Category: Stock Markets 2012
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, February 23, 2012
Stock Market Rally Just Won't Quit / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
This has definitely been the most interesting day of the year so far. The market tried gapping up again today, but that gap up took all the major index charts into overbought territory once again on those daily charts. RSI's near 80, once again, on the Nasdaq, with the S&P 500 also joining the party into overbought, with readings in the lower 70's. You just can't have the market staying overbought time-after-time after some small selling episodes. It's not healthy.
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Tuesday, February 21, 2012
Stock Market Target Reached / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, after this bull market is over, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Intermediate uptrend still intact, but short-term top imminent.
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Tuesday, February 21, 2012
Stocks Stealth Bull Market Riding Tsunami's of Debt Crisis Fears to New Highs, What's Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market last closed at another new bull market high at Dow 12,950, and within easy imminent touching distance of breaking above 13,000, whilst the debt crisis news out of Europe and elsewhere keeps worsening despite desperate attempts by European politicians to paper over the cracks as Greece marches inexorably towards the Euro-zone exit as each month the amount of debt write off demanded continues to climb from originally 20% to 53.5% (nominal, actual is probably 70%) today towards an eventual 90% default because the focus so far has been wholly on privately funded debt that has yet to touch on the additional Euro 200 billion or so that the euro-fools have so far thrown into the Greek debt black hole during the past 2 years to buy time for their own bankrupt banks.
Sunday, February 19, 2012
Stock Market SPX Uptrend Topping / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market gapped up on monday. Then after a pullback on tuesday, it made three consecutive new uptrend highs the following three days. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.3%, and the NDX/NAZ rose 1.6%. Economic reports for the week were heavily biased to the upside. On the uptick: retail sales, business inventories, export prices, the NY/Philly FED, capacitiy utilization, the NAHB index, housing starts, the CPI/PPI, the WLEI, the monetary base, and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: import prices, industrial production, building permits and the M1 multiplier. Overall it was a fairly solid week for stocks and the economy. Next week we’ll get reports on Existing/New home sales and Consumer sentiment.
Saturday, February 18, 2012
Stock Market Spends Another Week At Overbought...Bullish Action Continues On.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
This has definitely been the most interesting day of the year so far. The market tried gapping up again today, but that gap up took all the major index charts into overbought territory once again on those daily charts. RSI's near 80, once again, on the Nasdaq, with the S&P 500 also joining the party into overbought, with readings in the lower 70's. You just can't have the market staying overbought time-after-time after some small selling episodes.
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Friday, February 17, 2012
Euro’s SPX Stock Index Influence / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Zeal_LLC
Over the past few years, the fortunes of Europe’s euro currency have appeared to significantly influence the US stock markets. This rather-curious relationship has proved vexing at times to American traders, as it doesn’t seem logical on the surface. But given the high correlation between the US stock markets and the euro, prudent traders can’t ignore its impact. And the euro’s state today is very bullish for US stocks.
Thursday, February 16, 2012
Did the SP500 just peak at 1356? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: David_Banister
This is somewhat of a things that make you go hmmmmmm exercise, but lets examine this 1356 number for a second here. The SP 500 hit 1356 today and put on the brakes and reversed down to 1341 in a possible terminal top move.
1356 actually has fibonacci relationships. If we take the last major rally which was from the Summer 2010 lows:
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Thursday, February 16, 2012
Apple (AAPL) Reverses Hard... Stock Market Still In Good Shape...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
This has definitely been the most interesting day of the year so far. The market tried gapping up again today, but that gap up took all the major index charts into overbought territory once again on those daily charts. RSI's near 80, once again, on the Nasdaq, with the S&P 500 also joining the party into overbought, with readings in the lower 70's. You just can't have the market staying overbought time-after-time after some small selling episodes. It's not healthy. The rubber band, eventually, snaps, and down you go. Nothing was more overbought than both the daily, and 60-minute, charts of Apple. Scary overbought to be blunt. Apple's daily charts reaching 90-RSI, with the 60-minute chart reaching the unheard of mid-90's. I have warned when something becomes extreme--the price one pays can be devastating. Once again, that became a reality, with Apple snapping down nearly thirty dollars off the top. Look again. I said thirty (30$) off the top in, basically, an hour's time, if not less. That's a rubber-band snapping in two. The type of pain the average retail player felt on that stock today is unbelievable. The largest volume of the year on the reversal means the stock will struggle for consistent upside for a while to come.
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Wednesday, February 15, 2012
Next Stock Market Top Target Date 22nd February 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: John_Hampson
Looking at the S&P500 on short term view with updated actual and forecast geomagnetism, this is what we see:
Tuesday, February 14, 2012
Stock Market Staying Overbought... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
That's not necessarily good news as it's the second move back above 70 RSI on all the major index daily charts. It would have been, and would still be, a good thing if we sold harder in order to fully unwind those nasty overbought momentum oscillators. but for the moment, the bulls refuse to give in. The RSI's, all back over 70, with the Nasdaq heading towards 80, where it fell hard last time. The risk for new plays doing well is poor here, even if we stay overbought a bit longer. You have to be very nimble, if you're going to put new money to work here. At any moment in time, the market could snap lower.
