Category: UK General Election
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Sunday, May 03, 2015
UK Election 2015 Forecast - The Most Probable Outcome is... / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Britain's voters go to the polls in just a few days time with the opinion polls suggesting no major party will come even close to winning a majority that has prompted a daily flood of bribes from politicians from housing market subsidies, to tax cutting promises, to spending bonanzas on public services, to promises to cut the deficit, contradictory promises that just cannot become manifest which most voters well understand and why there has been so little shift in the opinion polls during the past two months of intense campaigning as both Labour and Conservative even with Lib Dem support remain well short of an overall majority.
Friday, May 01, 2015
UK Election Forecast 2015 - Who Will Win? / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
There remain just 6 days until the voters of Britain go to the polls with the nations share of the vote spread widely amongst Britain's 6 significant political parties that has prompted a daily flood of bribes from politicians from housing market subsidies to tax cutting promises to spending bonanzas on public services, where virtually 70% of that which is being promised just cannot happen because politicians promises to increase spending, cut taxes AND cut the deficit are pure smoke and mirrors, which most voters well understand and why there has been so little shift in the opinion polls following two months of intense campaigning and thus unlikely to shift in the remaining few days becasue voters understand that probability favours another minority led coalition government of sorts which means that at least 1/3rd of the manifestos never mind the more recent promises will be jettisoned with many excuses ready for why.
Wednesday, April 29, 2015
Why Labour Cannot Win Sheffield Hallam and other Lib-Dem / Conservative Key Marginal Seats / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The pollsters and political pundits paint a picture of Labour standing a good chance of winning Nick Clegg's Sheffield Hallam seat that illustrates the national battle that Labour is engaged in against the Lib-Dems and Conservatives in key marginal seats across England which means that despite losing as many as 40 of their 41 Scottish MP's to the SNP, Labour still hopes to have won enough seats in England and Wales to form a minority government under the strings of the SNP.
Monday, April 27, 2015
Conservatives Start to Pull Away from Labour in Opinion Polls, But is it too Late? Election Forecast 2015 / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
With just 10 days left to go the pace of campaigning is intensifying with economic austerity abandoned in favour of a literal flood of daily voter bribes such as Labours Stamp duty bribe of upto £5k for first time buyers, and attempting to appeal to the 5 million private renters by offering 3 year rent controls. Whilst the Conservatives are offering to take 3 million on minimum wage out of tax altogether, though not mentioning if that includes national insurance as well. Meanwhile the SNP play the wolf in sheep's clothing game with front woman Nicola Sturgeon offering conciliatory messages as she bakes cakes, all the whilst hiding the truth that she is not even standing for parliament instead it will be Alex Salmond who will be calling the shots over a weak Labour minority government. That leaves the Lib Dem's offering to mellow both Labour and Conservative extremes as they ride around in their chauffeur driven limousines.
Monday, April 27, 2015
Labour Bribes Voters With Housing Market Stamp Duty Cut and Rent Controls / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
With both Labour and the Conservatives within 10 seats of one another in the opinion polls (273-283) the voter bribes from each are flowing like milk and honey as both parties have temporarily jettisoned economic austerity cuts in favour of housing market pumping election promises that they will in large part not be able to keep without rampant debt printing.
Sunday, April 26, 2015
Sheffield Hallam Election Battle 2015, School Places Crisis, Can Nick Clegg Win? / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Lib Dem leader, Nick Clegg's parliamentary seat is situated in Sheffield's leafy affluent Hallam constituency in the south west of the city that whilst being part of a Labour heartland city, in reality could just as easily be transported to any affluent area of the South East, as for instance a typical 4 bedroom detached property would tend to start at £400,000 and could easily range upto twice that amount, prices which tends to surprise many relocating from the South East to this area of Sheffield.
Tuesday, April 21, 2015
SNP Publish England's Suicide Note as Pollsters Still Forecast Labour-SNP Election Disaster / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Scottish Nationalists published their "Stronger for Scotland" on the backs of a Weaker England Manifesto that laid out how a defacto SNP dictatorship over England would operate by effectively sucking the financial blood out of a weak Labour minority English government before achieving Independence, especially given the fact that Scotland dodged a bullet last September for if they had voted for Independence then given the subsequent oil price crash, Scotland today would be just as bankrupt as Greece is.
Tuesday, April 14, 2015
Conservatives Bribe Labour Voters by Extending Right to Buy to Housing Association Tenants / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The central piece of the Conservative manifesto to be launched today will be the announcement to extend the near 35 year right to buy your council house scheme (over 2 million sold) to 1.3 million housing association tenants so that they too may buy their homes at deep discounts of as much as 70% / £102,700 per property in London and £77k for the rest of the UK. The starting discount for housing association homes after 3 years of tenancy will be 35%, rising by 1% per year, and 50% for flats rising by 2% per year. Though I don't see how this would exactly work because the Conservatives are proposing to sell homes they do not own, so may face stiff resistance from housing associations.
Monday, April 13, 2015
Tory Attack on Ed Milliband Backfires as Labour Takes Opinion Polls Lead / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Last weeks decision to go on the personal offensive against Ed Miliband may have seemed like a good idea at the time amongst Conservative party strategists but the personal attacks suggesting that Ed Miliband would stab the UK in the back just as he did to his own brother David by being prepared to scrap Trident in exchange for SNP post election support was initiated by Tory Defence Secretary Michael Fallon, a statement that senior Conservatives from the Prime Minister down refused to criticise.
