Category: US Housing
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, February 25, 2016
New U.S. Home Sales Unexpectedly Plunge 9.2%, Median House Prices Down 5.7% / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Mike_Shedlock
New Home Sales Report Dismal Many Ways
Today's new homes sales report was a disaster. Sales fell 9.2% overall, sales in the west plunged 32%, the median price fell 5.7%, and supply rose to 5.8% from 5.1%.
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Wednesday, February 24, 2016
U.S. Housing Market at the Edge of Another Huge Cliff? / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: EWI
Time and again, we've said that financial markets do what they do despite the Federal Reserve.
When the central bank raised its key rate in December for the first time since 2006, many thought that would translate into higher mortgage rates.
Instead, mortgage rates are nearly as low as they've ever been. A Feb. 12 CNBC headline reads:
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Tuesday, January 05, 2016
Government 'Processing Error' Sinks U.S. Housing Market Reports for Entire Year / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Mike_Shedlock
Huge "Processing Error" in Government Housing Data
When I saw some of the upwardly revised GDP estimates in 2015 I thought they were too good to be true, and that downward revisions were coming.
I had almost given up on that idea, but I was correct all along.
Last month, construction spending was reported to be up 1%. Today we see it was only 0.3%. Economists, being perpetual optimists, came up with a consensus estimate for this month of +0.7% The actual result is -0.4%, over a full percentage point below the consensus and nearly a pull point lower than the lowest estimate of +0.5%.
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Wednesday, December 30, 2015
China Impending Real Estate Housing Market Crash / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Harry_Dent
We woke up this morning to find oil prices weighing on the market… again… with China suffering the biggest losses. Oil prices have already kept stocks at bay in the best time of the year.
Funny how this “Santa Claus” rally that I predicted wouldn’t happen this year, didn’t. The last time was in 2007 and 2008 – the last years the stock market crashed.
Tuesday, December 22, 2015
U.S. Housing Market Warning - Don’t Sit On Your Real Estate! / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Harry_Dent
I suppose you could say we have World War II to thank.Upon returning from the war, soldiers had their GI benefits to enjoy and a deep-seated desire to start a family. And so was born (quite literally) the baby boom, and an accompanying surge in home buying.
Out of the ashes of destruction arose an American middle class and the first generation able to more broadly buy homes with long-term mortgages.
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Tuesday, December 08, 2015
The U.S. Housing Market Needs to Watch Out For China! / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Harry_Dent
The New York Times ran an article on Sunday talking about how the Chinese invasion of U.S. real estate is only expanding.They aren’t just buying condos in Manhattan or McMansions in Silicon Valley – they’re buying properties in new developments in places like Plano, TX, just north of Dallas.
In the market for homes over $1 million, the Chinese make up one out of every 14 buyers – which is huge. In the top tier markets in San Francisco, Orange County or Manhattan, they can be 50% or more!
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Saturday, October 10, 2015
A Bifurcated U.S. Housing Market, How Much Longer Can Unaffordable Housing Prices Last? / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Adam_Taggart
Charles Hugh Smith writes: Markets discover price via supply and demand: Big demand + limited supply = rising prices. Abundant supply + sagging demand = declining prices.
Eventually, prices rise to a level that is unaffordable to the majority of potential buyers, with demand coming only from the wealthy. That’s the story of housing in New York City, the San Francisco Bay Area and other desirable locales that are currently magnets for global capital.
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Friday, September 25, 2015
U.S. Housing Market Two Outs in The Bottom of The Ninth / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: James_Quinn
The housing market peaked in 2005 and proceeded to crash over the next five years, with existing home sales falling 50%, new home sales falling 75%, and national home prices falling 30%. A funny thing happened after the peak. Wall Street banks accelerated the issuance of subprime mortgages to hyper-speed. The executives of these banks knew housing had peaked, but insatiable greed consumed them as they purposely doled out billions in no-doc liar loans as a necessary ingredient in their CDOs of mass destruction.
Friday, September 18, 2015
U.S. Housing Market May be About to Implode -- Again / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: EWI
Before I get into the "why," know that the residential real estate market never fully recovered.
