Category: US Economy
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, October 20, 2014
Investors Quit Complaining, The Environment is Perfect Right Now / Stock-Markets / US Economy
By: DailyWealth
Steve Sjuggerud writes: Man, I'm tired of the complaining in the last few weeks...
Everyone is worried the U.S. economy is weak... and that stocks therefore have to fall. Everyone sees the recent volatility in the markets as proof of this.
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Wednesday, October 15, 2014
Is the Surge in Capital Goods Orders Due to Malinvestment? / Economics / US Economy
By: Frank_Shostak
Orders for US non-military capital goods excluding aircraft rose by 0.6 percent in August after a 0.2 percent decline in July to stand at $73.2 billion. Observe that after closing at $48 billion in May 2009, capital goods orders have been trending up.
Most commentators regard this strengthening as evidence that companies are investing both in the replacement of existing capital goods and in new capital goods in order to expand their growth.
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Sunday, October 05, 2014
Grandma Yellen And The Economic Mushroom Cloud On The Horizon / Economics / US Economy
By: Tony_Caldaro
Weekend. Saturday. Beautiful Indian summer imitation where I’m presently located in western Europe. Good time to start out with an empty sheet of text file (for lack of a better term), and stream some consciousness.
Most people must have figured out that things in the economic sphere haven’t gotten any quieter lately. That’s at least something. Stock exchanges in the developed world jumped from a -1%+ loss one day to a 1%+ gain the next. Volatility, nerves, and probably ritalin, have returned. You have to wonder what that means in markets reigned supreme by high-frequency robot traders and central banks, but nevertheless, the public perception remains. And perception is key.
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Sunday, September 21, 2014
Will the U.S. Economy Go Into Hibernation, Again? / Economics / US Economy
By: Investment_U
Rachel Gearhart writes: The impact of this year’s bitter winter on the economy can be seen in this week’s chart. The chart compares the Citigroup U.S. Economic Surprise Index for 2014 to the average of 2010-2013.
The index compares actual market data to market expectations.
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Monday, September 15, 2014
Preparing for the Full Force of Reality / Economics / US Economy
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
The real economy is suffering and getting worse by the day. The imbalances created by giant finance will not go away, regardless of intervention. There is an odd phenomenon at work. Society is now fully accustomed to the disbelieving the gap. Yesterday, things were going well. The market went up in spite of itself. Tomorrow ought to be the same. Everything must be fine.
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Thursday, September 11, 2014
Will Europe’s Woes Hurt the U.S. Economy? / Economics / US Economy
By: Clif_Droke
The U.S. economy has so far shown remarkable resilience in the face of several roadblocks year. It has shrugged off the threat of wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, has ignored the tapering of QE, and has been generally unfazed by every other obstacle in its path, whether real or imagined. Now, however, another threat looms in the horizon and poses a much bigger threat than previous challenges. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 09, 2014
No Economy For Americans / Economics / US Economy
By: Paul_Craig_Roberts
The Dow Jones stock average closed Friday at 17,137, despite the fact that the payroll jobs report was a measly 125,000 new jobs for August, an insufficient amount to keep up with the growth in the working age population.
The low 125,000 jobs figure is also inconsistent with the Bureau of Economic Analysis’ second estimate of second quarter 2014 US GDP growth of 4.2 percent–a figure beyond the capability of the present-day US economy.
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Sunday, August 31, 2014
If U.S. Consumers are so Confident Why aren't They Spending? / Economics / US Economy
By: James_Quinn
The sheep have been told their confidence is at a 7 year high by the propaganda peddlers working at the behest of the oligarchy. The sheep are also told that 10 million jobs have been added since the GOTUS played his first round back in 2009. The sheep have been told the record highs in the stock market prove that all is well. If the .1% are doing fantastic, some of the wealth must be trickling down.
Friday, August 29, 2014
The Eurozone is a Growing Problem for U.S. Economy / Economics / US Economy
By: Sy_Harding
· The 18-nation euro-zone is the largest economy in the world, eclipsing that of the U.S.
· The euro-zone is the largest trading partner of the U.S. (the largest importer of U.S. goods, the largest exporter of goods to the U.S.).
· The euro-zone is in an economic crisis.
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Thursday, August 28, 2014
U.S. Economic Contraction - Blaming That Cold Weather Culprit / Economics / US Economy
By: MISES
Devin Leary-Hanebrink writes: In February, the Federal Reserve made a cursory observation that the unusually severe winter was partly to blame for the stagnant pace of the US economy. The news media, ranging from liberal to conservative, all highlighted the Fed’s report and provided their respective “spin” on how the weather damages the economy. But soon enough, focus turned back to the brutally cold temperatures and not winter’s economic impact.
Tuesday, August 26, 2014
65,000 U.S. Marines Hold up a Mirror to the Economy / Economics / US Economy
By: Don_Miller
I was 18 years old when I left boot camp for Camp Lejeune, North Carolina, where the Marine Corps stationed 65,000 troops. When my unit got our first weekend pass and could actually leave the base in civilian clothes, something I hadn’t worn in several months, I put on a brand new pair of Levis, no belt, penny loafers, white socks, and a collared, buttoned shirt. I had no hair to comb—the Marine Corps saw to that.
