Category: Stock Markets 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, December 16, 2016
How Trump Could Blow Up The Entire Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Mauldin
At first glance, strictly from the point of view of the short-term impact they will have on the markets, what's not to like about the Trump/Ryan/Republican tax proposals?
Trump is proposing a top corporate tax rate of 15% , and the Ryan plan essentially calls for 20%. The proposed corporate tax reduction will really have a far greater impact than any of the proposed personal income tax cuts.
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Thursday, December 15, 2016
Stock Market Sell Signals Being Generated / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has exceeded the trendline, as anticipated. It may find max resistance at or near 2266.00, the 61.8% Fib retracement.
The next decline may fall between 60 and 100 points, challenging the Wave [iv] low or possibly the 50-day Moving Average. If so, the decline may slip into high gear.
This may be an ideal aggressive short entry.
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Thursday, December 15, 2016
SPX to Mop up Wave 2 Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX Premarket is lower, but hasn’t broken yesterday’s low as I write. That leaves the possibility of a second go at the trendline at the open.
ZeroHedge reports, “This morning the world awakes to a landscape in which markets are frantically rushing to catch up to a suddenly hawkish Fed which not only hiked for the second time in a decade but, as per yesterday's Fed statement and Yellen press conference, realized it has been behind the curve all along, and the result has been a spike in the dollar across virtually all currency pairs with the USDJPY surging above 118.40, coupled with a jump in bond yields around the globe as bond (the US 10 Year is trading at 2.64%, the highest since September 2014) as traders dump any hint of duration.”
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Thursday, December 15, 2016
Stock Market New Downtrend Or Just Quick Downward Correction Before Another Leg Up? / / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Stock Market Orthodox Broadening Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is clearly under its Orthodox Broadening Top trendline this morning. This is the first step and may be considered an aggressive sell signal (with stops).
Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Stock Market Exciting Day Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX nearly maxed out yesterday as it approached 2285.92, which is the limit of this wave structure. That’s not to say that it absolutely cannot change its form again. However, we’ll address that issue if it comes. Right now, it is overdue for a decline and a measure of the decline will tell us what may come after.
The Premarket is modestly down. There may not be a lot of activity until after the FOMC announcement at 2:00 pm.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Stock Market Very Strong Session Despite Profit-Taking / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had very nice big gains until the last few minutes when they sold off, especially on the Nasdaq 100, which gave up about 25 points off its big gains today, still finishing up at 4935, with a good trade and double top around 4960 by midsession, before the late pullback.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 114.78 at 19,911.21, a new all-time at 19,953. The S&P 500 was up 14.76 at 2271.72. The Nasdaq 100 was up 61.54 at 4935.82.
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Tuesday, December 13, 2016
Stock Market Waiting for the FOMC? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is higher, but the futures have not made a new high. Yesterday’s decline may be impulsive, but the test is whether a new high is made today or not. In addition, the Wave structure appears to be complete as of yesterday morning. We may see some residual bullishness at the open, but the jury is still pondering the verdict as of now.
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Tuesday, December 13, 2016
Nasdaq Leads Stock Market Lower... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market bulls are still in control of things, but we all know that there is this one gigantic red flag out there that will come into play at some point. The thing is, we don't know when that will happen, because there is no formula to tell us when it's coming, since every bull market is different. We can look back at history as a guide, but when folks do, it doesn't usually work out very well. The reason is simple. Nothing repeats perfectly, even though we'd like to believe it does. For instance, over the past year-plus we saw 35% on the bull/bear spread start a correction, but we also saw 46% start one.
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Monday, December 12, 2016
Stock Market Top?, Sucker’s Play / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The current rally from November 4 to December 12 (if indeed it was the top) was Minuette Wave Y of Minute Y. Minute Wave Y (of Minor Wave B) was a wxy inverted, irregular and strong bearish flat. Elliott called these B waves or irregular tops. The Trump rally is basically a "sucker's play". The internals of this rally are sick and very selective; the McClellan Summation Index is miles away from confirming it; the Dow Jones Industrials has far exceeded the SPX, which has far exceeded the NASDAQ creating a case of an inter-market bearish divergence. We also have a huge On-Balance-Volume divergence.