Annualized new home sales this past July stood at 507,000, vs. the July 2005 peak of 1.39 million. The chart and commentary from the August Elliott Wave Theorist offer:
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Sunday, September 06, 2015
How to Buy Houses for 25% Below Market Value / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: "What's your top idea right now, Steve? What are you doing with your own money?"
The answer is simple: U.S. real estate.
Right now, I have a greater percentage of my net worth invested in the U.S. residential property market than in any other asset class – by far.
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Saturday, August 08, 2015
Despite Low Interest Rates, U.S. Housing Market Rebound is Weak / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: EWI
Elliott Wave International's Chief Market Analyst talks about the outlook for the U.S. housing market
A June 28 headline on CNBC reads, "Homeownership rate drops to 63.4%, lowest since 1967." The report goes on to say "The number of occupied housing units grew, but all on the renter side."
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Wednesday, July 29, 2015
U.S. Home Sales Market Is Dead – This Chart Proves It / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com
Lee Adler writes: The seasonally adjusted (SA) headline number for the monthly-error-times-12-annualized version of new home sales in June was 482,000.
Wall Street analysts had guessed that the number would be 550,000. The Wall Street Journal went into apoplectic excuse-making mode, almost foaming at the mouth to try to find pundits to explain away the bad number.
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Wednesday, July 29, 2015
The Gold - U.S. House Prices Ratio As A Valuation Indicator / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Dan_Amerman
The Gold/Housing ratio is a quite useful measure for evaluating relative values between real estate and gold, and also has an interesting historical track record for identifying turning points in long-term gold price trends. In light of the commodities rout occurring in the summer of 2015, and the continuing strength in housing – it is worthwhile revisiting this basic measure, because the results aren't at all what most people likely think they are.
Thursday, July 23, 2015
5 ways in which Real Estate has changed in the US in the last decade / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Submissions
Peter Scully writes: Following a ten year review of the real estate market in the United States, it is clear to see that things have changed a lot. Ten years is a long time but in that period there is a huge difference, and it may be surprising to hear that it is not all related to finance.
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Thursday, July 02, 2015
Inflation Is Lurking, but This Asset Can Protect You / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Peter Krauth writes:While the investing world is focused on Greece, events unfolding right now in Africa offer another important cautionary tale.
Thanks to reckless political and economic mismanagement, Zimbabwe holds clues to the future of other nations – like ours.
Granted, this failed state's policies have been more egregious than those perpetrated by the U.S. government against its people. Nonetheless, some of the outcomes could be similar. And I'm going to tell you one way to protect yourself.
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Wednesday, June 24, 2015
U.S. Housing Market Recovery? Nah, It’s Just Spiking Mortgage Rates / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: John_Rubino
This morning saw two very strong housing reports:
Tuesday, June 09, 2015
It’s All a Lie: The Truth about U.S. Housing Market Recovery / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Harry_Dent
Most commentary on the housing markets — from the industry, from analysts, from the media — all give the impression that the housing crisis is well behind us. One economist in U.S. News & World Report highlighted the slight uptake in new single-family homes this year as fodder for economic growth. So is a $4.95 purchase at Ben & Jerry’s! Like we discussed last week, the increase in new home sales isn't worth a hoot!
Monday, June 08, 2015
US Housing Market Bull, Bear or Crash Ahead? / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
U.S. House prices as according to many analysts are apparently continuing to defy gravity, which is now for the third year as the latest data for March 2015 has US house prices rising by 0.8% on the month on the Case Shiller 10 city composite index. Which nevertheless did give some hope to the doom merchants as momentum has plunged or crashed as many like to prefer from a 14% inflation rate of a year go to a sub 5% inflation rate. Find out what this means for US house prices into 2016.
Monday, June 08, 2015
New U.S. Housing Market Crisis in the Making? What's the Solution? / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Mike_Shedlock
Home ownership rates are sinking and demographics are part of the reason. But does that constitute a new housing crisis?
Friday, June 05, 2015
U.S. Houses Prices Bull, Bear or Crash Ahead Into 2016? / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The most recent release for US House prices data for March 2015 (Case Shiller 10 City Composite) which despite rising by 0.8% on the month nevertheless continues to maintain a trend for the erosion of annual pace for house price inflation that remains below 5%, far lower than that of a year ago when US house prices were galloping ahead at near 14% per annum as illustrated by the momentum graph.