Category: Stock Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, October 18, 2010
70 RSI's... AAPL and IBM... Pullback Time Is Here...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
No one will argue that it's inappropriate for this market to sell off here. 70, or higher, RSI's abound on all the major daily index charts. The NDX as high as 77 today. That's just unsustainable for a very long period of time, even in the best of market conditions. The market starts looking for a catalyst and it found it big time after hours this evening.
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Monday, October 18, 2010
How to Protect Yourself From the Stock Market Inflate-a-Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
We are now officially in the thick of earnings season, which means added volatility for the marketplace. Splashy headlines like Google’s surprise surge in sales are making the bulls bolder by the day.
And as long as earnings reports continue to at least meet consensus estimates on average, that most likely won’t be the foundation for a correction… yet.
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Sunday, October 17, 2010
Stock Market Disquieting Underlying Technical Deterioration / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Here's the lowdown on last week's action from Marketedge: “Stocks continued to march higher last week as both the DJIA and the NASDAQ posted modest gains for the period.… The technical condition of the market was mixed last week as the CTI lost a couple of points, there was considerable deterioration in the Strength Indexes but the Momentum Index remained strong." Translation: The upward trend remains intact but there's some disquieting underlying technical deterioration that we must take note of.
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Sunday, October 17, 2010
Tale of Two Stock Markets, as Nasdaq Soars / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market had a very interesting session Friday as the indices gapped up at the opening, sold off very sharply early on, but held support, and then came on with a bang, especially on the Nasdaq 100, which caused mid-session to consolidate and then exploded into the close, to close at the high for the day going away.
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Saturday, October 16, 2010
Financial's Break.... Stock Market Holds.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
We have a bear market within a bull market. Unusual but true. The financial sector is in a bear market again as it loses all its critical moving averages. Some stocks in the sector are outright scary such as Capital One Financial Corp. (COF), Bank of America Corporation (BAC), Wells Fargo & Company (WFC), and JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), to name just a few. Take a look at those daily charts if you want to have fear put in to your head. Nasty breakdowns everywhere today in that world of stocks, and on huge volume to confirm those price breakdowns.
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Friday, October 15, 2010
Too Much Bullish Stock Market Sentiment? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The modern Fed has quite a history of blowing bubbles, and doing so even when it seems to be aware of what it’s doing.
Remember the dotcom bubble in 1999, and the stock market bubble in 2000?
In 1998, Fed Chairman Greenspan had already warned of ‘irrational exuberance’ in the stock market a year or two before. But the market had continued to rise into extreme overvalued levels by historical standards of price/earnings ratios and the like.
Friday, October 15, 2010
Will China Stock Market Lead S&P 500 Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Let's have a look at our comparison chart between the Shanghai Composite and S&P 500, as we examine whether the SPX will continue to follow China higher.
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Friday, October 15, 2010
Stock Markets Waiting On Helicopter Ben / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
U.S. stocks declined Thursday, dragging benchmark indexes down from five month highs, as financial companies slumped amid concern over growing legal scrutiny of home foreclosure practices. Bank of America, Citigroup and Wells Fargo slid more than 4 percent to lead financial stocks in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to a 1.8 percent drop. Apollo Group Inc. sparked a plunge in education stocks after withdrawing its forecast for fiscal 2011. Yahoo! gained 4.5 percent and EMC Corp. rose 4.5 percent on reports they may be takeover targets.
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Friday, October 15, 2010
The Chinese, Thai, US Bond Markets, and the Equity Markets – Two Ships Passing in the Night? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Summary: Since the market stock market crash in 2008 small investors have fled equities seeking the safety and stability of bonds. Two years later bond yields are at unheard of levels while equity yields on blue chips stand at levels not seen in decades. Investors would be best served heeding the warning signs and allocating cash to high quality blue chips.
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Friday, October 15, 2010
Last-Hour Rally Pares Stock Market Losses, and Google Leads Market Higher in Afterhours / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices suffered losses today, but a last hour sharp rally back brought them back from much deeper losses and closed down nearly unchanged today.
The day started out with a move down. The indices then bounced, made lower lows, and then had the best rally of the day until the last hour in the morning, reaching the highs for the session at about 10:30. They then stair-stepped their way lower all day, reaching the lows with about an hour to go at 2043.70 on the Nasdaq 100, but rallied 11 points on the NDX in the last hour. The S&P 500 rallied almost 7 points to close right at resistance.
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Thursday, October 14, 2010
Can the U.S. Dollar Drop Fast Enough to Keep the Stock Market Up? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Wheeee - this is fun!
