Category: Stock Markets 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Saturday, September 27, 2014
Stock Market Bulls Roar Back... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
That's what a strong GDP can do for you if you're a bull. The market is ultimately always looking to go higher, so if you give it an excuse it usually doesn't have a problem doing so. The bears had their day yesterday with some strong down side action, which carried the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 below their 50-day exponential moving averages. You want to see, if you're a bear, a follow-through the very next day, but it didn't come. The futures were up last night immediately after the close. They built over night and exploded higher after the GDP report came out. After some decline ahead of the open, they ran higher as they day moved along.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 27, 2014
U.S. and Global Confidence are in Divergence - So Are Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
It’s not a secret. Investor sentiment in the U.S. is at very high levels of bullishness and confidence.
However, the ZEW Center for European Economic Research reported this week that its investor confidence index fell from 8.6 in August to 6.9 in September. It has fallen for nine straight months.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 27, 2014
Stock Market Retracement Stronger than Expected / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
After the abject failure at the 50-day this morning, I thought that the SPX decline was in the bag. But that was not to be. It turned out that this morning’s ramp was only Micro Wave a. Since then, SPX has done a 61.8% retracement of sub-Minute Wave (i).
Friday, September 26, 2014
Stock Market Major Selloff Looms / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Zeal_LLC
Since early 2013 the US stock markets have done nothing but rally, levitating thanks to the Fed’s oft-implied backstop. This incredibly unnatural behavior has left sentiment dangerously unbalanced, with hyper-complacency and euphoria running rampant. Only a major selloff can restore normal psychology. And with the Fed’s third quantitative-easing campaign ending, odds are high such a big downside event looms.
Stock markets are forever cyclical. Stock prices don’t move in straight lines forever, they endlessly rise and fall. Great cyclical bulls that earn investors fortunes are followed by brutal cyclical bears that create the best opportunities to buy low again. The perpetual cyclicality of the stock markets reminds me of Mark Twain’s famous weather quip. If you don’t like current stock prices, just wait a spell and they’ll change!
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 24, 2014
Stock Market Decline Below Wave (iv) Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I may have received my morning wish after all. In the after-hours, SPX continued to decline another 5.30 points to 1977.47 before starting a bounce. Micro Wave v appeared complete at 1983.80, so the additional decline after hours was a corrective Wave b, although it is undetectable in this chart. That leave a Micro wave c left to go back to 1997.03 in the morning. This puts SPX back on the Cycle schedule for its Pivot day tomorrow.
Wednesday, September 24, 2014
Stock Market Beyond Belief / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Ed_Carlson
Last week's commentary, Beyond all Doubt, quickly turned to 'beyond belief' as the Dow exceeded its July 16 closing high. The market timing models of George Lindsay don't use the terms bull and bear market and I shouldn't have either. Rather his work speaks in terms of basic advances, basic declines, and basic cycles. Understanding the difference between these concepts was how he was able to make such incredible market calls during his career.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 24, 2014
Hedge Funds Surpass 2007 Leverage; New Era of 'Permanent Investigations' Confirms Imminent Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
By Elliott Wave International
Editor's note: The following article was republished here with permission from the co-editors of the September issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a publication of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave International, the world's largest financial forecasting firm. From Sept. 25 to Oct. 1, EWI is throwing open the doors to all of its investor services 100% free. Click here to join EWI's free Investor Open House now.
Tuesday, September 23, 2014
Stocks Rally Following Janet Yellen's Conference and Scotland's Historic Referendum Result / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Frank_Holmes
Interest rates can't stay zero forever, but for now it's more of the same.
The Federal Reserve's bond-buying program, enacted to spur growth, will indeed be winding down next month, as expected. But record-low interest rates will stay as they are for a "considerable time," Fed Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen insisted during her Wednesday press conference last week.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 23, 2014
The Macro View and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Gary_Tanashian
Last week we noted that Uncle Buck would be front and center in the analysis, not because the strength in the (anti-market) currency was not expected (it was), but because our big picture theme of an ongoing economic contraction had remained intact (ref: gold vs. commodities ratio) over the long-term.
It is important here to remember that NFTRH would only be on its big picture macro themes as long as indictors implied they are still viable. I will be damned if I will let us follow a Pied Piper off an ideological cliff, no matter what readers (including me) might want to hear. We must dedicate to know what is happening, not what our hopes, dreams, egos, etc. think or worse, hope will happen.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 22, 2014
Stock Market Topping Process Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - In 1932 and 1974, the 40-yr cycle was responsible for protracted market weakness. The current phase is due this year but where is the weakness? Has man (Federal Reserve) finally achieved dominance over universal rhythms or has it simply delayed the inevitable?