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Tuesday, February 14, 2012
S&P500 Above 1350 Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short writes: The S&P 500 surged at the open, presumably in celebration of the Greek parliament’s voting in favor of an additional package of austerity measures. The opening advance took the index above the 1350, a level it couldn’t maintain during the morning hours, but after an early lunch, the 1350 level held, and the index closed at 1351.77 for a 0.68% gain. Last Thursday the index had its first close above 1350 since the selloff from its interim high last spring. The index is up 7.49% year-to-date and is a mere 0.97% below its interim high at the end of April 2011.
Monday, February 13, 2012
The ECB's Long Term Refinancing Operation (LTRO) is Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Money_Morning
Jack Barnes writes:
If you listen to the talking heads, there is no end in sight to the Euro crisis.
Even with the European Central Bank's (ECB) recent Long Term Refinancing Operation (LTRO), Greece is still making all the headlines.
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Monday, February 13, 2012
Four Signs of a Short-Term Drop in Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: DailyWealth
Jeff Clark writes: The stock market is showing multiple signs of a short-term top.
That doesn't mean stocks have to go down right away. Topping is a process – not a one-day event.
Monday, February 13, 2012
SP500 Deflated by Gold / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jesse
Much of the recent rally, that nominally looks like a straight shot higher is really due to the monetization going on in the US and Europe.
Such distribution of money through asset bubbles can provide the appearance of vitality, but it is not self-sustaining.
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Monday, February 13, 2012
Stock Market Top Are We There Yet? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Intermediate uptrend still intact, but short-term top imminent.
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Sunday, February 12, 2012
Why Does The Stock Market Keep Rising? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: LongWave
This gigantic flood of extremely inexpensive high-powered money does have a major impact, not in the real economy, but in the liquid investment markets.
Free money sets a very low hurdle for a short-term investment and as long as the transaction has decent liquidity, why not do the trade. As a result, almost every equity, commodity, and credit market is moving higher.
High beta currencies are moving higher as well, as risk is clearly on the front foot. This positive mood began at the start of October, a bit more than a week after Bernanke announced the start of ‘Operation Twist,’ a subtle way to improve the profits of the banks and increase the risk of the Fed without expanding its balance sheet.
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Sunday, February 12, 2012
The Return of Stock Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Clif_Droke
To say that complacency has reigned in the last few months is an understatement. Volatility as measured by the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) has fallen 60% since October and 20% since the start of 2012.
To put into context just how much volatility has fallen since the latest rally kicked off in October, the 10-year chart of the S&P 100 Volatility Index (VXO) is shown below. The VXO is an excellent frame of reference for the absence of widespread fear in this market in recent months. As you can see, volatility is approaching historically low levels not seen since before the credit crisis began.
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Sunday, February 12, 2012
Stock Market Uptrend Nearing a Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Tony_Caldaro
The US market was fairly quiet this week while trading in a narrow SPX 1336-1354 range. It did manage to reach marginal new uptrend highs on three of the days, but ended the week mixed. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.35%, and the NDX/NAZ were mixed. Asian markets gained 0.3%, European markets lost 0.9%, and the DJ World index was -0.3%. Economic reports for the week were light, with results mixed. On the uptick: wholesale inventories, the monetary base, the WLEI, plus the budget deficit and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: consumer credit, the M1 multiplier, the trade deficit, and consumer sentiment. Next week, options expiration week, we’ll get reports on retail sales, industrial production, the CPI/PPI and the FOMC minutes.
Sunday, February 12, 2012
Stock Market Locked and Loaded / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: WavePatternTraders
Once again the freight train that is the US stock markets continues to push on higher, although there were some potential vital clues on Friday and something's that we are watching closely.
The risk FX pairs I like to follow showed some important price action that could be a vital clue for a reversal.
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Saturday, February 11, 2012
Finally Some Selling From Extremes Of Overbought..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
Not a single soul should be shocked by the fact that we sold off some today. The market had been extremely overbought for quite some time. The Nasdaq, and small caps, had gotten absurdly overbought on their daily RSI's, with readings at 80 plus. That's basically unheard of, folks. It's been a long time between visits to this territory for any part of the market. It makes sense that it would happen in froth-land, otherwise known as the technology world of the Nasdaq. Froth leads when things get silly to the upside for our stock market. People want to participate in those rapid moving high beta stocks when the market is rising, because they want to capture as much upside as humanly possible. Get me those points. Don't give me those slower moving safer stocks. Give me beta or give me.....!