Category: Stock Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, June 02, 2015
You Don’t Know Where the Stock Market is Heading! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Bob_Loukas
I’ve been of two minds recently regarding the current Cycle picture in equities. So this week I focused more attention on finding secondary evidence to support a more definitive position ondirection. As I suspected it might, my research provided an almost endless array of contradictory evidence and facts.
The internet and social media are a mixed blessing to researchers – they can lead to a huge number of hypotheses and points of view, but the quality of information is generally pretty low. At its best, however, the internet can lead to ideas and links to compelling analysis and primary sources. The point is that there exists online a mass of data points, ideas, opinions, analyses and thesis that can occasionally help to bring real clarity of thought, but more often, the information serves only to confuse, and even obfuscate. From a trader’s perspective, the information is generally unable to answer the questions that are of greatest import.
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Tuesday, June 02, 2015
For Stocks, Things Are Always Getting Better! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
On Monday evening, May 18, 2015, ECB board member Benoit Coeure gathered together a group of bankers and hedge fund managers. That evening, Mr. Coeure gave them the ECB’s game plan for accelerating bond purchases in the euro-zone. Of course, this was a closed meeting and the general public, the slaves, were not privy to this information that would surely move equity and monetary indexes. This group was given ample time on Tuesday morning to set their positions accordingly. Then, around noon, the public was informed of the new ECB intention. This is known as ‘insider trading’ and it is a felony unless of course the person or institution using the insider information is a banker or bank or hedge fund manager. So, we can all conclude that equity prices are gamed by the same people who rig them. Average investors simply need to understand the criminality.
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Tuesday, June 02, 2015
Stock Market Nice Recovery from Morning Declines / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices started the day off with a very sharp decline, breaking two levels of support, but within an hour had stabilized, and then reversed sharply, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 4490 to over 4535, a 45-point rally in a 3-wave run. They consolidated midafternoon as the S&P 500 made a nominal new high, but the NDX could not confirm it, and rolled over in the last hour to pare back the gains. Nevertheless, it was still a positive session, but narrowly so.
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Tuesday, June 02, 2015
The Stock Market Different Book Theory..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The market has no trend you can count on. It's been that way for a drop over six months now. When a market is in a trend you can count on, technical analysis flows. Charts flow in a rhythm. When there is no trend there's no flow meaning you can look at a chart and say you think it should do one thing, but you can't count on it, because the lack of trend is like opening a new book each and every day. A non-trending market equals a market of frustration and a lack of consistent action, thus you need to keep your expectations down big time. Not over play because so many set-ups simply won't work. They may look good, but you can't count on getting out of it what you see on a given day. A different book is what causes the biggest losses as many get caught in the moment, with what seems to be rather than losing that expectation.
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Tuesday, June 02, 2015
Stock Market 2007 All Over Again? Mega-Merger Edition / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Rubino
Intel is buying chip maker Altera. Charter is buying Time Warner Cable. All the big drug makers are buying all the mediums-sized ones.
Great news, right? If these huge companies with their top-of-the-line analytical tools and deep insight into their markets think paying way up to build empires is wise, then the stock market, far from being overvalued, must be cheap.
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Monday, June 01, 2015
Stock Market All Eyes on The Prize / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: WavePatternTraders
DOW
In my last article I was looking for new highs on the DOW, well we finally got that now, so with the DOW finally making a new high it's at least potentially completed the ending diagonal idea I have been working from the Oct 2014 lows. The only issue I see is the decline from the last peak is a messy move and not that impulsive, so see a retest of the all time highs would not surprise me.
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Monday, June 01, 2015
Stock Market On the Brink? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - The bull market is still intact.
Intermediate trend - Are long-term cycles sketching an important top?
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Sunday, May 31, 2015
Stock Market Wild Swings Coming! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last time I wrote, the market looked toppy and I was anticipating a 2.5 week low Tuesday (which used to be the dominant 5 week lo). We rallied Wednesday after the expected selling then sold off the rest of the week. I had said that I expected a June 1 top, but after careful study realized that the top would be June 3 instead.
The Mercury Retrograde mid-point low is due 12 calendar days after the initial retrograde point May 18-19, which points to May 30/31 for the low. That means the low will be on June 1 because May 30/31 falls on a weekend. There is also an adjusted Gann 16 TD low due Monday too. I expect initial buying (9/10 pts) on a possible gap up followed by selling down to about SPX 2085/86.
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Saturday, May 30, 2015
Stock Market Choppy Uptrend May Have Topped / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another choppy week, but biased to the downside. The market started the holiday shortened week at SPX 2126. After a gap down opening on Tuesday the market dropped to SPX 2099. It rallied right back on Wednesday to close the gap, hitting SPX 2126. Then it worked its way lower for the rest of the week to close at SPX 2107. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.05%, the NDX/NAZ lost 0.40%, and the DJ World index lost 1.4%. On the economic front it was another mixed week. On the uptick: new/pending home sales, consumer confidence/sentiment, and the FHFA housing index. On the downtick: durable goods orders, Q1 GDP, the Chicago PMI, the WLEI, and weekly jobless claims increased. Next week’s highlights are Payrolls, the FED’s Beige book, ISM and the PCE.