Intermediate trend - We are looking for the move from 1905 to end, after which a much more serious correction should start.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 21, 2014
ASX200 Stock Market Index Set For New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Austin_Galt
This market has been tracking as expected over the last couple of months. However, price has now come down to the "moment of truth" zone. Will a downtrend be confirmed or will the uptrend continue? Let's find out starting with the daily chart.
Saturday, September 20, 2014
Stocks Bull Market Resumes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
The wild and volatile week we expected was nearly all to the upside. The market started the week unchanged, completed its 1.5 week pullback on Tuesday, then made new highs on Thursday and Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.5%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.5%, and the DJ World index rose 0.3%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the uptick: NY FED, NAHB, leading indicators, WLEI, monetary base, and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: industrial production, capacity utilization, CPI, housing starts, building permits and the Philly FED. Next week we get more reports on Housing, Durable goods orders, and Q2 GDP.
Saturday, September 20, 2014
Stock Market Top In? Nothing Bearish But Late Failure.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
Interesting day. The market gapped up at the open and ran higher. It hit as high as 2019, and then started to stall and pull back. It whipsawed back and forth for a while until finally closing one point under the breakout level. A topping stick was put in so we will see what the bears can do with it early on next week. There are no excuses for when a topping stick is printed on a failed breakout that would expect at least some form of a pullback. It can anything from nasty to simply putting in a handle for a while longer before trying the breakout once again. It's very unclear for now as today should have been a top. That said, we are in a bull market, thus, never say never about breaking out again. That said, again, there are no excuses here for the bears. They have a failed breakout and a topping stick on top of that, thus, they should get busy early on next week. We shall see what they can muster up.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 19, 2014
Russell 2000 Stock Index Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Austin_Galt
Let's analyse the Russell 200 Index which consists of 2000 small cap stocks. We'll begin with the big picture - the yearly chart.
Thursday, September 18, 2014
Stock Market Dow Pop And Drop Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Austin_Galt
The Dow hit an all time high today of 17221 which occurred shortly after the Fed meeting. Many readers will know that I have been looking for a pop into top around 17200 which flushes out all the stops that had built up above the 17th July high of 17151. Recent tops in August and September would have taken out some stops but the move today would have really nailed them, so to speak.
So, with the coast now clear, it's decision time on where the Dow goes from here. Does it follow through with conviction to the upside or is it time for a healthy correction and possibly something more? Let's investigate beginning with the daily chart.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 18, 2014
Stocks Bullish as Fed Says No Rate Hikes Any Time Soon..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
Ms. Yellen made sure she spoke the words the market wanted to hear. Keeping rates low is what the market wants, and keeping rates low is what the market will get. She won't do anything she knows will hurt the market, because she uses the market to keep her job safe. If she lets the market fall hard, then she's allowing the economy to slip, since the market is keeping the economy higher. Repeat after me. The Fed's job description is as follows: you will do whatever it takes to keep Wall Street rocking. Good luck! That's her job in a nutshell folks. Nothing more and nothing less. She's all about 401K's and funds doing well. As long as she's doing her job here, it's going to be very hard for the market to fall precipitously. That's even with froth still out of control week after week.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 17, 2014
Scotland Independence - Europe Holds Its Breath / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Christopher_Quigley
This Thursday the 18th September Scotland goes to the polls to decide whether it wants to stay in a Union with the rest of Great Britian or go down the road of independence. At the moment the election is too close to call with sentiment equally divided between either camp. If the Scottish people do opt for going it alone it will send shock waves through-out Europe. Such a result, many believe, will feed the secession fevour spreading across Euroland and lead to continued Euro weakness.
Tuesday, September 16, 2014
Stock Market Bears Beyond All Doubt / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Ed_Carlson
I have two pieces of good news this week (for bears).
- You will never again have to read about how the 2011 sideways movement has caused confusion over from which date to count the last basic advance in the 2009 bull market.
- Even if the sideways movement confusion had not been resolved previously, time has taken care of the any lingering uncertainties.
Tuesday, September 16, 2014
Stock Market Froth Annihilated...Money Moves Around..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
If you were a high-beta stock, or a four-letter stock with froth behind its name, you were slaughtered today. Little mercy out there for those who recently bought a plethora of stocks in the world of the Nasdaq or small cap stocks. The carnage across the board, yet the market didn't fall very much except for those areas. Some sectors were slightly green. Money refuses to totally leave as the big boys were transferring their dollars to those lower-beta, higher-dividend stocks. No mass exit yet. It can't be argued. Many stocks, the leading stocks in the Dow were up overall. The Fed still is making her actions felt for the bears. The low rate environment allowing transference of dollars.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 15, 2014
Stock Market Patiently Waiting for Mean Reversion / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Frank_Holmes
So far this year, small-cap growth stocks have surprisingly been lackluster. After 2013, when it gained a scorching 38.8 percent, the Russell 2000 has delivered a tepid 0.62 percent year-to-date (YTD).