Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, April 16, 2018
Will Bitcoin Ever Recover? / Currencies / Bitcoin
With a value of $137 billion, Bitcoin remains the largest cryptocurrency on the market. When it performs well, the others follow suit and when it drops so do they. The road has been a rough one for the currency in recent times reaching ultimate highs and all-time lows. But, will Bitcoin ever recover?
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Friday, April 13, 2018
If Inflation is Just 2%-3%, Why is the US Dollar Dropping Like a Brick? / Currencies / US Dollar
The financial world is finally waking up to the fact that inflation is in fact MUCH higher than previously believed.
As we noted yesterday, the official measure of inflation, the CPI, is now clocking in at 2.4%, well above the Fed’s so-called target of 2%.
This is really, REALLY bad news because the CPI is actually massaged to make inflation look LOWER than it really is.
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Wednesday, April 11, 2018
The Petroyuan Shift: The Eclipse of the Petrodollar Monopoly / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
As oil can now be traded with RMB-denominated contracts, the rise of the petroyuan will accelerate the internationalization of the Chinese currency as investors begin to increase their allocations into Chinese financial assets.In late March, as international media focused on Trump’s tariffs and the prospects of a trade war, renminbi-denominated oil contracts began trading in the Shanghai International Energy Exchange (INE), for the first time. That will foster the rise of petroyuan, which may cause a dramatic shift in global asset allocations as institutional investors begin to diversify into China’s onshore bond markets.
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Sunday, April 08, 2018
US Dollar Index Analysis / Currencies / US Dollar
Pattern – price looks to be in a consolidating the downtrend. Once this consolidation is over, which I believe is imminent, the downtrend should resume and see price crack to new lows.Bollinger Bands – these bands clearly show the sideways action in play currently. Price looks like it has just turned down failing to reach the upper band. The lower band has already been hit three times during this consolidation phase and the fourth attempt is usually successful at breaking through.
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Saturday, April 07, 2018
U.S. Dollar: Why It Pays to Use the Elliott Wave Model / Currencies / US Dollar
See the signs that could’ve helped you nail two junctures in the greenback's trend
The legendary football coach Vince Lombardi believed that a winning team is built on mastering the game's basics -- so much so that at the start of the season he would "remind" veteran players, "Gentlemen, this is a football."
Lombardi would even take them out to the field, discuss the boundaries and remind the players that the goal is to get the football into the end zone.
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Friday, April 06, 2018
Bitcoin Not Quite Worthless, Potentially Profitable / Currencies / Bitcoin
Is Bitcoin worthless? Depreciation brings such questions as it has in the past. Bitcoin traders might be worried by such statements. But should they be anxious? In the whirlwind of opinions, we can find a theme which might allow profits on our hypothetical positions to grow even further.
The fact that Bitcoin is going down prompts all sort of analyses to come out. No big surprise that some of them are pretty bearish. In a piece on CNBC, we read:
Bitcoin is likely to fare worse than other assets in the coming months because it has no fundamental worth, an investment research firm said in a note Thursday.
London-based Capital Economics explained that the cryptocurrency has been quite closely correlated to the S&P 500 since the price started to fall from its record high at the end of last year.
Friday, April 06, 2018
How I Learned Cryptos and Became the Ethereum Whisperer / Currencies / BlockChain
Ryan Wilday : While we still await the crypto bottom, I want to start this week's article off with a personal narrative. I owe my current working life to ethereum.
In 2016, I was a practicing design strategist for Samsung while trading as a hobby. In fact, I had already been trading for two decades when I decided to continue my study of the market by learning Elliott Wave Theory as a member of elliottwavetrader.net. Soon after that, I started using my new knowledge with ethereum (ETHUSD), then a new coin.
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Thursday, April 05, 2018
USD/CAD – Happy and Profitable Bears, EUR/USD – Breakdowns and Their Implications / Currencies / Forex Trading
Yesterday, the U.S. dollar moved sharply lower against its Canadian counterpart, which took the exchange rate to our next downside target. Thanks to the seller’s attack, we noticed a potential pro-bearish formation on the horizon, which can make positions even more profitable…
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Wednesday, April 04, 2018
Is Bitcoin a Substitute for Gold? / Currencies / Bitcoin
John Maynard Keynes once famously called gold the “barbarous relic”. The emergence of the cryptocurrencies seems to validate that thesis. Will gold survive in the digital era?
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Wednesday, April 04, 2018
Is Investing in Cryptocurrency a Good Idea for Your Business? / Currencies / BlockChain
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Tuesday, April 03, 2018
China Moves to Neuter King Dollar in International Trade / Currencies / US Dollar
Last Monday, the Shanghai International Energy Exchange launched the first futures contract for crude oil priced in Chinese yuan. It’s a major step forward in the process of international de-dollarization. Now Chinese and other international traders can buy and sell the world’s most important commodity in a liquid market without using U.S. dollars.
