Category: Stock Markets 2011
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, August 26, 2011
The Stock Market Fear Ceiling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Zeal_LLC
Fear is the greatest buy signal ever seen in the stock markets. This overpowering emotion flares fast, driving excessive selling that rapidly hammers stock prices down to irrational oversold levels. These fear-driven lows are the ideal time for investors and speculators to buy low, necessary before selling high later. Provocatively stock fear has an effective ceiling, absolute levels that demand aggressive buying.
Thursday, August 25, 2011
Contracting Fibonacci Spiral Implications for the S&P 500 Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: David_Petch
One month I wrote a piece titled “Markets Trapped in a Contracting Fibonacci Spiral – Point of Singularity in 2019”. This was based upon the Fibonacci sequence, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34 etc. One item I forgot to mention was that from the 1932 bottom to 1966 was 34 years and 1966 to 1987 was 21 years...subsequently we saw the 2000 top (13 years) and then the 2008 top (8 years). This is rather more than coincidence that every major top since 1932 was identified by following a contracting Fibonacci sequence. There is no indication for how long tops last, but in general, corrections are severe...at least 40-50%.
Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Will The Stocks Cyclical Bull Market Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Hampson
Time to revisit and update this table.
What are historically predictive indicators and measures currently saying?
Green = yes. Yellow = maybe. Red = No.
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Stock Market Poor Action Continues....Bears In Control / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
I spent part of the day in a hospital, and I'm tired, so tonight's report will be a little shorter than usual.
The market was very oversold on the short-term charts heading into the weekend and when those charts get repeatedly oversold, you get bounces for a small period time. You don't expect the world higher, but you know some type of reflex is on the way. We saw the futures blast up allowing for a higher open. The market tried a bit higher, but failed not too long after the market gapped up. The Dow was up just a little over two hundred points. In bear markets you avoid chasing gap ups. The market spent the rest of the day trying to hang in there, and after going red a few times, it did manage to hang on to slight profits.
Monday, August 22, 2011
Stock Market Long Term Looks Bleak – Not The Short Term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into about 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The bull market which started on March 2009 at 667 appears to have ended at 1370. The first intermediate decline of the new bear market may be close to being over.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 21, 2011
Is High-Frequency Trading Causing Higher Stock Market Volatility? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Investment_U
Justin Dove writes: Where were you on August 9, 2011?
Alright, it wasn’t some landmark event like Black Monday. Heck, it wasn’t even the 2010 Flash Crash. But to Art Cashin, it was one of the wildest days for the stock markets in 50-plus years.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 21, 2011
How Far Down Can Stock Markets Go ? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andrew_McKillop
The crash of Oct. 19, 1987, AKA “Black Monday” witnessed a 20-percent-plus fall of index numbers, and therefore nominal stock market value in 1 day: since early August 2011 we have had falls of around 15 percent in 15 days.
Retrospective mythmaking on the 1987 crash noted that Iran had fired missiles over the Persian Gulf, causing some nervous moments, rather like Hamas firing missiles on Israel, today. The decisive factor, for some mythmakers treating the 1987 event, was that 24 years ago the US wanted a lower-valued dollar, rather like today, prompting foreign investors to start to dump stocks fearing exchange rate-related losses.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 21, 2011
Major Stock Market Low Soon? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
After last week’s rebound, which carried into mid-week, world equity markets headed south on thursday and friday. While the SPX/DOW were losing 4.35%, the 10 Year US Bond hit an all time low of 1.98%, and Gold soared to $1881 on friday. Recession fears, centered around Europe this time, are driving rates lower. While monetary fears, centered around the developed countries, are fueling the rise in Gold. On the economic front reports came in mixed with an interesting theme: rising prices during a weakening economy. On the negative side: housing starts, existing home sales, building permits and the monetary base were all lower. The NY and Philly FED, plus the WLEI, are now all in contraction and negative.
Saturday, August 20, 2011
High Frequency Trading are destabilising Global Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Sam_Chee_Kong
“ Markets are purely about Speculations. There is no more such thing as INVESTING in the markets. It is just Speculation on different timeframes “
Traditionally we have the market that is made up of retail and institutional investors together with the market makers that facilitates these investors. In the last couple of years, there have been much changes in the investment landscape and that is High Frequency Trading or HFT for short. HFT accounted for about 70% of daily trading volume in NYSE, 60% in Europe and 50% in Asia. In other words there is a paradigm shift in the traditional Investors Buy and Hold market to a Trader’s market.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 19, 2011
Permanently Engineered Stock Market Volatility, The New Abnormal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes:
If the gut-wrenching market volatility of the past few weeks has made you sick to your stomach , I have some bad news for you: violent volatility is the new normal - or more precisely, the new ab-normal.
