Sectors, Cycles and Momentum / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Chris_Vermeulen
As talked about almost two weeks ago when the SP500 trend reversed to the down side we have been waiting for a bounce in price to short the market (buy and inverse ETF). That happened last week and now we are waiting for the market to shake out the short positions and suck in as many traders to get long before the next wave of major selling takes place.
Wednesday, July 03, 2013
The Stock Bull Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Ed_Carlson
It looks increasingly likely that the high in the Dow on 5/22/13 was the top of the bull market. Let’s go through the process used by George Lindsay to discover why.It is true that the window for the top (as defined by the 15year interval from October 1997) is open until the end of September, as is the time span of a short basic advance (630-718 days) from the low of the basic cycle on 10/4/11.
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Tuesday, July 02, 2013
The Worst Stock Market Investing Mistake You Could Make Right Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Many investors are understandably nervous when it comes to what the markets will do this week. Some are downright agitated.
My take? Keep calm.
The markets are doing what they need to be doing right now. The big swings we're experiencing lately are not a sign that the markets are broken. Far from it.
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Monday, July 01, 2013
Stock Market Forecast - Major Bull Market Cycle Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Stocks managed their third session higher as of Thursday June 27th and its too late to jump onto that move. Major indexes and leading stocks have rebounded into resistance along with a few key moving averages. The next 1-3 days favor a pause or pullback at the least simply because of the selling momentum and multiple resistance levels being tested. It is only natural for traders and investors to pull some money off the table or short at these levels.
Monday, July 01, 2013
Another Stock Market Pop-n-drop? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The commercials are doing it again. You may have noticed that there is a pretty regular ramp in the Pre-Market, then the market goes quiet during the day. At 3:00 or 3:30 the selling begins, with a huge red volume spike into the close. This is a distribution pattern that has continued for over a month, with a few exceptions. Through this method, stocks are being distributed to weak (retail) hands.
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Monday, July 01, 2013
High Frequency Traders – Pushing For the Precipice / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Rory_Gillen
The rules of engagement in markets have changed and perhaps not for the better. Pre the computer age market participants could look each other in the eye. Understanding who was buying and who was selling and why was straight forward. The raison d'etre of markets is to match the corporate world’s need for capital with investors’ savings. Traders, trying to squeeze out a return from market trends, add to the liquidity in the secondary market.
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Monday, July 01, 2013
Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - SPX continues to progress according to its structure. After reaching 1687,an intermediate reversal took it down to the 1560 level, from which it rebounded strongly. That rebound appears to be evolving into the beginning of a new uptrend.
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Monday, July 01, 2013
Stock Market Downtrend May Have Bottomed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Caldaro
Wild week! Monday started off with a gap down opening pushing the SPX down to 1560. Then for the next three days the market gapped up, hitting SPX 1620 on Thursday. Friday appeared to be a consolidation day as the SPX ended the week at 1606. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.80%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.25%, and the DJ World index rose 1.3%. On the economic front positive reports outpaced negatives 11 to 5. On the uptick: durable goods orders, Case-Shiller/FHFA prices, consumer confidence/sentiment, new/pending home sales, personal income/spending, PCE prices, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: Q1 GDP, Chicago PMI, median home prices, WLEI and the monetary base. Next week, a holiday shortened one: monthly Payrolls, Auto sales and ISM.
Monday, July 01, 2013
FTSE Stock Index Make Or Break Time On Next Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Michael_Noonan
Put all news and opinions aside. The best and most reliable source for market information comes directly from the market itself, the clearinghouse for all of the decisions that are executed in the marketplace. It is actual executions that matter the most.
Our primary focus for stocks is the S&P, being Chicago-based, but a chart is a chart by any other name, and the FTSE dances to the same beat of supply and demand, as all markets ultimately do. Here is what the market has to say, based upon collective input from all sources, from the best and most informed to the least and uncertain.
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Sunday, June 30, 2013
Stock Market Looks To Head Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Michael_Noonan
What is the message of the market as the week, month, 2nd Qtr, and first half of the year
just ended? The second half of the year is likely to prove more troubling for the Bulls. We
do not make predictions for a future that has not yet happened, but an assessment on what
may unfold for the remainder of the year is about to begin on a weaker tone, based on the
developing market activity.
Saturday, June 29, 2013
Stock Market Monthly Losses Minimal....Market Internals Correct.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
The Dow was down 1.4%, the S&P 500 1.5% and the Nasdaq down 1.5% for the month of June. Not much in terms of losses considering how overbought we had been and how high the bull-bear spread was. We reached the level of 36.4% more bulls but finished at 16.7%. You have to love that if you're a bull longer-term. It’s five weeks of churning to get the bulls to turn agnostic to bearish. Remember, this was a month with minimal losses. So from the perspective of sentiment, the market gets an A+ for the month for the bullish case. If we study the other aspect of what basically 1.5% worth of selling did, just take a look at those key oscillators we follow. We know that the market had deeply compressed oscillators to the top side. That couldn't last forever. MACD's at extremes not mention stochastic's and RSI's at levels that normally can't support buying to come. They were at levels that suggested some type of selling had to occur shortly.
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Friday, June 28, 2013
Federally Funded Stock Market – Jawbones and Asses / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Wheeeee, what a ride!
The Federal Reserve giveth and they taketh away and they giveth again, and taketh some more. Remember when the markets were ruled by sales and profits? Me either… As Dave Fry points out, the key turning point came on Wednesday, when usually bearish Lacker said he didn’t see the Fed as “anywhere near cutting balance sheet size” and “maybe markets got a little bit ahead of us on QE." He is also “fine with FOMC tapering QE now” or at any time evidently, but he’s a team player.
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Friday, June 28, 2013
You Can Still Make Big Money in This Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Investment_U
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: This weekend my family and I were checking out a local bookstore when I came across a magazine called The Intelligent Optimist. I would have bought it but I doubt it’s any good. (That’s a joke. Think about it.)
But a long-term investor is an intelligent optimist – and in this market, that’s not any easy thing to be.
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Thursday, June 27, 2013
Stock Market Pop-n-Drop? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Sometimes analyzing very short-term charts can be misleading. For example, an a-b-c formation often subdivides so that Wave a also is an a-b-c. That is what appears to have happened at yesterday’s close.
The hourly charts often show the most granularity, since they also show support and resistance, while smaller degree charts only show wave structure.
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