Category: US Housing
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Sunday, June 10, 2018
All US Homes Are Overvalued / Housing-Market / US Housing
My long time pal Jesse Colombo, now at Real Investment Advice, recently linked on Twitter to a Zero Hedge article, which quoted CoreLogic as saying more than half of American homes are overvalued. CoreLogic calls itself “a leading provider of consumer, financial and property data, analytics and services to business and government.”
Well, CoreLogic is way off. All American homes are overvalued. How can we tell? It’s easy. It’s so easy it’s perhaps no wonder that people overlook the reasons why. But we all know them: The Fed has pushed some $20 trillion down the throats of the financial system. It has also lowered interest rates to near zero Kelvin. Then the government added a “relaxation” of lending standards and an upward tweak of credit scores. And Bob’s your uncle.
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Wednesday, May 23, 2018
How Much Is Your House Worth Today? Another Crisis Brewing? / Housing-Market / US Housing
We seem to have come full circle in the past ten years or so. The pipe dream of being a millionaire by virtue of owning a home – any home – is stoking unrealistic fantasies once again.
But, before we get carried away, here is a story about home ownership that might cause you to question the potential reality of that dream.
The house was built in 2007, almost concurrent with the peak in froth and expectation surrounding residential real estate at that time.
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Wednesday, May 09, 2018
It’s Not Supply & Demand Inflating This US Housing Market Bubble / Housing-Market / US Housing
I recently told our readers about how this latest real estate bubble looks just like the last one. It’s surged about the same, this time peaking a little higher, and has run for about as long.But what’s driving this bubble is totally different than what drove the last one.
The first bubble was thanks to Baby Boomers flooding the market as they surged through their peak home-buying years in unprecedented numbers. They were helped along with the most liberal lending standards in history. Remember the days of subprime, variable rates, and NINJA loans?
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Wednesday, May 09, 2018
The Top 20 Small Towns Millionaires Call Home / Housing-Market / US Housing
I came across some interesting data recently…If you’re thinking of retiring or moving to a smaller area that still has some affluence, maybe a few good restaurants, here are 20 small towns that have a high percentage of millionaires.
Millionaires are only 4% of households in the U.S. with an overall median income of $59,039.
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Wednesday, May 09, 2018
The 20 Cities Most at Risk in US Real Estate Market / Housing-Market / US Housing
Guess where the greatest real estate gains have been since the Great Recession and the massive QE surge?Florida and California… surprise, surprise!
California real-estate prices have exploded because there’s very limited supply there and Florida prices shot to the moon thanks to that states high domestic and international migration.
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
Triggers to Set off the Next US Housing Market Real Estate Collapse / Housing-Market / US Housing
Did you see the recent Bloomberg article about how Manhattan home sales have tumbled the most since 2009?How about Thursday’s Washington Post article about how new D.C.-area real estate firms have started offering sellers a commission (rather than expecting them to pay one)?
Or the one from CNBC on Wednesday about how mortgage application volume was 5.5% lower last week, from one year ago?
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Saturday, April 07, 2018
The Biggest Weakness Facing US Real Estate / Housing-Market / US Housing
Right now, Millennials are the largest cohort of homebuyers in America.And even though they’re waiting longer to get married, start a family, and buy a home… and they’re more likely to skip buying a starter home and opt for a larger property…
They have almost ZERO interest in the massive McMansions the Baby Boomers built. Those behemoths cost a fortune to maintain, they typically lack the desirable open floor plans and high-end amenities Millennials want, and they’re usually located in hellish suburbia, far away from the hip neighborhoods and fun activities.
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Saturday, April 07, 2018
Looking at My US Housing Market “Doomsday” Map / Housing-Market / US Housing
Jeff was a small business owner in New Hampshire. One Tuesday afternoon, his neighbor called…“You need to get home NOW! There’s a dumpster in your yard, a padlock on your door, and a bunch of guys are ransacking your house!”
Completely panicked, Jeff dropped everything and raced home. When he got there, he found most of his family’s possessions either in a heap in the front yard or tossed inside the dumpster.
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Saturday, April 07, 2018
Looking at Real Estate Prices in Major World Cities / Housing-Market / US Housing
£593,369 – the average price of a house in London in January! (That’s about $829,000.)$1 million plus – what 400 square foot condos go for in Vancouver!
$1.5 million – the cost of a median house in San Francisco!
$20 million – for a 2,000-square foot penthouse condo with a view of Central Park!
Who the hell can afford prices like these?
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Monday, March 19, 2018
US Housing Real Estate Market and Banking Pressures Are Building / Housing-Market / US Housing
Early signs that the US Fed may be pushing the envelope of rising rates and creating pressure on banks and borrowers are starting to show up more prominently now. One component of our research at Technical Traders Ltd. is to find data that may be overlooked or ignored by some other researchers. We believe that any pressures or hardships related to general consumers will be seen first in discretionary debt (credit cards, autos, and entertainment/activities). When consumers feel the debt pressure starting to build, they react by cutting back on certain discretionary spending – focusing their purchasing/paying abilities on essential items like food, human necessities (toiletries and other essentials) and maintaining essential components of their lives.
