Stock Market Indices Uptrends Are Intact
Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013 Dec 04, 2013 - 10:12 AM GMTCourtesy of Doug Short. This is an update of the bullish trend in stocks that I have been monitoring for some time. First let me say I fully understand the macro-headwind of enormous debt. I’m also aware some argue there remains excessive leverage and risk-taking in the economy, poor demographics (e.g. large generation retiring), and less than stellar growth, which is often referenced by those in disbelief of the current rally. I also understand that weekly economic reports are often contradictory to this stock market rally. But one thing remains quite clear — the trend is up until it isn’t (Thanks Yogi).
The following four charts clearly show the continuation of bullish patterns as the various stock indices relentlessly charge to new all-time highs. As you view these charts (S&P 500 Index, Nasdaq 100 Index, DJIA Index, Russell 2000 Index), also note the preponderance of the stock market to finish the calendar year on a high note. It seems to me that in the last decade only 2007 saw the market not trending higher into year’s end. This is what’s commonly referred to by traders as the Christmas rally. However, please be aware I am not making a buy recommendation. I am instead merely suggesting the uptrend is intact. Clearly, the market is up handsomely and those calling for a pull-back will eventually be correct; and that pull-back can come at any time.
S&P 500 Index
Nasdaq 100 Index
DJIA Index
Russell 2000 Index
Finally, even though I believe Central Bank policy is mostly responsible for the current rally, and we may still see a day of reckoning for the stock market, I have recognized that the timing of any such day is a near impossibility. I also believe that while waiting in preparation for it, it behooves us to separate the market from the economy. Frankly — an uptrend is firmly in place until further notice and this is a technician’s market.
Dominic Cimino
Chief Investment Strategist
Financial Advisor
Preferred Planning Concepts, LLC
2800 South River Road #240
Des Plaines, IL 60018
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? 2013, Dominic Cimino of Preferred Planning Concepts, LLC (You can explore the services offered by Preferred Planning Concepts by viewing us on our website at www.ppcplanning.com) Any redistribution, reprinting, or reference to this chart or content is allowed so long as reference to the author and source is acknowledged.
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- Phil
Philip R. Davis is a founder of Phil's Stock World (www.philstockworld.com), a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders. Mr. Davis is a serial entrepreneur, having founded software company Accu-Title, a real estate title insurance software solution, and is also the President of the Delphi Consulting Corp., an M&A consulting firm that helps large and small companies obtain funding and close deals. He was also the founder of Accu-Search, a property data corporation that was sold to DataTrace in 2004 and Personality Plus, a precursor to eHarmony.com. Phil was a former editor of a UMass/Amherst humor magazine and it shows in his writing -- which is filled with colorful commentary along with very specific ideas on stock option purchases (Phil rarely holds actual stocks). Visit: Phil's Stock World (www.philstockworld.com)
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