Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, May 15, 2018
Bitcoin Tide Might Have Turned / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin stabilized, went up, went down and now is going up again. The ride has been wild and the opinions on the outlook in the market have been shifting. We hold a steady course and strive to filter out all the noise to give you the most relevant information. An there’s rarely a more important time than now for that. The tide might have turned and we’re on the lookout for a confirmation of the trigger. Such a confirmation could increase the profits on our hypothetical position.
The South Korean government moved to raid the biggest cryptocurrency exchange in the country. On Reuters, we read:
South Korean prosecutors raided the country’s biggest cryptocurrency exchange, Upbit, on Thursday and Friday on suspicion of fraud, Yonhap news agency reported.
The agency did not give details. Neither Upbit nor the financial investigation team of the Seoul Southern District public prosecutors’ office was immediately available for comment..
Monday, May 14, 2018
U.S. Dollar Rally Is Doomed / Currencies / US Dollar
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses movements in the U.S. dollar. There was an article written a few days back where the author vehemently denied that the U.S. dollar could go any lower and where the phrases "face-ripping," "face ripper," and "rip your face off" (as well as derivatives thereof) were mentioned no fewer than nine times in a fifteen-paragraph article. The reasons given were all highly subjective and based in Modern Portfolio Theory, but what was concluded is that, once again, the U.S. dollar remains the "least smelly shirt in the laundry hamper" with aromas emitted by the euro, yen, pound and yuan all significantly more pungent than the Yankee greenback. I whole-heartedly disagree and it has nothing to do with anything taught in the CFA course or at the Rotman School of Business but rather in The Academy of Common Sense and The Ballanger Institute for Non-BS Learning.
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Monday, May 14, 2018
US Dollar One Reversal Too Many / Currencies / US Dollar
Friday was the day when silver and mining stocks were likely to reverse based on their triangle-apex-based turning points and today is the day of gold’s apex-based reversal. Therefore, it seems likely that gold, silver and mining stocks are forming the final top for this short-term upswing, or that it is already in place. The problem with the reversal scenario is that the previous week was one big bearish reversal in the USD Index. Weekly reversals are significant and thus odds of a move lower in the USD increased substantially. This means more upside in metals and miners. What should one do with the profits from the current long position?
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Saturday, May 12, 2018
The US Dollar Crash of 2018 / Currencies / US Dollar
Latest Price – 92.41Price has rallied solidly over the last few weeks however absolutely no damage has been done to the overall downtrend and I believe a mini crash will occur over the coming months that sees price drop down to around the 80 level.
Friday, May 11, 2018
Bitcoin Simmering Slowly... / Currencies / Bitcoin
The situation in the market has become one where Bitcoin is trading on relatively low volume without major moves. But the currency is in a very important place. Actually, Bitcoin is simmering slowly. Will it boil? Will this increase the profits on our hypothetical positions?
The Bitcoin market has its undeniable quirks. From the wild volatility of the currency, to a community of developers supporting it, to the fact that Bitcoin can be put in vaults. Putting Bitcoin in “cold vaults” usually means transferring the currency to a storage device without any access to the Internet or any outside networks. But sometimes Bitcoin is put in actual vaults. In an article on Bloomberg, we read:
Behind the guards, the blast doors and down corridors of reinforced concrete, sit the encrypted computer servers -- connected to nothing -- that hold keys to a vast digital fortune.
Friday, May 11, 2018
Litecoin, Bitcoin and Ethereum Crypto Market Ready For Lunar Launch? / Currencies / BlockChain
Ryan Wilday writes: Over the last few months, I have released a couple articles suggesting a potential bottom was in for the crypto market. Unfortunately, support levels that I called out did not hold, so I had to look lower.
I am writing anew having seen a very bullish pattern off the recent lows struck on April 1. Currently, most of the coins we track have the "impulsive five," a pattern we look for to indicate a bottom. These patterns so far are more bullish in structure than previous patterns seen since January. Furthermore, these structures, as measured in Fibonacci levels, are higher than before. This is promising.
