Category: Stock Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, May 21, 2015
Stock Market Secular Versus Cyclical Investing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
The consensus I’m hearing and reading from the 500+ attendees at the recent Strategic Investment Conference is that this was the best ever. It was certainly intense, with more divergent views presented this year than at previous conferences. Plus, the range of topics was rather dramatic. This year I was able to listen to all but one of the presentations, and I want to share with you my notes and takeaway thoughts. (In addition to my own notes as a source for this letter, my associate Pat Watson sent me his notes, as well as links to a summary by attendees Chris Bailey and my good friend Steve Blumenthal. I borrow freely.)
Thursday, May 21, 2015
SPX Steep Retracement of its Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has retested the rising trendline, making a 75% retracement of its decline from yesterday’s high. It appears complete or nearly so. If correct, we should see the decline resume in earnest this afternoon.
ZeroHedge reports, “After a very modest bounce in April, Philly Fed fell again in May, printing a disappointing 6.7 (against 8.0 expectations). Philly Fed has now missed 5 of the last 6 (and 7 of the last 9) months. While new orders picked up, prices paid plunged at recessionary pace, inventories tumbled, and the average workweek slumped. Hope also tumbled as future expectations dropped.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 21, 2015
Stock Market Uncertainty Following Recent Rally - Which Direction Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, May 21, 2015
Who’s Killing the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: Liquidity, the grease that allows the world’s capital markets to function, has been murdered.
It bled to death in the stock market from a thousand nicks and cuts and was suffocated violently in the bond market by the gloved hands of its erstwhile babysitter.
We should be afraid. The murdering henchmen are the regulators and guardians of the stock and bond markets. That they don’t understand what they’ve done is scary enough.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 21, 2015
Your Best Way to Profit from the Narrowest Market in 20 Years / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: If you’ve been frustrated by the markets lately, I’ve got some good news for you. You’re not alone – and more importantly, you’re not imagining things.
But there’s a good reason for the confusion – the markets are demonstrating behavior that’s so rare that we’ve only seen conditions like these six times in the last 20 years.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 20, 2015
Choppy Asian Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
We track eight country indices in the Asian group. Generally they all bottomed around 2008/2009, surged higher into 2010/2011, corrected, and then most turned quite choppy. A few in the group emerged out of the choppiness and actually started impulsing after beginning EQE or a change in government. We will cover them first.
Wednesday, May 20, 2015
When Does the Stock Market Break Down? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Marty_Chenard
There are a lot of ol' timers out there who have their programs set for "not going against the DOW Theory". That means, if the Dow Transports and the Dow Industrials fail to the downside, sell programs will kick in.
The Dow Theory says that the Dow Jones Transports and Industrials must be in sync with each other. For that reason, we will look at the Dow Transportation Index today in order to see what it is doing.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 20, 2015
Stock Market Sell in May and Go Away? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Clif_Droke
The theme of "bad news is good news" continues as several economic reports weighed on investor sentiment. Recent reports have been disappointing, but this has also served to bolster investors' belief that the Fed will respond to the weak data by passing on an interest rate increase.
A Wall Street bromide tells investors to "sell in May and go away." The rationale behind this adage is that the stock market historically posts its best performance between the months of October and April. According to Stock Trader's Almanac, "A $10,000 investment compounded to $578,413 for November-April in 57 years compared to a $341 gain for May-October." While May-October period is statistically less impressive in terms of overall percentage gains in most years, this isn't always the case. It should also be noted that the "sell in May" aphorism is deceptive; indeed, some of the most impressive market rallies of the last 20 years have occurred in the summer months.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 19, 2015
Did TNX Cause the Fed to Pull the Plug on Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
ZeroHedge comments, “For the last 9 days in a row, no matter what is occurring in the markets, US Treasuries have begun to sell-off at 1330ET... Some have suggested this points to funding issues being a driver of recent weakness, with the USD up by the most in 2 days since oct 2011, we shall see if the need to sell down USTs is there for the 10th day in a row...”
