Category: Stock Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, November 30, 2010
Stock Market Big Comeback Pares Losses / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices had a down day, but came way back in the last couple hours to shave a big chunk off the losses. The day started out with a big gap to the downside, bounced, and then went sharply lower in the morning, reaching the session lows literally in the first 45 minutes.
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Monday, November 29, 2010
Stock Market Small Late Reversal...Nothing To Get Excited About... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
We saw the market come off its lows today. To many this will seem as if the selling is finally over. I'd be very careful with that type of thinking since all the market did was rally a bit after the dollar hit major resistance on its daily chart at the 200-day exponential moving average. At the same time its daily chart was hitting strong resistance, its oscillators got overbought on both the 60-minute and daily charts. So it was no real surprise to see the market find a reversal off the lows late day. None of this makes the market bullish short-term. It could lead to a small rally over the next day or so, but it's incredibly unlikely we'll see much to the upside here.
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Monday, November 29, 2010
Are Mid-Cap Stocks Set to Lead the Market Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks struggled over the past week as investors managed to shrug off an escalating conflict in Korea only to have renewed sovereign debt troubles in Europe slug them in the face. The Dow Jones Industrials and S&P 500 both closed half a percent lower while the Nasdaq closed half a percent higher. The European exchanges all closed 3% to 5% lower.
Yet some sectors thrived. Best groups for the week were retailers, semiconductor makers and Internet software and hardware makers, all up 3% to 5%. Major damages were mostly in large-cap banks and materials producers.
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Sunday, November 28, 2010
Smells Like A Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It was only 2 weeks ago that the "dumb money" indicator and Rydex market timers were bullish to an extreme degree and company insiders were selling shares at a clip that had not been seen in 4 years. In most instances, these are bearish signals. The exception would be the scenario where too many bulls actually leads to a bull market.
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Saturday, November 27, 2010
Stock Market Elliott Wave Count Weekend Update - 27th Nov / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
After four gapped openings in four trading days the US markets ended the week mixed. Economic reports for this week continued the upward trend of improving numbers. Q3 GDP was revised higher to 2.5%. Personal income/spending rose, weekly jobless claims fell to their lowest level in many months, weekly mortgage application rose, consumer sentiment moved higher, the WLEI continued to rise, and PCE prices were flat.
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Saturday, November 27, 2010
Benjamin Graham’s Investing Wisdom and Stock Market Cycle Formula Timing Plans / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Most investors are aware that Benjamin Graham, author of The Intelligent Investor, the acclaimed investment book first published in 1949, is the father of value investing. The basics of value investing are that when you buy a financial asset like a stock or bond, the reason to buy is for the future cash flow that the underlying business is going to generate, and from which you will be compensated in dividends, interest or price appreciation.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 27, 2010
Stock Investors Should Give the Fed Some Love! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It would seem that the Federal Reserve has few fans these days. Fed Chairman Bernanke is castigated in blogs. Members of Congress are questioning his strategies. Finance Ministers in Germany call him “clueless”. His QE2 tactic has prompted near universal scorn from economists throughout the world. Einstein taught us that everything is relative. Depending up one’s point of view, maybe it’s time to give Bernanke and the Fed some love.
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Friday, November 26, 2010
Room For Additional Economic Stimulus Continues To Shrink, Stock Market Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Most analysts view the current correction on stock markets worldwide as unavoidable. Tensions in Europe linked to the public finances are on the rise, China is trying to restrict domestic credit supply, and the Fed faces a torrent of criticism at home and abroad regarding its policy to increase quantitative easing by $600bn with an option to draw down more. It is feared that further quantitative easing would only weaken the dollar further and push up commodity prices. As a result of the latter the rapidly growing Asian economies would come under additional inflationary pressures.
