Category: Stock Markets 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Saturday, November 19, 2016
Basing Just Under The Breakout... Stock Market Bubble Continues... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
he market is getting closer and close to that 2194 breakout the bulls have been waiting for since the double top in August. The market has been meandering around offering hope to the bears from time to time, but that hope gets squashed quickly. Every time we get a move lower that looks to head lower still the bulls find a way, no matter the news, to fire the market back up.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 18, 2016
Stock Market SPX Trendline Reversal? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
It appears that the SPX reversed at the Diagonal trendline in the first hour of the day. The initial impulse may go as low as 2171.00 to 2175.00 before a bounce. If it follows Cycles timing guidelines, we may see the top of the bounce between 2:00 and 3:00 pm.
Using that bounce to go short would be a highly aggressive play, so you may consider only a partial position.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 18, 2016
Stock Market Late Rally Takes Them Into the Positive Column / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices had a solid day today. The day started out with a little bit of a move up, they pulled back, tested successfully, ran up solidly into midday where they reached their session highs, came down again for a retest, held successfully at support, and then came on strong at the close with the Nasdaq 100 making a new high. Although the S&P 500 couldn’t, they still ended the day in the positive column.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 18, 2016
Stock Market Air Pocket Due / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market is in a position where it should see a 2-3% air pocket Friday November 18th and possibly early into early Monday the 21st. The SPX has a downside target of 2120's to the 2140's. Monday is the ten week low from Sept 12.
The pattern is bullish after the sell-off with another higher high due late next week. The Jupiter aspects are strongly bullish into about the Thanksgiving Holiday.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 17, 2016
Stock Market Uncertainty Following Last Week's Advance - Will Stocks Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,240, and profit target at 2,060, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, November 17, 2016
Mixed Day for Stock Market Indices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices had a mixed session today, but the Nasdaq 100 came back strong with the blue chips backing off to close mixed on the day.
The day started out with a pop to the upside in a 5-wave mini advance on Nasdaq 100. The S&P 500 bounced and came down in a falling wedge, so there were two different patterns. Both the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500 settled into a consolidation, and at the end of the day tried to rally, but couldn’t get through resistance, and backed off into the close.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 16, 2016
Stock Market is destined to soar higher: Masses are not bullish, / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
and $50 trillion is sitting on the sidelines
Men are afraid to rock the boat in which they hope to drift safely through life's currents, when, actually, the boat is stuck on a sandbar. They would be better off to rock the boat and try to shake it loose, or, better still, jump in the water and swim for the shore. Thomas Szasz
Wednesday, November 16, 2016
A Good Day for Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market had a terrific Tuesday as the indices forged ahead, adding to the recent gains. The day started out with gap ups and a strong, early-morning move, reaching the morning highs within the first half hour. In a 3-wave pullback move toward lunch hour, they retested the highs, held well, and moved up steadily all afternoon. Late in the session the Nasdaq 100 had a small pullback, because they had a big recovery earlier, but the S&P 500 closed near the highs for the day.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 15, 2016
Stock Market Titanic Syndrome / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The Titanic Syndrome is triggered when NYSE 52-week lows out-number 52-week highs within 7 days of an all-time high in equities (or a 400 point rally in the Dow Industrials index). The syndrome was triggered with Thursday’s new high. This phenomenon was discovered by Bill Ohama in 1965. Ohama wrote that the syndrome is typically followed by a 10% drop in the Dow.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 14, 2016
Here's Why Stock Market Investors Should Ignore Corporate Earnings Season / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Shattering the myth about earnings and the stock market
[Editor's Note: The text version of the story is below.]
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 14, 2016
Stock Market The Final Up-Phase? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX may be entering the final short-term phase of the uptrend which started at 1810.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 12, 2016
Stock Market Outlook For 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market is behaving quite volatile again. Moreover, an intermarket rotation has started recently: some underperformers start leading, and former leaders show first signs of suffering.
That said, did our stock market outlook for 2017 change compared to our previous bullish outlook?
First and foremost, in order to determine the answer to this question, we remain focused on key price levels on the chart(s), combined with sentiment, both fundamental components of our thesis. As outlined in a recent piece, we do not expect a stock market crash in 2017. On the contrary. But we should always be on the outlook for changes in trends; a bearish scenario would kick in if the S&P 500 would breach the 2000 level and, ultimately, the 1850 level. Moreover, a failed breakout to new highs in the coming few months would invalidate our bullish view for 2017.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 11, 2016
US Stock Market Update: Trump Towers / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
There are more Trump Towers being erected by certain indexes (ref. Uncle Buck’s pants tent noted yesterday in an HUI update). As an aside, say what you will about the man, but the name and the persona are a natural for we financial writers and others not tasked to be sensitive about politics or politicians. I mean, how much fun could one make of Obama, a person who comes across as dignified and idealist? Bush was a little better, but even he was no Trump. The Clintons? Getting warmer. But Trump is a new thing all together, almost transcendent; more concept than man. I like this, speaking as a writer. Love it, actually.
