Category: Stocks Bear Market
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, May 18, 2009
The Deceptive Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Captain_Hook
The old adage ‘appearances can be deceiving’ can apply to many different situations, but for today, in our financial mania centric world, there is likely no better use of the term than as it applies to the various markets that characterize the landscape these days. In this respect, right now stocks appear to be discounting better times ahead with their more recent rebound, however even those who do not understand the real reasons why, know this to be a falsehood.
Sunday, May 17, 2009
Stock Market Counter Trend Top of Undetermined Magnitude / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - On March 6, the index started a counter-trend rally of a corrective nature followed by a pause in the trend. We have reached a top, the nature of which is still undetermined, but more corrective action is expected.
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Saturday, May 16, 2009
Stock Market Counter Trend Rally on False Hopes of Green Shoots Recovery / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
A Brief History and Dow Theory Update - The method used and written about well over 100 years ago by Charles H. Dow were first termed “Dow’s Theory” after Dow’s death in 1902 by S.A. Nelson, who was a reporter for The Wall Street Journal under Dow’s stewardship. About a year following Dow’s death, William Peter Hamilton, who also served as a reporter under Dow began to write articles for The Wall Street Journal – mostly under the heading "The Price Movement." In these articles Hamilton analyzed and discussed, in terms of the investment or speculative outlook, the movements of the Dow-Jones Averages as related to business conditions in general.
Friday, May 15, 2009
Portfolio Hedging Strategies Against Fresh Stock Bear Market Lows / InvestorEducation / Stocks Bear Market
By: Andy_Sutton
While it may seem rather inappropriate to talk about hedging strategies while the markets are retracing at least a portion of 2008’s devastating plunge, common sense continues to support the position that the worst is yet to come. Granted, focus has shifted to ‘less bad’ economic data and the anointing of government spending as the elixir that will return the American economy to prosperity. Yes, that whole “We’re going to spend our way to prosperity” mantra is once again in play. Make no mistake about it; what we are witnessing right now will be viewed years from now as the biggest suckers rally in history – so far.
Friday, May 15, 2009
Time to Sell the Stock Market Rally, Real Bottom is Far Away / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: LewRockwell
Bill Bonner writes: Have you checked your stops, dear reader?
Remember back in November, we waited for the Obama Bounce? It was the one of the most reliable phenomena in the world of investing, we said. Then, we began to wonder. Month after month...no bounce.
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Tuesday, May 12, 2009
Current Stock Market Rally Within Supercycle Stocks Bear Market Part 2 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Bob_Bronson
Continued from Part 1 - GDP Continues To Accelerate Its Decline
The Commerce Department recently revised gross domestic product (GDP) downward for the fourth quarter of 2008. It shows the nation’s output of goods and services declined at a 6.3% annual rate, adjusted for inflation, from the previous quarter. It is clear confirmation that the recession is accelerating. Real GDP declined at the sharpest rate since 1982, while nominal GDP (no inflation adjustment) declined at the sharpest rate since 1958. The biggest hit to GDP came from the 4.3% annualized drop in consumer spending, the largest component of GDP. Business and residential investment also had large declines, and the deepening global recession took a toll on U.S. exports.
Tuesday, May 12, 2009
Current Stock Market Rally Within Supercycle Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Bob_Bronson
Confirming our long-standing forecasts:
• Notwithstanding normal fluctuations in economic data, the U.S.-led global recession continues to accelerate to the downside.
• GDP, corporate earnings, house prices, and auto sales are still dropping sharply.
• Efforts to replace the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency have begun.
• Bob Bronson wins a 10-year bet on calling the Supercycle Stock Bear Market
Tuesday, May 12, 2009
Cash Starved Companies Will Swamp the Bear Market Rally with New Shares / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: MoneyWeek
Everyone's getting very excited about all these 'green shoots' all of a sudden. George Soros reckons that the "economic freefall has stopped, the collapse of the financial system has been averted".
Monday, May 11, 2009
What You Can Learn from the Greatest Stock Market Rally Ever / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Q1_Publishing
The Great Reflation has begun.
All of the massive fiscal and monetary stimuli start to hit the markets. They’re starting to hit the economy too, although to a much lesser extent. And the bulls are off and running. It’s the Great Reflation.
