Category: US Housing
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, March 07, 2017
US Real Estate & Interest Rate Change – You’ve Been Warned! / Housing-Market / US Housing
Is this the moment which could spark a stock market sell-off?
Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen, in a speech given in Chicago, last Friday, March 3rd, 2017, suggested that the FED will likely resume raising interest rates later this month.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 02, 2017
US Real Estate May Never Be the Same Again / Housing-Market / US Housing
I expected Japan’s 67% drop in residential real estate to rebound substantially, even with its smaller, but still substantial millennial generation. But that hasn’t happened. So, I went digging to find out what was going on.I’ll admit that this had me stumped for a while… until I began to understand that real estate was different than other consumer sectors of spending. It’s obviously not a consumable like food or clothing. But it’s not like a durable product either, like cars and washing machines. Real estate, with the exception of natural disasters or human insanity (arson, wars, etc.), tends to last forever.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 01, 2017
Interesting US Real Estate Market Trends That Will Appear In 2017 / Housing-Market / US Housing
2016 saw a really surprising twist in the US as Donald Trump won the presidential race. This in itself is a guarantee that the market will see different changes, given that Trump is a real estate magnate. Although associated created controversy affects various parts of US economy, the real estate market is expected to continue its upwards trend started in 2016.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 09, 2017
Four Major Trends to Expect from the U.S. Housing Market in 2017 / Housing-Market / US Housing
2017 is already off to an interesting start in the global real estate market and the forces of demand and supply are building up momentum that will determine the pace of the markets this year. In the UK, home prices ended up 7.2% in 2016 in contrast to the prevailing fears that the UK housing market will suffer a post-Brexit crash after London recorded weakness in house prices. Now, many housing market analysts think that the UK housing market has survived the worst ; hence, they believe that 2017 could be a bullish year in the real estate markets.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 17, 2016
US Housing Starts Dive 18.7 Percent as Mortgage Interest Rates Soar / Housing-Market / US Housing
The often volatile housing starts numbers took another dive this report, down 18.7% in November according to the Census Bureau New Residential Construction report for November 2016.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 08, 2016
UK Housing Market Panic Buying Accelerates House Price Inflation / News_Letter / US Housing
The Market Oracle Newsletter8th April, 2016 Issue # 10 Vol. 10
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 08, 2016
U.S. House Prices Forecast 2016, Crash or Continuing Housing Bull Market? / News_Letter / US Housing
The Market Oracle Newsletter14th Mar, 2016 Issue # 7 Vol. 10
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 09, 2016
US Housing Market Bubble II – It’s Happening Again! / Housing-Market / US Housing
This will be a bit different of a piece because we are not reporting on something that has already happened; we’re dealing with something that is ongoing and developing. Graham will handle roughly the first half of the article, then Andy will handle the second. Please bear with us as we try to break this editorial into two distinct pieces. You’ll understand as you read it why we chose to handle this in such a fashion.
Since everything in the blogosphere goes by what is officially declared by who, so forth, and so on, ditto, ditto, etc, etc, we are officially declaring there is yet ANOTHER bubble – this one in housing. Again. Perhaps ‘still’ is the proper word rather than ‘again since the first one never really was totally washed out of the system. As an addendum to our very well-received ‘American Economics’ piece, we’ll add a corollary: binges are good, purges are not to be tolerated unless absolutely necessary. If a purge becomes necessary, it will be only enough to give the Proletariat the idea that the problem is actually gone. A purge will never last longer than is absolutely necessary since that might affect consumer spending and the consumetariat’s voracious appetite for debt and financial self-mutilation.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 20, 2016
Housing Bubble - The Marginal Buyer Holds The Pin That Pops Every Asset Bubble / Housing-Market / US Housing
Q: How much is my house worth?
A: Whatever the highest bidder is willing to pay for it.
Those of you who took an introductory Economics class in high school or college may remember learning that prices are set "at the margin". That's a fancy way to say that prices are set by the person (or people) willing to pay the most.
This person willing to pay top dollar is called the "marginal buyer". Most of us don't really think about him much, but he (or she) is very, very important.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 10, 2016
Preparing Yourself for US Housing Market Bubble 2.0 / Housing-Market / US Housing
Waiting out Bubble 1.0
I moved to Florida in 2005, just before the housing bubble peaked. Believing that prices couldn’t remain high, we bought a smaller home than we otherwise would have. Renting would’ve been nice, but we couldn’t find a rental in a school district we liked.
