Category: Stock Markets 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, June 11, 2014
The Least Loved Stocks Bull Market Becomes Euphoric / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Gary_Dorsch
After nearly six years of unprecedented intervention by the world's top central banks, the world's financial markets are hopelessly broken. What used to be accepted as market gospel and guided investors' decisions in the marketplace, before the 2008 financial crisis, - no longer seems to apply in today's marketplace. Wall Street is no longer the bastion of free and open markets, where the prices of bonds and stocks are determined by the collective judgment of millions of investors. Instead, market prices are determined by a handful of political appointees, called central bankers, who pull the levers and intervene from behind the scenes, in an effort to influence the direction of the markets.
Wednesday, June 11, 2014
Stock Market Summer Sell-off Scenario / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
One of the most salient features of the market environment of recent months is the evolution of investor psychology. From March through May, stocks experienced a classic internal correction in which the most overbought and overvalued stocks declined while fairly valued large caps remained buoyant. The rationale behind this strategy was the determination of money managers not to give back the big gains from the 2013 rally. Instead of selling everything they simply moved money out of last year’s top-performing (but overvalued) small caps and moved money into stocks sporting lower P/E ratios and higher dividend yields. Consequently, the benchmark S&P 500 large cap index held up well throughout the March-May correction, as did the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
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Tuesday, June 10, 2014
Stock Market S&P 500 Ninth Record Close in Eleven Sessions / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: With no economic news to distract, the market’s levitation continued, although at a reduced pace. The S&P 500 spent the day in a relatively narrow trading range between its late morning high and afternoon low (+0.31% and -0.12%). How narrow? The 0.43% intraday range was at the 11th percentile of the 109 market days thus far in 2014. The index closed with a 0.09% gain, modest — but this was the ninth record close in eleven sessions.
Tuesday, June 10, 2014
Good Reason for Stock Market Doom and Gloom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Casey_Research
By Doug French, Contributing Editor
Predicting the future, like getting old, ain’t for sissies. Questioning the bull market is even more treacherous.
Howard Gold, writing for MarketWatch, makes fun of seers who made what he calls “the four worst predictions to gain traction over the past few years.”
Monday, June 09, 2014
Stock Market Indices At New Record Highs - Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,910, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is bullish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bullish Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
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Monday, June 09, 2014
Stock Market at Cycle Cluster Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - May be tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.
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Sunday, June 08, 2014
Stock Market Dow Trend Forecast Summer 2014 Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This video concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the Dow Jones Stock Index into August 2014
This video based on the recent article http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article45917.html
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Saturday, June 07, 2014
Stocks Bull Market 63 Months Old / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another good week for stocks. The third week in a row the market has gained about 1%. The market displayed some choppiness early in the week, dealing with the OEW 1929 pivot. But then cleared it on Thursday, as it made new all time highs every day again except Tuesday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.25%, the NDX/NAZ gained 1.75% and the DJ World index gained 1.35%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the uptick: ISM manufacturing/services, construction spending, factory orders, auto sales and consumer credit. On the downtick: the ADP, monthly payrolls, investor sentiment, the M1-multiplier, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims and the trade balance worsened. Next week we get reports on Retail sales, Export/Import prices and the PPI.
Saturday, June 07, 2014
U.S. Jobs....Higher Stock Prices....Froth and Overbought... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
This morning we had to deal with the monthly Jobs Report. The market was nervous since the ADP Jobs Report on Wednesday came in well below expectations. Would we meet with the same disappointment? Not at all. The number came in Goldilocks again. Not too hot and not too cold. We also saw wages rise nicely. The result was another up day for the averages. With this up day we are now extremely overbought on all the short-term sixty minute-charts. That said, we were also extremely overbought on those same averages coming in to today's action, and that certainly didn't stop the market from moving higher. Overbought is staying that way for now.
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Saturday, June 07, 2014
Stock Market Breaking Bad / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jesse
Non-Farm Payrolls came in a tad to the low side, but close enough to be considered 'in-line.'
Stocks continued to romp higher. The Russell 2000 and the broader market continue to lag a bit, but has finally returned to even money for the year. Chart below.
Saturday, June 07, 2014
The Truth About the U.S. Jobs Report and the Economy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
Let’s see now.
Last week, the Commerce Department unexpectedly revised first quarter GDP growth down to negative, -1.0%. The Fed reported its National Business Activity Index, a weighted average of 85 economic indicators the Fed believes are important, fell from +.34 in March to -.32 in April. The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence report showed that those who plan to buy a home in the next six months declined to 4.9%, its lowest level in 21 months, and those who plan to buy major appliances fell to its lowest level since 2011.
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Friday, June 06, 2014
Stock Market Pop-n-drop Friday? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is against the hourly Cycle Top and upper trendline o fits Broadening Top formation. It may have completed a Micro Wave [3] of Sub-Minuette Wave v yesterday. One more surge to go.