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Tuesday, May 08, 2018
Bitcoin is Bitcoin / Currencies / Bitcoin
Mike Jarmuz writes: Someone once tried to sell me a used Rolex for $500 when the fair market value of this “Rolex” would be around $4,500. The watch said Rolex, it definitely looked like a Rolex and for someone who never had worn a Rolex before….. I guess it also felt like a Rolex. But… this watch was definitely NOT a Rolex and I thankfully did not make this purchase. This is pretty much the analogy for anyone buying Bitcoin Cash today and thinking it’s Bitcoin. It looks like Bitcoin, it may feel like Bitcoin and somehow there are people out there who refer to it as “the real Bitcoin.” I mean after all, Bitcoin.com has multiple PSA references and warnings about it. Unfortunately, they aren’t warning you (to your benefit) at all. They are one of the biggest proponents in the spreading of misinformation. The whole damn website is lousy with inaccurate and downright factually incorrect information. But why? Why would Bitcoin.com along with a handful of other “bad actors” try and doup the public?
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Tuesday, May 08, 2018
Aussie Between the RBA Interest Rates and Trade War Talks / Currencies / Austrailia
Australia’s central bank has kept their benchmark interest rate at record low 1.5%, and many Wall Street analysts believe that interest rates will remain on hold during 2018 and 2019. We are currently in the 19th consecutive month where interest rates have been held steady.
This continued hold on interest rates is why the AUD rate has continued to remain under pressure. The bearish trend established in 2011 is still intact despite the short rallies that have interrupted the trend.
Even though the RBA expects the Australian economy to grow faster, it also acknowledges that the weakening housing sector and the deflationary pressure themes are going to delay any prospects of normalizing the interest rates.
Saturday, May 05, 2018
DASH Cryptocurrency Analysis / Currencies / BlockChain
Following Breakout of Bull Pennant Dash Pulls Back to Second Entry Zone
Dash (DASH/USD) breaks out of a bullish pennant and subsequently pulls back to test the top trend line of the pattern and the 50-period moving average as support. Note that the 50 period line was an exact match with the trend line at the breakout point. So far it has held thereby providing a possible second entry zone in anticipation of further strengthening following the breakout.
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Friday, May 04, 2018
How Does A Crypto Analyst Makes A Mistake And Still Make Over 265% Profit? / Currencies / BlockChain
Ryan Wilday is our newest analyst. When we found him, he had already been trading over two decades for a supplemental income, but without the Elliott Wave Theory. He was a quick study in the theory and soon was producing professionally accurate wave counts, according to our method- Fibonacci Pinball. Ryan was also an early adopter of cryptocurrency and trading the new asset class.
His life started to change in August 2017 when I brought him on staff at ElliottWave Trader to lead our cryptocurrency analysis team.
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Thursday, May 03, 2018
Global Currency RESET Challenge: Ultimate Twist / Currencies / Global Financial System
The Global Currency RESET has 100 steps and the first 10-12 appear complete. This is not a fantasy, but very real and in progress. Its progress is not very visible to most observers. Some important steps are seeing tremendous progress, but they are executed in the East with very little press coverage by the insidious lapdog Western press networks. Review many of the RESET features, but in summary form. These are covered steadily in the Hat Trick Letter reports.
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Wednesday, May 02, 2018
Bitcoin and Friends: The Next Five Years/The Coming DEX-verse / Currencies / Bitcoin
Remember when Bitcoin was anonymous?
Remember when ASICs were The Big Noo Thing?
Remember when it hadn’t occurred to us that (centralised) exchanges might pass our data to Tax Departments?
Monday, April 30, 2018
The Battle to Save the Dollar and Treasuries / Currencies / US Dollar
Technical analyst Clive Maund takes a look at the prospect of a growing interest rate differential between the U.S. and the rest of the world and what that means to the dollar.