The dollar dropped to 76.5 this morning and that gave us a nice pop in the futures which is fading now (8am) as we move towards our 8:30 Trade Report along with the PPI and, of course, the usual 450,000 weekly pink slips handed out to the few remaining US workers (135M and dropping almost as fast as the value of the dollar).
Thursday, October 14, 2010
Rise in Jobless Claims Takes Shine Off of Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The QE trade is alive and well and risk assets are firing on all cylinders. Gains in stocks and commodities, in particular, are now accelerating. It seemed to me that QE2 talk would prove bullish for risk assets. And the lack of a cooperative stance within the G20 on currency matters – as the IMF meetings over the weekend showed – is now adding fuel to the fire.
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Thursday, October 14, 2010
Stock Market More Signs of Strength Ahead of Q4 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The CBOE Volatility Index is a very reliable gauge of risk on the S&P 500. Traders continually adjust their option positions according to market and economic conditions. This is reflected in the movement of the VIX. The best method of interpreting this index is through historic band ranges. Particular market conditions have a corresponding VIX reading. For example, during prolonged calm advancing markets (ie 2003 to 2007), the VIX registers about 18 or lower. As the equity markets decline or economic worries grip investors, the VIX displays levels in the 18 to 33 range (ie early 2008, part of 2009 and 2010). During brief periods of extreme concern (late 2008 and early 2009), the Volatility Index leaps to over 33.
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Thursday, October 14, 2010
Stock Market Mid-Week Market Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Its been an interesting week with stocks, commodities and currencies having a knee jerk reaction to the FOMC minutes released Tuesday afternoon. In short the Fed clearly said there must be more quantitative easing before things will get better. It was this news which triggered a rally in both stocks and commodities.
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Thursday, October 14, 2010
Stock Market Nearing A Top Short-Term... Still Solid Overall... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
First of all, understand that the market is healthy. Next, you need to understand that it is overbought. Not violently so, but overbought, nonetheless. 70 RSI's across the board, with stochastic's in the middle 90's, is what overbought looks like. It does not mean the market can't continue a bit higher first, because it can, but 70 RSI and a 95 stochastic warn us that there is an imminent selling episode in the near future. It is what it is.
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Thursday, October 14, 2010
As The World Markets Turn... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
As I review the landscape at this time, the key feature I am seeing at this juncture is that a number of key markets are playing in the vicinity of significant support and resistance. Some of these are areas of technical significance on a very long term or long term basis. Among the markets in question are: US Dollar Index, Gold, EuroDollar, DollarYen, EuroYen, Australian Dollar, SPX, NDX, World Leaders Index, SPX:30 Year Treasury Bond ratio.
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Wednesday, October 13, 2010
The Big Bullish Elliott Wave Picture for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Back in late February 2009 I decided enough was enough, and I stuck my neck out and called for a massive bull market in stocks. I based this prediction purely on Elliott Wave patterns I identified as bottoming and the sentiment gauges were off the charts bearish. We had not seen sentiment that negative since the 2002 lows. The re-tracement of the SP 500 over the eight odd years was a textbook Elliott Wave pattern, and frankly I think I was the only person who noticed the significance of the 666 low as it related to the 1974 SP 500 lows to 1999/2000 highs. Why was that 666 number so significant and a key indicator of a major bear market cycle low? Well the reason is that marked a clear wave 2 elliott wave bottom both in price, and sentiment, and time all at once.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 13, 2010
QE2 and Earnings Boost Stock Market Sentiment / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
European markets open firmer today and continued to grind higher all morning after minutes from the Federal reserve showed policy makers are prepared to add further QE. Intel also added to the positive tone by reporting Q2 profit of 52c versus expectations for a 50c print. Gross margins came inline for the quarter but guidance was up for Q3. ASML followed suit this morning and rallied 3 percent after saying Q3 profit rose to €268.5m beating broker estimates for €247 million. Fellow Euro tech names STMicoelectronics and Infineon are better by 3 percent and 4 percent respectively in sympathy.
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Wednesday, October 13, 2010
European Stock Market Investors Bullish Sentiment Hits Nine Year Extreme! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Price-earnings ratios and dividend yields are showing that the stock market is expensive. And my big-picture economic indicators are signaling high recession risks. My liquidity indicators are confirming this recessionary scenario … they’re telling us that stocks are probably on the verge of plunging into a bear market.
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Wednesday, October 13, 2010
Quantitative Easing or Quantitative Looting? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jeff Fisher writes: Governments are spending far more than they could ever hope to collect through taxation.
In order to finance these yawning deficits, governments are borrowing massive amounts of capital from the private sector.
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