Analysis Topic: Election Oracle
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, March 02, 2010
Election Risks, Debt and Inflation Push British Pound Below £/$1.50 Towards £/$1.40 Target / ElectionOracle / British Pound
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Sterling hit a new low for the year against the U.S. Dollar of £/$1.49, now having fallen by more than 10% from a high of £1.68 just a few weeks ago. The mainstream press has scrambled to explain the fall away as a consequence of the narrowing in opinion polls between Labour and the Conservatives that over the weekend showed the lead shrink to between 2% and 5% and therefore put the election into hung parliament territory (Labour has a in built 4% advantage over the Conservatives).
Tuesday, January 05, 2010
Conservatives Launch General Election Campaign with David Cameron NHS Poster / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Conservative party launched their general election campaign with 1000 posters showing David Cameron's face across Britain as below -
Sunday, January 03, 2010
British Politicians Lying to the Electorate, NHS Budget 4% Cut (Minimum) / ElectionOracle / NHS
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Whilst both political parties profess to not only not cut the NHS budget but to increase spending over the coming years. The fact is that the NHS budget under the Labour government has grown to a level that risks bankrupting the country. In nominal terms the budget has increased from £37 billion in 1997 to approx £120 billion for 2009, a more than tripling of the budget.
Sunday, October 11, 2009
Gordon Brown Announces British Public Assets Fire Sale / ElectionOracle / UK Debt
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Gordon Brown hell bent on going out with a financial bang announces a fire sale of British assets to the tune of £16 billion in exchange for a short pause (1 month?) to the size of the growing debt mountain rather than seek to cut public spending in an election year.
Thursday, October 08, 2009
David Cameron Ready For Change, Full Conservative Conference Speech / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Submissions
David Cameron's Full Conservative Conference Speech
I want to get straight to the point.
We all know how bad things are, massive debt, social breakdown, political disenchantment. But what I want to talk about today is how good things could be.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 30, 2009
Bailed-out Big Bank's Bonuses Publicity Stunt Ahead of General Election / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Britain's top 5 bankster's finally agree to abide by an FSA request earlier in the year for strict rules to apply to the payment of bonuses for 2009.
Tuesday, September 29, 2009
Gordon Brown Securing Britain's Economic Recovery, Full Speech / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Submissions
Gordon Brown's Full Labour Conference Speech
And so today, in the midst of events that are transforming our world, we meet united and determined to fight for the future.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 23, 2009
How to Profit from Japan's August General Election / ElectionOracle / Japanese Stock Market
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: Investors who pay attention to Japan’s looming election can expect to be well-rewarded for their time.
Normally, we confess, Japanese elections don’t matter much, because the same guys always win. However, this one – set for Aug. 30 – looks different: It may actually bring about the first real change in Japan’s government in 55 years. That’s important. The opposition has different ideas about what the Japanese economy looks like. That means you should be buying different Japanese stocks, not the well-known names
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Thursday, July 16, 2009
Engineering a Strong UK Economic Recovery into a May 2010 General Election / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The big news from an economic prospective was the recent ONS revision to UK 1st Quarter GDP data from a contraction of -1.9% (April 09) to now -2.4% . The response in the mainstream media was virtually unanimous, shock and horror at the degree of contraction in the 1stQ which is the worst since 1958. However what the mainstream media have failed to comprehend is that the effect of a significantly lower 1st quarter GDP sets the scene for a lower base from which the economy can recover, as the NEXT FOUR quarters will show a GREATER BOUNCE in the data released in the run up to the May 2010 GENERAL ELECTION as I elaborate upon in this article.
Saturday, June 20, 2009
Iran's Election and US - Iranian Election / ElectionOracle / Iran
By: Stephen_Lendman
In the run-up to Iran's June 12 presidential election, early indications suggested the media's reaction if the wrong candidate won. On June 7, New York Times writer Robert Worth reported "a surge of energy (for) Mir Hussein Mousavi, a reformist who is the leading contender to defeat Mr. Ahmadinejad (and) a new unofficial poll (has him well ahead) with 54 percent of respondents saying they would vote for him compared with 39 percent for Mr. Ahmadinejad." No mention of who conducted the poll, how it was done, what interests they represented, or if Mousavi winning might be the wrong result. More on that below.
Tuesday, June 16, 2009
Iran Election Protests and Western Criticism Hypocrisy / ElectionOracle / Iran
By: Global_Research
Bill Van Auken writes: Over 100,000 people demonstrated Monday in the streets of Tehran against the results of last week’s presidential election as the US and the major Western European powers intensified their own demands for an investigation into the opposition’s charges of vote-rigging.
