Category: US Housing
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, March 07, 2019
Millennial Home Buyers Not as Active as Boomers Were in US Property Market / Housing-Market / US Housing
Andrea Riquier, my favorite commentator on the housing market, grabbed my attention again with her 2018 MarketWatch article entitled “Missing Millennial Homeownership Endangers the American Dream.” You can follow her on Twitter @ARiquier.She pointed to a report from the Urban Institute’s Housing Finance Policy Center that suggests the “story of Millennials and homeownership is in many ways a story of inequality in America – and one that might be getting worse,” as she put it.
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Thursday, March 07, 2019
How Will Boomers Affect US Real Estate and Nursing Homes / Housing-Market / US Housing
Recently we talked about why Millennials aren’t buying a house at the same rate as their Boomer and Gen X parents. Today, let’s talk about how Boomers and Gen Xers are actually contributing to the housing shortage, and so driving up prices and thwarting the ability of younger people to buy.And…
Why that could start to change rapidly just ahead.
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Saturday, February 16, 2019
My Favorite Real Estate Strategies: Rent to Live, Buy to Rent / Housing-Market / US Housing
Did you read Andrea Riquier’s two articles on Market Watch last year about real estate strategies?Definitely worth it!
The first was “The new housing play: helping priced-out renters become long-distance landlords.”
It was a strategy aimed at people living in unaffordable areas like San Francisco, Los Angeles, Miami, or New York.
Rent in those areas to avoid the high purchase costs and a major bubble burst (when it inevitably comes). Then use your freed-up borrowing power to buy a house in an affordable area where renting for income is more lucrative, and far less risky. We’re talking places with high percentages of single-family rentals, like Detroit, Las Vegas, or Kansas City and a few more listed below.
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Wednesday, January 09, 2019
Are Changing Prices to San Francisco Starter Homes Enough? / Housing-Market / US Housing
Bubbles ultimately die of their own extremes, although it always helps to have a trigger like the subprime crisis in 2006.But the San Francisco area takes the cake when it come to the U.S. real-estate bubbles! (That Canadian honor goes to Vancouver and in Australia it’s Sydney and Melbourne.)
And prices have started to fall, albeit slowly, despite no slowdown in the economy and only modestly rising interest rates thus far.
Why?
Because of the insanity of home prices there! They’re massively overpriced, especially in the large and critical starter-home market.
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Tuesday, December 11, 2018
Making Money through Property Investment / Housing-Market / US Housing
When it comes to making money, there are various ways in which you can invest in order to get returns. People have their own preferences when it comes to the most suitable investments for them but one type of investment that has always proven popular and lucrative is property investment. Whether you are in it for the short term or the long haul, property investment provides a great means of making money.
People have their own ideas and preferences when it comes to making money from property investments. The great thing about this type of investment is that you can opt long term and short term investments with property. You should think carefully about which of these options is going to be right for you depending on your finances, preferences, and long terms goals.
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Saturday, December 08, 2018
Rising US Home Prices and Falling Sales / Housing-Market / US Housing
Did you watch my video two Fridays ago? If not, check it out here. I explained how gold bugs are giving you dangerous advice about gold as an investment.But gold isn’t the only investment that people mistakenly make because they’re told the wrong thing.
Real estate is another one.
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Thursday, November 15, 2018
Buying Your First Home? Here’s How to Save Money / Housing-Market / US Housing
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Monday, November 12, 2018
How "Free Money" Helped Create Sizzling Housing Market & REIT Gains / Housing-Market / US Housing
Housing prices and the associated REIT returns have worked very differently in the United States since the recession of 2001. The increasing financialization of the real estate markets by Wall Street, and the aggressive and unconventional interventions by the Federal Reserve over that time, have combined in multiplicative fashion to produce new and volatile sources of housing profits and losses.
One such change has been the creation of an extremely powerful profit engine for housing, that most real estate investors have not been taking into account. Indeed, there is a strong mathematical case to be made that "yield curve spread compression" has supported and enabled the substantial majority of housing price gains for homeowners and investors on a national average basis since the beginning of 2014.
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Monday, November 05, 2018
The Cycle Saving Home Buyers $3,000 Per Year Just Ran Out Of Fuel / Housing-Market / US Housing
Home buyers in every city and state have been benefiting from a powerful financial cycle for almost five years. Most people are not aware of this cycle, but it has lowered the average monthly mortgage payment for home buyers on a national basis by about $250 per month since the end of 2013.
The interest rate cycle in question is one of "yield curve spread" expansion and compression, with yield curve spreads being the difference between long term and short term interest rates. This interest rate spread has been going through a compression phase in its ongoing cycle, meaning that the gap between long term interest rates and short term interest rates has been falling sharply in recent years.