Saturday, May 30, 2015
Bad GDP... Bad Chicago PMI... Excuses Running Out... Stock Market Yawns... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
There are two different worlds to write about each and every day with regards to the market. There's the real world and Disneyland. In this particular case the real world is the GDP that was reported in the red this morning. The number was anticipated to be negative, so no big shock when that became a reality. The market futures dropped a bit, but really nothing from nothing. The market anticipated a bad number due to the excuse of bad weather across the country during Q1. I think that's a terrible excuse but why not, let the market use it as an excuse simply because it doesn't want to fall very much. Now we fast forward to the present. We wait on the Chicago PMI to see if business is indeed picking up. The number was well below expectations showing recession during April. No more weather excuses Mr. Market. Here's where Disneyland comes in. Who cares! The market fell a bit for a while, but decided excuses were still the way to approach what's happening. Disneyland allowed the markets to recover off the lows. No big fall that would cause a little bit of technical damage.
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Thursday, May 28, 2015
Stocks Extend Their Short-Term Uncertainty, Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, May 28, 2015
Stock Markets Buy and Hold is Back! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Rambus_Chartology
Tonight I would like to show you some really big consolidation patterns in regards to some big cap tech stocks mainly the networking and semiconductors. I have shown you some of these big bases in the past but now I’m going to create a brand new portfolio based just on these big patterns. It definitely won’t be as exciting as trading in and out all the time as the game plan will be to hold these stocks for a minimum of two years, no trading. This will be an investment portfolio based on these massive consolidation patterns. Big base or consolidation patterns equals big moves.
Thursday, May 28, 2015
Stock Market Right Back Up... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
When dealing with the stock market of the past five to six months there is a theme to be understood. Never judge one day's action as if that's the new trend to come. We have seen so many big days both to the up side and down side. There's a huge down day, such as there was yesterday. You feel assuredly that today is going to be either a follow up day, or, because markets were oversold, a slight up-day to unwind. This theme has repeated itself over and over. Big up-days and big down-days are game and you win a close, exciting game. You feel the momentum will be nothing to get excited or unhappy about depending on your position in the market. It can be compared to baseball in that a pitcher throws a great continue on, but the next day your pitcher gets hit hard and you lose.
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Wednesday, May 27, 2015
Stock Market Retracements Appear to be Nearing Completion / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has overshot its 2117.42 target but seems to be wrapping up its retracement under the 61.8% retracement level. Not only is this good positioning for a short position, but it appears that it will be triggering its small Orthodox Broadening Top. The target for this formation may be as low as 1623.00. In any event, this appears to be fertile ground for a Flash Crash.
Tuesday, May 26, 2015
Stock Market Top in Place? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - The bull market is still intact.
Intermediate trend - Are long-term cycles sketching an important top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which ultimately indicate the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, May 25, 2015
Money Murder Mystery: Who Killed the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: Liquidity, the "life blood" that allows the world's capital markets to function, has been murdered.
Liquidity was choked violently in the bond market by the gloved hands of its erstwhile babysitter – the broker-dealers- but it bled to death in the stock market from a thousand cuts.
We should be afraid. The lurking henchmen who worked as lookouts on "the job" are the very regulators and guardians of the stock and bond markets who should've stopped it.
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Sunday, May 24, 2015
Stock Market Topping, Silver Price Dropping / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last time I wrote, I was looking for a top in the stock market early last week near 2130-35 SPX and a 5% drop in silver. We got a 4.5% drop in silver and the stock market topped on Wednesday. Tuesday, May 26, I'm looking for a big drop in silver, perhaps as much as 7.5% and a small drop in the stock market to perhaps 2109/10 SPX.
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Saturday, May 23, 2015
Stock Market SPX Uptrend Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market opened the week at SPX 2123. It then made marginal new all time highs on Monday, Tuesday, and also Wednesday, before going into a trading range for the rest of the week. The entire range for the week was only 15 points. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, the NDX/NAZ gained 0.75%, and the DJ World index gained 0.80%. On the economic front reports for the week were mixed. On the uptick: housing starts, building permits, leading indicators, the WLEI, and the CPI. On the downtick: existing homes sales, the Philly FED, the NAHB, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week starts with a Monday holiday, then durable goods and housing sales during the week followed by Q1 GDP and the Chicago PMI on Friday.
Saturday, May 23, 2015
Stock Market Diamond Formation Breaks Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
What do you know…the Megaphone formation has turned into a Diamond formation. It appears to have broken down beneath the Diamond in the final minutes of trading. In addition, the futures are lower after the close. We probably won’t have absolute certainty until Monday. A break beneath 2122.00 would likely verify the Diamond formation.
Thursday, May 21, 2015
Where You Can Find Cash in a Stock Market Sell-Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Investment_U
Alexander Green writes: Earlier this week, I wrote a column arguing that investors should be rooting for a market sell-off rather than feeling anxious about the idea.
Down markets create bargains.
Most investors don't think this way, however. They either hope (unrealistically) that stock prices will keep going up and up and up... or they fear even a temporary reduction in share prices.
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