Category: Stock Markets 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, April 01, 2014
Stock Market Double-Digit Gain or 30% Crash - How to Profit from S&P 500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
John Paul Whitefoot writes: After a miserable winter of weak economic indicators (which were mostly blamed on the weather), the warmer spring weather will be a godsend for Wall Street. Unless, of course, there’s more holding the U.S. economy back than cold winds and snow.
That riddle will be answered in the coming weeks, but the long-term prognosis for the U.S. economy is a little murkier. While the S&P 500 is trading at record-highs, there is mounting evidence to suggest the U.S. economy could slow down, putting the brakes on the bull market.
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Monday, March 31, 2014
Faked Stock Markets Waiting for the Real Thing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
How can you tell when the markets are FAKED?
I've been telling you for years about the various ways the market is rigged and now Michael Lewis has written a whole book about it called Flash Boys, which was featured last night on 60 Minutes. If you don't have time to read the book – at least PLEASE watch the 60 Minutes video.
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Monday, March 31, 2014
Stock Market Correction Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Failed to overcome resistance at the high.
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Saturday, March 29, 2014
Interesting Stock Market Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The market started the week opening higher, but then took on the character that had started on expiration Friday: sell growth stocks after the opening. During the week the market had three gap up openings, no gap downs, and still ended the week lower. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, the NDX/NAZ lost 2.5%, and the DJ World index rose 0.8%. Economic reports for the week remained positive. On the uptick: Q4 GDP, FHFA housing prices, consumer confidence/sentiment, durable goods orders, personal income/spending, PCE prices, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: Case-Shiller, new/pending home sales and the M1-multiplier. Next week we get a look at the monthly Payrolls, ISM and Auto sales. Best to your week!
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Saturday, March 29, 2014
Fed Hammers Home A Message....Rates Will Not Rise....Nas/Froth Nasty.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Hammer time. Ugly, ugly candlestick on the Nasdaq today off the highs. It tried to back test the broken 50-day exponential moving average, but couldn't make it stick. Sellers came in hard at that point. A back test and true failure, but for now you can't be bearish, because the S&P 500 and Dow remain bullish on price for reasons that are hard to explain.
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Saturday, March 29, 2014
Stock Market Negative Close to a Volatile Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Friday morning was loaded with economic news. We learned that Personal Income and Spending were both up 0.3% in February, although my preferred spending metric, Real Disposable Income Per Capita, has essentially been flat for the past seven months. The Core PCE Price index shows inflation at about half what the Fed wants. The March Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index at 80.0 was down from February’s 81.6.
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Friday, March 28, 2014
Friday Fake Stock Market Rally – Wnat Are People So Happy About? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
As I walk on through this wicked world,
Searching for light in the darkness of insanity,
I ask myself, Is all hope lost?
Is there only pain, and hatred, and misery? – Elvis and Lowe
Once again the Futures are up in the morning and once again we have to wonder why?
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Friday, March 28, 2014
Stocks and Gold Simply Cannot Get it Up! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
SPX made a sideways consolidation and closed beneath the Head & Shoulders neckline today. It may pop briefly above it in the morning, but this is a good sign that the decline is gathering momentum to the downside.
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Thursday, March 27, 2014
Stock Market Breaks Head & Shoulders Neckline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
I had thought that there would be another retest of the Broadening Wedge before the SPX resumes its decline. However, the decline has now extended beneath the hourly Cycle Bottom at 1844.15. Since then it has bounced above the neckline and may yet retest the Broadening Wedge trendline before resuming its decline.
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Thursday, March 27, 2014
Stock Market Sentiment Worsens As Indexes Move Down Within Recent Trading Range / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook remains neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, March 27, 2014
Now The Stock Market Bears Need The Gap-And-Run Day...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
So now that the bears finally have froth below the key 50-day exponential moving average on the daily, there is just one ingredient missing from taking over this market for the short-term. You all know what it is by now, but here's the refresher. A large gap down that runs lower for the entire day, with a close at, or on, the lows for the day. If they can accomplish this then they will have put technical damage in to this market, and they will have also put the 50-day exponential moving average on the Nasdaq in the rear view mirror.
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Tuesday, March 25, 2014
Froth Stocks in Mini Bear Market....Overall Market Still Meandering... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
There is really not much to add from what I spoke about on Friday. The bears once again seized on froth, but failed to seize on the entire market. The Nasdaq was down eighty-plus points intraday, but managed to recover some of those losses. The action on the Dow and S&P 500 was quite benign for now. There are two markets under way here. There's all that isn't froth, and those stocks are holding up quite well while froth gets hit day after day without mercy. There are some oversold bounces along the way, but the froth stocks are taking a real beating.
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Monday, March 24, 2014
Stocks Continue To Fluctuate As Investors React To Mixed News / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, March 24, 2014
Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The market started the week gapping up after last Friday’s decline to SPX 1840. The rally carried it into FOMC Wednesday to SPX 1874. Then right after the FOMC statement was released the market dropped to SPX 1850. Another rally carried the market to match the all time high at SPX 1884 on Friday. Then right after the open Techs sold off and the market pulled back again. Another choppy week, only this time to the upside. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.45%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.7%, and the DJ World index rose 0.7%. Economic reports for the week were positive. On the uptick: NY/Philly FED, capacity utilization, industrial production, NAHB, housing starts, building permits, CPI, leading indicators and the monetary base. On the downtick: existing home sales, and weekly jobless claims edged higher. Next week: Q4 GDP, Durable goods orders, and more Housing reports.
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Monday, March 24, 2014
Stock Market Testing Resistance At Former High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Trying to overcome resistance at the high.
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Sunday, March 23, 2014
Stock Market Top, Example of VIX ETF, TVIX to ride the Market Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
DJIA. Huge non occurring volume at the Opening followed by meager volume and at Noon, the Bears decided to spank the Bulls.
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Saturday, March 22, 2014
Stock Market Record Intraday High Fades to a Loss / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short: The Nikkei was closed today for the Vernal Equinox, having posted a 0.72% loss for the week, but the Shanghai Composite soared 2.72%, erasing what would otherwise have been a fractional weekly loss. When the US markets opened, most European indexes had been trading higher and would close with modest gains, the EURO STOXX 50 up 0.25%.
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Saturday, March 22, 2014
S&P 500 New High....Then Bye Bye.....Froth Absolutely Annihilated.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
This was a day to remember for many. So many will never play the game again after today as those who lived by the sword clearly died by it today. There were losses that most won't be able to overcome from a mental perspective alone. The moves from the highs to the lows on many stocks are just beyond stunning. Biogen Idec Inc. (BIIB) and Priceline.com Incorporated (PCLN), just to name two out of more than one could count. The losses are not just from today, because these froth stocks have been in their own little bear market of late.
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Saturday, March 22, 2014
U.S. Stock Market Swimming Against an Ominous Global Tide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
After an unusual blow-out 2013, the U.S. stock market has gone nowhere so far this year.
Down for January, back up for February, and sideways for March, the Dow is 1% below its record high reached at the end of the year, and thus down 1% for 2014 so far, while the S&P 500 is up just one percent.
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Friday, March 21, 2014
Potential Flash Crash - SPX Reveals its Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
To the left is a more complete explanation of what I had illustrated last night. That suggests Minor Wave 3 of Intermediate Wave (3) may be underway.
Granted, the Pre-market shows a possible probe above 1873.49, but I think the algos are keeping the market in line for the harvest of the index options at the open. The SPX may let go at the open for an approximate 63 point plunge. I am basing that projection on the wave relationship where Wave 3 of (1) is 2.625 times the size of Wave 1 of(1)…
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