Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, August 28, 2014
A World Without Fractional Reserve Banks and Central Planning / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: John_Rubino
In a very real sense, it is fractional reserve banking and not money itself that is the root of so many of today’s evils. Whenever fractional reserves are permitted, the banking system – including the one that exists today throughout the world – comes to resemble a classic Ponzi scheme which can only function as long as most people don’t try to get at their money.
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Wednesday, August 27, 2014
Forex Trading - Will USD/CHF Rally Above 0.9200? / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Nadia_Simmons
Earlier today, the U.S. Commerce Department showed that total durable goods orders (with transportation items) rose by 22.6% last month, well above expectations for an increase of 7.5%. Despie this bullish data, core durable goods orders (wihout volatile transportation items) declined by 0.8% in July, missing forecasts for a 0.5% gain. As a result, the U.S. dollar moved lower against major currency pairs. Did this drop change the USD/CHF outlook?
Tuesday, August 26, 2014
Bitcoin Market Provides Clues for Investors / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
Briefly: we support long speculative positions in the Bitcoin market, stop-loss at $440, take-profit at $620.
The Chamber of Digital Commerce (CDC), an initiative to promote digital currencies, has moved to form a political action committee to support Bitcoin, the Hill reported:
The Chamber of Digital Commerce, a month-old trade group for digital currencies and assets like bitcoin, registered a political spending group with the Federal Election Commission this month, according to recently disclosed documents.
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Monday, August 25, 2014
Myths About Money and Inflation / Currencies / Inflation
By: MISES
Patrick Barron writes: The following are six of the most prevalent economic myths that appear time and again in the mainstream media. I will give a brief description of each and a brief description of the economic reality, as seen from an Austrian perspective.
Saturday, August 23, 2014
Bitcoin Price Continuation of a Move up / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
Cutting right to the chase: we support long speculative positions, stop-loss at $440, take-profit at $620.
A recent report by Wedbush Securities considers the effects volatility might have on the Bitcoin market:
Read full article... Read full article...We see investing and trading bitcoin as one of the first major applications of crypto currency and believe increased investment and trading activity is helping create the payment network infrastructure and monetary base that will facilitate increased economic activity in the future.
Tuesday, August 19, 2014
Bitcoin Price On The Brink of a Possible Reversal / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
Briefly: we don't support any short-term position in the Bitcoin market at the moment.
Yesterday, Bitcoin crashed temporarily on BTC-e. We described this in our last alert:
Read full article... Read full article...(...) earlier today we saw a massive sell-off which brought the price of Bitcoin down from around $460 to $309 (!) in a matter of minutes. The currency erased most of the losses in the subsequent quarter of an hour and has stabilized around $440 since then.
Monday, August 18, 2014
Intervention and The Misery of Fiat Currency / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
“This is a very important lesson. You must never confuse faith that you will prevail in the end - which you can never afford to lose - with the discipline to confront the most brutal facts of your current reality, whatever they might be.”
-U.S. Naval pilot and prisoner of war, James Stockton
Black swans have taken flight. World war is imminent as one new geopolitical flash point develops each week. Slowly, the underlying struggles are fomented by the greatest monetary intervention the world has ever seen.
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Monday, August 18, 2014
No Escape from The Dollar as The Currency Standard / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Alasdair_Macleod
All commodities and near-commodities are priced internationally in dollars, and the dollar is used for over 80% of cross-border trade settlements. Consequently the dollar is the base currency for all countries' foreign reserves, giving it its reserve status. However, there are now challenges to the dollar's hegemony, with Russia, China as well as the other members, dialog-partners and associates of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO), taking deliberate steps towards doing away with the dollar entirely for pan-Asian trade. Recent developments setting up a rival to the IMF by the BRICS nations is part of this challenge.
Thursday, August 14, 2014
Putin And The Petrodollar Card Castle / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Andrew_McKillop
The End of The Petrodollar
Googling my name and petrodollars may be useful – the petrodollar paradigm has been alive, but never well since the early 1970s quick-fix of Nixon and Kissinger to cut US trade and budget deficits, bolster the US dollar, and stroke Saudi royal fur in the right direction. The Nixon-Kissinger quick fix was to use the “windfall gains” of Arab Gulf oil producers, and especially Saudi Arabia to enable their early form of quantitative easing.
Monday, August 11, 2014
Monetary Versus Political Stability - When Day Turns into Night / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Wherever plunder is less burdensome than labor, it prevails; and neither religion nor morality can, in this case, prevent it from prevailing.
- From Bastiat's "The Law"Representing all things big, institutional investors believe there is no inflation.
