Category: Stock Markets 2011
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, August 09, 2011
S&P's Ill-Advised Downgrade Ushers in Stock Market Buying Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Kent Moors writes: A number of years ago, Standard & Poor's (S&P) gave me a desk in one of their offices on Wall Street. In those days, I was providing energy analysis for a short-lived S&P publication called Emerging Global Markets.
I never felt comfortable in that office. Actually, whenever possible, I avoided going there.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 09, 2011
Where Is The Stock Market Headed? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
"He observed that human emotions collectively had major impacts on the movement of stock prices and Markets in general, ultimately creating patterns that kept repeating." - From a book on Jesse Livermore's trading style.
Markets at major inflection points are more a function of investor psychology and less technicals and or macro data. The struggle between bull and bear, greed and fear will always play a major role in the success and failure of investors. As Jesse Livermore discusses these struggles are a reflection of human emotions and since human emotion never changes they leave patterns that are repeated.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 09, 2011
What's Next For the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Three weeks ago I began urging members of my service to reduce risk and raise cash. I pounded the table incessantly for the past two weeks to continue to raise cash and reduce risk. I have not issued a trade alert to members in over 3 weeks, but by acknowledging risk ahead of the debt ceiling debate I was able to sidestep one of the worst weeks in U.S. financial markets since 2008.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 09, 2011
The Stock Market SP500 Index Could Bottom at 1096-1100 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The markets bottomed last Friday at 1168 roughly on the SP 500, then violently reversed with a 47 point rally to 1215. I had forecasted a likely short term bottom at 1176/1188 ranges with a possible 60 point rally coming. With that said, I didn’t think it would all happen in nearly 1 trading day.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 08, 2011
Stock Market Recovered in 1994, 1998, and 2004 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Our July 27 article, How Will A Downgrade of U.S. Debt Impact Stock and Bond Prices?, is obviously more relevant now. Since the news of Standard and Poor’s (S&P) downgrade of U.S. debt on Friday night, we have been reviewing the market’s current risk-reward profile and preparing for what should be another volatile week for investors.
On Sunday, we revisited our study of points in market history that are similar to the present day. Since we are dealing with human greed and fear, we can better understand the bull/bear odds in the present day by looking for differences between markets that should have been held (1994, 1998, 2004) and markets that should have been sold (2000).
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 08, 2011
Stock Market Sell-Off Time to Profit Not Panic / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Kerri Shannon writes: Thursday's stock-market sell-off has injected investors with more fear and uncertainty - but this is not the time to panic.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average on Thursday fell 513 points, or 4.3%, and regained only 0.54% Friday to close at 11,444.61. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 60.27 points, or 4.8%, Thursday and slipped another 0.06% Friday to close at 1,199.38.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 08, 2011
Gold Cries "BullSheet" to Manipulated Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
In an extreme act of extreme hubris over common sense, a "forced rally" has begun. S&P futures that were down as much as 37 points are now down 14 points. It is 2:30 AM Central. I do not know what the actual stock market open will look like. However, I do know "sheet" when I see it.
A few times recently I used the word "BullSweet". One reader objected saying I was too polite. He proposed the word "BullShill".
Monday, August 08, 2011
S&P Downgrade of US Debt Puts Stock Market Under Pressure / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The financial markets have been under pressure now for weeks and the selling reached a crescendo last week as the DOW fell over 500 points in one day on Thursday. This weekend people are even more worried about what may happen this week, because ratings agency Standard & Poor's downgraded U.S. Treasury bonds from a AAA rating to AA+.
People are concerned that this ratings downgrade will have a big impact the stock market and interest rates.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 08, 2011
Why the Dow Dropped 500 Points / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Sam Chee Kong writes: The problem that now besiege the US economy does not happened overnight or during the past few years. It had been accumulated for the past 40 years whereby the US government encourage the growth of credit. Interest rates are kept low so that people can afford to borrow to buy basic necessities like cars and houses. However bankers due to their greed are not satisfied with the miniscule margin they are getting from the traditional brick and mortar business model which is accepting deposits and providing loans.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 08, 2011
How The Smart Money Handles a Debt Downgrade / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
These are the times where the smart money makes their money!
Here’s our take on the markets and what could happen Monday:
As we’re sure you all already know S&P downgraded the US to AA+ from AAA. And of course the repercussions are being heard all over the media and the net. More hype folks more hype.
