Analysis Topic: Election Oracle
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, April 08, 2015
Opinion Polls Forecast Labour SNP LibDem Extreme Hung Parliament Government - Election 2015 / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Six days on from the 7 leaders debate and the opinion polls have settled to suggest the worst possible outcome, one of an extreme hung parliament where it is not just that any single party will be unable to form the next government but that neither party will be able to form a Coalition with the Liberal Democrats which means the only workable solution would be a Labour SNP Alliance, that could possibly also include the Liberal Democrats or perhaps Plaid Cymru's 3-6 MP's could be enough to bridge the gap to the 326 seat majority magic number.
Tuesday, April 07, 2015
Blair Warns On BREXIT - 'Chaos' If UK Leaves EU / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: GoldCore
- Ex-Prime Minister warns uncertainty would hit UK economy and cause ‘chaos’
- ‘BREXIT’ would cause the “most intense period of instability” since WW2
- Seeks to portray Tory policy as disingenuous and cynically putting economy at risk
- Uncertainty caused would have negative consequences for British economy and sterling
Tony Blair has entered into the British election campaign debate in support of David Miliband on the issue of what he regards as the Tories reckless attitude to Europe and the potential ‘BREXIT’.
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Monday, April 06, 2015
SNP Offers Labour Deadly Death Embrace Alliance, Holding England to Ransom, Destroy UK From Within / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The SNP having failed at the ballot box now seek to breakup the United Kingdom by going back on their earlier pledge of barely a few weeks ago of not doing a formal deal with a minority Labour government, who instead now are seeking to enter into a deadly death embrace (alliance) with Labour so as to subvert democracy by preventing the probable largest party from forming a government. All as a means to an end of literally bankrupting the UK over the next few years through out of control spending and borrowing to perhaps at least double the current £9 billion annual subsidy from England as well as lumbering the England with at least £130billion of Scottish debt, before the holyrood fanatics finally declare Scotland Independant that I have warned the consequences of for well over a year that would literally sow the seeds for the Balkanisation of Britain (04 Sep 2014 - Scottish Independence Opens Pandora's Box of Disintegration, Balkanisation of Britain ).
Saturday, April 04, 2015
Labour Economic Collapse vs Coalition Recovery - UK Election Forecast 2015 - Video / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The last ONS GDP statistics release before election day revised UK economic growth higher for 2014 to 2.8% from the previous estimate of 2.6%, against 1.7% for 2013. The UK economy is now growing at its fastest pace since 2006 and leads the G7 countries prompting George Osborne to tweet “GDP revised upwards from 2.6% to 2.8% for 2014. Confirms UK as clearly fastest growing major advanced economy.” Whilst Ed Balls responded “This is the slowest recovery for 100 years and the Tories have failed to deliver the sustained rises in living standards they promised.” Though conveniently forgetting that the economy was recovering from the last Labour governments economic collapse.
Friday, April 03, 2015
Leaders Debate Election 2015 - Nick Clegg Demands Ed Miliband Apologises for Labour Economic Crash / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
An irritated Nick Clegg at Ed Miliband's pious statements on Lib Dem broken promises surrounding tuition fees, demands that Ed Miliband apologies for Labours economic crash.
Friday, April 03, 2015
Leaders Debate Election 2015 - On Immigration Nick Clegg Reminds Nigel Farage of his Foreign Roots and Wife / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Nigel Farage leader of UKIP, who's primary objective is to control immigration puts current levels of out of control net migration of 300,000 per year into historical perspective of the post war trend of just 30,000 per year. Therefore net immigration is currently ten times that of what Britain has been used to and saw as sustainable. However Nick Clegg reminds Nigel of his foreign roots and that he is married to a foreigner.
Friday, April 03, 2015
Leaders Debate Election 2015 - Nigel Farage Illustrates NHS Health Tourism Immigration Crisis / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Nigel Farage continued with his parties primary objective of controlling immigration by illustrating the crisis of health tourism that for instance costs the NHS £25k per year to treat HIV patients 60% of whom are none British nationals.
Friday, April 03, 2015
Election 2015 Leaders Debate - Nigel Farage - Rebalance UK, Cut Money Paid to Scotland / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Nigel Farage echoed what many in England are thinking that the Scots are taking them for a ride with free this that and the other, all to bribe Scotland to remain within the UK.
Friday, April 03, 2015
Election 2015 Leaders Debate - Plaid Cymru Want to Follow SNP Example and Bankrupt England / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
A selfish Plaid Cymru want to follow Scotland's example and effectively suck the financial life blood out of the UK (England) by going on an debt fuelled spending spree on the back of English tax payers.
Friday, April 03, 2015
Leaders Debate Election 2015 - Natalie Bennett Green Party Convincing Anti-Austerity More Debt Argument / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Unlike the obnoxious selfish point of view of the SNP and Plaid Cymru nationalist parties that want billions more spending in their nations on the back of increased debt on the back of English tax payers, the Green's Leader Natalie Bennett made a highly convincing anti-austerity argument for more borrowing for investment to build social housing that will pay a return for many decades to come.
Friday, April 03, 2015
Leaders Debate Election 2015 - Debt, Will Labour Bankrupt Britain Again? / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Lib Dem Coalition partners may or may not have a secret constituency level pact to keep Labour challengers out, but throughout the ITV Leaders debate there were several instances of Nick Clegg and David Cameron using a pincer movement against Ed Milliband, especially given that they had a lot of ammunition to fire against the Labour leader on the last Labour governments abysmal record that left the economy virtually on the brink of bankruptcy with an accelerating annual deficit of £167 billion that the coalition have battled to bring under control.
