Category: Gold and Silver 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, January 13, 2014
Silver - Both Sides of the Coin / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
In this Weekend Report I would like to show you some charts for silver which shows a bullish and bearish scenario. As we are at an inflection point we need to monitor both sides of the precious metals complex for clues that may give us the next important direction this group, as a whole, may move. To pick an absolute bottom is next to impossible to do but one can get very close sometimes if a clear and open mind is present.
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Sunday, January 12, 2014
New Gold Price Bull Market Cycle Has Started / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
2013 was one of the worst years for gold in a generation and the strangest part of it is that this loss came during a time in what should have been a banner year for gold.
When the Fed launched its QE1 and QE2 programs, gold posted huge gains but with QE3, we only had a brief rally in late 2012, it’s been all downhill for there.
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Sunday, January 12, 2014
Gold Price is Going Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Two weeks ago I wrote: “Gold Probably Has Bottomed”, Last Week Gold Has Bottomed”, and this week, “Gold Is Going Higher”. Of course, there must be proof and the proof is in the Charts. Anyone who can predict for more than a few days, I don´t think they know what they are talking about. There is this Harry Dent Service you can subscribe to who says “Gold will go Up then down to $250 an ounce.” He lost my following with that statement forever. Prices do undulate, however, in waves in a Mathematical Rhythm which according to the Elliott Wave Theory. Sometimes the Five Wave Theory works and sometimes it doesn’t then the interpreter covers himself by subwaves, and if this happens and that happens. Well, the Theory seems to work if July 28th,2013 was indeed the bottom and retested in late Decemember 2013 with a confirmation on the last day of the year, December 31, 2013.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 11, 2014
Gold And Silver – There Are Reasons Greater Than Demand For Owning Them / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Here is some very cogent rationale for owning gold and silver. None pertain to the ever-ending reasons that demonstrate great demand. Everyone has been hearing about them in a steady stream for the past year, and the impact on the market has been nil. Often in tandem with the latest news, like record coin sales from...[pick a mint or country], is the lament from PM holders on where the current price of gold is, at lows for the past two + years, making many question the validity of owning PMs.
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Saturday, January 11, 2014
Second Greatest Opportunity to Buy Gold: Empire Club Investment Outlook 2014 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Last year, a year that saw gold's greatest decline in 32 years, my book $10,000 Gold was published. How's that for timing.
However, I'm confident that gold's bullish fundamentals are still intact.
Last year the COMEX futures exchange distorted gold prices, and provided investors with the second-greatest opportunity to buy gold since 2002.
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Saturday, January 11, 2014
Why Gold Price Suppression Can NOT Continue / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
“Market data provider Nanex in Winnetka, Illinois, tonight produces proof that Monday’s smash down in the gold futures market was not a mistaken ‘fat finger’ trade but the product of a high-frequency algorithm trading program painstakingly designed to take the market down. Nanex’s report, with great charts, is here: http://www.nanex.net/FlashCrash/OngoingResearch.html ” www.gata.org 01/08/2014
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Friday, January 10, 2014
Silver Price SLV ETF Super Bullish Divergence / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Despite its miserable 2013, latent investor interest in silver remains strong. This manifested in robust worldwide demand for physical silver driven by its lower prices. The hidden strength in silver was also evident in the holdings of its flagship ETF, which held steady in defiance of plummeting silver prices. SLV’s massive bullish divergence reveals big dormant silver investment demand ready to be unleashed.
If there was ever a year to scare investors away from silver, 2013 was it. This white metal plummeted 35.6% last year, its worst calendar-year performance in 32 years! As the general stock markets melted up in response to the Fed’s epic money printing, capital fled alternative investments like precious metals so their prices utterly collapsed. Silver was largely left for dead, with only hardened contrarians remaining.
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Friday, January 10, 2014
Will Gold and Silver Price Increase from Here? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
In our previous article on gold, we examined the situation in the U.S. dollar and the euro as many times in the past they gave us important clues about future precious metals’ moves. At that time we wrote in the summary:
(…) gold's lack of will to really (!) react to positive news, like the dollar's huge intra-day drop, is a bearish piece of information on its own and an indication that gold is likely to move lower in the short run.
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Friday, January 10, 2014
Gold… The Bull vs Bear ; Checkmate or Game On ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
In Keeping with a Theme here at Rambus Chartology lets look in on the complex game being played on the Chess board that is the Precious Metals Market
Tonight I would like to show you some charts from the bull and bear side of the equation for gold. This is called an inflection point where the precious metals complex can move either way and establish some sort of short to intermediate term move. A lot of these charts you have seen before. Lets start with the bearish charts for gold which there are a lot to look at. Before we do I just want to make it perfectly clear that I’m still in the bear camp but as you will see we could have a short to intermediate rally that fits into this scenario that doesn’t change the big picture.
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Thursday, January 09, 2014
Will Silver Price Rebound in 2014? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
John Paul Whitefoot writes: The year 2013 was not kind to gold; the yellow metal closed the year down about 28%—its biggest annual drop in three decades. But in spite of the awful year for gold, it wasn’t the worst-performing metal in 2013. That dubious distinction goes to silver.
On the heels of quantitative easing, a devaluation of the dollar, and inflation, safe haven investors were expecting silver prices to trade in the $30.00–$50.00-an-ounce range. Sadly for these investors, that did not come to fruition.
