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Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012 Mar 15, 2012 - 08:28 AM GMT

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Stock-Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs shown below, the market is currently being carried by tech, retail/consumer discretionary, and banks. These sectors do have a big impact on the daily movement in the S&P 500 Index - so gains can continue, but we would prefer to see leadership broaden in the coming days and weeks.


S&P 500 Sector Weightings Over Time

For those with limited time, the most important technical points in the video below begin at the 9:34 mark. Key points:

  1. 00:00 - 03:55: CCM Models remain bullish - DeMark comments.
  2. 03:55 - 07:58: German stocks (EWG) pass technical retest.
  3. 07:58 - 09:34: Bull-bear bullet points.
  4. 09:34 - 16:17: Financial stocks have a similar look to a bullish set-up from 2009.
  5. 16:17 - 21:00: S&P 500 history of money-printing induced bottoms (1998-2012).
  6. 21:00 - 25:15: Longer-term buy signals for vast majority of global stock markets are in place.

A concern, or bearish counterargument, not included in the video above, is the narrow leadership in the current market. Outside of technology, retail/consumer discretionary, homebuilders, and banks, there are few sectors, asset classes, or regions of the globe exhibiting strong relative strength.

Ciovacco Capital Management

    Copyright (C) 2012 Ciovacco Capital Management, LLC All Rights Reserved.

    Chris Ciovacco is the Chief Investment Officer for Ciovacco Capital Management, LLC. More on the web at www.ciovaccocapital.com

    Ciovacco Capital Management, LLC is an independent money management firm based in Atlanta, Georgia. As a registered investment advisor, CCM helps individual investors, large & small; achieve improved investment results via independent research and globally diversified investment portfolios. Since we are a fee-based firm, our only objective is to help you protect and grow your assets. Our long-term, theme-oriented, buy-and-hold approach allows for portfolio rebalancing from time to time to adjust to new opportunities or changing market conditions. When looking at money managers in Atlanta, take a hard look at CCM.

    All material presented herein is believed to be reliable but we cannot attest to its accuracy. Investment recommendations may change and readers are urged to check with their investment counselors and tax advisors before making any investment decisions. Opinions expressed in these reports may change without prior notice. This memorandum is based on information available to the public. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. This memorandum is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities mentioned. The investments discussed or recommended in this report may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial position. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. The price or value of the investments to which this report relates, either directly or indirectly, may fall or rise against the interest of investors. All prices and yields contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This information is based on hypothetical assumptions and is intended for illustrative purposes only. THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS ARTICLE. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS.

    Chris Ciovacco Archive

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