Category: Stock Markets 2012
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Saturday, February 11, 2012
Stock Market Friday Profit Taking / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Courtesy of Doug Short writes: The S&P 500 dropped at the open and hit a mid-morning low of -1.08%. The index then oscillated across a six-point range and closed the day near the range high for loss of 0.69% and a fractional loss of 0.17% for the week. It was, in fact, the first negative weekly close of 2012 after five consecutive weekly gains. The index is up 6.76% year-to-date and is 1.56% below its interim high at the end of April 2011.
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Friday, February 10, 2012
Stock Market Upleg Has Room to Run / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The US stock markets have been on fire lately, still marching higher even after the S&P 500 powered to its best January in 15 years. Doubted from its very birth, this latest stock-market upleg continues to inexorably climb the proverbial Wall of Worry. But while bears keep on arguing for its imminent demise, today’s upleg actually still has plenty of room to run higher. Despite the naysayers, it isn’t too late to buy in yet.
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Wednesday, February 08, 2012
Stock Market Hanging Very Tough / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
You have to hand it to the bulls as they just refuse to give up the gains in this market. For now, anyway. You have to wonder how long they can hold things up this well into very overbought conditions on the daily index charts. The market tried a few times to sell things down, but it refused to cave in. The folks on the side lines that have missed a lot of this move are anxious to get in on any weakness, thus, the bears are having a rough time keeping things down. It'll happen at some point for the bears. It's impossible to time it, because the buy-the-dip mentality is still on.
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Tuesday, February 07, 2012
Stock Market Staying Overbought....Larger Pullback Coming Soon... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
But that doesn't mean we won't wiggle our way up a few more percent in this market before the bigger selling kicks in. It will kick in, folks. It's not if, but when. The selling will be extremely healthy, and it's very necessary, but since we're still in the buy-all-pullbacks phase of this rally, the market still works its way up higher in the days, and weeks, ahead before it gets a bit nasty to the downside. It's also important that the stocks go up some more, before the larger pullback kicks in, because the selling should be decent. The bulls want to be able to protect the breakout at 1320, or the long-term down trend line, they worked so hard to take out. If the market were to sell hard from here, it's quite likely we'd lose 1320.
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Monday, February 06, 2012
Wary Stock Market Investors Give U.S. Stocks Another Go / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Recently, the stock market has been roaring, with the S&P 500 up a stunning 22% from October 3, 2011, which was the low of last year. In fact, the first month of 2012 has been one of the best Januaries on record for US stocks. On top of that, last Friday's better-than-expected jobs report seems to provide further evidence that we're turning a corner.
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Monday, February 06, 2012
Stock Market Next Short-term Top in Sight / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Intermediate uptrend still intact.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, February 05, 2012
Stock Market Weekend Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The US market opened the week on a down note, dropping to SPX 1300, but ended at new uptrend highs, SPX 1345. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.90%, and the NDX/NAZ were +2.95%. Asian market were mostly higher, gaining 0.6%. European markets were all higher, gaining 2.8%, and the DJ World index was up 2.4%. Positive economic reports for the week outpaced negative reports 11 to 6. On the downtick: personal spending, Case-Shiller, the Chicago PMI, consumer confidence, the ADP index and factory orders. On the uptick: auto sales, personal income, PCE prices, ISM manufacturing/services, construction spending, monthly payrolls, the WLEI, investor sentiment, plus both weekly jobless claims and the unemployment rate improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by consumer credit, the twin deficits and consumer sentiment. Best to your weekend/week!
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Friday, February 03, 2012
Stock Market Waiting for U.S. Unemployment Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Courtesy of Doug Short.Before the market opened, the weekly unemployment claims came in a bit better than expectations, but the S&P 500 oscillated around the flatline and closed with a fractional gain of 0.11%. The general view is that investors are awaiting Friday’s monthly unemployment report for a directional catalyst. The index is up 5.40% year-to-date but 2.79% below its interim high at the end of April 2011.
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Thursday, February 02, 2012
Stock Market Bulls and Bears do Battle at S&P 1325 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The bulls are trying, but so are the bears. The bulls are doing their very best to move the market through S&P 500 1325. The bears are drawing the line in the sand with one intense fight. They are telling the bulls that, although things are moving upward, getting through 1325 will require a lot of work. There have been two attempts now to get through 1325, but both times we've had churn, not a run through, and beyond. That's the bears doing everything humanly possible to hold things down.