The “petro dollar” now faces the prospect of being rendered unnecessary as China – the world’s biggest oil importer – attempts to establish a “petro yuan.”
Sunday, April 01, 2018
AUDUSD Currency Trend Analysis / Currencies / Austrailia
Latest Price – 76.82c
Pattern - recent high made a double top which rarely end trends. So, expect a move above that level.
Fibonacci – price down to 76.4% retracement level and the 88.6% angle, a very nice setup for a corrective low if that is to be the case.
RSI – triple bullish divergence in place at recent low. Nice.
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Thursday, March 29, 2018
Cryptocurrency: Money or Asset? / Currencies / BlockChain
Some of the hypes and speculations surrounding bitcoin and cryptocurrency is that central banks may create their own digital currencies thus replacing fiat money altogether. A G20 draft communiqué already states cryptocurrencies “lack the traits of sovereign currencies” and seeks cryptocurrency regulation recommendations by July 2018. The Bank of International Settlements (BIS) also published a report last month entitled “Money in the digital age: what role for central banks?” stating:
“… while cryptocurrencies may pretend to be currencies, they fail the basic textbook definitions. Most would agree that they do not function as a unit of account. Their volatile valuations make them unsafe to rely on as a common means of payment and a stable store of value.”Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 28, 2018
Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis Looking for Short Term Recovery / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis in the short term is showing an interesting corrective structure suggesting a recover to take place after it finishes the current move.
The digital instrument is correcting the cycle from 03/18 low in 3 waves as a Zigzag structure which reached the 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension area $8093 – $7520 from where it’s expected to resume a new cycle to the upside or at least bounce in 3 waves as long as it remain above $7320 low.
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Tuesday, March 27, 2018
Staying Away from the Bitcoin Crypto Bubble / Currencies / Bitcoin
The crypto ship is sailing in rough seas at the moment. My advice? Stay away for now. Preserve your capital for after the major crash, and then pick winners from the bones.The bitcoin and cryptocurrency trends seem to be following the path the internet took back in the very late 1990s. That bubble came at the end of the tech bubble, and expanded by more than 8 times between late 1998 and early 2000. Then it crashed 93%.
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Friday, March 23, 2018
One Change the Bitcoin Posse Is Unlikely to See / Currencies / Bitcoin
“Bitcoin will reach the moon,” they said. “$20,000 is only the beginning,” they pressed. The harsh reality of the recent move is that appreciation has been nowhere in sight. Harsh, that is, if you haven’t been positioned properly. Are Bitcoin traders bound to be left with their teeth clenched, watching Bitcoin fluctuate? No. There’s a possibility for some to grow the profits they already have on specific positions and for others to jump in during the next part of the move.
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Friday, March 23, 2018
Blaming the Fed for Weaker Greenback US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
Although the Federal Reserve raised interest rates yesterday, the forecast for two more hikes this year (instead of three) disappointed market participants who turned their backs on the U.S. dollar, triggering quite sharp selloff. But did anything really change in the technical picture of the greenback?
Before we analyze our currency pairs, let’s check what changed (and what has not changed) in the short-term picture of the USD Index after yesterday’s news (chart courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Tuesday, March 20, 2018
Bitcoin, Verge, Ethereum and Ripple - The Crypto Market Conundrum / Currencies / Bitcoin
By Ryan Wilday : In my last article I stated that we had the potential for a lasting bottom in the crypto market, starting with a low in most coins on February 6th. However, in that article I also gave the conditions for that bottom to fail.
Those conditions, unfortunately, became reality. We have since seen both Ether and Verge, highlighted in that article, slide to new lows below the February 6th low. Bitcoin and Ripple did not fall below their February 6th levels, but did confirm the unlikelihood of that low marking the beginning of an impulsive wave.
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Monday, March 19, 2018
Can Bitcoin Price Rally Continue After Paypal Fake FUD Attack? / Currencies / Bitcoin
The Bitcoin price has bounced back strongly after it's recent wobbly following the apparently fake PayPal 'Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt' FUD attack last Friday with the price recovering from a recent low of $7,350 to currently stand at $8,400, that has the Bitcoin community breathing a huge sigh of relief believing today's rally to mark the end of the pain of the past 3 months that has witnessed the Bitcoin price collapse from a high of $20,000 to a low of $6,600.
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Sunday, March 18, 2018
Putin Flip-Flops Like A Drunken Whore On Bitcoin Cryptocurrency Legalization / Currencies / Bitcoin
Whenever I am asked, “How should governments treat cryptocurrencies” my general response is the following. Who cares?
You might as well ask me what the Japanese Yakuza or Mexican cartels should do about cryptos. I don’t really care.
Not that the Yakuza or the cartels are anywhere near as bad as governments. I apologize to them both for even making that insulting insinuation.
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