Friday, June 12, 2009
Breaking News: Iran Election Results Turmoil as Both Candidates Claim Victory / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election
By: STRATFOR
The Iranian election is currently in turmoil. Both Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and challenger Mir Hossein Mousavi are claiming to be ahead in the vote. Preliminary results from the presidential vote show Ahmadinejad leading; Iranian Election Commission chief Kamran Danesho held a press conference at 11:45 p.m. local time and announced that with some 20 percent of the votes counted, the president was leading with 3,462,548 votes (69.04 percent), while his main challenger, Mousavi, had 1, 425,678 (28.42 percent). Sources tell STRATFOR that these preliminary numbers pertain to the votes from the smaller towns and villages, where the president has considerable influence, as he has distributed a lot of cash to the poor.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 06, 2009
D-Day for Gordon Brown Following Labour European Elections Crash / ElectionOracle / European Elections
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Gordon Brown having survived Friday's reshuffle by the aid of Lord Mandelson's arm twisting persuasion of the remaining Cabinet Blairites to not bring the Prime Minister down after Mandelson himself was bribed or awarded with the new title of First Secretary of State, but revelation of the content of his emails shows Mandelson's loyalties are just skin deep.
Wednesday, June 03, 2009
UK Economy Set for Debt Fuelled Economic Recovery Into 2010 General Election / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This analysis seeks to update the UK Recession Watch (Feb 09) that forecast a recession which would see GDP peak to trough contraction of 6.3% and followed by economic recovery in the fourth quarter of 2009. In conjunction with the economic analysis, this article will also seek to forecast the date of the next general election as well as outcome of the vote in terms of MP seats per major party. The recession to date has seen GDP contraction of 4% which implies that the worst now 'should' be behind the economy, with average GDP contraction of less than 1% per quarter forecast for Q2 and Q3 thus should now start to be reflected in various economic indicators.
Tuesday, June 02, 2009
UK General Election Forecast 2010, Seats Per Political Party / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Thursdays European Elections are expected to deliver an horrendous result for the Labour government that will likely see a major restructuring of the cabinet on Friday that could even claim the Chancellor of the Exchequer as Gordon Brown seeks to put in place a team untainted by the the expenses scandal to muster at the next general election. Whilst many now openly question whether Gordon Brown himself can survive as panic spreads amongst Labour MP's that will clutch at anyone that could help prevent them from losing their seats at an general election.
Sunday, May 31, 2009
Labour Governments Bankrupt Scorched Earth UK Economy for the Conservative Government / ElectionOracle / UK Debt
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Labour government is reeling from the MP expenses scandal that looks set to see as many as half of its members of parliament disappear at the next General Election. A recent opinion poll in the Times puts Labour trailing behind the fringe Euro-skeptic UKIP party at just 16%, with the opposition Conservatives at 30% are failing to fully capitalise on Labours meltdown due to their own crooked MP's, and the Lib Dem's similarly skimming along at a low 12%. Whilst this and similar polls are dire for the Labour party which do suggest electoral wipeout in the June 4th European Elections, however they do not represent what is likely to occur at the May 2010 General Election which this article will seek to elaborate upon.
Sunday, November 23, 2008
Gordon Brown Bankrupts Britain to Win Next Election / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The UK economy is fast falling over the edge of the cliff by registering a GDP contraction of 0.5% in the 3rd quarter with the expectations of a fall of between 0.5% and 0.7% for the fourth quarter which would put the UK officially in recession. With worse to come during 2009 and all of the governments golden rules now well and truly busted following the bank bailouts, Gordon Brown has now thrown caution to the wind so as to meet the primary goal at any cost to win the next election for which the June 2010 deadline looms.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 06, 2008
2008 Election Shocker! NOTA Wins by a Landslide! / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election
By: David_Haas
IMPORTANT UPDATE: 9am EST, November 6th, 2008 - The voting counts are now closing in on their final percentages and here is the latest approximate tally based upon a known U.S. voting-age population of 231,229,580 and currently-estimated voter turnout of 133,300,000:
97,929,000 - 42.35% - NOTA
63,500,000 - 27.46% - OBAMA
55,800,000 - 24.13% - MCCAIN
14,000,000 - 06.05% - OTHER
Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Presidential Election's Impact on the Financial Markets / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Today let's talk about how elections are influenced by the market. Did you know that in the last century not a single Presidential election has been won by the incumbent party when the market has been down? That may be a very good reason why this rally has stronger legs than I had anticipated. It appears that there is an effort to save the incumbent party from the ravages of the market. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 03, 2008
Financial Market Uncertainty Escalates as Presidential Election Bringing "Change" / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election
By: Money_Morning
William Patalon III writes: Come Wednesday morning – after the presidential election tomorrow (Tuesday) – the United States will have a new commander-in-chief. The president-elect will face some significant challenges: A weak economy (okay, a recession, given last week's gross domestic product (GDP) report , which confirmed just how dire the country's economic situation had become). Read full article... Read full article...