The market "behaves" as if there is none. This undercuts value at risk.
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Monday, August 11, 2014
AUDUSD Setting Up For Big Reversal / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Austin_Galt
The AUDUSD has lost a couple of cents over the last few weeks. So is this the beginning of the next leg down? I doubt it. On the contrary, I believe a big reversal higher is just around the corner. Let’s investigate.First, let’s refresh ourselves of the big picture to help put it all in perspective.
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Saturday, August 09, 2014
EURUSD Time For A Bear Rally / Currencies / Euro
By: Austin_Galt
Recently I've been a bit out of whack on this pair, the EURUSD. I feel confident in the longer term projections. It's the daily machinations that I'm still trying to get in-synch with. Sometimes you just need to step back and let the market do its thing, not forcing the issue. And then out of the blue, that desired clarity appears. And that just may be happening now.
Saturday, August 09, 2014
Bitcoin Price at Beginning of a Move up? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
In not too many words: we support long speculative positions in the market, stop-loss at $550, take-profit at $880.
Coinbase, a San Francisco based Bitcoin exchange, announced yesterday that the Wikipedia Foundation had received over $140,ooo in Bitcoin donations during the first week this option was available to donors:
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Friday, August 08, 2014
Forex Dark Clouds Hang Over AUD/USD / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Nadia_Simmons
The Australian dollar declined to a two-month low against its U.S. counterpart after official data showed that the number of employed people in Australia fell by 300 in the previous month, missing expectations for an increase of 12,000. Additionally, Australia's unemployment rate rose to 6.4% last month, from 6.0% in June. Later in the day, AUD/USD extended losses after the Labor Department said in its report that initial claims for jobless benefits in the week ending Aug. 2 fell by 14,000, beating analysts’ expectations for a 2,000 increase. Because of these numbers, the pair declined to the long-term support line. Will it be strong enough to stop currency bears’ charge?
Thursday, August 07, 2014
U.S. Dollar Index Looks For Correction Within The Uptrend / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gregor_Horvat
The US Dollar Index found 81.70 which has been expected as the rally from around 79.90 has unfolded in five waves. We know that after every five waves trend will reverse, either into a new trend or just into a correction. In our case we believe that market is now falling in another fourth wave, but of a higher degree that may find a base around 81.20, but after a three wave fall.
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Wednesday, August 06, 2014
Bitcoin Price Strong Move Possible / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
In short: we still support long speculative positions, stop-loss at $550, take-profit at $880.
The Bitcoin market is changing every day. We’ve read an article on CoinDesk about yet another exchange expanding its services to offer Bitcoin derivatives. OKCoin, a Chinese exchange, made an announcement today on the subject:
Chinese exchange OKCoin announced today it will add futures trading to its platform, saying it is one of the first major exchanges in the world to offer users the chance to trade futures denominated in bitcoin.
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Tuesday, August 05, 2014
Commodity Currencies / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Ed_Carlson
Keeping an eye on the currencies of big commodity producing nations not only provides us insight into demand for commodities but the health of emerging markets as well.
Canadian Dollar (CAD) was turned back at the 38.2% retracement of the 2012 decline (part of the 2011 bear market). With the break of the bear flag last week it appears the bear market rally is over.
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Tuesday, August 05, 2014
British Pound GBP/USD Impulse Wave Weakness / Currencies / British Pound
By: Gregor_Horvat
GBPUSD accelerated down to 1.6800 at the end of last week, so we suspect that pair is falling within an extended impulse. Ideally price is now recovering in wave (iv) that is part of an extended and ongoing wave 3 that may reach levels around 1.6700 by the end of the week. Only rally back above 1.6955 will invalidate the current count; so until then trend is down.
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Tuesday, August 05, 2014
EUR/USD - Time for Rebound? / Currencies / Euro
By: Nadia_Simmons
On Friday, the common currency rebounded sharply after disappointing U.S. employment data, which showed that the U.S. economy added 209,000 jobs in July, missing expectations for an increase of 233,000. As a result, EUR/USD erased over 20% of recent declines and came back above 1.3400. Will currency bulls manage to push the pair higher?
Saturday, August 02, 2014
Significant Day in the Bitcoin Market / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
In short: we still support long speculative positions, stop-loss at $550.
We read a piece on Businessweek on the Bitcoin Foundation’s recent foray into politics:
The Bitcoin Foundation’s executive director, Jon Matonis, travels the world to promote the virtual currency as a replacement for traditional money. Some of his members want him to focus on a less lofty goal: helping them make lots of old-fashioned cash.
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