Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, June 15, 2007
Homebuilders Stocks Rallying : How could this be? Part II / Housing-Market / US Housing
My trading strategy is fairly simple. I identify a dominate theme and then buy leading stocks in that theme. This has worked quite well for me over the years. Back in the good old days it was the Internet and stocks like AOL (TWX), CMGI (CMGI), Cisco (CSCO), Intel (INTC) and Microsoft (MSFT). Over the past three years, it has been industrialization of the emerging markets. This led to the formation of my Big Build-Out (BBO) portfolio and stocks like Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (RIO), Southern Copper (PCU) and BHP Billiton (BHP). Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 15, 2007
We are on the Brink of a UK Housing Market Crash Warns Fool.co.uk / Housing-Market / UK Housing
Household finances in British homes are at breaking point. With virtually no safety margin in the average household budget, a further rise in interest rates could tip many homeowners over the edge, according to a study by personal finance website Fool.co.uk .Currently, the gross income of the average household in the UK is £32,800 (1). This equates to a net income of £,700 (1) after adjusting for the receipt of benefits and the deduction of direct and indirect taxes. While this comfortably exceeds average household expenditure of £20,800 (2) before mortgage payments, it only tells part of the story.
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Tuesday, June 12, 2007
Housing Market Crashing? Yes, In Slow Motion / Housing-Market / US Housing
Interesting video on the US housing market crash by Itulip.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 06, 2007
On Interest Rates Decision One Million Homeowners Drowning in Alphabet Soup / Housing-Market / UK Housing
"...The City of London leads Europe – and only just tails the US – in packaging debt as an investment product. Most especially, the City loves mortgage-backed securities..."
WILL THE BANK OF ENGLAND raise Sterling interest rates on Thursday? One million British homeowners are hoping they don't.
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Saturday, June 02, 2007
What a Housing Market Recovery Will Look Like - Housing Bust Recovery in 1930s / Housing-Market / US Housing
The housing bust is here and we can all expect home prices to decline every year for years to come. However, recovery will eventually happen and when today's market seems bad just take a look at this video to know what a recovery looks likeRead full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 01, 2007
Price is Everything in Today's Housing Market! / Housing-Market / US Housing
Mike Larson writes : There is demand for housing out there. Yes, you heard me right — people are willing to buy homes.
There's just one catch: The prices have to be low!
That's one message from the April housing data. The other is that we are literally swimming in homes for sale — condos, town houses, single-family homes, you name it!
Let me tell you what this means …
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Thursday, May 31, 2007
MORTGAGE APPROVALS FALL / Housing-Market / UK Housing
- Building society gross advances amounted to £3,772m in April 2007, compared to £3,512m in April 2006.
- Net advances were £1,031m in April 2007, versus £1,106m in April 2006.
- Approvals were £3,910m in April 2007, down from £4,248m in April 2006.
Thursday, May 31, 2007
UK Housing Market Boom Coming to an End / Housing-Market / UK Housing
Data released by the Bank of England confirms a continuing drop on mortgage approvals as the number of loans approved for house purchases in April were 107,000, for remortgaging 98,000 and for other purposes 72,000 were all lower than in March. The numbers are all down significantly on the start of the year.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 31, 2007
Real Estate Bubbles and California's Economic Growth, Video Lecture Part 1 / Housing-Market / US Housing
An economics video presentation at Humboldt State University. Special guest lecturer Dr. Christopher Thornberg of Beacon Economics discusses the current housing bubble and its effects on CaliforniaRead full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 29, 2007
UK Home Information Packs (HIPs) on the Rack ? / Housing-Market / UK Housing
The looming introduction of home information packs (Hips) will no doubt have had many property investors and landlords scratching their chins and wondering whether they would cost more than they could possible save.While the packs might be a welcome boost for landlords looking to expand their portfolio, those aiming to sell off a few properties could have regarded them as one extra headache.
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Tuesday, May 29, 2007
Real Estate and Asset Deflation: You Assume, You Lose / Housing-Market / Deflation
"Begin challenging your own assumptions. Your assumptions are your windows to the world. Scrub them off every once in a while or the light won't come in." ~ Alan Alda
Just to prove that every village has its idiots, an article in the San Francisco Chronicle's Sunday Real Estate section last week featured an assortment of irresponsible "mortgage consultants" and "financial strategists" speaking enthusiastically about the idea of borrowing against the equity in your home in order to invest in the stock market (or wherever else you might want to take a chance on achieving an investment return higher than the interest rate you would pay on a home loan).
