Category: Stock Markets 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, November 28, 2016
An Elusive Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate count to 2240 may turn out to only be a minimum projection.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Saturday, November 26, 2016
US Stocks Bull Market New All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2182. After a gap up opening Monday the market rallied to SPX 2205 by Tuesday. Then after a pullback to SPX 2195 on Wednesday the market closed out the week at a new closing high of SPX 2213. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.45%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.40%. Economic reports were mostly positive. On the downtick: weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit both increased. On the uptick: existing home sales, durable goods, the FHFA, consumer sentiment and the WLEI. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Q3 GDP, monthly payrolls, the PCE and the FED’s beige book. Best to your week!
Saturday, November 26, 2016
Silver Mining Stocks Q3 2016 Fundamentals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Zeal_LLC
The silver miners recently finished reporting their third-quarter results, offering a hard fundamental look into this sector. This reality check is valuable given the fierce winds of bearish sentiment buffeting silver stocks in recent months. Despite their huge correction, the elite silver miners’ fundamentals remain strong. They are producing at costs far below prevailing silver levels, with profits poised to soar as silver recovers.
Saturday, November 26, 2016
Stock Market Missing Piece of the Puzzle Now in Place / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
As SPX went above 2208.42 I had to ask myself, “What have I missed?”
As I observed the Wave structure, there was an anomaly. The bounce to 2171.36 had the form of an a-b-c. Either it was the beginning of an Ending Diagonal or part of another formation that I had missed.
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Saturday, November 26, 2016
MSM's Stock Market Druck'n Suck-In Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
Disclosure (which I feel, given the post's content, should be reiterated): I am not short even a single equity of any kind. I am only long selected stocks and cash at this time, but surely subject to a change of status in the future.
Why, did you know that in a note to clients Tom Lee wrote that Donald Trump's term could usher in major bull market akin to those preceded by Ike and Reagan? He did, in a note to clients and the MSM really wants you to know about it! Now, there is a case that eventually his favored areas of Energy, Mining, Basic Materials, etc. will out perform. But that word "eventually" is an important one, unless you are a died in the wool trickle downer willing to ride the big correction or bear market that is likely first.
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Friday, November 25, 2016
Santa Trump's Stock Market Rally Continues to New All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
It definitely looks like Christmas has come early this year as the Trump Santa rally has seen the Dow blast through 19k, closing at another all time high of 19,083.18. A Rally that NO ONE SAW COMING! Definitely not the mainstream media propaganda machine!
None of this was supposed to happen! It was all supposed to be IMPOSSIBLE! As the horsemen of the mainstream media apocalypse repeatedly warned if the unthinkable actually happened and Trump won then that would be the END, FINANCIAL ARMAGEDDON, a consensus view which was regurgitated at length right across the BlogosFear. Taken as FACT that a Trump win would immediately convert into a stock and financial markets bloodbath!
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Thursday, November 24, 2016
Stock Market Indices Close at the Highs for the Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
The stock market indices had an interesting day on Wednesday, closing with blue chips to the upside at new all-time highs. Nasdaq 100 had a difficult day, down nearly 20 points, but they came back off the lows substantially, especially the Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X ETF (LABU), rallying late in the day and finishing positive, having reversed seven points off the lows.
The day started out with big gaps down, they made lower lows on the Nasdaq 100, but when the S&P 500 did not confirm, it made a higher low, and then they rallied. The S&P 500 had a 5-wave rally into the close to finish at the high for the day.
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Thursday, November 24, 2016
Stocks, the Politically-Driven S.O.D. to Lose Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
You know who they are; they are the ones who denied and denied the ginned up bull market in US stocks that nearly tripled under the socialist regime, circa 2009-2016. They are the ones who clung to gold well past the caution point last summer. They are (yes, it’s another snappy buzz phrase to either entertain, bore or annoy you… ) the S.O.D., AKA the Sons of Druckenmiller, AKA politically biased and newly activated market participants. Reference…
Wednesday, November 23, 2016
Stock Market Turkey Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
Holiday shortened weeks (like this week) have a tendency to be bullish and the Thanksgiving holiday is more bullish than most. But with the Hybrid Lindsay model pointing to a low on November 28/29 - combined with a number of other bearish metrics - it's hard to get bullish this week. Seasonal strength during this week's holiday shortened trading (US Thanksgiving holiday) is typically followed by weakness in early December.
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Tuesday, November 22, 2016
The Dow Jones Continues To Trump UP! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Eric Balchunas, ETF Analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence, stated that "Financial ETFs are on fire, but the center of the heat is really banks, which will benefit from rising rates more than other areas of the financial sector,".
