Category: Stock Markets 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, May 22, 2014
Stock Market Chartology Mania / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
First I want to acknowledge how frustrating the markets have been over the last several months for most of you. There has been no clear cut trend in which one can just take a position and not get caught up in the chopping action the markets have been giving us. As I have said in the past the hardest part of trading is to get your initial position to stick before your sell/stop gets hit. If your a bear it’s two steps down and one step up and if your a bull it’s two steps forward and one step back. It’s that one step after you take your initial position that usually gets you if you don’t buy the exact high or low.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 21, 2014
The Smart Money Is Preparing for a Stock Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: If you want a great stock to invest in, you should buy Crystal Ball Inc. (NYSE: BS) because it appears that in the past few weeks everyone on Wall Street is using one and they're all saying there is a big correction coming.
For the record, if you didn't get the joke, there is no stock called Crystal Ball Inc. I don't want any angry emails saying you couldn't find the stock.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 21, 2014
What My Stock-Market Warning Sign Is Saying Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Dr. David Eifrig writes: Readers of Retirement Millionaire have made a fortune in this bull market...
Over the past five years, our average gain is 50%.
We've made such great gains by ignoring "doom and gloom" pessimists who would have you believe we're about to enter another depression. Instead, we've focused on facts, owned U.S. stocks, and we've made huge gains.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 21, 2014
Stock Market Rally Reversal Time! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
SPX stopped its ramp at 1886.06, nominally higher than Monday’s high at 1886.00. It may go higher, but for practical purposes, the rally may already be done.
USD/JPY also rallied this morning from its new lows, but could not overcome its prior high. It appears to be out of gas and its influence fading.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 21, 2014
S&P 500 To Continue To The Downside / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The US stocks turned bearish yesterday, which has been expected, as rally on the E-mini {{166|S&P 500}} had a corrective shape. The decline from 1884 was sharp, that also took out the lower trend line of a corrective channel. It suggests that move from 1858 is complete and that market will continue to the downside, beneath 1858 as long as 1884 is in place. Short-term resistance for current minor a-b-c rally comes in around 1875.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 19, 2014
Stock Market Further Uncertainty As Indexes Gained On Friday, Will Uptrend Resume? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,850, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is still bullish, and our short-term outlook remains neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bullish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, May 19, 2014
Stock Market Too Late to be Bullish and Too Early to be Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Probably tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 18, 2014
First Quarter Doldrums Amp Up Stock Market Fear Factor / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Shah Gilani writes: Based on preliminary first-quarter data, U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) growth is 0.1%.
That’s not much.
But then again, what do you expect for $3.4 trillion of Federal Reserve spending to boost the economy.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 18, 2014
Strategic Investment Conference: Day 3 - Stock Market Due for a Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By Worth Wray
Good morning from 30,000 feet, somewhere over the great American West!
I admit to being a little overwhelmed as I write to you on my way home from the Strategic Investment Conference. After three days with two dozen of the finest investors, economists, and political scientists anywhere in the English-speaking world, it is going to take me weeks to think through the real-world implications of all I have learned.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 18, 2014
U.S. Bond Market Warning to Stock Market Traders / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Christopher Rowe writes: The 10-year Treasury note just fell to a seven-month low and is a hair away from an 11-month low. This week’s chart compares the S&P 500 to the Treasury rate for a 10-year period.
The chart shows the 10-Year Treasury Index (^TNX). Move the decimal one space to the left to get the current interest rate. EXAMPLE: TNX is at 29.50 when the “10-Year” pays 2.95% interest.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 17, 2014
Sayanora ¥, Konichiwa Nikkei San / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
In 1989 The Nikkei index touched just short of 40,000.
Today it’s around 14,000.