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Monday, May 28, 2007
The California Housing Report: Details In the Data Show A Broad-based Price Decline / Housing-Market / US Housing
Headline: "C.A.R. [California Association of Realtors] reports sales decrease 27.8 percent in April, median price of a home in California at $597,640, up 6.2 percent from year ago." Then we also read, "Throughout the state inventory levels have increased to their highest levels in recent years..."
Price increase in the climate of declining sales and rising inventory? Something doesn't add up.
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Friday, May 25, 2007
US Housing Discounting and the Gold Bull Market / Housing-Market / Gold & Silver
"...The only way US builders can shift unsold homes is to discount. Existing homes, in contrast, won't sell – because the discounting has yet to begin..."
BUY LOW, SELL HIGH – it sounds simple enough. Yet the strategy eludes most people.
Drowning in newsprint, they like to buy what's hot instead – like Tech Stocks in late 1999, oil futures in summer 2005, subprime mortgage-backed bonds in 2006, tulip bulbs in Amsterdam , 1624.
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Wednesday, May 23, 2007
Homebuilders Stocks Rallying : How could this be? / Housing-Market / US Housing
Since bottoming on April 12th, the SPDR Homebuilders ETF (XHB) is up 12.5%; twice as much as the S&P 500's gain of 6%. If you are surprised by that statement you are not alone. I still find it hard to believe even after staring at the chart.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 22, 2007
Investment Flash: Derivatives Say Bernanke Will Be Wrong / Housing-Market / US Housing
U.S. mortgages in foreclosure rose in April 62% from a year ago according to RealtyTrac Inc. Folks are increasingly losing their homes as we warned last October . Attempting to allay fears, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke spoke last Thursday: "We believe the effect of the troubles in the subprime sector on the broader housing market will be limited and we do not expect significant spillovers from the subprime market to the rest of the economy or to the financial system." We clearly disagree.
Credit Suisse's ARM Reset Schedule, included in our last report , shows that over $1 Trillion dollars worth of adjustable rate mortgages will reset over the next 5 years. Bloomberg is just now reporting on the extent of the subprime meltdown . Even more telling is what credit derivative market charts are showing.
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Friday, May 18, 2007
HIPs Will Lead to UK Housing Market Crash / Housing-Market / UK Housing
The introduction of home information packs will lead to a housing market crash, it has been claimed. Julian King, director of National Homebuyers says: "There are many indicators of a crash already in place; increases in repossessions, continued interest rate hikes, first time buyers unable to get on the ladder and the introduction of Hips."Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 13, 2007
Analyst Warns of 'Potential Housing Market Crash' / Housing-Market / UK Housing
A financial industry expert has warned of a 'potential crash' in the property market.F&C Investments' Ted Scott believes a negative yield on property could lead to buy-to-let investors selling their homes as they can no longer cover costs - which would precipitate a housing market crash.
This scenario will be made more likely should the Bank of England's monetary policy committee (MPC) choose to increase rates to 5.75 per cent in the near future - as has been predicted.
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Thursday, May 10, 2007
Inventory and Sales Of Single Family Homes In Santa Clara County / Housing-Market / US Housing
The median price for the county in April increased 12.1%, YoY, more than I expected, led by increased prices and volume in high-priced areas like Cupertino, Los Gatos and Palo Alto.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 04, 2007
Dump REITs - An early heads up on another Important US real estate trend! / Housing-Market / US Housing
Mike Larson writes: You want to know how to make big money in the markets? Be early.
By picking up on a trend in its infancy, you're able to position your portfolio for the day when that trend explodes onto the front pages of the nation's business sections. Then, when mainstream investors pile in, you'll be there to sell to them.
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Wednesday, May 02, 2007
Global stock market growth to offset US Housing Slump - Whistling Dixie To The Chicken Littles / Housing-Market / US Housing
Having stayed out of the limelight for far to long, the 'bubbles forever!' doctrine is roaring back:
"Speculative money needs to go somewhere. There is no question that some of it is moving away from housing and into the stock market." Van der Eb, of the Gamco Mathers Fund, Chicago Tribune
"...bulls argue that global stock market strength helps to offset the wealth lost in people's homes..." Street
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