Is the strengthening of the dollar merely "temporary”? Is this recovery an illusion, which will precede an inevitable crash? I have maintained all along that there has been no real recovery and that the FED will not raise interest rates soon, contrary to common widespread beliefs.
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Tuesday, November 22, 2016
Stock Market Rally Appears Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX closed under 2200.00, as suggested. Whether that is the end of the rally will be ascertained at tomorrow’s open. All of the Waves appear to be complete and on time.
Note that two new potential catalysts have hit the internet. The first is a “Big Problem” has just emerged for Trump’s Economic Plan. It is expected to add $5.3 trillion to the debt over the next decade.
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Tuesday, November 22, 2016
S&P 500 Makes The Move... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The S&P 500 made the move over 2194 today on a closing basis. Many onlookers were waiting patiently as the S&P 500 lagged badly behind other indexes, such as the Dow and small-cap stocks. It's important for the most followed index, with the biggest companies, to join the rest of the market on breakout to show confidence that the move higher is sustainable across the board. It doesn't guarantee anything, of course, in this game, but you need to see confirmation of some kind to make you know being long is the right place to be. Getting the breakout today is a sign of confidence.
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Tuesday, November 22, 2016
Why Post-Election Stock Market Rally Won’t Last / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Mauldin
I’d like to share an update that throws some chilly water on the post-election stock market rally.
My friends Van Hoisington and Lacy Hunt of Hoisington Investment Management usually write only quarterly letters. They send interim updates only when something of major consequence happens. The fact they wrote this one is significant… and what they say is definitely important.
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Monday, November 21, 2016
Stocks Remain Close To All-Time Highs - Will The Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,240, and profit target at 2,060, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, November 21, 2016
Stock Market Swift Shift From Safety to Risk / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Donald_W_Dony
Part of the U.S. president-elect's narrative has been on invigorating the economy. Massive spending on upgrades in schools, highways, hospitals and infrastructure have all been mentioned.
The market, in response to the proposed spending, quickly shifted from safety assets to risk and growth.
Four sectors, in particular, saw solid selling pressure over the last 30 days (Chart 1).
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Monday, November 21, 2016
Stock Market Short Term Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX may be entering the final intermediate phase of the uptrend which started at 1810.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, November 20, 2016
What Happens When the Fake Stock Market Driven By Fake Data Finally Adjusts to Economic Realities? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Graham_Summers
While we’re on the topic of fake news… how about we assess the fake economy of the last eight years?
President Obama at one point claimed that those who questioned the strength of the recovery were “peddling fiction.”
It’s an interesting claim given the entire recovery, at least post 2010, has been built on fake economic data to perpetuate a fake narrative of growth.
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Sunday, November 20, 2016
Stock Market Warning Signs, Gold Bounce Due / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
All year, I have been looking for an important bottom in the stock market around the end of November. The 40 week cycle low is due to give us at least an 11% shellacking and we have not seen one yet. I believe November 29th to December 5th may be the dates that will give us that drop.
Short term we are also due for a pullback, probably into November 21-22 of about 1 ½ to 2% off the top on Friday. Friday posted an evening star reversal sign.
Gold made an irregular bottom on Friday, with huge positive divergences. GDX did not make a new bottom, also, creating an inter market bullish divergence. We may see a huge spike up Monday and Tuesday, in the precious metals and GDX, as the stock market falls.
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Sunday, November 20, 2016
Santa Trump US Stock Market Uptrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2164. After a bounce to SPX 2171 on Monday the market pulled back to 2156. On Tuesday the SPX hit 2181, but this was followed by a pullback to 2171 on Wednesday. On Thursday/Friday the SPX made a new uptrend high at 2190, then dipped to end the week at 2182. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.45%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.40%. Economic reports for the week were mostly positive. On the downtick: import prices, capacity utilization and the WLEI. On the uptick: retail sales, export prices, NY/Philly FED, business inventories, the CPI, housing starts, building permits, the Q4 GDP estimate, plus weekly jobless claims improved. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes, more housing reports and the Thanksgiving holiday.
Saturday, November 19, 2016
Trump Delirium Triggers Stock Market Brexit Upwards Crash Towards Dow 20,000! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
There were two consensus views heading into the US Presidential Election count night. Firstly that Hillary Clinton would win the election, after all Nate Silver had her penned at a 71% probability whilst the New York Times was touting 85% and so were the betting markets discounting a Hillary win with Trump trading on Betfair at 6.6 whilst Hillary stood at just 1.17 an hour before the polls closed. Then there were Hillary's wall street backers who had all but discounted their candidate winning.