Monday, August 08, 2011
Stock Market Low Very Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-16.
SPX: Long-term trend - The probability that the bull market which started in March 2009 may have ended when the SPX reached 1370 on 5/02/11 has increased, but remains unconfirmed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 07, 2011
Stock Markets Panic Crash Continuing, Is the Stealth Bull Market Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Investors and Traders are reeling after a week of plunging stock prices and high market volatility as the worlds major stock indices fought to and then failed to hold support sending the Dow down to an extreme intra-day low Friday of 11,139, before recovering to close up marginally on the day at 11,444, as of writing asia is sharply lower with Dow futures trading over 270 points lower at 11,170 suggesting a continuation of a downtrend early week to below Dow 11,200.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 07, 2011
Stock Market Broad-based Downturn Not Yet Confirmed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Stock markets normally trend together. So before a broad-based down turn can be identified, most equity indexes need to have rolled over. At present, that event has not occurred. But it is getting close
The NYSE represents a broad collection of North American and global securities. A decline below 7600 for a week (to August 12) would clearly indicate a new down trend has begun (Chart 1). Currently the index has just broken through the 7600 level. More time is needed to confirm a reversal of the bull market has developed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 07, 2011
Stock Market Downtrend Could Make a Double Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
In the US, the market recovered from its midday low on friday to close mixed but still posted the worse weekly decline since the early May 2010 flash crash. Europe, however, was not that fortunate and ended the week with their worse weekly decline since November 2008. The SPX/DOW lost 6.5%, and the NDX/NAZ were – 7.6%. Asian markets performed best losing 5.4%. While Europe lost 10.6%, the Commodity equity group lost 8.5%, and the DJ World index dropped 8.8%. We now have six of the fifteen international indices we track in confirmed bear markets, with the rest likely to follow.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 07, 2011
Stock Market Just Keeps Getting Crazier / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
What can you say about this week, mental and crazy swings, although I am sure there will be some hurting traders after all is said and done.
Last week I left readers with these comments.
Read full article... Read full article..."there is a setup for the bulls as long as 1258SPX holds, although I would prefer not to get that close to those lows, then the bulls have to "show us da money" and buy aggressively or they face losing the support areas we are currently vibrating.
Failure to hold these levels is a big issue for the bulls, as the market can be setting up for a substantial downside move."
Saturday, August 06, 2011
Stock Market Major Buying Opportunity? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
It’s sure been an exceptionally-ugly week in the US stock markets! The threat of Washington defaulting on its debt, worse-than-expected economic data, and the waning of Q2 earnings season conspired to wallop equity prices. The resulting sharp selloff has led to soaring anxiety and fear, traders are rushing for the exits. But these scary conditions are a contrarian’s dream, an ideal time to snatch up bargains.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 05, 2011
Stock Market Sitting On Fine Bull/Bear Line / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
We updated our similar markets study last night. The results are similar to the first pass. As mentioned in the July 18 video (see below), the slope of the S&P 500’s 200-day moving average remains a key differentiator between markets that should have been sold and markets that warranted a more balanced approach to risk management.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 05, 2011
Stock Market Too Early To Buy! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The U.S. stock market topped out three months ago and declined 10% from its April 29 peak.
Wall Street is already telling us it’s time to but again. That’s odd since they never told us there was a time to sell. But then they never do.
Friday, August 05, 2011
The Full Blown Correction Is Underway! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Wow! What a ride yesterday! For those of you that read me on a regular basis know that I have been waiting for yesterday since the 1st of July. Let’s face it, “you don’t have to be a weatherman to know which way the wind is blowing.” The market has run up so far and so fast that these last few days were long overdue and I said so in July. I didn’t advise readers to take cash and hide it under their mattress but I did advise that they lithely move in and out of positions in an effort to make a few dollars and build up their cash position for the inevitable sell off. In Thursday’s post I conceded that I was wrong that the S&P would hit 30 as I had steadfastly predicted and told everyone to look to buy slowly into the market as it had breached the 200 day moving average on the Dow and on the S&P.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 05, 2011
Stock Market Bulls Anxiety / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The market has stumbled since the beginning of the year.
Three times it has tried to get back above the first High made in February of 1332.60.
Read full article... Read full article...