The latest dollar Hedgers charts make clear that the dollar is unlikely to drop soon, and that it is more likely that the recent rally will continue. How can that be, given the U.S. has proportionally more debt than most other countries in the world?
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Saturday, April 28, 2018
Has Bitcoin Been Shot Down? / Currencies / Bitcoin
Another week, another outrageous prediction for the price of Bitcoin. We just saw a forecast at more than 75 times the current value of the currency. The figure is $700,000. Is Bitcoin really about to take off to the Moon or has it been shot down?
The honest answer is that nobody can say this with certainty. It’s probably not the answer you expected but we are more interested in giving you accurate information than false enthusiasm. Before we give you our view on the matter, let’s get to know the $700,000 claim. In an article on the Fortune website, we read:
John Pfeffer, a partner at his London-based family office Pfeffer Capital, is not only betting on Bitcoin, but giving it a bold price target of $700,000—about 75 times the current Bitcoin price of nearly $9,500.
Friday, April 27, 2018
Currency Wars: The Race to the Bottom has Begun / Currencies / Currency War
As a general rule, the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information.
If trade wars and actual shooting wars (Syria, Yemen) weren't enough for the world economy to worry about, pressuring stock markets and threatening to derail robust global economic growth, there is another elephant in the room looking to stomp on traders, investors and everyday consumers, and that is a currency war.
What is a currency war?
A currency war is what happens when countries intentionally devalue their currencies through their central banks. Increasing the money supply lowers interest rates and the value of the currency, thereby depressing the exchange rate. The best example of this type of expansionary monetary policy is that of the United States Federal Reserve. The Fed buys Treasury notes from its member banks, giving them more money to lend. To do this, the Fed must print more US dollars. The idea is to stimulate demand by reducing lending rates and therefore entice businesses and individuals to borrow and spend more money. Until last September, when the Fed wound up its last round of quantitative easing, this policy led to rock-bottom interest rates and has been behind the record-setting highs hit on US stock markets. Low interest rates mean companies can borrow, expand and grow, thus boosting profits and share prices.
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Friday, April 27, 2018
Blockchain Thrives in Online Gambling / Currencies / Bitcoin
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Tuesday, April 24, 2018
CRYPTOCURRENCY MASTERCLASS #CRY90 / Currencies / BlockChain
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Tuesday, April 24, 2018
Digital Currencies Are Reshaping Forex Markets / Currencies / BlockChain
Peter Lloyd writes: For many traders and investors, the forex market has always been a shining example of what a financial exchange should be: a truly global, highly liquid and decentralized platform where the diversity of participants ranges from sovereign central banks to institutional investors and from investment banking firms to day traders.
It so happens that this view of an ideal market is being augmented by the growing interest in cryptocurrency exchange platforms, which more closely resemble a "perfect market."
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Friday, April 20, 2018
What’s Bitcoin Really Worth? / Currencies / Bitcoin
What’s Bitcoin really worth? This question might really drive you mad if you think hard enough about it. $0? $10? Maybe $1,000,000 for one coin? The range of the numbers can make your head spin but it is the explanation behind the number that matters. For the most part, investors don’t have a good reason why Bitcoin is worth this or that, apart from claims that “it will take over the world” and so on. This hasn’t stopped people from trying, though. Is it even important for short-term traders? Can it boost profits on our hypothetical positions?
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Thursday, April 19, 2018
Bitcoin Hater George Soros Finally Admits He Wants In On Crypto / Currencies / Bitcoin
America’s favorite power broker, the evil bloated Ringwraith himself, George Soros, is now poised to invest in cryptocurrency, despite trashing Bitcoin just a few months ago.
In addition to calling Bitcoin a “bubble”, Soros ironically stated that digital currencies are a tool for dictators:
Read full article... Read full article...As long as you have dictatorships on the rise, you will have a different ending, because the rulers in those countries will turn to Bitcoin to build a nest egg abroad.