Category: Stock Markets 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, October 24, 2016
Stock Market Boredom Before The Storm / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Rubino
With all the surprising and/or disturbing things going on – Brexit, China’s soaring debt, US/Russia/China saber rattling, the, um, unique US presidential race, the cyber attack that shut down big parts of the US Internet – you’d think that an unsettled world would be reflected in skittish financial markets.
Saturday, October 22, 2016
Still waiting for SPX uptrend to kick off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another choppy week. The week started at SPX 2133. After a decline on Monday to SPX 2124 the market rallied to 2148 by Wednesday. Then monthly options expiration kicked in and the market declined to SPX 2130 by Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.25%, and the NDX/NAZ were +0.85%. Economic reports were mixed. On the downtick: the NY FED, capacity utilization, the NAHB, the WLEI, housing starts, plus weekly jobless claims were higher. On the uptick: industrial production, the CPI, building permits, existing home sales, the Philly FED, and the Q3 GDP est. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Q3 GDP, durable goods orders and more housing reports. Best to your week!
Friday, October 21, 2016
SPX Triangle has Broken Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX Premarket has breached yesterday’s low at 2133.44 this morning. The short-term direction is down and the next support point appears to be the Cycle Bottom and trendline at 2124.63. Free fall may begin below those supports.
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Thursday, October 20, 2016
The Stock Market is an Accident Waiting to Happen / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It is abundantly clear that the market decline is being suppressed. However, the decline continues. In the Mid-week Report I put the Master Cycle low at the October 13 low (2114.72). I am not sure that it belongs there yet, due to its shallow nature. In addition, the retracement that peaked out at 2149.19 is unusually small coming from a Master Cycle low. The markets appear to be winding up for a big decline and if there is an “accident” this week, we may still have our flash crash marking the true Master Cycle low. So far, it still has us guessing, but either way, it appears to be bearish.
Thursday, October 20, 2016
More Short-Term Stock Market Fluctuations Following Earnings Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, October 20, 2016
The Chart That Exposes Stock Market Bull Rally As B.S. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
The current bull market in stocks is old by bull standards. It started in early 2009 when Ben Bernanke’s Fed staged a coup, assumed command of the US economy, and by default, the government. After all, they are following the strategy of controlling the money supply and therefore the government of a nation. The central bankers have initiated several quantitative easing periods, reduced interest rates at their bank to zero (thus affecting all interest rate coupons downstream), participated in multiple efforts to steal money from citizens and reward it to corrupt, fraudulent, bankrupt banker friends, and they continue to manipulate asset prices through action and rhetoric. The result has been a bull market in stock prices. That makes the idiots of the world believe in the ‘economic recovery’.
Wednesday, October 19, 2016
Stock Market Short Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
We have been waiting for a bounce into the high forecast by the Hybrid Lindsay model and it looks to have come on Tuesday. Cycles warned that the high might come on the late side of the margin of error but internals now appear set-up to give us that rally early this week. Bears don't have much to worry about, however, as the high is expected no later than Wednesday.
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Tuesday, October 18, 2016
SPX Making Irregular Waves, Making Another Large Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX Premarket appears to be headed for the 50% retracement level for the prior decline and the probable top of Wave (a) at 2142.45. We have a probable repeat of Wave 1, where the impulse is smaller than the total decline, including Wave [b].
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Stock Market Negative Start to the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices started the week off on a poor note. They dropped sharply at the opening, tested support, and rallied sharply, but could not get through resistance. During the next couple hours, the indices went in a downward drift, taking the lows out on the S&P 500, but not so on the Nasdaq 100, a positive divergence resulted, and after a late bounce, they pulled back into the close and closed negative on the day.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 51.98 at 18,086.40. The S&P 500 was down 6.48 at 2126.50. The Nasdaq 100 was down 12.32 at 4796.17.
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Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Stock Market More to Come! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues, but it has entered a corrective phase which could extend into November.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Stock Market 20/50 Cross Down...20/50 Headache....Big Earnings On Tap... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
When one studies the market it's important to study moving average crosses on all time frames, but particularly the daily charts. If you were to study the S&P 500 daily chart you would see the 20-day exponential moving average has crossed down below the 50-day exponential moving average. It's by a hair, but for now a cross. When the 20's at below the 50's that can often mean the market will struggle for appreciable upside action. It can also mean downside action can accelerate. It's never easy to tell when the cross is so minor, such as it is now. The reason for wondering about it now though is easy. The cross up took place in early March. We're now in mid-October. Over seven months above with the action mostly on the positive side of the ledger.