On a more serious note, I think he is eventually going to be seen in a lesser light, as the true believers who thrust him upon their tired shoulders find out that promises are one thing and reality is quite another; if anything, he will deliver inflation, which adversely affects… anyone? Bueller?… the middle and lower classes. Asset owners – like Trump – always win and those who go paycheck to paycheck, always lose in inflationary/reflationary regimes. So if the hype proves true and exported jobs are repatriated, roads, bridges and walls are erected, tax breaks for big corporations are implimented and yet more deficit spending is enacted, it is not the true believers who are going to benefit.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 11, 2016
Stock Market Higher into Next Week Then... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Last week, I mentioned that it was possible that Y of B could make a new high into next week then we go down hard. I had 2214 (or so) on the SPX as a maximum upward target and that could be the case by Tuesday next week.
On Tuesday, at the close, we went short expecting a Trump victory and a plunge. Wow! The futures plummeted down about 100 and then came back with a vengeance! It sure caught us by surprise (the strong comeback, not the plunge).
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 10, 2016
What Stock Market Investors Can Expect from the Trump Revolution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
They’re calling it the Great Revolution, and rightfully so. Donald Trump’s earth-shattering victory over Hillary Clinton on Nov. 8 must surely rate as one of the greatest political upsets in U.S. history. It stretches the mind to recall the last time a true political outsider won the Oval Office. The prospects of what an independently wealthy and politically unattached President can do for the country are tantalizing to consider.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 10, 2016
The Most Hated Stocks Bull Market in History / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
I know some of you are wondering why I didn’t post many charts today. The reason being, when there is extreme volatility one can get whipsawed to death getting caught on the wrong side of the whipsaw. My experience has been to let things settle down for a day or two and see what happens. I always look for how the price action is interacting with a potential strong support or resistance line. Normally, whatever the direction the big trend is in, when you get a day like today, after the volatility subsides, the big trend will reassert itself again. It may take a few days or a few weeks but the big trend is your friend.
Earlier today I showed you a daily chart for the INDU which showed several small blue consolidation patterns forming on top of a one year black triangle consolidation pattern. There is another daily chart I haven’t shown you yet that shows the two small blue consolidations forming in a rising wedge formation. Until today I had the lower black rail of the rising wedge parallel to the top rail. With the big reversal taking place I adjusted the bottom rail up to catch this weeks low, which is now giving us a rising wedge formation. I’ve shown you many times in the past how bigger patterns can be made up from smaller patterns. This is now the case with the rising wedge formation.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 10, 2016
After the U.S. Election, Where is the Stock Market Strength? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The surprise U.S. presidential victory of Donald Trump caused shock waves through the futures markets last night. However, as the next trading day opens, there are clearly sectors that are winning and those that are losing.
The biotech, drug, banks and broker/dealer sectors are the strongest performers out of the gate with a 7.50%, 4.70%, 4.60% and 5.40% leap respectively.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 10, 2016
Carl Icahn left Trump victory party to bet $1B on US Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Carl Icahn, Founder and Chairman of Icahn Enterprises, told Bloomberg TV that he left Donald Trump's victory party early Wednesday morning to bet about $1 billion on U.S. equities.
"I thought it was absurd that the market, the S&P was down 100 points on Trump getting elected," Icahn said in a phone interview. "I tried to put a lot more to work, but I couldn’t put more than about a billion dollars to work," he said.
Icahn, one of Trump's earliest supporters, spoke to Erik Schatzker this afternoon and weighed in on the market reaction to the U.S. presidential election results and the economic plans of President-Elect Trump. Icahn said Trump's victory was "a positive for our economy, not a negative" but noted that the U.S. economy is not out of the woods just yet.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 09, 2016
Dow Futures Down 777 Points As Trump Is Selected During Jubilee Time Period / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Donald Trump was selected as the new President of the US tonight and, just as we warned, markets are crashing.
As I write, Dow futures are currently down 777 points, the Japanese Nikkei is currently down 5%, bitcoin is up 3% to $730, gold is up 4% to near $1330 and silver is up 3% to nearly $19.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 09, 2016
Stock Market US Election Day Follow-Through / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices on election day decided to follow through on yesterday’s rally. The day started out with a pullback, they tested support, and when they failed to take any action to the downside, they took off. The S&P 500 went from the 2123-4 zone all the way up to 2147. The Nasdaq 100 jumped from 4757 to 4825. In the afternoon the pulled back and formed wedges, but when they failed to take out secondary support, they headed back up again,tried to retest the highs, but fell short, and pulled back in the last ten minutes. Still, it was a positive session.
Read full article... Read full article...