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Wednesday, January 24, 2018
This US Real Estate Bubble Looks Very Familiar / Housing-Market / US Housing
We called the real estate bubble top in late 2005, just before it began to burst in early 2006. So did Jim Stack, a newsletter writer in Whitefish Montana.Now Jim has a Housing Bubble Bellwether Barometer that’s flashing a sell signal after going up 80% last year. All our alarms are going off as well.
The Confidence Indicator for the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo is at its highest reading in 18 years… higher than it was in early 2006.
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Thursday, November 16, 2017
Instructions to Stop a Dispossession Home Sale and How to Purchase Astutely at Abandonment Home / Housing-Market / US Housing
David Morgan writes: Auctions
On the off chance that you are one among the individuals who are sitting tight for their home, which is going to be sold and a huge number of adjacent individuals have gathered to buy your property, don't feel this is the end. Dispossession has gone up by very nearly 57 rates in the initial a half year of 2008.
Wednesday, October 04, 2017
Tools for Doing Successful Real Estate Marketing / Housing-Market / US Housing
Today you have all kinds of tools you can use for doing good marketing of real estate. Besides the traditional billboards and signs, there are also plenty of other tools that have been very successful if you want to sell property fast. Online marketing is essential of course, but offline real estate marketing should never be neglected. The following are some tools that should help you make successful real estate marketing.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 19, 2017
US Housing Market - Goodbye Hotel California / Housing-Market / US Housing
Not everything about my recent move from Florida to Texas was tough. I didn’t enjoy the packing and cleaning, or the unpacking and more cleaning. But there was one thing that made me smile.I kicked my storage unit to the curb.
Five years ago we decided to downsize. There was no way to put 4,000 square feet of furniture into 2,100 square feet of space. We made tough decisions on what to keep and what to give away or sell, but in the end we had a few items that had no home in the new house, but we couldn’t part with.
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Friday, July 07, 2017
Find Out How to Amazon-Proof Your Real Estate Portfolio / Housing-Market / US Housing
I recently heard Amazon, the world’s largest online retailer, described as a “bull in a china shop” for the way it’s disrupted industry after industry.But that’s really the wrong analogy. An angry bull lashes out erratically, goring or trampling whatever happens to be in front of it at the moment. Amazon is far too mechanical for that.
The better comparison for Amazon would be a steamroller. Like a steamroller, Amazon slowly and methodically flattens everything in its path.
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Wednesday, April 19, 2017
US Housing Market Starts Plunge 6.8% as Sentiment Soars / Housing-Market / US Housing
Unless housing starts data is another one-time affair, and it could be given the volatile nature of housing starts, this recovery is nearly over just as sentiment is peaking.
Econoday notes a 6.8% decline in housing starts for March to 1.215 million units seasonally adjusted annualized (SAAR).
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Monday, April 17, 2017
US Housing Market Mortgage Delinquency Rates Increase & 3X ETFs / Housing-Market / US Housing
Delinquency rates in Single Family Residential Mortgages and other Consumer Loans began to climb through the later half of 2016 and early 2017. The timing of this delinquency rate increase coincided almost identically with the Fed increases in their Funds Rate. Additionally, commercial loan origination stalled for the first time since 2008-2011 (prior to that was a stall in 2000).
As you’ve been likely been following our daily video market analysis, you’ll know that we believe the market is still in a bullish trend and that we expect this upward price action to continue for a while.
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Monday, April 03, 2017
Why US Commercial Real Estate Is the Next ‘’Big Short’’ / Housing-Market / US Housing
A small but growing group of hedge funds are positioning themselves to profit from the collapse of the real estate market. Sounds like 2007, right? It’s actually happening right now.
But this time, hedge funds (along with Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley) aren’t targeting subprime mortgages—they’re going after commercial real estate.
It’s no secret retailers and malls have been struggling for years, but it looks like the perfect storm is set to hit them in 2017.
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Friday, March 31, 2017
Our Economies Run On Housing Bubbles / Housing-Market / US Housing
We are witnessing the demise of the world’s two largest economic power blocks, the US and EU. Given deteriorating economic conditions on both sides of the Atlantic, which have been playing out for many years but were so far largely kept hidden from view by unprecedented issuance of debt, the demise should come as no surprise.
The debt levels are not just unprecedented, they would until recently have been unimaginable. When the conditions for today’s debt orgasm were first created in the second half of the 20th century, people had yet to wrap their minds around the opportunities and possibilities that were coming on offer. Once they did, they ran with it like so many lemmings.
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Thursday, March 23, 2017
Is Now a Good Time to Invest in the US Housing Market? / Housing-Market / US Housing
The US housing market has maintained its subdued growth following Trump’s election to The White House. Towards the end of last year, especially in the run-in to the US presidential elections, there was what appeared to be a strong belief that Trump would be bad for the stock market if elected as president, and by extension the overall economy of the US.However, the US stock market has experienced one of the best runs in history repeatedly breaking the all-time highs from one week to the next. The housing market, on the other hand, has experienced a rather slower growth since Trump’s election, but the point is that it’s been growing, nonetheless.
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