Category: Stock Markets 2011
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, August 15, 2011
Stocks Rally Back Toward 1,260 Possible Even If Bear Market Has Kicked-Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
We are participating in a PIMCO conference call this morning with Mohamed A. El-Erian and Bill Gross. PIMCO is very well connected and knowledgeable regarding the bond markets. We may be able to gain some insight into the debt problems in Europe and the United States. Serious debt problems remain and the solutions are not going to be easy since haircuts and negative impacts will be involved.
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Monday, August 15, 2011
What Is Stock Market SPX Fair Value / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Credit and commodity markets are saying one thing while equities are saying another and only time will tell which market(s) were right. History though is clearly on the side of credit and commodities based on prior recessions including the 2008 "not so great" recession where equities peaked just two months before the NBER declared the first month of contraction.
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Monday, August 15, 2011
Is The Stock Market Selling Over (For Now)? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
SPX: Very Long-term trend - Due to the recent market action, the odds have again shifted in favor of our being in a secular bear market which started in 2007. Whatever takes place over the next few weeks, the very-long-term cycles are down and will exert increasing downward pressure on prices. If they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into about 2014 (which may already have started).
SPX: Intermediate trend - There is a chance that the intermediate downtrend ended last Tuesday at 1101.54. Next week should clarify whether or not this is the case.
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Sunday, August 14, 2011
Stock Markets Panic Crash Continuing, Is the Stealth Bull Market Over? / News_Letter / Stock Markets 2011
The Market Oracle NewsletterAugust 7th, 2011 Issue #15 Vol. 5
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Sunday, August 14, 2011
The Summer Stock Market 15% Discount Sale Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The stock market managed to make it through to the other end of a wild week having survived the bears repeatedly letting off both barrels at the bulls, throwing everything they had at the market, starting with the downgrading of the US debt from AAA to AA (eventually to junk), intensifying in core eurozone countries such as France itself now also in the firing line for a downgrade, however by the end of the week the net result was a market that closed higher by about 100 Dow points against last Sunday evenings Dow futures of 11,170.
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Sunday, August 14, 2011
Stock Market Experiences Come To Jesus Moment / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Every now and then, fantasy and lies are dissolved by the truth. The truth cannot be denied. It cannot be misinterpreted. It cannot be distorted. When accepted, these points in time are known as a ‘come to Jesus’ moment. Only the truth matters. This past week, August 8, 2011 thru August 12, 2011, was a come to Jesus moment for the stock market.
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Sunday, August 14, 2011
Stock Market Setting Up For the Next Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Last week I left readers with this idea (see graph). Well fast forward and it seems we are setting up for the next move lower in what I suspect is a 5th wave towards lower prices.
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Saturday, August 13, 2011
Stock Market Wild Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The US market opened the week on a gap down to SPX 1182, hit 1102 on tuesday, then spent the rest of the week trading wildly between the 1120′s and 1180′s only to close the week at 1179. The FED met on tuesday stating they will keep rates low for the next two years, and the economy is weaker than expected. The weekly economic reports were mostly to the downside. Retail sales, weekly jobless claims and the budget deficit improved. Productivity, wholesale/business inventories, and the trade deficit all declined.
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Saturday, August 13, 2011
Stock Market Reflex Bounce / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Nothing goes straight up forever. Although it seems to do that quite frequently. And nothing goes down forever, either. When we fall, we fall hard. But a 2100-point drop is quite a fall, and it happened in just a little over two weeks. It was time for a reflex bounce as the oscillators on the daily charts got very oversold. You could say, safely, that it was violently oversold, and although we've seen lower oscillators in past bear markets, this was enough for the first leg down in that process. The bounce was quite good this week as we went up roughly 8% off the lows. Not bad at all, but really not much more than a 30-35% retrace of the move down.
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Saturday, August 13, 2011
Trading Stock Market Crash Fear and Panic / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
With the plunging stock markets terrifying traders, many are running for the hills. Steep selloffs always generate intense fear, a scary emotion from which we humans are naturally hardwired to flee. But in the stock markets, major fear spikes should be embraced. They mark the best opportunities ever seen to buy low, the necessary prerequisite to selling high and multiplying your wealth.
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Friday, August 12, 2011
Stock Market Time For Some Relief! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
We’ve had enough bad news in recent months. It’s time for at least some temporary relief.The economic news has been awful. The ‘soft-spot’ in the first half that was supposed to be temporary turned out to be worse than previously thought. GDP growth, previously reported as having been around 2% in the first half, was recently revised to being up only 0.8%.
Friday, August 12, 2011
U.S. Downgrade Triggered Flash Crash, Why Stocks Will Go Up Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
There are many theories about how to value the US Stock market (as a whole); some said that stocks were 40% over priced in May 2009, same story in August 2011. All it took was the hilarious spectacle of the workings of what passes for “modern” democracy to be aired on prime-time, for those same tired-old theories to get dusted off and paraded like some sort of universal truth.
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Friday, August 12, 2011
Aftershocks From a Nervous Stock Market ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By now, you know why I like the Institutional Index of "core holdings". It is because it is not really an index, and it represents the action of the core holdings being held by institutional investors.
Since it isn't really an index, it can't be manipulated, tweaked, or experience stop running. It is because of these factors, that this index of core holdings can be strikingly accurate relative to market turns and projections on a technical analysis basis.
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Friday, August 12, 2011
Credit Markets Point To A Major Stock Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Credit is like a black box to most retail investors. It's a shame CNBC gives Rick Santelli only 10-15 minutes a day to report on this market. The Fed may set short term rates but the bond market sets everything else. From credit formation that fuels economic growth to interest rates that affect everyone's life the bond market is home to many smart investors and one market you do not want to ignore.
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Friday, August 12, 2011
Stock Market Recovery Remains Weak / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Thursday's strong bounce in the markets may raise some hope with investors of a recovery, but equity indexes still remain far too weak for the bull to return.
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Wednesday, August 10, 2011
Stock Market Crash 2011 Critical Juncture Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Dear Investor,
The Dow plummeted some 1800 points in the past weeks.
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Wednesday, August 10, 2011
Global Stock Markets Poise for a Rebound / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Sam Chee Kong writes: Due to the Downgrade of the US Sovereign ratings by S&P, the current rout in the global stock markets seems like there is no end in sight. Last week the authorities hoped to downplay the severity of the downgrade by announcing the downgrade over the weekend when most markets are closed. Come Monday, all hell broke loose when trading bells open in Asia and Europe, markets are dropping like flies.
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Wednesday, August 10, 2011
Run, Ride or Buy? What Should Stock Market Investors Do? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
There’s an old contrarian investing maxim from Baron Rothschild that says “the time to buy is when there’s blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own.” The idea is that the best investors strategize when others panic, allowing them to buy stocks on “sale.” The legend of Warren Buffett was built on this philosophy during the market turmoil of the mid-1970s.
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Tuesday, August 09, 2011
Here Comes Stock Market 2008.2: My 5 Canaries / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
I’ve been telling friends and family the past couple of months that 2008.2 is coming, and it may have started with the recent sell off in the stock market.
I have 5 things (Canaries) that I’m listening to too, to let me know we are in serious economic trouble, where the economy and stock market could have another period like 2008 or worse.
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Tuesday, August 09, 2011
Sometimes Doing Nothing is Doing Something, How to Find the Stock Market Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Yesterday I had a dozen readers write to me asking if we should we be buying into the market now or commenting on what great bargain prices these stocks are selling for. I have written many times that "sometimes doing nothing is doing something". I told them that the hardest thing to do when the market sells off 634 points is to do nothing. I will explain why.
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