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Friday, November 26, 2010
Stock and Commodity Markets Now Entering the Most Dangerous Period Since Mid 2008 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
“The best way to understand Wall Street is to view it as a heist movie, like “The Sting,” “The Italian Job” or “Ocean’s Eleven.”. There’s just one difference: In your traditional caper, a bunch of little guys get together to steal money from the big guys — a tycoon, big bank or major corporation. On Wall Street, it works the other way around.” – Bret Arends, Marketwatch, November 2nd 2010.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 25, 2010
Is Santa Claus Dead, Will the Stock Market Tumble? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The wall of worry is about as steep as it gets. The weight of evidence points to a top in the market. Here are a few of the negatives that are stacking up like cord wood.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 25, 2010
Trin Rocks The Stock Market Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The trin is a way of measuring very short-term sentiment. Whenever it hits levels of 2.0, or higher, it almost guarantee's a rally of some magnitude the very next day. Yesterday I mentioned in the final update how we were seeing a print of 2.94, and should expect a good day today. That's what we got fortunately. Our stocks were lucky enough to perform quite well today, which gives us a little breathing room as we await the markets next intentions.
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Wednesday, November 24, 2010
S&P 500 Levels to Watch After Spain Says No Debt Problems Here / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The situation in Europe reminds us of a general manager’s dreaded vote of confidence for his underperforming and embattled coach. We will expand on some risk-management concepts today after the dreaded ‘we do not need a bailout’ comments coming out of Spain. From Bloomberg:
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Wednesday, November 24, 2010
Nasty Spill for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices suffered a nasty spill today as world markets were lower, partially because of the saber rattling between North and South Korea.
The indices dropped sharply at the opening, gapped down, tried to rally midmorning and went lower, and made session lows before noon. The rest of the day was spent backing and filling, and trying to consolidate. They did have a little bit of a late bump, but closed off sharply.
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Wednesday, November 24, 2010
Stock Market Perception is More Important than Ireland, Greece, Portugal, and Spain Combined / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The trials and tribulations of these four countries (that have run up huge deficits) have been well known for quite some time. What is more important in my opinion is not the size of the debt, which is staggering, but rather what is going on with market perception.
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Tuesday, November 23, 2010
This Is Where The Stock Market Got Into Trouble Last April ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The next week or two could be an important test for the markets.
Why? Because the same pattern could be developing that preceded the May drop.
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Tuesday, November 23, 2010
Stock Market Short-term Consolidation, Finding Support at Bottom of Expanding Bullish Channel / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when expected, the secular bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until about 2014-2015.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, equity markets began a corrective move in the form of a mini bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend into 2011.
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Tuesday, November 23, 2010
Ireland's $130 Billion Bailout When Irish Banks are Ailing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
$130 Billion!
That's how much money Ireland will be getting in the bailout package they said they didn't need as recently as Friday. I just want to make it perfectly clear that I also DO NOT need a bailout of tens of Billions of dollars so whatever you do - DON'T give me a bailout this weekend. Let's hope that works! The U.K. and Sweden may contribute bilateral loans, the EU said in a statement. Irish Finance Minister Lenihan declined to say how big the package will be, saying that it will be less than 100 billion euros but Goldman Sachs said yesterday the government needs 65 billion euros to fund itself for the next three years and 30 billion euros for the banks.
Monday, November 22, 2010
S&P 1200 Remains Too Difficult... For Now.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
And that's not bad news at all. The market could definitely use more to refresh. A longer time to pause to sell off slowly but gradually. Enough time to unwind those oscillators from neutral to oversold on those daily charts. The longer we sell off slowly the more sentiment will erode. The market wouldn't be best served if we just flew up here. Won't happen in all likelihood, but anything is always possible.
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Sunday, November 21, 2010
The Sum of All Fears for Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The Sum of All Fears (2002) is a dramatic movie about a nuclear detonation outside of Baltimore, Maryland during the Super Bowl. The plot is riveting. I can still see the face of Morgan Freeman (CIA Director William Cabot) as he recognizes the unthinkable, that a stolen nuclear device is about to remove Baltimore from the face of the planet. Freeman scrambles to leave the Super Bowl with the President and Secret Service but it is too late. It is...too late.
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Sunday, November 21, 2010
Stock Market Moving Along Laterally To Down In Good Fashion...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Which really means that the market has now traded for two weeks within a range that should last for many weeks more if not a bit beyond that. This is what is normal and takes place once you make your measurements on all the key index daily charts. This is also what happens when you add in the fact that we were massively overbought for quite some time indeed. Months to be honest. A lot longer than you usually ever see. This tells me that although healthy, this market will need an extended period of time basing out before trying to move appreciably higher once again.
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