Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, August 24, 2007
There’s No Such Thing as a Free Bailout for the US Housing Market / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
PIMCO's William Gross is now calling for a fiscal policy bailout for the U.S. housing market debacle rather than a monetary policy bailout (see “Where's Waldo? Where's W?”). On the surface, Gross's arguments seem to make sense – on the surface . Gross argues that even a cut in the federal funds rate of several hundred basis points might not lower reset rates on adjustable-rate mortgages enough to prevent the massive looming foreclosures. In addition, Gross argues that such an injection of Fed-created credit could be the catalyst for a run on the dollar, which, in turn, would probably prevent 15-year or 30-year fixed rate mortgage yields from falling enough, if at all, to prevent massive foreclosures.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 22, 2007
US Housing Market Collapse Not Correction! / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
With U.S. mortgage defaults up 90+% from a year ago, collapse of U.S. mortgage market is being felt around the world. U.S. housing starts have fallen to a ten year low, and are headed lower. Financial infrastructure that fueled this speculative bubble is being dismantled. Rate is important, but so is means of funneling money to borrowers. Mortgage financing system begins with mortgage brokers at front end. Mortgages then travel through layers of investment bankers till ultimately residing in portfolios of gullible investors around the world.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 22, 2007
UK Housing Market Crash of 2007 - 2008 and Steps to Protect Your Wealth / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Credit Crunch has been hitting the UK Mortgage Sector hard as many easy credit mortgage deals have been removed from the high street shelves in recent weeks. Despite central bank actions to ease financing terms and increase liquidity, this does not address the real issues of illiquid mortgage related bonds and expectations that the UK Housing Market will slump on the back of a surge in foreclosures. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 18, 2007
Real Estate and Asset Deflation : Death of the "Sure-Thing" / Housing-Market / Deflation
By: Steve_Moyer
" The only unchangeable certainty is that nothing is certain or unchangeable ." ~ John F. Kennedy
I have two sons in college and therefore work for a living, so I'm not one of those pundits able to crank out daily or weekly market updates. Then again, the credit implosion/liquidity crisis/asset deflation scenario is so assured at this point, I feel obligated to weigh in a bit more frequently.
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Saturday, August 11, 2007
Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Syndrome. The Third Rail of the Housing Led Boom / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Dr_Housing_Bubble
Unless you've been living under a rock, it is apparent that there will be no summer bounce in housing. This comes as a grave shock to those that are entwined like a ball of yarn with the housing industry. We've created an entirely new generation of folks that think housing equity equals housing wealth. All of us have anecdotal stories of friends, family members, or ourselves tapping into home equity for vacations, consumption purchases, or using the HELOC to pay off other credit cards. The simplicity of getting money out of your home is so easy it is frightening.
Step one , you call the bank.
Wednesday, August 01, 2007
Putting Home Sellers on the Couch: The Psychology of why Sellers Refuse to Lower Prices / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Dr_Housing_Bubble
Driving to a meeting, I tuned into a show called House Calls on a local FM talk radio station. The show centers on real estate investing and taking calls (massively prescreened) from the public. Whenever I'm in the car on a Saturday morning driving with the gorgeous California sun, I usually tune into this station to see what the media and the public are saying about the housing market. I've listened to this show for a very long time. And I can tell you that last year they were cheerleading Southern California housing like you wouldn't believe. Any caller mentioning the word “bubble” was painted as a tinfoil hat wearing bubblelista. Fast forward one year to summer 2007 and they are giving the advice of investing out of state for cash flow properties. Sounds like the strategy I've been purporting since the beginning but why mince words, these are the experts.
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Monday, July 30, 2007
Rich Investor, Poor Investor / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: David_Morgan
One of the most widely read books on money and investing has to be Robert Kiyosaki's Rich Dad, Poor Dad, which is a unique economic perspective developed by Kiyosaki's exposure to two “dads,” his own highly educated father, and the multimillionaire eighth-grade dropout father of his closest friend.
Saturday, July 28, 2007
Real Estate Trends Forecasting Online Course Using Elliott Wave Theory / Housing-Market / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Sarah_Jones
The Research Company that Predicted Current Real Estate Woes in 2005 Unveils New Online Course on Real Estate Trends
Elliott Wave International, the world's largest market forecasting firm, has just released it's much-anticipated online investment course on real estate trends, entitled Learn to Anticipate Real Estate Trends – For Buyers, Builders, Bankers and Brokers .
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Saturday, July 28, 2007
Why Did the Housing Phenomenon Spread? Three Key Reasons for a Social Epidemic: Housing Connectors; Mavens; and Salespeople / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Dr_Housing_Bubble
We can learn a lot from the social sciences especially in analyzing the current housing bubble. Many may see very little connection between housing and social science but behavioral economics and marketing have much to do and say regarding our current environment. This is particularly relevant in analyzing the current housing market because we are in a bubble; and by definition something in a bubble does not follow conventional rules.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 26, 2007
Brakes Slammed on UK House Prices in July / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nationwide
- House price growth stalled in July, bringing annual growth back down into single digits
- A rise in interest rates to 6% is firmly on the horizon, but weak household income growth and mortgage payment shocks highlight the risk of monetary overkill
- The Housing Green Paper is a welcome step on housing supply but, as the recent flooding shows, the challenges ahead are substantial
Saturday, July 21, 2007
Why the Housing Market Has Failed You. Five Major Failures of the US Housing Market / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Dr_Housing_Bubble
I'm sure many of you already read the article about The Real Estate Prayer Luncheon in Florida where a group of hopeful agents prayed that the housing slump will end. I actually think this is a great idea to resurrect the housing market. So in light of this, I am going to pray that my new book coming out called The Wealth via Failure Code will be a major success. I'm praying that all of you will buy it. Since we are living a surreal housing environment, I figure writing a book with Orwellian themes will tickle many of your fancies.