Home prices marched higher for six months or so, and the S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index reached 206. Then things slowed down. By late 2006, it was obvious that the housing market had changed. We know what happened next.
Thursday, July 28, 2016
The State Of The Economy / Economics / US Housing
If the economy was a game of bingo, we'd all be waiting for the 75 ball to get pulled. Things are going well - in some areas, at least - and it looks like things will continue to improve. Unfortunately, it also seems like we can't quite get back to that pre-2008 level of prosperity that we left so long ago. Something seems to be missing, and there are disagreements on what that might be. Waiting for that proverbial ball to get pulled is difficult, but it helps to know what to be on the lookout for. As always, though, there are multiple possibilities.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 14, 2016
US Housing Market Real Estate Mania Redux / Housing-Market / US Housing
Among the biggest relative strength leaders in the U.S. broad market right now are the home builders and REITs. The U.S. real estate sector is heating up and is also beginning to attract “hot money” inflows from foreign investors looking for a profitable safe haven. Real estate is building a measure of momentum not seen since before the 2008 credit crash. As such, the question as to whether a renewed property market mania is underway is a timely one and will now be addressed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 29, 2016
The U.S. Housing Market Bubble Appears to Have Peaked! / Housing-Market / US Housing
Two weeks ago, I wrote about an upcoming New York City condominium listing for $250 million. I mention this because, as I’ve explained before, it’s always the tallest buildings and priciest condos to get hit during major downturns.
Just look at the early 1930s and mid-1970s marking peak bubbles if you don’t believe me!
Wednesday, June 15, 2016
This Manhattan Condo’s $250 Million Price Tag Real Could Mean US Estate Bubble Is Ready to Pop / Housing-Market / US Housing
I’ve been doing a lot of traveling lately. Our lease ran up at our home in Tampa many weeks ago, and my wife and I have been staying at several of our favorite spots up and down the east coast.We’re in San Juan now, but last month I got a look at this new “billionaire’s row” that’s popped up on the south side of Central Park in New York.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 07, 2016
US Housing Market - It Looks Like the Dumb Money’s at It Again / Housing-Market / US Housing
New home sales just went up a staggering 16.6% in April.619,000 new homes were sold – the most since early 2008 just before the worst of the housing meltdown, and the highest rate of growth in 24 years.
So is this a sign that the economy is back on track?
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 23, 2016
U.S. Housing Market Real Estate Bubble Part II / Housing-Market / US Housing
It shouldn't be hard to understand that nearly 90 months of ZIRP has regenerated the equity and real estate bubbles that first pushed the global economy off a cliff back in 2007. In fact, the Fed's unprecedented foray with interest rate manipulation has caused these assets to become far more detached from underlying fundamentals than they were prior to the start of the Great Recession.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 02, 2016
US House Prices Outpacing Official Inflation Rate, Household Income / Housing-Market / US Housing
Ryan McMaken writes: This week, the latest numbers from the S&P/Case-Shiller index showed continued significant home price growth in most of the 20 cities within the survey. The cities with the most growth were found in the Western US and, to a lesser extent, the South:
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 09, 2016
U.S. Real Estate & Fed, Systemic Risk is Rising Quickly / Housing-Market / US Housing
The Federal Debt:
The current amount The U.S. Government owes is over $19 trillion and therefore it is mathematically impossible to pay back. They will never be able to pay this back. Central bankers are in uncharted waters. They do not know how to create economic growth and fight deflation in some areas of the market. They do not know how to even return to a time of “normal” monetary policy. Their pretense of knowledge, of being able to effectively control currencies used by billions of people, is coming to an end.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 16, 2016
U.S. House Prices Forecast 2016 - Video / Housing-Market / US Housing
The most recent release of US House prices data for December 2015 (Case Shiller 10 City Composite) continues to show little change at 197.21 against 197.40 of 4 months earlier which means that US house price inflation has spent virtually the whole of 2015 within a tight range of between +5% and +4%, which whilst stable is nevertheless a far cry from early 2014 that had house price inflation galloping ahead at near 14% per annum.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 14, 2016
U.S. House Prices Forecast 2016, Crash or Continuing Housing Bull Market? / Housing-Market / US Housing
The most recent release of US House prices data for December 2015 (Case Shiller 10 City Composite) continues to show little change at 197.21 against 197.40 of 4 months earlier which means that US house price inflation has spent virtually the whole of 2015 within a tight range of between +5% and +4%, which whilst stable is nevertheless a far cry from early 2014 that had house price inflation galloping ahead at near 14% per annum as illustrated by the below momentum graph.
Read full article... Read full article...