Thursday, April 02, 2015
Ashcroft Poll Forecasts Nick Clegg to Lose Sheffield Hallam, But Tories to Rescue Lib Dems / ElectionOracle / Sheffield
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Labour party finally came to life in the battle for Lib Dem Leader Nick Clegg's Sheffield Hallam Seat, with the start of door step campaigning for local votes and leaflets dropping through letter boxes that list Lib Dem 'broken promises' such as not to raise tuition fees, VAT, and the local issue not to grant Sheffield Forgemasters a £80 million loan. Whilst Labour promises to "cut the deficit every year and get the current budget into surplus". Which is set against Labours track record of an out of control £167 billion annual budget deficit for 2009-10.
Wednesday, April 01, 2015
Election Forecast 2015 - Coalition Economic Recovery vs Labour Collapse / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The last ONS GDP statistics released before election day revised GDP growth higher for 2014 to 2.8% from the previous estimate of 2.6%, against 1.7% for 2013. The UK economy is now growing at its fastest pace since 2006 and leads the G7 countries prompting George Osborne to tweet “GDP revised upwards from 2.6% to 2.8% for 2014. Confirms UK as clearly fastest growing major advanced economy.” Whilst Ed Balls responded “This is the slowest recovery for 100 years and the Tories have failed to deliver the sustained rises in living standards they promised.” Though conveniently forgetting that the economy was recovering from the last Labour governments economic collapse.
Tuesday, March 31, 2015
Ed Miliband Debate Election 2015 Analysis - Labour Spending, Debt and Economic Collapse / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
David Cameron having chickened out of a head to head debate with Ed Milliband left the Labour leader to on his own face the brought out of retirement Jeremy Paxman as the second debate of the night following his earlier 20 minute grilling of David Cameron. Jeremy Paxman started hard by focusing on the failures of the last Labour government in terms of immigration, debt, spending, economic collapse and the threat of a Labour-SNP alliance, but Jeremy relented towards the end of the debate to give Ed Milliband an markedly easier ride than the Prime Minister had received as the following comprehensive video of the debate and analysis illustrates.
Monday, March 30, 2015
Election Forecast 2015 - Debates Boost Labour Into Opinion Polls Seats Lead / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Conservatives instant boost of Thursday night (26th March) evaporated within hours as several days on the main beneficiary where the opinion polls are concerned is Labour who have now once more flip flopped into the lead, though most still put both parties virtually neck and neck as clearly the people of Britain are indicating they do not trust either party to govern on their own, perhaps because they have become too similar, and therefore it looks like being a choice between a continuation of the Conservative - Lib Dem Coalition or an Labour - SNP Axis.
Sunday, March 29, 2015
David Cameron Election 2015 Debate Facts Check - Employment, Immigration, Debt & Deficit / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
David Cameron having chickened out of a head to head debate with Labour Leader, Ed Milliband, has left voters with a 20 minute interview with the out of retirement Jeremy Paxman. The Prime Minister faced a barrage of questions concerning the Con-Lib governments five year track record that put David Cameron on the defensive on employment, debt, deficit and immigration that this article and video fact checks.
Friday, March 27, 2015
Sheffield Hallam Election Battle 2015 - Lib Dems Go to War Whilst Labour Sleeps / ElectionOracle / Sheffield
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Opinion polls continue to paint a picture of a literal Lib Dem electoral blood bath, which according to several mainstream press analysts could see a loss of as many as 36 MP's to an abysmal tally of 20-24 MP's. For instance the New statements May2015.com is currently forecasting 24 seats for the Lib Dems.
Thursday, March 26, 2015
SNP Economic Fantasy Land of Cutting the Deficit AND Increasing Spending! / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
For left of centre SNP the economic numbers have never needed to stack up in Scotland for the Scottish economy is bribed to stay in the UK via an annual £9 billion Barnett formulae block grant that results in 20% extra public spending per head than for England. So whilst being within the UK it just did not matter for instance that Scotland's primary revenue earner, the oil industry has just collapsed following the crash in the oil price for England has always picked up the tab regardless.
Tuesday, March 24, 2015
David Cameron Announces Resignation Even Before Being Re-elected, Handing Labour 6 Seats / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
A BBC reporter at home with David Cameron in his kitchen completely caught the Prime Minister off guard when questioned on whether he would continue for a third term, to which Cameron stated that he had no intentions of standing for a third term, which means if re-elected in May then he would make way for his successor long before the 5 year term of the parliament was up, triggering immediate speculation that his departure could take place shortly after the highly divisive EU 2017 referendum.
Tuesday, March 24, 2015
UK Election Forecast 2015 - Budget Bribes Fail, SNP Insurgency Catastrophe - Video / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
George Osborne's pre-election bribes budget apparently just did not live upto voter expectations as £3k bunged to first time buyers and £200 to basic rate savers amongst several smaller bribes was just not enough as the Conservatives saw a 10 seat projected swing to Labour. Meanwhile the Labour party is playing with fire as it dances around whether or not they would rely on SNP MP's to prop up a Labour government that would prove to be a catastrophe as this video illustrates.