Category: Stock Markets 2013
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Sunday, July 28, 2013
Possible S&P Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
SIbeiho writes: The Blue Line is showing obvious support and there is a fairly gd chance the VIX is gonna move up to cover that gap at the orange line.
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Sunday, July 28, 2013
Stock Market Bubbles Cannot Be Timed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
What do tulips, Pet Rocks, Beanie Babies, Barbie Dolls, real estate, stock markets, and gold, have in common? They’ve all seen speculative bubbles in their prices that burst with devastating results for investors who believed there would be no end to their rising prices.
Should we believe claims that the stock market is now in another bubble? Some are making that claim.
Saturday, July 27, 2013
Corporate Earnings Winding Down... Stock Market Acting Fine Overall..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
For a few weeks now we have been watching the earnings pour in from every sector imaginable. Every leader under the sun is being put to the test. Pre-market. Post-market. A barrage of earnings is hitting Wall Street. It becomes overwhelming, but it is necessary to follow the yellow-brick road of reports because it hints at what the market action will likely be for the next few months. There are always countertrend moves within that time frame, but it's important to know what to expect. You ask yourself the big question of what did the market think of the reports overall. When you study the plethora of reports out there, the market doesn't seem all that disappointed. Sure, there were many bad reports along the way. The usual amount of real slaughters, but on the other hand, the number of good reports, especially from the leaders, seem to outweigh the bad.
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Friday, July 26, 2013
Stock Market Back in Forward Gear / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short: After a mild two-day selloff, the S&P 500 shifted back into forward gear. The index opened lower, bounced into the shallow green 30 minutes later before selling off to its -0.35% intraday low in the late morning. The index then reversed directions and climbed back into the green. It vacillated a bit during the afternoon before rallying to its 0.30% intraday high in the final 30 minutes of trading. The index closed fractionally off its highs for a daily gain of 0.26%.
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Friday, July 26, 2013
Stock Market SPX Retraces 50% / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
SPX completed its first impulse on the minute scale at the ope this morning. The rest of the day has been spent on an irregular correction that now appears over at almost precisely the 50% retracement level.
We should see the SPX and other equities markets resume their impulsive decline now.
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Thursday, July 25, 2013
Is the Econcomic Recovery Collapsing… Are You Prepared? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The markets had a very weak session yesterday. With Bernanke’s final stand in front of Congress out of the way, along with options expiration and end of the quarter performance gaming, the bulls are running out of excuses to gun the market higher.
This is evident in the action of the last three days. All three days traders tried to push the market higher at the open. However, there was no follow through and every time the market retracted the early gains. As I’ve told subscribers of Private Wealth Advisory is not indicative of major buying power coming into the markets.
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Thursday, July 25, 2013
The Stock Market Nirvana Trade / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
"What the mind can conceive and believe it can achieve" ~ Napoleon Hill
When one looks at the US stock markets over the last two years, especially since August 2011, it would appear that it has become liberated from entering a bear market for more than a few days or weeks.
With each subsequent drop, a rally has ensued. US stock indices seem to move one step closer to nirvana with each passing "minor correction" in prices. One need never worry again, as we gain greater confidence in the masters of finance, who with the mere mention of the words, "a highly accommodative policy", can levitate stocks.
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Wednesday, July 24, 2013
Stock Market Rally Resumes on the Japan Scam / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
And up we go again!
AAPL had OK earnings and it's up about 3% overnight so that's pumping 0.6% into the Nasdaq from that stock alone. The big news of the day is Euro-Zone PMI Reports coming in better than expected, pretty much across the board. Forget the fact that they are, overall, at 50.1 on a scale where 49.9 is contracting – 50.1 is NOT CONTRACTING!!!
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Wednesday, July 24, 2013
Stock Market Trendline Violation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The hourly SPX chart now shows the lower trendline of the Ending Diagonal is broken. This is the earliest and best warning. We may see the SPX drop to or below the hourly Cycle Bottom at 1584.84 before a bounce occurs. The decline may take a couple days, but it should wipe out the entire month-long rally.
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Tuesday, July 23, 2013
Could this Be the Stock Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
I may be taking a risk of a premature call, but it appears that SPX is losing its grip on the rising trendline.
The pattern certainly appears complete.
