Category: Stock Markets 2012
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, March 22, 2012
When Will the Stock Market Freight Train Rally Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: readtheticker
When will this rally top, when will there be sign of distribution. The truth is the SP500 has been a freight training to higher highs. Yet with the Fed operation Twist soon to end in the coming months one must feel we are very close to a mighty peak of this rally.
Thursday, March 22, 2012
Stock Market Consolidating... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
There's nothing wrong with the market consolidating. The consolidating would be even more beneficial if it did this for another month. However, it's unlikely that it will. As we've seen, this market has been tough to sell short-term. There are very "itchy" buyers, once the market does any type of small pullback. People want to get into the market that has been in before, and people want in the market that has missed it altogether. Some people just have a real inclination to be in the market as interest rates are simply too low for anyone to do anything else with their dollars. Why fight the tape is what they're thinking. While it seems unlikely from a fundamental point of view, the market understands something we don't for the time being. The energy of the stock market is a lot smarter than our collective intelligence. Let the market do the talking.
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Wednesday, March 21, 2012
Examining the Top S&P Components / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Mike_Paulenoff
I have embarked on a project to constantly view and analyze the major sectors of the S&P in an effort to get a grasp of where the potential weakness is showing up within the SPX itself.
I've looked at the major SPDR ETFs in 9 major sectors (leaving out telecom, which does not show me much), and examined the top 10 components of those ETFs.
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Tuesday, March 20, 2012
Dow Stock Index Forecast Rise to 260,000 by 2032 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: John_Hampson
Secular tops in US stocks were 2000, 1968 and 1937 – 3 solar cycles apart (roughly 33 years). Secular nominal bottoms in stocks were 2009 (expected), 1976, 1944 and 1913 – 3 solar cycles apart (roughly 33 years). Secular tops in commodities were 1980, 1948 and 1918 – 3 solar cycles apart (roughly 33 years). Secular bottoms in commodities were 2000, 1968, 1938 and 1906 – 3 solar cycles apart (roughly 33 years). All these tops and bottoms fell very close to solar peaks and minima.
Tuesday, March 20, 2012
Dow Stock Market Index Ready to Form a Major Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Submissions
Marc Horn writes: The DJIA by breaking last Summer’s highs, as most other indices, have confirmed that we are in wave 5. The current MAP wave count for the DJIA is H-2 of 4H5 of D3 of W5 of M-2.
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Tuesday, March 20, 2012
Stock Market Investors Waiting.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
It seems to me, based on the volume trends I'm seeing, that the majority of folks are waiting on a big pullback to occur first before getting back into the market. Or, they may be waiting to get into the market for the first time, because they've missed the entire rally off the lows. It's that waiting attitude, and low bull-bear spread, that gives me real hope that the market will hang in there a bit longer than most expect, or the pullback won't be nearly as hard, or severe, as the masses think. But they're still missing the rally as they will wait too long once the selling begins, thinking it will get worse.
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Sunday, March 18, 2012
Stock Market SPX Uptrend Extends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Tony_Caldaro
A good performance by US and European markets as the US broke through resistance at SPX 1378 and rallied to 1406 on friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were +2.40%, and the NDX/NAX were +2.35%. Asian markets gained 0.8%, European markets gained 2.9%, and the DJ World index gained 1.9%. Economic indicators for the week were solidly to the upside. On the uptick: retail sales, business inventories, export prices, the NY and Philly FED, the CPI/PPI, capacity utilization, and the weekly jobless claims plus the WLEI improved. On the downtick: the budget deficit expanded, while import prices and consumer sentiment declined. Overall it was quite a positive week for stocks and the economy. Next week we get an update on the Housing market and Leading indicators.
Sunday, March 18, 2012
Stock Market Bulls Bears Status Quo... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
The way things are with the bulls right now makes it tough for the bears to deal with. But honestly folks, there isn't much to add to what's been going on for some time now. The market has two great things going for it, both powerful and potentially long lasting. One is potentially longer than the other, but both are in great shape at the moment.
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Saturday, March 17, 2012
BlackRock's Chief Equity Strategist Forecasts SP Stock Index Going to 1550 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Bloomberg
Bob Doll, chief equity strategy at the world's largest money management firm BlackRock, spoke to Bloomberg TV's Trish Regan and Adam Johnson on "Street Smart" today. Doll said that he thinks equity valuations will grow stronger and "at S&P 1550, stocks would still not be expensive...If Europe continues to heal and the Middle East doesn't blow up, 1550 is do-able."