Monday, August 25, 2014
Why Isn’t Fed Monetary Pumping Helping the U.S. Economy? / Economics / US Economy
By: Frank_Shostak
Despite all the massive monetary pumping over the past six years and the lowering of interest rates to almost zero most commentators have expressed disappointment with the pace of economic growth. For instance, the yearly rate of growth of the European Monetary Unit (EMU) real GDP fell to 0.7 percent in Q2 from 0.9 percent in the previous quarter. In Q1 2007 the yearly rate of growth stood at 3.7 percent. In Japan the yearly rate of growth of real GDP fell to 0 percent in Q2 from 2.7 percent in Q1 and 5.8 percent in Q3 2010.
Tuesday, August 19, 2014
The Coming U.S. Economic Collapse Will Trigger a Revolution / Economics / US Economy
By: Harry_Dent
When the next economic collapse comes, and it’s inevitable, the revolution against the upper class will kick into higher gear!
Let me explain using my long-term economic cycle — the new 80-year, four season, Generation Wave — and an important 250-year cycle…
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Tuesday, August 12, 2014
U.S. Economy Nothing New Under the Sun / Economics / US Economy
By: Andy_Sutton
Probably the biggest reason this column has been silent for the past few months is that there has been so much to say; yet there is nothing really new to say. Sometimes I wonder how reporters do it. They write essentially the same story every week or month, but have to come up with different words and flavors. This is likely why the ratings for ‘news’ are so low these days. It isn’t because people have suddenly become adept at sorting the wheat from the chaff; it is just that the news, like most of our world, has become like a soap opera. You can take a few months off, come back, watch an episode or two, and be right back up to speed. Someone will be fighting someone over some doctrine that may or may not have changed.
Sunday, August 10, 2014
The Picture of America's Old and Sick Economy / Economics / US Economy
By: Jas_Jain
As I reported in January 2005 ("Debt") the secular growth in the US GDP ended in late 1990s and all the growth since then has been a result of accumulation of the consumption debt (fiscal deficits plus household debt), as opposed to growth based on incomes, savings and investment, and I predicted that this build up in consumption debt would act as a big drag on the future economic growth. Now, the results (based on the latest GDP data with revisions) are in. Figure below shows the annual growth rate for the preceding 7 years (to smooth out the variations due to the business cycles).
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Monday, August 04, 2014
How to Play the Strong GDP Economic Growth / Economics / US Economy
By: DailyGainsLetter
On one hand, it’s great the economic growth is showing renewed progress as the advance reading of the second-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth came in at an annualized four percent, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. (Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis web site, July 30, 2014.)
Now I realize this is only the advance reading and things can change over the next few weeks as more credible estimates come into play, but I’m sure the Federal Reserve is keeping close tabs on the numbers. Investors are also likely quite nervous.
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Monday, July 28, 2014
Second Quarter Corporate Earnings: Marching Toward a Strong Economic Recovery / Economics / US Economy
By: Frank_Holmes
It's earnings season once again, and though only a quarter of the Russell 1000 has reported so far, the news is just north of positive. All signs indicate that the market has dusted itself off and is back to its cheerful self after a ho-hum first quarter, which was negatively affected by harsh winter weather.
Wednesday, July 16, 2014
U.S. Economy Quarterly Review and Implications for 2014-2015 / Economics / US Economy
By: John_Mauldin
This week’s Outside the Box is from an old friend to regular readers. It’s time for our Quarterly Review & Outlook from Lacy Hunt of Hoisington Investment Management, who leads off this month with a helpful explanation of the relationship between the US GDP growth rate and 30-year treasury yields. That’s an important relationship, because long-term interest rates above nominal GDP growth (as they are now) tend to retard economic activity and vice versa.
The author adds that the average four-quarter growth rate of real GDP during the present recovery is 1.8%, well below the 4.2% average in all of the previous post-war expansions; and despite six years of federal deficits totaling $6.27 trillion and another $3.63 trillion in quantitative easing by the Fed, the growth rate of the economy continues to erode.
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Monday, July 07, 2014
What Is the Rate of Return on the Louisiana Purchase? / Economics / US Economy
By: David_Howden
David Howden and Daniel Fernández-Renau Atienza write: Everyone loves making a buck, including governments. Unfortunately, the reality of many “great deals,” especially in the history books, has today been inflated to mythical proportions.
While most countries throughout history expanded their frontiers through peaceful trade or the spoils of war, the United States purchased much of its land, mostly from foreign governments. Today several of these land purchases are immortalized as great financial coups for the country.
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Saturday, June 28, 2014
A Second Quarter U.S. GDP Bounce-Back May Not Be Bullish / Economics / US Economy
By: Sy_Harding
No one, or at least hardly anyone, expects the U.S. economy is sliding into a recession, which would require two straight quarters of negative growth.
The sharp plunge in first quarter GDP, to negative 2.9%, should reverse to a positive reading of some degree in the second quarter. You get no argument from me on that score.
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