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Wednesday, February 01, 2012
Stock Market Down but Post a Great January / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Courtesy of Doug Short. The S&P 500 popped at the open, but then fell to a midday low, off about half a percent, before making a steady comeback. The closing hour played touch-and-go with break even, with the finally tally being a fractional loss of 0.05% for the day. That’s the fourth consecutive finish in the red. But the month of January saw a gain of 4.36%. To put that into context, that’s the 11th best January since the inception of the S&P 500, in March 1957. The index is 3.76% below its interim high at the end of April 2011.
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Tuesday, January 31, 2012
The Danger of Having a Weak Economy with a Strong Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
For the past two to three decades, there has been a radical structural transformation of the American economy from being a production economy to a service economy with consumer driving 60% of its GDP. Due to the so called Globalization, much of America’s manufacturing facilities have been transferred overseas and hence with its jobs as well. Since the beginning of the 21st century America has lost more than 50,000 manufacturing facilities either due to uncompetitive closure or being shifted overseas. As a result more than 5 million jobs have been lost along the way.
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Tuesday, January 31, 2012
Is a Stock Market Crash Imminent? No / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Traders use pattern recognition for making trading decisions. We have an interesting situation developing in the American stock markets that is worth knowing about. Cyclically it is deja vu all over again.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 30, 2012
Will the Stock Market Stay Safe or Get Into Trouble This Week? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
One of the daily research data sets we calculate every night is from a computer run on every stock on the S&P 500 index.
During that analysis, we measure the Strength levels of each stock and do a count of how many had positive strength that day, and how many had negative strength.
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Monday, January 30, 2012
Stock Market "January Effect" and the Probabilities for 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The strength in the S&P 500 this month tells more about the performance for the rest of the year than most investors realise. Over the last 40 years, whenever the US market has had a return above 3.75% in January, the S&P 500 finished the year higher. Currently, the index is up 4.44%.
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Sunday, January 29, 2012
Stock Market Pullback Likely This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
US markets made a new uptrend high on thursday, but ended the week mixed. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.20%, and the NDX/NAZ were +1.05%. Foreign markets were higher: with Asia +1.5%, Europe +0.7% and the DJ World index +1.2%. Economic reports were quite mixed with negatives outpacing positives 6 to 5. On the downtick: pending/new homes sales, durable goods, leading indicators, the M1 multiplier, and weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: FHFA housing prices, consumer sentiment, the monetary base, the WLEI and the GDP. Next week we will get reports on Case-Shiller, the Chicago PMI, ISM and nonfarm Payrolls.
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Sunday, January 29, 2012
Stock Market Friday Fractionally Down Day, Fractionally Up Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Courtesy of Doug Short. With a somewhat lower than consensus Q4 GDP, the S&P 500 sagged at the open and wallowed in shallow red through most of the day. A modest afternoon rally gave hope of a positive finish, and the index did make it into the green in the final 30 minutes. But a selloff near the close gave Friday a fractional loss of 0.16%. For the week the index gained a meager 0.07%. The index has a year-to-date gain of 4.67%. It is 3.47% below its interim high at the end of April 2011.
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Saturday, January 28, 2012
Stock Market Glass Ceiling Revealed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Following up on our most recent post "Glass Ceiling Bullish or Bearish," today, we unveil the two markets illustrated in that feature.
Below, we display the two phantom price charts presented for side-by-side comparison. We had mentioned that both were popular indices, and hinted that we had rendered one of the charts with monthly closes and the other using a chart of daily closes.
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Saturday, January 28, 2012
Stock Market Let’s Not Get Too Optimistic! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
In investing much is said about the folly of following the crowd.It’s voiced in age-old maxims like “The market will do whatever it must to fool the majority”, and Warren Buffett’s advice to “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful”.
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Wednesday, January 25, 2012
Stock Market Bulls Gain Steam, but Euro-Zone Concerns Bear Close Watch / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Confusion is a word we have invented for an order which is not understood.” – Henry Miller
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) rose by almost a full percentage point on Friday, but like so many aspects of the current market, that number is somewhat misleading.
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Wednesday, January 25, 2012
Stock Market Bad News Just Around the Corner? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Is there bad news just around the corner ???
Technical analyst agree that a falling wedge pattern is a bullish pattern. As a pattern, its bullishness just stays dormant until the breakout occurs.
It is a great pattern for technicians because its failure rate is only 10% which means it has an accuracy level of 90%.
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