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Monday, December 12, 2016
Stock Market Trading At New Record Highs As Investors' Sentiment Further Improves / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, December 12, 2016
Stock Market Extreme Greed Reading / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate count to 2240 may turn out to only be a minimum projection. This will be determined by market action over the next couple of weeks.
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Saturday, December 10, 2016
Stock Market Saeculum 1st Turning Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2192. After a gap up opening on Monday the SPX rallied to 2252 by Thursday. Then the largest pullback in a week took the SPX down to 2243 late Thursday, before the market rallied and closed at a SPX 2260 all time high on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 3.10%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 3.35%. Economic reports for the week were light and leaned positive. On the downtick: consumer credit, wholesale inventories, the Q4 GDP estimate, plus the trade deficit increased. On the uptick: ISM services, factory orders, consumer sentiment, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FOMC, retail sales and industrial production. Best to your week!
Friday, December 09, 2016
Stock Market What Can we Expect in December? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has closed above its daily Cycle Top at 2232.21 and met at least two Fibonacci targets at 2250.00 and 2255.00. It must close back beneath its Cycle Top to get a possible daily sell signal. Preferably Wave 1 should decline to or beneath last Friday’s low at 2187.44 before retesting the Cycle Top. The final challenge of the Cycle Top is the ideal short entry in this scenario.
Friday, December 09, 2016
SPX Premarket is Higher, But No Stock Market Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket has held steady all night. It is currently challenging the 2-hour Cycle Top at 2247.18, but no breakout has occurred.
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Friday, December 09, 2016
SPX is back under its Cycle Top Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX structure appears to have morphed again. If you can find the structure, you can ascertain what the guidelines are.
The first is that A equals C at 2250.0. That doesn’t put a limit on it, but provides a guideline.
The second is that Wave [v] is 2.38 times [i] at 2251.91.
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Thursday, December 08, 2016
Ireland EU Exit? - Wealthbuilder Stock Market Brief December 2016 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Christopher_Quigley
Irexit: Ireland may have to consider leaving the EU.
Since the Brexit vote this summer most national and international media outlets were focused on the American presidential election. However, one story that got lost in the Trump firestorm was the fact that it increasing looks like the Irish government will have to seriously contemplate leaving the EU should the terms of the British Brexit “divorce” be hard rather than soft.
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Thursday, December 08, 2016
Stock Market and the Great Middle Class Revolt Gets Bigger / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Clif_Droke
With the U.S. presidential election now behind us, many investors feel they can finally breathe easy again after a nail-biting period of uncertainty since last year. The rally in the major equity market indices since Nov. 9 has been in large part a relief rally of sorts and has been broad-based. The sell-off in bonds has also been an indication of this collective relief.
Thursday, December 08, 2016
The Jaws of Life : The Most Hated Stocks Bull Market in History! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Rambus_Chartology
Tonight I would like to update the INDU we’ve been following which continues the upside move since the night of the US elections. Keep in mind some of these consolidation patterns began to form back in 2015 which had nothing to do with the US elections. It’s the billions upon billions of shares that were traded which produced this breakout move that is now being recognized for what it is. Even at this stage of the breakout move, there will be many doubters who will never recognize what is actually taking place. It can be very difficult to think outside of the box when we are bombarded everyday on how bad things are and how bad things are going to get. There has to be the proverbial wall of worry in order to have a bull market. Once the bull market becomes mature then the wall of worry comes down, and everyone is invited to invest in the markets, which will be at the blow off phase like in 2000.
Thursday, December 08, 2016
Global Stock Markets Rise Into the New Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Donald_W_Dony
Global markets are displaying on-going strength as 2016 closes out. And all indications show that early 2017 will be no different.
The benchmark for world markets, the Dow Jones Global Index (DJW), has successfully broken out in Q3, tested the support level of 311 and rebounded.
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