After massive market moves last week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 419.63 points yesterday (Thursday). And, while t hat may be bad news for average investors, it's something Wall Street wants.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 19, 2011
Investment Impact of Primary Stocks Bear Market Trend Since 2000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Brian_Bloom
If you happen to be a retiree, you will understand this is your gut: The Primary Trend of the US equity market has been “down” since 2000. As is clearly visible from the 80 year chart below (courtesy Decisonpoint.com) the market peaked in 2000 – that’s 11 years ago. Any arguments about a pending bull market are just noise. There is no evidence to support the argument being made by stockbrokers and investment funds that the markets will rise to new heights in the foreseeable future. For 11 years they have been talking to their book. Since 2000, the only way to make money on the market has been by trading in an out- which is why the hedge fund industry boomed.
Friday, August 19, 2011
Stock Market Yikes!! Dead Cat Bounce Or Flash Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andrew_Butter
The 5% drop in the US markets on Thursday was exciting, fortunately I hadn’t got around to doing anything about the decision I made in early August to jump in at SPX 1,150…Oops!!
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 19, 2011
Robert Prechter's Stock Market Critical Juncture Report Last Chance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
The Dow has plummeted over 2000 points in the past weeks and it seems like volatility is here to stay.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 18, 2011
Stock Market Handle Time Continues... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
And that means whipsaw, but little action worth talking about. The top today at 1208 should be the near-term high, although we will look for signs that it could be exceeded in the days ahead. 1101 is the clear low, and that level may never be taken out to the down side. The question I am being asked, already, is how long do these handles last. The best answer I can give is, no one knows, but a multi-month handle is very possible, if not likely. The bears did their best to take the markets down below 1249, and they did a great job. When we got extremely oversold, the market bottomed at 1101, and I talked about a handle to form, and that's in place now. It will be boring, and probably long lasting. Lots of whipsaw. Very emotional. In the end nothing from nothing. In the months to come, it'll make a move out of that handle, and there's no way to know, for sure, which way it'll break. It'll be dependent upon economic reports to come over that time.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Stock Market Bears Yell Fire in Empty Theater / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: David_Banister
Let’s clarify the SP 500 situation here:
The lows at 1101 were a convergence of fibonacci weeks, months, sentiment bottoms and VIX extremes along with major insider buying all at the same time.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Coming in October: Next Major Stock Market Cycle Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Mike_Paulenoff
A major price cycle on the daily S&P 500 chart, which shows reliability in bottoming about every 15.5 months, is due for its next low on or about October 31. The cycle appears to have been influencing prices since the 2002-03 lows.
To any market historian, the suggestion that such a major cycle is due to bottom next in the second half of October sends shivers down the spine of the most ardent market optimist.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Road to Apathy, Catching Out the Knee-Jerk Stock Buyers of 2008/2009… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Aftab_Singh
If we had to choose to indulge in just one form of pseudo financial mysticism, we would undoubtedly go for the view that financial assets tend to move in generational cycles. In short, we believe that nothing is more conducive to action than good old muscle memory. Here, I explain why the recent crash in the array of ‘risk assets’ is corroborating our hunch about the generational nature of trends in financial assets. Moreover, I consider one way in which widespread apathy towards speculation may come to pass.
Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Zombie Wars and the Stock Markets Next Attack / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Bill_Bonner
Whew!
What a week. Traders must be reeling. The rest of us are staggering.
And nobody knows anything.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Stock Markets Brace for More Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: George_Maniere
Last week was one of the most volatile weeks in the history of the stock market. In my opinion the cause of these wild swings and the subsequent spike in the VIX has been a loss in confidence in investors. The wild swings we witnessed in the market is proof that after three years from a near Armageddon in the financial markets we are far from having an economy that is recovering. There is not a doubt in my mind that we will be in for more volatility in the market because our leaders have been unable to deal with the core issues of a staggering debt and a stagnating economy.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Stock Market Counter Trend Still Rocking.....Not Necessarily Bullish.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
Text book market back test under way off the lows, which I've talked about. It's normal market behavior to test back up once you get a massive breakdown such as we've gotten. The oscillators got violently oversold. Oversold at levels rarely, if ever, seen on the daily charts. It certainly makes you take notice, since it begs the question, why did things get this bad? We don't have to understand it, but we do have to recognize that the market didn't like what it saw. We went down 2200 on the Dow, and have since retraced 900 of those points. It could go higher still. That doesn't necessarily mean things are bullish now. Not at all. Only a clean blow through 1249 would change that thesis, and I don't think we'll be seeing that any time soon.
Read full article... Read full article...