My Model suggests resistance at 1943.00, but Wave relationships suggest a pop to 1951.00. It could be anyone’s guess.
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Friday, June 06, 2014
Stocks Bull Markets - Global Economic Coniditons are Just Right! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Puru_Saxena
BIG PICTURE - The economies of the developed world are improving; their housing markets are on the rebound and unemployment rates are sliding. On the monetary front, central banks remain accommodative, interest rates are at historic lows and the yield curve is steep. Furthermore, inflationary pressures remain subdued in the vast majority of the developed nations; thereby exerting downward pressure on long dated interest rates.
Admittedly, the world's economy is notgrowing at breakneck speed and many investors are viewing this as a bad omen for the stock market. However, as we have explained previously, as an investor, you do not want the economy to expand at torrid pace; and in the current landscape, bad news is good news!
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Thursday, June 05, 2014
Stock Market - Is Now the Time to Go To Cash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Christopher_Quigley
Many commentators are asking whether this market is showing real signs of exhaustion, suggesting that it is time to get out, go to cash, and wait for a serious correction or collapse to jump back in.
To try to answer this question let us look at the situation from a more distant perspective than the standard one. Accordingly, I am going to adopt a 6 year view using the following charts set out below: 1. The Dow Transports, 2. The Dow Industrials, 3. The S & P 500, 4. The NASDAQ 100, 5. The Russell 2000 (small cap. stocks: weekly), The Russell 2000 (small cap. stocks: daily), 7. The NYSE A/D Line and 8. The index of the percentage of stocks above their 200 DMA.
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Thursday, June 05, 2014
Stock Market Dow Trend Forecast Summer 2014 By Nadeem Walayat / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
No 'Sell in May and Go Away' this year for Either Bulls or Bears
Watching the disconnect between stock prices and what passes for stock market commentary since my last detailed look at the stock market of early Feb 2014 is akin to watching two parallel universes in motion that never meet! Where the stock market exists in one universe and the so called stock market analysts (who are really either sales men or journalists who think they are analysts) residing in another. Whilst stocks relentlessly grind higher the others relentlessly scream at the top of their lungs, the 'top is in' the 'top is definitely in this time' following every reaction off a high only to see the stock market once more pop to a new all time high a few weeks later. They MUST reside in separate universes, how else can they continue to reconcile such madness week in week out? It's literally witnessing a form of mass delusion.
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Thursday, June 05, 2014
ECB Thursday...Jobs Friday....Fireworks?.... Stock Market Froth Out Of Control.. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
Fireworks could be in the cards for the market here. We have two huge events the next two mornings. We have the ECB voting on rate reductions tonight as well as deciding on a QE infusion. If the Euro zone gets what they want, we should see it rally, and that should spill over to our markets ahead of the open. If the market doesn't get what it wants, then the euro zone markets could crash out and things could get very tough for the bulls in the morning.
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Wednesday, June 04, 2014
Dow Countdown To Stock Market Meltdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Austin_Galt
“It’s not timing the market but time in the market”. Yep, we’ve all heard this refrain from market commentators on TV disguised as experts. Some go even further saying it’s impossible to time the market. Well, what a load of codswallop! Anyone that says this to you is a happily oblivious member of the Flat Earth Society (FES). Sure, FES members can still function well and be successful in their one dimensional world. Ignorant bliss can be extremely satisfying. However, in the analysis I’ve undertaken of the Dow, there is clear evidence presented that the market can, despite the naysayers, indeed be timed.
Tuesday, June 03, 2014
Stock Market Chop, Sadly Continues.....ISM Numbers Changing Unexpectedly.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
I find it annoying. How about you? Do you enjoy this nonsense? I don't, but this is what we have and must accept. The market tried hard to sell decently today. The Nasdaq was down over thirty points, thanks mostly to losses in Google Inc. (GOOG), and especially Apple Inc. (AAPL). AAPL is so heavily weighted, and at one point it was down ten points. Amazingly, even with AAPL down ten points, the Nasdaq was able to bounce back. Strength is strength, and this market continues to find a way, even when a leader says I'm tired, such as AAPL did today.
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Tuesday, June 03, 2014
Stock Market Rally - Is this the End? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: John_Rubino
Eventually, every finance geek learns that calling market tops — at least publicly — is so hard that it’s not worth the reputation risk. This is especially true in an era of pervasive government manipulation, where price distortions can persist for far longer than any kind of rational analysis can justify.
Monday, June 02, 2014
Is President Obama the World's Greatest Market Timer? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Investment_U
Alexander Green writes: Imagine someone giving one single piece of investment advice in his lifetime and absolutely nailing it, pronouncing a buying opportunity at one of the greatest inflection points in history, just before large cap stocks doubled and small cap stocks tripled.
Although it's not widely recognized, that's exactly what President Obama did on March 4, 2009.
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