Category: Stocks Bear Market
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Sunday, May 03, 2009
Stock Market Rally Whilst Impressive is Not Sustainable / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: • Friday, most of the major indices closed at their highest levels since the early March low.
Short Term - The chart below covers the past 3 months showing the NASDAQ composite (OTC) in blue and an indicator showing the percentage of the previous 4 trading days that were up in black. Dashed vertical lines have been drawn on the 1st trading of each month.
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Thursday, April 30, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Strategies for IRA Investors / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Hans_Wagner
Investing in a bear market presents new challenges for conservative investors. No one wants to loose money. Fortunately, there are safe strategies for conservative investors to continue to invest their money. This conservative investment idea is designed to save your IRA from experiencing losses during a bear market. In addition, it helps to position you for the recovery in the stock market once it begins.
Monday, April 20, 2009
Three Stages of Stocks Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Q1_Publishing
In just six weeks the S&P 500 has climbed about 30% and the broader, small-cap focused Russell 2000 has soared 40%. It’s the steepest rally in more than 70 years. The bulls are off and running.
Despite it all, very few people believe this rally can last. And it’s because there are still so very few people getting in on this rally, odds are it won’t end very soon.
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Monday, April 20, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment: Time To Sell the Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Guy_Lerner
This is now the fifth week in a row where investor sentiment, as measured by the "Dumb Money" indicator, remains neutral. When we couple this with the fact that prices on the major stock indices remain below their 40 week moving averages, there is a high likelihood that the market will rollover in the next several weeks. I have previously discussed these observations in the article, "Investor Sentiment: Some Context".
Monday, April 20, 2009
Stock Market Another Leg Down? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brian_Bloom
In this morning’s media, (April 19th 2009) a Reuters article appeared, entitled U.S. transport Q1 earns watched for recovery signs (http://news.yahoo.com/..)
In it, the following statements appeared:
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Sunday, April 19, 2009
Financial Markets Are a Mixed Bag- ETF Attributes: Part 1 - Vanguard / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Richard_Shaw
Nietzsche said “Out of chaos comes order”. Obama says there are signs of green shoots and glimmers of hope. George Soros and Nouriel Roubini say if you thought 2008 was bad, you ain’t seen nothin’ yet.
Quite a range of possibilities! How to deal with them?
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Sunday, April 19, 2009
Stock Market Counter Trend Rally Ending Within Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the MarketSPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.
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Saturday, April 18, 2009
The Stock Market Trend is Your Friend Until It Ends / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Mauldin
In this issue: Thoughts on the Continuing Crisis
Dressing Like an Economist
The Trend Is Your Friend Until the End of the Trend
What Is Money?
MV=PQ
Two weeks ago I presented my thoughts on the current economic situation at my 6th Annual Strategic Investment Conference in La Jolla (co-hosted with Altegris Investments). The speech was well-received, at least to judge from the comment forms. So this week and next, we are going to revisit that talk (with a few edits). Let's start with a little set-up to explain the first few paragraphs.
Thursday, April 16, 2009
New Stocks Bull Market or Bear Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes:
Since sinking to a 12-year low of 676.53 on March 9, the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index had risen 24% — the best such short-term rally since 1933. But this isn’t 1933 and you shouldn’t trust the rally. Happy Days are NOT here again, at least not yet.
The 1933 rally came after a record-breaking decline. Real gross domestic product (GDP) fell by 25% during the Great Depression and the Dow Jones Industrial Index fell by almost 90%.
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Goodbye to the Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Shedlock
The market rallied on great Wells Fargo news. However, I am skeptical if not outright cynical of such bullishness. I am not the only one.Minyan Peter, one of the best reads anywhere, seems to agree. Please consider Goldman Sachs: Green This Morning, Hurricane Tonight?
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Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Is This a New Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Michael_Swanson
A month ago when this rally began most people were skeptical, but now all anyone is asking is how much higher will the market go? It is still down for the year, but now almost everyone is looking for the rally to continue from here - with many thinking this may be the start of a new bull market.
Many people are wondering whether or not this is the start of a bull market and whether they should buy now. Most guests on CNBC have been gushing over the market rally and some of the recent earnings reports.