There is an almost 100% inverse correlation in the relationship between the ¥ and the Japanese stock market. Thus, as the ¥ rises then the Nikkei will fall. And vice versa.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 17, 2014
Nasdaq Tech Stock Index Next Surge Higher? Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Another week in which a new all time high was sold off. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.3%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.7%, and the DJ World index was +0.2%. Economic reports came in about 2 to 1 to the positive. On the uptick: retail sales, business inventories, the PPI/CPI, the NY FED, housing starts, building permits, the WLEI, the monetary base, plus, weekly jobless claims improved and the treasury ran a surplus. On the downtick: export/import prices, industrial production, the Philly FED, the NAHB index, and consumer sentiment. Next week few economic reports, but we do have the FOMC minutes plus existing/new home sales. Best to your week!
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 17, 2014
Biotech Stocks with Upside From a Down Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
A downtrending market is troublesome for investors, but does present interesting opportunities through creation of lower valuations. Finding the right names in the wobbly life sciences environment requires a sharp eye and depth of experience. In this interview with The Life Sciences Report, J.P. Morgan Senior Biotechnology Analyst and Managing Director Geoff Meacham, a veteran analyst and cell biologist, brings eight important names to investors' attention and explains why they are still growth stories.
The Life Sciences Report: Geoff, you're a cell biologist by training. What have you brought from that early experience to your career as a sellside analyst?
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 16, 2014
Wall Street Says It’s Different This Time / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
It’s a good thing it’s different this time! We know it is because Wall Street says so.
The high-valuation levels indicated by the Shiller CAPE 10 Price/Earnings Ratio mean nothing this time, because things are different than when that indicator’s similar readings in previous periods were accompanied by market tops.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 15, 2014
Stock Market Rampant Deception / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
This is a particularly situation here in the equity markets.
Deception is rampant in the accounting for company numbers. The trading is very 'technical' and the underpinnings of the stock market are as sound as a three card monte game.
Thursday, May 15, 2014
SPX On Its Way Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
SPX is on its way, first to the 50-day Moving Average at 1868.64, then to its hourly cycle Bottom at 1860.47. At this rate of decline, we could see this accomplished by the close of the day.
This may be an appropriate level at which to start adding short positions. Further evidence below supports this view.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 15, 2014
Stock Market S&P 500 Bounced Off 1,900 Level – Uptrend Reversal Or Just A Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,850, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bullish, and our short-term outlook remains neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bullish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, May 15, 2014
Stock Market False Breakout and Reversal.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
You've heard the expression suck and spit. We have just that folks. For now anyway. The Dow broke out on a closing basis, but it's only thirty stocks. I wanted to see the S&P 500 break out above its old high on a closing basis at 1897. It reached 1902 intraday yesterday, but closed below. Today it fell hard. The Nasdaq cleared its 50-day exponential moving average yesterday intraday as well only to close below. Today it fell hard again. It's not the action you want to see at breakout levels. Small caps are simply terrible.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 14, 2014
What to Do When Stocks Hit the Bargain Rack / Companies / Stock Markets 2014
Dr. Kent Moors writes: Over the past week, oil and gas stocks have been quite volatile. But that’s not bad news – not by a long shot.
In fact, this is always the time when energy investors should be on the hunt for bargains.
And don’t worry. None of this volatility indicates the markets are on the cusp of a significant dive, even though the doomsday forecasters are out in full force.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 13, 2014
Dow On Breakout....S&P 500 and Nasdaq At Critical Resistance.....Froth Rising Fast.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
No shock that the area of the market that has the lowest P/E's and the highest dividends broke out first. The Dow has been the safety trade by far and continues to be so. The S&P 500 is a point away. A move over 1897 is the breakout for the S&P 500, and with today's close basically at the highs, it bodes well that it should break out over time. The Nasdaq, however, is also trying for a breakout, but it's quite different than the breakout of the Dow or S&P 500. The Nasdaq is trying to just get through its 50-day exponential moving average and trend line. We close a point above the 50's, but does not mean we have a true breakout yet. Give me at least half a percent if not a full percent, and I'm happier that the move is for real.
Read full article... Read full article...