Category: Stock Markets 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, June 28, 2016
BREXIT “Yes”, Now What for Stocks and Gold? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
I was one of the few last week who said the stock market would fall on Friday. It has also fallen farther than even I expected. So what’s next? The chart below shows a counter trend rally likely on Tuesday, perhaps back to 2049/50 SPX and then one more drop into June 30 to around 1926/27, for about a 9% total decline.
The whole pattern is bullish, once resolved. So now, when everyone is getting bearish, I’m starting to get bullish, but like I said, not just yet. I still see new highs by early Autumn of 2016 and then a late Fall decline of about 22%.
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Monday, June 27, 2016
Stock Market SPX Below Mid-Cycle Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX Premarket fell beneath mid-Cycle support/resistance this morning at 2026.59. As I write, it has bounced to retest the resistance. It appears likely that it may hold.
ZeroHedge reports, “US equity futures are tumbling at the open following Cable and USDJPY's dive. Dow futures dropped 100 points (down 900 points from pre-Brexit highs) and broke below Friday's early crash lows...”
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Monday, June 27, 2016
Stock Market: Thirteen Months Down, And Now... Brexit / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Steve_Selengut
I prepared this article on the 13th month anniversary of the last S & P 500 all time high... the market has been down for over a year, but MCIM portfolios continue to grow in both working capital and realized base income. Income CEFs continue to rally.
I'm confident, regardless of where "Brexit" takes us in the financial markets, that the scenario Friday, and any continued downturn, will prove to be yet another investment opportunity that we will be able to take advantage of.
Monday, June 27, 2016
More Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Stocks Extend Their Two-Month Long Consolidation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, June 27, 2016
Another Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: A lengthy correction is most likely underway!
SPX Intermediate trend: Brexit has most likely initiated a decline of intermediate nature.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, June 26, 2016
Weekly Nasdaq NDX Chart / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Joseph_VanDerveer
Here is a basic chart of Nasdaq-100 ticket symbol NDX showing a few different techniques used. This shows about 5% of what I use in determining my decisions trading the market.
First you may notice the down channel trendlines with 2 consolidation periods. We are currently breaking out of the second one.
Breaking out from a large ascending wedge, and consolidation channel shown on the chart. Looks very similar to the last one. Take notice of the violated trendline on the wedge with a backtest in both.
Sunday, June 26, 2016
The Stock Market is Not Topping / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
Stocks may move down into an intermediate cycle low over the next 15 trading days. If they do we will again hear the perma bears calling a new bear market. They will be wrong again as they continue to be wrong over and over.
The S&P has tested the 2100 level 9 times. There is no such thing as nonuple top. Heck there’s really no such thing as a triple top. When a resistance zone gets tested this many times it’s a consolidation before a breakout, not a top.
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Sunday, June 26, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Resumes or Just More Noise / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started this volatile week at SPX 2071. After a gap up opening on Monday to SPX 2101 the market pulled back until Wednesday when it hit SPX 2084. Another gap up opening on Thursday carried the market to SPX 2113. Then Brexit was confirmed and markets worldwide plunged on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.6%, and the NDX/NAZ were -2.0%. Economic reports were biased negative for the first time in quite a while. On the downtick: new home sales, durable goods, consumer sentiment and the Q2 GDP estimate. On the uptick: FHFA housing, existing home sales and weekly jobless claims declined. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Q1 GDP, PCE prices and the Chicago PMI.
Saturday, June 25, 2016
Financial Markets Roiled as Britain Votes Itself Out of EU / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Britain has voted to exit the European Union and its prime minister has resigned in the wake of the Brexit vote. The markets have, so far, reflected the world's uneasy reaction to the event. But it is early days, says newsletter writer and technical analyst Clive Maund, who offers his views on the day after Brexit.
Saturday, June 25, 2016
Brexit Surprise.....Will Others Follow Britain?....Still Nothing Bearish Yet... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
If you looked at the action yesterday one would have thought that Britain staying was a slam dunk. Poll after poll showed a tight race, but all of them had them staying. The market was smelling this out, and, thus, the strong action the market displayed yesterday. Funds were running to the buy button as they were afraid to miss the breakout over 2134 on the S&P 500. The market closed just one percent below that magical level that had the bulls frothing. Breadth was strong yesterday as well. Buying across the board, especially those financial stocks that were bound to explode once the vote for staying in the euro zone was completed. Sadly, and as usual, the masses were wrong. Why this reality occurs over and over again with regards to the stock market is a mystery, but the masses were clearly wrong once again.