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Sunday, October 07, 2018
Where Have the Affordable Homes Gone? / Housing-Market / US Housing
Bubbles are self-defeating. Their success is what eventually kills them.The same is true for cycles.
Take the urbanization cycle for example…
As a population urbanizes, people get wealthier. But more affluent urbanites have fewer kids and that slows future demographic growth for the next generation.
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Friday, August 31, 2018
If You Consider Your Home an Investment, Read This / Housing-Market / US Housing
Is your home an investment?
Some say yes.
Some say no.
I say:
- It is an investment
- Not a great investment
- But for a lot of people, the best investment
Let’s unpack.
Tuesday, August 21, 2018
The Sunbelt is Dominating the US Housing Market / Housing-Market / US Housing
I’ve never read so many good articles and rankings on cities by growth, affordability, and desirability. Especially during a time when the real estate market is crazy!This is the last one I’ll bring you for now…
This study rates on three measures, population and housing, workforce and earnings, and business growth.
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Tuesday, August 21, 2018
Rent Your House: The Ultimate US Real Estate Strategy / Housing-Market / US Housing
I enjoyed two recent articles by Andrea Riquier at MarketWatch.The first was “The new housing play: helping priced-out renters become long-distance landlords.”
It was a strategy aimed at people living in unaffordable areas – like San Francisco, Los Angeles, Miami, or New York…
By renting there to avoid both high purchase costs and a major bubble burst (when it inevitably comes), you free up your borrowing power to buy a house in an affordable area where renting for income is more lucrative, and far less risky.
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Sunday, August 12, 2018
Hardest US Housing Market Places to Live - Look Out Middle Class / Housing-Market / US Housing
In San Francisco, a household now needs an income of $188,000 to afford rent for the average two-bedroom house or apartment with 30% of the household income spent on housing.
The problem is that the median income is only $103,801.
Housing is 81% out of reach!
And this is true across the country as well.
Sunday, August 12, 2018
America’s Suburbs Are Making a Comeback / Housing-Market / US Housing
Lately, I’ve been focusing a lot on real estate.There are starting to be clear signs of extremes in pricing, and high rent burdens.
Cities are starting to crack on the high end.
It’s what I’ve forecasting – that this second bubble burst would start on the high end and work down. Unlike the last bubble, which started on the low end with the subprime defaults.
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Saturday, August 04, 2018
America Where to Live, Most Desirable Best US Cities / Housing-Market / US Housing
There was an update to the rankings of the most desirable cities to live in the U.S. by U.S. News & World Report.
Colorado Springs sprung into first place for the first time. I’ve been there, and can understand why they picked the place.
It’s beautiful, at the foot of dramatic mountains (Pike’s Peak), close to the glorious Broadmoor Resort, and only one hour from one of the most attractive larger cities, Denver, which comes in at number 10 on the list.
Sunday, July 22, 2018
The Death of the US Real Estate Dream / Housing-Market / US Housing
In I showed how Japan’s first and more massive real estate bubble peaked in 1991. And then showed how it crashed right along our bubble model into 2013.
The difference was, it never bounced. Even when its Millennial generation came along to buy houses again.
A rise of “dyers” (sellers) were offsetting the rise of Millennial buyers.
Now let’s look at the U.S. bubble – or our double bubble.
Saturday, July 21, 2018
The Death of Japan's Real Estate Dream / Housing-Market / US Housing
It’s no secret that Millennials are not buying homes as early or to the degree that Boomers did.They saw the first major real estate crash since the Great Depression. So, rentals are up and home buying is down.
But this is being called “the Dream on Hold.”
Our view is based purely on demographics, and it is more extreme than that: By 2024 the home ownership dream as a means to wealth will be DEAD!
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Thursday, July 12, 2018
One Drawback to the US Real Estate Bubble / Housing-Market / US Housing
I’ve been ranting for weeks now about it… People don’t understand that sky-high home prices are bad for countries, cities, businesses, and consumers.And only the 62% of people who already own homes are feeling the “bliss” of the bubble. They’re the ones who want prices to keep going up so they get something for next to nothing…
There’s another side effect of this housing bubble. We’ve seen it in the bubbliest areas for years…
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Sunday, June 17, 2018
How Oil Prices Are Affecting Real Estate / Commodities / US Housing
I had a finance professor in college who referred to self-evident ideas as BGOs, or blinding glimpses of the obvious.The term stuck with me, and my kids have heard it their entire lives.
And it came to mind recently when I considered if rising oil prices weighed on the real estate market.
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