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Saturday, May 09, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally Sparks False Investor Confidence / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
Since the March 6th intra-day low at 6,469.95 the Dow Jones Industrials have advanced 32.79% into their recent high at 8,587.55. The Transports bottomed on March 9th at 2,134.21 and have advanced 59.70% into their recent intra-day high at 3,408.28. During this time the S&P 500 has advanced 37.9% and the Nasdaq 100 also advanced some 37.9% into its recent highs. Then, there is the CRB Index which is up some 20% from its February lows and crude oil, which is now up from its February low some 68%. Yippee! Obama has saved the world. The job numbers were better than expected. The bear market has ended and the economy is now on its way to recovery.
Friday, May 08, 2009
Is The Stock Market Rally For Real? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Kingsley_Anderson
Whether we are seeing the beginning of a new bull market or just another bear market rally, the two month upswing has been quite extraordinary. As can be expected, the perma-bears and perma-bulls are out in full force, arguing their case with the vigor of someone that has a direct line to Nostradamus. Where do I stand? While the recent move upward has been encouraging, I have not joined the longs. Why?
Wednesday, May 06, 2009
Stock Market Trends for May 2009- Buying Bear Market Rallies / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Hans_Wagner
Analyzing monthly stock market trends uses the S&P 500 charts to indicate important trend lines. Trend following is a proven strategy to beat the market and grow your stock portfolio. Technical analysis provides the tools to analyze and identify trends in the stock market. Since the S&P 500 trend line chart is the one used by professional traders for their analysis, it is important to understand how it is performing.
Wednesday, May 06, 2009
Signs of a Continued Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Stathis
It's been a while since I made any posts about the market because there hasn't been much to discuss. A few weeks ago, I mentioned that the 8200 level was fairly significant and represented a pivotal point in the market. Since then, the market has rallied to this level and has stuck around.
Wednesday, May 06, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally or New Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Guy_Lerner
Since the equity markets bottomed on March 9, I have always been very careful to point out that the current rally is a bear market rally. In other words, when all is said and done, I believe that the current intermediate uptrend will be viewed as counter trend rally within an ongoing bear market. It has been my expectation that the current intermediate up trend has a high likelihood of rolling over in the next couple of weeks.
Wednesday, May 06, 2009
Stock Markets Have Never Made a Final Bear Market Bottom in March / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Donald_W_Dony
This article is an update on the April 22 Market Minute. As the March rally continues to advance into its ninth week, many financial reports are now indicating that the bear market is over and the low in March was the final bottom. Though the possibility is present, the probability remains remote. Since 1946, there has never been a final bottom in March. In the 12 bear markets over the past 70 years, six of the troughs developed in October and three occurred in May and June but none ended in March. However, in all of the bear markets, deep drops in March were present.
Tuesday, May 05, 2009
Wall Street Oligarchs Engineer Stock Market Recovery / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Gary_Dorsch
An eight-week-long upturn in European, Japanese, US and emerging stock markets since March 10th has sparked a wave of optimistic commentaries in the financial media, that the worst bear-market since the 1930’s has finally come to a merciful end, and the rocky road to recovery lies ahead. Since hitting a 12-year low on March 6th, the key global benchmark – the S&P-500 Index has rebounded by +34%%, while the KBW Index measuring 24-US-banks doubled off its lows.
Tuesday, May 05, 2009
What New Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Marty_Chenard
Some people are saying ...
Read full article... Read full article..."It's a new Bull Market!"
"This is the beginning of a new Super Bull Market."
"The banks are fixed, and the housing market drop is over."
Sunday, May 03, 2009
Stock Market Counter Trend Rally Suggests Short-term Double Top Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply
that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - On March 6, the index started a counter-trend rally of a corrective nature. Two weeks ago it looked as if we had reached a top, but today, we are at the same price; perhaps a double-top followed by a pause in the trend.
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Sunday, May 03, 2009
Stock Market Suckers Rally Built on Insider Trading / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Global_Research
Bob Chapman writes: Suckers rally in the markets, Dow will be driven down again, market gyrations motivated by insider greed, bank acquisitions point to a greater agenda, despite what economists and institutions are attempting, the economy will remain in a spiral In the first three weeks of April this year, insiders for NYSE listed companies sold 8.32 times more stock, by dollar value, than they purchased. What does that tell you? We won't insult your intelligence by answering. If ever there was an indicator to identify a sucker's rally, this would be it.
Sunday, May 03, 2009
Stock Market Rally Whilst Impressive is Not Sustainable / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: • Friday, most of the major indices closed at their highest levels since the early March low.
Short Term - The chart below covers the past 3 months showing the NASDAQ composite (OTC) in blue and an indicator showing the percentage of the previous 4 trading days that were up in black. Dashed vertical lines have been drawn on the 1st trading of each month.
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