Category: Financial Markets 2009
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Saturday, August 29, 2009
Stocks Bull Market Crushes Bears Hopes (Again) as U.S. Dollar Weakens / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The Market Oracle Newsletter August 24th, 2009 Issue #68 Vol. 3 Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 28, 2009
Stock Market Speculative Advance Distinguishing Characteristic of Bear Market Rallies / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Personal income increased $3.8 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) decreased $4.6 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, in July, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $25.0 billion, or 0.2 percent. In June, personal income decreased $133.4 billion, or 1.1 percent, DPI decreased $119.9 billion, or 1.1 percent, and PCE increased $60.9 billion, or 0.6 percent, based on revised estimates.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2009
Stock Markets Selling on the Bernanke News / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Stateside Bernanke gets an encore, the Case-Shiller shows house prices were up MoM, consumer confidence soared 6.7 points through the 50 level and yet stocks finished only marginally ahead. Is the fat lady about to sing on the overbought summer rally? Maybe it will be called the Bernanke top in years to come?
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Monday, August 24, 2009
U.S. Housing Market Bottoming, Stocks Soaring, is the Crisis Over? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Martin Weiss writes: Our viewers said it was “fantastic.”
One said: “That was one of the most honest and informative pieces of information that I have received in a long time.”
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Monday, August 24, 2009
Stocks Stealth Bull Market Crushes Bears Hopes (Again) as U.S. Dollar Weakens / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
This article seeks to update the recent stocks stealth market and U.S. Dollar bull market analysis.
Stocks Stealth Bull Market Crushes Bears Hopes (Again).
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Sunday, August 23, 2009
Stock Markets Resumed their Five Month Uptrend Part2 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Financial Times: Corporate bond defaults hit record “The number of companies defaulting on their debts has risen to record levels this year, according to Standard & Poor’s, while investment returns for risky corporate debt have skyrocketed since January.
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Sunday, August 23, 2009
Stock Markets Resumed their Five Month Uptrend / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
After starting the week with a broad-based sell-off, stock markets resumed their five-month uptrend as investors’ confidence in the recovery prospects of the global economy gained traction. With risky assets back in favor, a number of bourses and crude oil closed at fresh highs for the year, showing resilience in the face of a sharp correction in China on Monday (-5.8%) and Wednesday (-4.3%). Safe-haven assets such as government bonds and the US dollar received a cold shoulder.
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Saturday, August 22, 2009
The Return of Stock Market Bubble Mania? / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2009
August 22nd, 2009 Issue #67 Vol. 3Dear Reader
The week saw the Stock indices slump early week which triggered a near across the board, top to bottom market calls AGAIN (5th time?) that this time the 'bear' market rally IS over and to prepare for the resurgent bear market.
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Saturday, August 22, 2009
80 U.S. Bankrupt Bailed Out Banks This Year, Hitting Depression Era Level / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Georgia and Alabama banks with combined assets of $927 million were seized by regulators, pushing the tally of failed U.S. lenders this year to 80 amid the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression.
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Friday, August 21, 2009
Stock Markets Another Glass Half Full Day / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
A real pick and mix day US data wise yesterday with initial jobless claims unexpectedly rising again, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index breaking into positive territory, leading indicators9.24% of all loans are now delinquent rising for the fourth consecutive month and mortgage delinquencies reaching record highs in Q2. . 23% of the mortgages in Florida are now either late on payment or in some part of the foreclosure process.
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Wednesday, August 19, 2009
Stock and Financial Markets Walking a Dangerous Inflation/ Deflation Tightrope / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Timing, Perspective... When it comes to engaging financial markets, timing is everything. When and where does one enter or exit, what are his or her objectives, and what frame of reference does one use to make such decisions. Answers to the above are essential prior to committing speculative funds against any given timeframe or set of objectives one may consider.
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Monday, August 17, 2009
The Three Bears Who Forecast the Goldilocks Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Charles Nenner, former Goldman Sachs market timing analyst, uses cycles, technical analysis, and a macro approach to time myriad markets. He called for a 2007 market top at around Dow 14,300. In 2008, he warned of a 30%+ decline in equities and in February of this year, he called for a large rally to take us to S&P 1000.
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Sunday, August 16, 2009
Stock Market Rally Celebrations Come to an Abrupt Halt / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
During the week marking the second anniversary of the start of the credit crunch, stocks, copper, nickel, zinc and sugar recorded fresh 2009 highs. But the celebrations came to an abrupt end as caution crept back into investors’ vocabulary on Friday when it dawned upon pundits that markets were running away from economic reality. On top of that, Chinese equities - a leading stock market on the way up - saw a reversal of fortune and declined to a five-week low.
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Friday, August 14, 2009
Stock Markets Continue To Defy Gravity And Logic / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
So when did the US market ever start caring about Europe where allegedly the recession is over. Odd that it sure doesn’t feel like a Renaissance on Main Street. US Retail sales (yes the US consumer is still approx 70% of the economy) were a total disaster, jobless claims jumped and foreclosures are a record high, but yet the market ended up because of “better than expected” earnings from Wal-Mart and legendary investor John Paulsen taking a stake in Bank of America and Regions Financial. Downright perverse. The decoupling of the market from the real economy seems to be at all time highs.
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Friday, August 14, 2009
Mega-Banks Juicing Profits and Economic Suicide / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2009
The Market Oracle Newsletter August 9th, 2009 Issue #62 Vol. 3Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 13, 2009
Fed Helps the Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The Dow Jones surged yet another 120 points yesterday on the back of existing home sales which rose more than expected (due to lower prices). They stayed perky after the Fed assured us that the US economy was levelling out and that they weren’t taking away that summer punch bowl during 2009 as there is no sign of inflationary pressures.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Financial Markets Behaviour of 2009 Tracking that of 2009 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Ok, now I’m starting to get spooked.
Long-time readers know that I’ve frequently commented on the eerie similarities between how the financial markets behaved in 2008 and 2009. However, at this point, things are beginning to border on “conspiracy theorist.”
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Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Have The Stock Market Bulls Gone On Holiday / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The bulls have finally gone on holiday as investors deem it prudent to take some risk off the table ahead of the Fed’s pronouncements tonight post 7pm and the retails sales number due Thursday 13.30. Double the expected drop in wholesale inventories and marked weakness in financials were the main culprit with Citibank down after being sued by seven Norwegian local authorities on the back of some alleged mis-selling of derivatives.
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Monday, August 10, 2009
Non Farm Payrolls Add to Stock Market Bullish Tone / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The positive price action on Friday was very much driven by reaction to the July Non-Farm Payrolls report as it was stronger than market expectations and more even more solid than last month (with positive revisions to previous months data), thus leaving the improving trend intact. With Jeffrey Frankel of the NBER reinforcing positive sentiment (he suggested that the recession may have ended in July), US equities responded positively to the news. The S&P 500 rallied to new cyclical highs, led by consumer cyclicals and transport stocks. An upgrade of American Express by Goldman Sachs also helped sentiment.
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Saturday, August 08, 2009
Stocks Bull Market or Bear Market Rally, Which is it ? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The Monthly Jobs Report did it again!
Sy Harding reports, “As I have been pointing out for many years, the Labor Department’s monthly jobs report has the record for coming in with a surprise in one direction or the other more often than any other economic report, and therefore produces more immediate triple-digit moves by the Dow in one direction or the other in reaction.
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