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Tuesday, July 23, 2013
Stock Market Overbought Again.....Earnings Fine Overall..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market is once again overbought on the majority of daily index charts. When this occurs the candlesticks on the way up seemingly get smaller and smaller as it becomes a bit harder to find buyers that give the market huge up days. When markets aren't overbought in a bull market there’s one large candlestick after another. Now, due to overbought, those sticks are getting smaller and smaller as big money refuses to come in and buy for the short-term. They are waiting for retail to stop buying, thus, allowing the market to unwind those overbought oscillators. We also will get further insight as to why the market is printing smaller and smaller candles when we get those sentiment numbers on Wednesday morning.
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Tuesday, July 23, 2013
Stock Market Short-term Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - SPX continues to progress according to its structure. After a brief consolidation, the bull market has resumed its uptrend and has already created new highs in the leading indices. A short-term top is brewing.
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Sunday, July 21, 2013
Stock Market Divergences Continue Whilst VIX Drops / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
"I listened carefully to yesterday's Bernanke speech. He seemed ill at ease and almost stumbling. I truly believe that Bernanke is confused and even frightened by the results of all his manipulations. But what he's most confused about is the poor results he's been getting from both the economy and the markets. Bernanke appears to me to be a man trapped and confused by his own unorthodox tactics." - Richard Russell July 18, 2013
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Sunday, July 21, 2013
Stock Market Rally Continues Except for Shanghai / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short: The global rally for my featured group of eight indexes has entered its fourth consecutive week, with seven of the eight posting gains. France’s CAC 40 took the top spot with a 1.82% advance. Of the 29 weekly closes in 2013, this is the first time the CAC 40 has finished first. Europe also took the next two spots, with Germany’s DAXK up 1.45% and the UK’s FTSE 100 close behind at 1.31%. China’s Shanghai Composite was the sole finisher in the red with a slide for the week of 2.30%. That’s the eighth time this year that the Shanghai has been the worst weekly performer.
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Saturday, July 20, 2013
Stock Market More Overstretched Than At Anytime in 30 Years / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The markets are running out of steam as there is no longer a Bernanke talk to look forward to (he won’t be at the Fed’s Jackson Hole meeting in August) and options expiration is ending.
Bernanke has a thing for options. For some reason, over the last five years, he had a tendency to expand the Fed’s balance sheet on weeks when options were expiring. He even did this on weeks when the Fed technically was not engaged in a QE program.
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Saturday, July 20, 2013
Stock Market Uptrend May be Topping / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market started the week by making a new uptrend high on Monday, pulled back, made a new all time high on Thursday, pulled back, then ended the week within one point of the all time high. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.60%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.75%, and the DJ World index gained 1.0%. Economic reports returned to a positive bias this week. On the uptick: retail sales, the NY/Philly FED, business inventories, the CPI, industrial production and capacity utilization, the NAHB housing index, and weekly jobless claims were lower. On the downtick: housing starts, building permits, the M1 multiplier and the WLEI. Next week more housing reports, durable goods orders and consumer sentiment.
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Friday, July 19, 2013
Stock Market Panic, Euphoria, Irrational Rally Continues, What I am Doing / News_Letter / Stock Markets 2013
The Market Oracle NewsletterMay 22nd , 2013 Issue # 10 Vol. 7
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Friday, July 19, 2013
Download - Stocks Stealth Bull Market Ebook for 2013 and Beyond / News_Letter / Stock Markets 2013
The Market Oracle NewsletterFebruary 25th , 2013 Issue # 6 Vol. 7
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Thursday, July 18, 2013
Bernanke Not a Big Enough Dove to Lift Stock Market Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Well, that was disappointing!
As noted by Dave Fry: "Stocks barely moved overall as Bernanke said little to motivate traders in any direction. It still must amaze viewers to listen to the most powerful man (along with his merry fellow governors) take over the money of the United States with only a bunch of useful idiots in congress to monitor their activities. Stunning!"
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Thursday, July 18, 2013
Ben Bernanke’s Last Stand Is Playing Out In Front of Us Right Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The winning streak for stocks broke yesterday, with stocks posting a small drop (just 0.3%). We had forecast a summer rally a few weeks back and sure enough stocks have put in a 10-day winning streak.
The important line to watch is lined out below. Bernanke’s verbal intervention managed to kick off a rally when he spoke after the market was closed on Wednesday. But if we drop back below this line again, there’s not a whole lot he can do, after all, he’s promised to maintain QE… which he already had in place.
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