Saturday, March 17, 2012
Stock Markets Face A Second Wall of Worry! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Sy_Harding
It’s an old market maxim that the stock market often climbs a wall of worry.
In the current rally the S&P 500 has gained 29% since its October low, and the wall of worry it climbed has been impressive. Reports in October showed the economic slowdown in the first half of the year worsened in July and August even as the 2nd half got underway. By November the eurozone debt crisis and fears of a potential default by Greece, and an ugly aftermath, were dominating headlines.
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Friday, March 16, 2012
Europe Stock Market Recovery / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Zeal_LLC
The world’s stock markets are increasingly interrelated. The psychology of traders, which drives most short-term price action, is continuously shaped by the nonstop torrents of global newsflow. So even Americans can no longer afford to ignore what is going on in overseas markets. And the influence of European stock markets in particular is large and growing, making their recovery well worth watching.
Thursday, March 15, 2012
Germany and Banks Point To Higher Highs In Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Chris_Ciovacco
As shown below, the market is currently being carried by tech, retail/consumer discretionary, and banks. These sectors do have a big impact on the daily movement in the S&P 500 Index - so gains can continue, but we would prefer to see leadership broaden in the coming days and weeks.
Thursday, March 15, 2012
Stocks Bull Market Discussion.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
This has been one fascinating move up in what is undeniably a bull market. It's been more of a grind up most recently, and that's a good place to start this discussion. Just four weeks ago we had a bull-bear spread of just under 30%. That's getting dangerously close to complacency. Any time it's over 30%, especially when it hits 35%, we have to be on guard for a very powerful pullback. Understandable, as we need to lose the momentum as things are just too frothy. My concerns were laid to rest over the past month as the grind in the market served to bring down those feel good emotions throughout the market place. It appears the masses were expecting a very big pullback and went south on the market in terms of their short-term thinking.
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Wednesday, March 14, 2012
Banks and Homebuilder Stocks Showing Impressive Strength / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Financial stocks had been treading water relative to the S&P 500 for the past six weeks. That changed late yesterday after J.P. Morgan announced a dividend increase and stock buyback program.
While the chart below looks complex, the concepts are easy to understand. The chart shows the performance of financial stocks relative to the S&P 500 Index. Here are the key takeaways for investors:
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Tuesday, March 13, 2012
Stock Market Investing, The Case for Spitting into the Wind / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes:
You've heard the expression "You don't spit into the wind," haven't you?
Well, it's true when it comes to trading and investing, too. You keep the wind at your back, and you don't give up easy profits by bucking the trend.
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Tuesday, March 13, 2012
Stock Market Volatility, Trouble In Paradise / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Tony_Pallotta
A chart is considered good when you do not have to add any commentary to make a point. The following is one such candidate.
Below is a chart of the spread between the volatility skew and the vix compared to the SPX. For those new to skew it simply measures the distribution of option implied volatility. When speculators price in tail events they buy out of the money options which "skews" or shifts the distribution of volatility from a normal bell curve.
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Monday, March 12, 2012
Current Stock Push Has Hurdles To Clear / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Chris_Ciovacco
The rally off the lows of last week has some work to do before it becomes convincing. While the longer-term outlook remains favorable from a technical perspective, the conviction from buyers needs to pick up in the short-term.
When Williams %R, which measures momentum, fails to clear -20 during a rally, the odds of a retest of the recent lows increase. As the orange boxes show below, numerous markets have not yet seen Wm %R clear -20. This is not a big deal, but we would like to see it cleared up before investing additional cash. Gains lasting one or two days could easily clear these conditions.
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Monday, March 12, 2012
Stock Market More Sideways Consolidation Before A New High? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate uptrend is still intact, but a short-term top is forming.
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Saturday, March 10, 2012
Fed On Deck... Jobs In Line... Stock Market Strength Continues... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
It seems over and over there's build up to a report that's going to make a huge difference in what takes place in the stock market. It could be the ISM Manufacturing Report. After that, we hear about the NY State index, or the Chicago PMI. Then we get the news on the big jobs report, and in between, week after week, on Thursday, we get the jobless claims report. We get durable goods, etc. Some of the reports are far from great.
Friday, March 09, 2012
Stock Market Affected By... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Submissions
Mark Blair writes: The stock market is affected, short-, mid-, and long-term, by The Things That People Do. Sometimes those things are riots and revolutions. My thesis is that, as things go from bad to worse, people will indulge themselves in these pastimes, and that will impact negatively on the markets.
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