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Thursday, June 23, 2016
E-Wave Says BIG Down in Stock Market June 24th / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The chart below of the S&P 500 suggests a move down to around 2041/42 early Friday, June 24 or about 3% down from today’s high near 2107. The e-wave astro/cycle pattern also suggests a strong move back up into Tuesday, June 28 to perhaps as high as 2121/22. By July 5th, a move into the low 1900’s is possible.
Everybody is focusing on the BREXIT, so the outcome, whatever it will be, will likely be the blame for the coming volatility. We shall soon find out. It is 12:30 CDT as I write this. I still see new highs by October 3rd.
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Thursday, June 23, 2016
Stock Market Waiting for the Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has made a measured move, so far. The rally from the 2050.37 low has taken 34 hours. Another .4 hours would make it divisible by 4.3. you can see that the volume is low, so there is little participation or short covering.
Thursday, June 23, 2016
Stock Market Fluctuates on Concerns Ahead of Brexit / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a very volatile session, first starting off with a little bit of a dip, then a strong rally to test Monday’s highs, and when they were unable to take those out they came down in a strong midday decline, but snapped back early afternoon. However, that failed to take hold, but it was just a retest. The indices then had a 5-wave decline into the close, finishing near the session lows, just bouncing right off them into the close.
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Thursday, June 23, 2016
Late Morning Brexit Poll Kills Earlier Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
It is normal for markets to drift higher ahead of an important news event. Hope trumps fear most of the time in this crazy game. I think it's about most folks thinking the worst case scenario won't happen. That intervention will take over right at the end and keep things status quo. It seems impossible in the minds of the masses that something terrible can actually occur since the world banks, etc are always doing something to make sure nothing all that bad takes place.
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Wednesday, June 22, 2016
Stock Market Just Before the BrExit Vote / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Donald_W_Dony
Though the conversation surrounding the outcome of the EU referendum continues to heat-up, during the last 36 hours, the market has already decided on which side is going to win.
Two key defensive elements, in particular, are pulling back as the final count down unfolds.
The Volatility Index or VIX, after a brief surge in early June, has backed-off and dropped into a more moderate risk level.
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Wednesday, June 22, 2016
Stock Market on Verge of Melt Down? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
July 5th keeps coming back as an important cycle low for the stock market. The recent daily Bollinger Bands on the SPX shows increasing constriction, which in the past pointed to a possible melt down, similar to what we saw from August 18-24, 2015. This time around we have the same 115 TD’s from January 20, 2016 to July 5th that we had from March 11, 2015 to August 24, 2015. July 5th is also an important Bradley turn on a new moon. Another similar Bradley turn occurs on another new moon November 29, 2016, which I believe will likely be another important low this year.
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Wednesday, June 22, 2016
SPX May Break Its Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has been climbing the Bearish Flag trendline. It may be broken at 2088.00 should SPX continue its decline today.
It may take another day to decline beneath the 50-day Moving Average. It may accelerate if today’s polls show Brexit gaining strength.
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Wednesday, June 22, 2016
Stock Market Hybrid Lindsay Low: June 27-July 1 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
After last week’s failed call for a “relief rally” it becomes harder to accept bullish signals as seen in the McClellan Oscillator this week. There is the possibility of a micro-cycle high on/near Tuesday which gives the possibility of a 1-2 day rally but the next micro-cycle low is due June 29 which matches the Hybrid Lindsay forecast for a low near then which is outlined below.
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Tuesday, June 21, 2016
BrExit Poll Nonsense... Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
We were all waiting for this Brexit situation to come and go this coming Thursday evening. Then a small sample poll was taken late yesterday and it showed a 70% vote in favor of Britain staying. The futures across the world went nuts to the up side. Europe had many countries up over 3%. Some approaching 4%. Amazing what a small poll can bring out in terms of froth. A market that wants higher will use any excuse to rock itself higher. You can also add in Kurota from Japan saying last night that more easing is on the way. None of it has worked, but that won't stop his desperation. The market got enough frothing news to rock itself up, except in the end the candles were weak today.
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Monday, June 20, 2016
FTSE Soars, Stock Markets Bounce on LEAVE Polls Surge, Bookmakers Widen BrExit Odds / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The first string of opinion polls following the killing of Labour MP Jo Cox apparently in the name of "Freedom for Britain" or "Britain First" have now swung markedly in REMAINs favour, reversing an earlier LEAVE polls lead with REMAIN now marginally ahead on 45% against LEAVE on 42% with 13% Don't Knows as the following list of recent polls illustrates that until the killing of Jo Cox LEAVE had been in the lead but now have LOST that lead due to the actions of a radicalised right-wing extremist.