Monday, July 16, 2007
Mission Accomplished: 3 Housing Issues: Multiple Bottoms, Declining Dollar, and More Sub-prime and Alt-A Defaults / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Dr_Housing_Bubble
It is said that the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result. If we adhere to this definition, housing pundits must be clinically insane because since the middle of 2006 we've been hearing rhetoric of “yes, today we've reached bottom.” Amazing how these folks live on one way streets. During the past seven years, each new record high was welcomed and when asked if this was a peak most would respond that the sky was the limit. No end in their immediate future. If up to them, housing would appreciate 20% each year until the end of time.
Saturday, July 14, 2007
US Housing Market and the Stock Market / Housing-Market / US Stock Markets
By: Tim_Wood
I first reported publicly on October 28, 2005 that the housing market was at risk of having completed a long-term cyclical top. At that time I posted a couple of housing indexes, gave the key levels to watch and said that any such break would be a major indication that the housing market had indeed topped. This break did in fact occur with the decline into the following intermediate-term cycle low and I know that along the Gulf Coast, housing has been dead ever since.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 08, 2007
The Consequences of Reckless Mortgage Lending / Housing-Market / Subprime Mortgage Risks
By: Money_and_Markets
Mike Larson writes : The house down the street with the overgrown lawn and the cracked kitchen window …
The rowhouse stripped of its copper piping and filled with filth …
The cheap listing on your block, the one offered for thousands less than any comparable home …
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Saturday, July 07, 2007
Comparative Analysis of 3 U.S. Cities: Contrary to What Your Parents Told You, Not all Bubbles are Created Equally / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Dr_Housing_Bubble
As we are witnessing the mortgage debacle unfold in California, there are other parts of the country that felt very little impact by this seven year credit bubble. For the most part, this bubble has been isolated to coastal metro areas. Not uncommon in beach locales, housing in prime locations always yields a commanding price in the market. But to what extent? Actually to the extent the market can sustain the price, sellers will ask for Pollyanna if they have the inclination they will get it. Yet this desire for higher and riskier mortgages has added fuel to a housing craze unparalleled in history.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 04, 2007
FSA finds poor practice by intermediaries and lenders within sub-prime mortgage market / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Submissions
The Financial Services Authority (FSA) today published its latest review of the behaviour of intermediaries and lenders within the sub-prime mortgage market, which services consumers with impaired credit histories. It has found weaknesses in responsible lending practices and in firms' assessments of a consumer's ability to afford a mortgage. As a result the regulator has started enforcement action against five firms.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 02, 2007
The Fed's Role in the Bear Stearns Meltdown / Housing-Market / Subprime Mortgage Risks
By: Mike_Whitney
The Bank for International Settlements issued a warning this week that the Federal Reserve's monetary policies have created an enormous equity bubble which could lead to another “Great Depression”. The UK Telegraph says that, “ The BIS--the ultimate bank of central bankers--pointed to a confluence a worrying signs, citing mass issuance of new-fangled credit instruments, soaring levels of household debt, extreme appetite for risk shown by investors, and entrenched imbalances in the world currency system.
The IMF and the UN have issued similar warnings, but they've all been shrugged off by the Bush administration. Neither Bush nor the Federal Reserve is interested in “course correction”. They plan to stick with the same harebrained policies until the end.
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Sunday, July 01, 2007
So Much for the Spring House Selling Season! / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Money_and_Markets
Mike Larson writes: I'm an optimist. No, really. In "regular life," I like to look at the bright side of things. Anyone who has known me for a long time will tell you the same thing.
But when it comes to the markets, I don't mess around. Starry-eyed optimism is a recipe for disaster. You have to approach trading and investing in a cold, rational manner. I don't care if you're talking about bonds, stocks, real estate, or anything else.
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Thursday, June 28, 2007
US Housing Subprime Mortgage Shoes Continue to Drop / Housing-Market / Subprime Mortgage Risks
By: Peter_Schiff
The meltdown in the subprime mortgage market is inexorably spreading throughout the U.S. economy. The first shoe dropped in February, when scores of mortgage originators went bust amid rising defaults and tightening lending standards. Last week, the second shoe dropped as two CDO-focused Bear Stearns hedge funds blew up. Overshadowed by the Bear Stearns drama which unfolded at the same time, California-based brokerage firm Brookstreet Securities shut its doors when unsecured customer losses from margined investments in collateralized mortgage obligations were "unrepentantly" marked down. However, as the subprime monster likely resembles a giant centipede, this will not be the last show to drop.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 28, 2007
The Housing Tipping Point. 3 Factors That Will Burst the Bubble: The Negative Wealth Effect, Negative Press, and Suffocating Debt Payments / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Dr_Housing_Bubble
As the Fed does an ostrich impression by sticking its head in the ground and pretending everything is okay, we are facing an economic tipping point ushered in via housing. The Fed has left the key interest rate steady once again. At this point, they are backed to a wall because lowering rates will signal that the economy is weak and needs additional help thus stunting consumer confidence. If they raise rates, they accelerate the bursting bubble because debt service on millions of American's mortgages will go higher thus taking money away from the national past time of mall shopping. We are quickly approaching a global tipping point.
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