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 19, 2015
Lindsay Forecast for the End of the Stocks Bull Market - Part II / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
Similar to forecasting highs, the first step in forecasting a low is in applying Lindsay's 12y interval. The 12y interval stretches 12y, 2m-12y, 8m from an important high.
The next 12y interval is counted from the high in 2004 and points to a low in Apr-Oct 2016.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 19, 2015
Global Stock Market, Commodities Group Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
We continue the International indices update with the European indices that made bear market lows in 2012. These three indices were the most severely impacted by the European debt crisis of 2011/2012. While most of Europe was bottoming in 2009, with the US, these three indices only made wave A lows. Then after a B wave rally into 2009/2010 then declined again into 2012 to end their bear markets.
Tuesday, May 19, 2015
Stock Market Grinding Higher...Put/Call Moves Up.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
Where's the blast? Very interesting to watch this market go through the breakout stage over 2119 in a grinding manor. This is not normal breakout behavior by any means. The short-term charts are up there, but not so much that the market couldn't forcefully move higher. The good news is it's trying to stay on breakout. The bad news is there's no power behind the move. To be honest it's not clear what this means. Maybe a simple pullback towards 2119 will help to unwind enough for a strong breakout move, but, for now, the way this is breaking out is a bit troubling. That said, it is what it is. You never argue with price, thus, I won't start now. I can wish for a better breakout scenario, but I won't argue with the price action. The market still needs to show it can hold this breakout because many breakouts of this type historically fail.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 19, 2015
Stock Market Continues Defying Gravity, Dow New All Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market continues to confound the doom merchants who have long since convinced themselves that another crash, collapse or bear market was always imminent. Which in many cases is not just for the whole of this year but for the whole of the past 6 years of this stocks bull market that tends to relentlessly grind each supposed new bear market into dust every few couple of months or so as illustrated by the Dow's latest gravity defying new all time high close of 18,298 that marginally beats its early March record high of 18,288.
Monday, May 18, 2015
Which Investing Strategy Is Better: Value or Momentum? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: It's hard for me to find true friends among my investment buddies...
You see, I believe that both "value" and "momentum" work in investing – and you're not allowed to do that. You have to pick teams...
In the investing world, saying you believe in value AND the trend is like saying you are part of more than one political party... You simply can't do that!
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 18, 2015
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2015 / News_Letter / Stock Markets 2015
By: NewsLetter
The Market Oracle Newsletter Feb 3rd, 2015Issue # 2 Vol. 9
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 18, 2015
Europe's Stocks Bull Market Continues After Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
While we comment on most of the markets we follow at least once a week. We thought a consolidated report on the various sectors might help clarify what we are seeing medium and long term. This is the reason for the various reports these past few days.
Other than the US, we track eighteen indices that are country specific, one area specific, and one worldwide. In Europe we track eight indices, Asia eight indices, three indices in what we call the commodity group, and the DJ World index.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 18, 2015
Stocks Fluctuate Following Recent Rally - Topping Action Or Just A Flat Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, May 18, 2015
Stock Market Sell in May and Go Away - Last Hurrah - Take2 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - The bull market is still intact.
Intermediate trend - Are long-term cycles sketching an important top?
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 17, 2015
Stock Market The Economic Decline Toddles On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jesse
Empire Manufacturing, Industrial Production, and even Michigan Consumer Sentiment came in weakly this morning.
Stocks were trying to rally, but were just able to hold their ground into the weekend.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 17, 2015
The Stock Market is Topping! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last time I wrote, I expected to see new highs on the S&P 500. The week before, I submitted a cycle chart where an expected three week cycle top should occur on May 18th. We are within a hair's breadth of the 2130 target I had for last week and should tag that price on Monday. We also have a new moon, which should easily reverse the trend back to down in the coming days.
Read full article... Read full article...