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Monday, October 17, 2016
Stock Market Crash..or No Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Martin Armstrong writes, “Apparently, there are a lot of people calling for a crash in the stock market as usual claiming it looks just like 1987. Sorry, there is nothing of that magnitude showing up at this time. We did elect one Weekly Bearish Reversal back at 18368. However, the main bank of support lies at 17710 followed by 17330. Only a weekly closing below 17330 would hint of a more serious correction.”
I agree that this market does not look like 1987. Trying to make a parallel between this market and another period is usually futile.
However, he points out to PAY ATTENTION to a break of the September 14 low at 17992.21….as I do, as well. This would warn of a drop to a lower level of support.
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Monday, October 17, 2016
A perspective on risk rally – Risks abound but Stock Market is Confident / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Mesh
Three of the major indexes posted gains and five posted losses. China's Shanghai Composite was the top performer, up 1.97% following the previous week of market closure celebrating Chinese National Day. Hong Kong's Hang Seng was the biggest loser, down 2.59%. The average of the eight was a modestly negative -0.26%. The tables below provide a concise overview of performance comparisons over the past four weeks for these eight major indexes. We've also included the average for each week so that we can evaluate the performance of a specific index relative to the overall mean and better understand weekly volatility. The colors for each index name help us visualize the comparative performance over time.
Friday, October 14, 2016
America's 50-Pound Ball and Chain / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Clif_Droke
America's economic condition is truly a "tale of two cities." Upper middle class and wealthy earners have never been more flush thanks in large part to the record liquidity creation of the last eight years as well as to their financial market exposure.
By contrast, the middle and lower classes have either stagnated or are struggling as perhaps never before, due in part to their under-exposure to the financial market but also to the erosion of their real estate wealth in the last 10 years.
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Thursday, October 13, 2016
US Stock Market, Big Picture View / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
Because perspective is everything, let’s once again get some big picture perspective…
S&P 500 is outside the lower fork line (again the Fork being a novelty, but the line being real) but above critical support. Bears would call this an overthrow to the upside and massive bull trap. We can call it an intact bull market above support and a very bearish market should that support be lost.
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Thursday, October 13, 2016
Stock Buybacks Main Force Driving Bull Market; Rewards Investors and Starves Innovation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
"All the power that we exercise over others depends on the power we exercise over ourselves." ~ Cotvos
Share buybacks are nothing new; they have been around for decades, and in most cases, one would view this type of action under a favourable light. However, for the past few years, companies have used this technique as a ploy to hide stagnating earnings or even falling profits. The idea is very simple, and the rewards are lucrative as most corporate officers have incentive-based rewards. Corporations borrow money for next to nothing and then use this to purchase huge blocks of shares; the number of outstanding shares drops and the EPS magically rises. Each year for the past six years the amount of money allocated towards share buybacks has soared, because as we stated, this is the fastest way to increase EPS without doing a single thing magically.
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Thursday, October 13, 2016
SPX Gapping Down... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is substantially down, lower than Tuesday’s low at 2128.84. It appears that, should the market open at this level, it may gap down beneath the 2-hour Cycle Bottom at 2125.33. A systemic unwinding may not stop at the September 12 low at 2119.12.
ZeroHedge reports, “Remember when two weeks ago the China Beige Book warned that "It’s A Lot More Negative Than People Think" in the world's second biggest economy? Well after months of complacency about the Chinese economy and financial risks emanating from its $35 trillion financial sector, overnight the world got a rude awakening when China export figures tumbled, signalling a deeper slowdown than many anticipated just as the Fed prepares to raise interest rates.”
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Thursday, October 13, 2016
Stock Market Negative Expectations Following Tuesday's Decline - New Downtrend Or Just Consolidation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Wednesday, October 12, 2016
Very Negative, Critical Day for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a very negative session today. The day started out with gap downs, they went down all day, and only in the last hour they bounced back to pare back the gains.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 200.38 at 18,128.66. The S&P 500 was down 26.93 at 2136.73. The Nasdaq 100 was down 71.85 at 4821.91.
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Wednesday, October 12, 2016
Stock Market Lost in Translation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
A Hybrid Lindsay high is expected late this week, or early next, but that doesn't mean equities are expected to necessarily trend upward all week. Regardless, readers cannot afford to become lost in the semantics. Equities still appear to be looking into an abyss which will not bottom until closer to the final week of October.
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