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
Stock Market Rebound Closely Linked with Economic Data Surprises / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Mauldin
This week we will look at two shorter essays for this edition of Outside the Box. The first is some thoughtful words by Tom Au on whether or not we have put in a true bottom for the market. I particularly want you to read his thoughts on what earnings will look like going forward, and whether we can get back to the highs in corporate earnings we saw in 2006.
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
Watch Out For the Second Leg of the Stock Market Downturn / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Mauldin
This week we will look at two shorter essays for this edition of Outside the Box. The first is some thoughtful words by Tom Au on whether or not we have put in a true bottom for the market. I particularly want you to read his thoughts on what earnings will look like going forward, and whether we can get back to the highs in corporate earnings we saw in 2006.
Monday, April 13, 2009
Stock Market Counter Trend Rally Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Captain_Hook
Giving Up The Ghost Revisited - In the spirit of previous undertakings similarly focused on measuring the general sentiment of investors today, and in borrowing the title of a timely piece we penned last fall, we revisit the theme investors remain reticent about ‘Giving Up The Ghost’ on being bullish about stocks these days. Therein, and largely, they have not changed in their gambling ways, however time has temporarily eroded the bull’s convictions, or at least their pocket books, such that betting practices have been altered, which is allowing for the present counter-trend rally in stocks. As you know, this sentiment change has recently been detected in a decided turn higher in most of the index related open interest put / call ratios we follow, which has proven to be the only reliable measure capable of predicting price altering mood swings.
Monday, April 13, 2009
Overbought Bear Market Rally Expected to Sell off Strongly / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Guy_Lerner
After five weeks of "straight up" price action, the major indices and their ETF proxies are approaching key resistance levels.
Saturday, April 11, 2009
Green Shoots of Stock Market and Economic Recovery? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Mauldin
Is That Recovery We See?
Those Wild and Crazy Analysts
The Shadow Inventory of Homes
Commercial Real Estate Starts a Long, Slow Slide
P/E Ratios Go Negative!
The Effect of Earnings Surprises
Corporate Earnings and Recovery in Recessions
The Implosion in Social Security
The market, we keep hearing and reading, is telling us that there is recovery around the corner. And pundits point to data that seems to suggest the worst is behind us. The leading economic indicators, while still down significantly, seem to be in the process of bottoming. There is a large amount of stimulus in the pipeline. Mark-to-market has been modified. Housing seems to be finding a bottom, if you look at the rise in sales from January. And so on.
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Friday, April 10, 2009
Fundamental Reasons Why the Stocks Bear Market Will Return / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Sean Brodrick writes: After four weeks of gains, the market has been on a slippery slope this week. Still, we could see stocks rally though the end of this month or even longer. But the bear is out there, my friends. Here are seven reasons why … Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 09, 2009
Has the Stocks Bear Market Bottomed? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Hans_Wagner
After a long and brutal bear market, investors naturally wonder with each bear market rally whether we have reached a stock market bottom yet. Many analysts do not believe you can tell when the stock market has bottomed. Yet you still see many predictions that the market has bottomed out. Identifying whether we have reached a bottom in the stock market is important to investors who want to beat the market. It is also important to know whether we have reached a bottom in the stock market, so you can reduce your risk of entering to soon. This article provides two methods that you might find useful in identifying when the stock market has bottomed out. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 08, 2009
Stock Market Bounce, The Suitcase Farmer / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Paul_Lamont
Last month in Panic Selling Will Lead To a Sharp Bounce , we stated: "Bearish sentiment is everywhere. Investors have finally realized what we have been discussing for the last two years. And now that we are near a temporary bottom, some investors are taking action. Unfortunately, investors are reacting to the past. They should have been in cash during the downtrend...Instead, investors should be positioning themselves for a counter trend rally: by either not selling their stocks or if they are in cash, by considering market exposure (depending on your risk tolerance)." Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 08, 2009
Sustainable Stocks Bull Market Not Likely / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Rather than relying on hope as the primary driver for making decisions, investors would be well served to focus on the fundamental and technical facts. An analysis of the facts leads us to conclude we are facing the following in terms of probable outcomes:
- Highest Probability – New lows / continuation of bear market.
- Moderate Probability – Cyclical bull – higher highs – followed by retests or new lows.
- Lowest Probability – A sustainable bull market (secular).