Wednesday, April 08, 2015
Opinion Polls Forecast Labour SNP LibDem Extreme Hung Parliament Government - Election 2015 / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Six days on from the 7 leaders debate and the opinion polls have settled to suggest the worst possible outcome, one of an extreme hung parliament where it is not just that any single party will be unable to form the next government but that neither party will be able to form a Coalition with the Liberal Democrats which means the only workable solution would be a Labour SNP Alliance, that could possibly also include the Liberal Democrats or perhaps Plaid Cymru's 3-6 MP's could be enough to bridge the gap to the 326 seat majority magic number.
Tuesday, April 07, 2015
Blair Warns On BREXIT - 'Chaos' If UK Leaves EU / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: GoldCore
- Ex-Prime Minister warns uncertainty would hit UK economy and cause ‘chaos’
- ‘BREXIT’ would cause the “most intense period of instability” since WW2
- Seeks to portray Tory policy as disingenuous and cynically putting economy at risk
- Uncertainty caused would have negative consequences for British economy and sterling
Tony Blair has entered into the British election campaign debate in support of David Miliband on the issue of what he regards as the Tories reckless attitude to Europe and the potential ‘BREXIT’.
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Monday, April 06, 2015
SNP Offers Labour Deadly Death Embrace Alliance, Holding England to Ransom, Destroy UK From Within / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The SNP having failed at the ballot box now seek to breakup the United Kingdom by going back on their earlier pledge of barely a few weeks ago of not doing a formal deal with a minority Labour government, who instead now are seeking to enter into a deadly death embrace (alliance) with Labour so as to subvert democracy by preventing the probable largest party from forming a government. All as a means to an end of literally bankrupting the UK over the next few years through out of control spending and borrowing to perhaps at least double the current £9 billion annual subsidy from England as well as lumbering the England with at least £130billion of Scottish debt, before the holyrood fanatics finally declare Scotland Independant that I have warned the consequences of for well over a year that would literally sow the seeds for the Balkanisation of Britain (04 Sep 2014 - Scottish Independence Opens Pandora's Box of Disintegration, Balkanisation of Britain ).
Saturday, April 04, 2015
Labour Economic Collapse vs Coalition Recovery - UK Election Forecast 2015 - Video / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The last ONS GDP statistics release before election day revised UK economic growth higher for 2014 to 2.8% from the previous estimate of 2.6%, against 1.7% for 2013. The UK economy is now growing at its fastest pace since 2006 and leads the G7 countries prompting George Osborne to tweet “GDP revised upwards from 2.6% to 2.8% for 2014. Confirms UK as clearly fastest growing major advanced economy.” Whilst Ed Balls responded “This is the slowest recovery for 100 years and the Tories have failed to deliver the sustained rises in living standards they promised.” Though conveniently forgetting that the economy was recovering from the last Labour governments economic collapse.
Friday, April 03, 2015
Leaders Debate Election 2015 - Nick Clegg Demands Ed Miliband Apologises for Labour Economic Crash / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
An irritated Nick Clegg at Ed Miliband's pious statements on Lib Dem broken promises surrounding tuition fees, demands that Ed Miliband apologies for Labours economic crash.
Friday, April 03, 2015
Leaders Debate Election 2015 - On Immigration Nick Clegg Reminds Nigel Farage of his Foreign Roots and Wife / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Nigel Farage leader of UKIP, who's primary objective is to control immigration puts current levels of out of control net migration of 300,000 per year into historical perspective of the post war trend of just 30,000 per year. Therefore net immigration is currently ten times that of what Britain has been used to and saw as sustainable. However Nick Clegg reminds Nigel of his foreign roots and that he is married to a foreigner.
Friday, April 03, 2015
Leaders Debate Election 2015 - Nigel Farage Illustrates NHS Health Tourism Immigration Crisis / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Nigel Farage continued with his parties primary objective of controlling immigration by illustrating the crisis of health tourism that for instance costs the NHS £25k per year to treat HIV patients 60% of whom are none British nationals.
Friday, April 03, 2015
Election 2015 Leaders Debate - Nigel Farage - Rebalance UK, Cut Money Paid to Scotland / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Nigel Farage echoed what many in England are thinking that the Scots are taking them for a ride with free this that and the other, all to bribe Scotland to remain within the UK.
Friday, April 03, 2015
Election 2015 Leaders Debate - Plaid Cymru Want to Follow SNP Example and Bankrupt England / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
A selfish Plaid Cymru want to follow Scotland's example and effectively suck the financial life blood out of the UK (England) by going on an debt fuelled spending spree on the back of English tax payers.
Friday, April 03, 2015
Leaders Debate Election 2015 - Natalie Bennett Green Party Convincing Anti-Austerity More Debt Argument / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Unlike the obnoxious selfish point of view of the SNP and Plaid Cymru nationalist parties that want billions more spending in their nations on the back of increased debt on the back of English tax payers, the Green's Leader Natalie Bennett made a highly convincing anti-austerity argument for more borrowing for investment to build social housing that will pay a return for many decades to come.
Friday, April 03, 2015
Leaders Debate Election 2015 - Debt, Will Labour Bankrupt Britain Again? / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Lib Dem Coalition partners may or may not have a secret constituency level pact to keep Labour challengers out, but throughout the ITV Leaders debate there were several instances of Nick Clegg and David Cameron using a pincer movement against Ed Milliband, especially given that they had a lot of ammunition to fire against the Labour leader on the last Labour governments abysmal record that left the economy virtually on the brink of bankruptcy with an accelerating annual deficit of £167 billion that the coalition have battled to bring under control.