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Thursday, January 09, 2014
Index Trackers and Their Effect on Gold and Silver Futures / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
There are two main indices tracked by commodity tracker funds: the S&P-Goldman Sachs Commodities Index and the Dow Jones UBS Commodities Index. According to S&P Indices (which manages both), total assets estimated at $155bn track these two indices, of which $75bn tracks the former, and the balance of $80bn the latter. Both indices are rebalanced in the first two weeks of January starting last Wednesday, and according to an S&P press release, this will lead to $1.1bn extra being invested in gold contracts.
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Thursday, January 09, 2014
Gold and Silver Sentiment Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
We’ve recently written quite a bit about the current technical situation in precious metals as well as the current bear market compared to past bear markets. Thus we’ve neglected sentiment somewhat. This is a good time to examine sentiment as the sector appears to be bottoming or trying to emerge from a bottom.
The first chart shows the speculative position (for Gold & Silver combined) as a percentage of open interest. The black is a price index comprised of Gold and Silver. At the June low speculators were only 4.6% long as a percentage of open interest. That marked a 12 year low. It is currently 11% and was as high as 52.8% in 2012.
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Wednesday, January 08, 2014
23 Reasons to Be Bullish on Gold Price 2014 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
It's been one of the worst years for gold in a generation. A flood of outflows from gold ETFs, endless tax increases on gold imports in India, and the mirage (albeit a convincing one in the eyes of many) of a supposedly improving economy in the US have all contributed to the constant hammering gold took in 2013.
Perhaps worse has been the onslaught of negative press our favorite metal has suffered. It's felt overwhelming at times and has pushed even some die-hard goldbugs to question their beliefs… not a bad thing, by the way.
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Tuesday, January 07, 2014
Gold, Silver and Stock Market 2014 Trend Change Due / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The year 2013 was a great year for the S&P and a terrible year for silver and gold investors. There are many indications that it is time for a reversal.
If a market moves too far (up or down), too fast, or for too long, expect a reversal. Examples:
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Tuesday, January 07, 2014
Gold Price Has Bottomed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Words by different Authors who attempt to “Pump Up” or “Talk Down” an Issue are exactly that, just Words. The ultimate results show up on Technical Charts in relation to Volume and Price Movements and which act as a Function of Mathematical Indicators involving Momentum and Rate of Change as we learned in Algebra II in H.S. and Calculus and Derivatives at U.C. Berkeley. There should be no “Mystery” in making money if these concepts are applied correctly which involve the Net Emotions of Greed and Fear and the Fundamental Values will ultimately take care of themselves. By applying correctly, Have Cash Ready until you see MACD lines crossing Up or Down at ZERO and always use Stops to Limit your losses. If you are an Intraday Trader, use 1min to 15min Charts and look for Peaks and Troughs of %B to Alert you and MACD line Crosses to Effect a Buy or Sell. If a “Long Termer”, which does not exist with Volatile ETFs, use Daily Charts.Follow me and stockcharts.com and you will see. Initially use the format: “chartbook” and scroll to the issues which are of interest specifically to your style of “Investing or Speculation”, and if you wish to make some good Returns for a Change as many of my Followers. Thank you for your interest
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Monday, January 06, 2014
Gold Price Forecast 2014 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Gold is a nearly perfect form of money. It is one of the few things on planet earth that contains all of the following attributes; beauty, scarcity, virtual indestructability, and is also transferable and divisible. However, even after five thousand years of utility as a store of wealth, gold is still completely misunderstood by most on Wall Street.
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Saturday, January 04, 2014
Gold And Silver - In East v West Gold War, Both Are Still Winning / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
China represents the East, as its insatiable demand for buying physical gold continues unabated, while in the West, the elite's central banks have pretty much depleted their physical holdings. In the war for gold, both are still winning, but for vastly different reasons.
China and every other BRICS nation importing gold have been doing so at cheaper and cheaper price levels, as the Western central bankers have been conducting a clearance sale. Even the fixtures are being sold, like JP Morgan's fire sale of 1 Chase Plaza for $750 million, about half of its value. The building also happens to house the world's largest gold vault, and it also located across the street from the Federal Reserve gold vault. This gives China a "two-fer.". Now it can store the gold in Manhattan and save shipping costs, and should the NY central bank have any left, it just gets rolled across the underground tunnel.
Saturday, January 04, 2014
Gold and Silver Released from the Year End Clamp Down / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
There was quiet trading as the northeastern US was digging its way out of Winter Storm Hercules.
Gold and silver have been rallying since the end of the December clamp down, but they most certainly have not yet broken out on the charts.
Friday, January 03, 2014
Gold Then and Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
As the saying goes; “History often repeats, but is never exactly the same.” The same can be said for asset classes, if one understands their long term cycles. Let’s examine Gold.
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Friday, January 03, 2014
Silver Price Short Squeeze / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Silver is poised for a massive recovery upleg in 2014, a mean reversion from last year’s dismal action. The main driver of silver’s initial strength will be American futures speculators covering shorts. These bearish bets on silver soared to a bull-record high last month, which will require exceptional buying to unwind. Futures speculators as a herd always bet wrong at major lows, they are a fantastic contrarian indicator.
Because futures trading is such a hyper-leveraged zero-sum game, futures traders have a reputation of being smart and sophisticated. And they are to a great extent, futures are so unforgiving that survival of the fittest rules. Capital naturally flows from the poor traders to the good ones. Nevertheless, within their chests thump the same hopelessly emotional human hearts that are such a liability in the markets.
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