Category: Gold and Silver 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Friday, July 11, 2014
Silver in the Aftermath of Fragility / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Despite the persistence of the recovery meme, financial markets are more fragile to risk than ever before. On top of this, witness the slow creep of policy disguised as regulation. It comes for the low hanging fruits. The final labors of society. What lies ahead is a paper blood bath.They are coming for your pensions and retirement accounts.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
The Perfect Crime and the Plight of the Modern Silverite / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Silver is not just any old commodity. It is old money. Despite massive efforts and price fixing, clipping and manipulation, it has remained central to monetary and political systems for centuries. Today it is small and relatively dark in the context of modern investing.Desperate times call for desperate measures. And the desperation to buy and hold metal should simply be proportional to the desperation of the will of the monetary powers to maintain the status quo.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Gold and Silver Price Positive Developments / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Gold and silver had a good week after the US holiday last Friday. From a low of $1312 on Tuesday, gold rose to a high point of $1345 yesterday, and silver from $20.84 to $21.60. Open interest is climbing too for both metals, as shown in the following charts.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Unwinding Unallocated Gold Accounts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The debate in precious metal markets today is whether or not the three-year bear market is over and a new uptrend is establishing itself. But assuming for a moment that the gold price has turned the corner, will the bullion banks be able to keep a lid on it? Given the recent jump in their short positions as recorded in the Bank Participation Report on Comex, they presumably think so, and unallocated accounts in London will play an important role.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Silver Price, Asset Boom and Inflation Ahead? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The "price" of anything is a measurement of something just as a "mile" is a measurement of something. A mile measures distance, a "gallon" measures volume and a "pound" measures weight. But because the actual "value" of a currency can fluctuate, the "price" of the food in the grocery store to the "price" of a share of a stock exchange can move up and down without a change in value of the item itself.
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Thursday, July 10, 2014
Gold Price Bracing for a Short-Term Correction / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
In my prior article from back in early-June, I noted that a short-term bottom was due, which had been projected for the June 2nd timeframe, plus or minus a day. The actual low for Gold was registered the very next trading day, doing so on June 3rd at the 1240.20 figure. Since then, we have seen a rally of over $100 playing out with the metal, which is now looking for a short-term correction in the days/weeks ahead.
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Wednesday, July 09, 2014
Gold Price $10,000 Is it Possible? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
When analysts forecast future asset prices they typically choose valuations that make sense in the context of current valuations. We could, for instance, easily imagine that a $100/share stock can trade up to $120/share. But when somebody comes out and says that it can go to $1,000/share in a few years time this person is ridiculed because it is very difficult for us to imagine a reality that differs wildly from the current state of affairs. So when I suggest that the gold price can rise to a level in the 5-digit range, I expect to be ridiculed or to have my forecast overlooked by most market participants. Nevertheless, as we will see in a moment the prospect of 5-digit gold is not so far-fetched. Gold at $10,000 or higher is not as unlikely as many people would think.
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Wednesday, July 09, 2014
Gold and Silver - The 'Independent Fed' - Deutschland vs Brasilien / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Gold and silver were hit by a trailing stop boogie woogie this morning, a half feeble effort to shake out the long who are running their stop loss orders a bit close. These sorts of things do not bother us because we have an intermediate to longer term investment horizon, right? lol.
Otherwise gold and silver finished largely unchanged on the day.
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Wednesday, July 09, 2014
Fed’s NIRP and Its Implications for Gold Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Believe it or not, we are finally witnessing a true monetary revolution. Unfortunately it is not the one that gold bugs have long waited for. Quite the opposite. We have the so called “monetary cranks” governing one of the most important central banks in the world. People who set the interest rates not at very low, not even at zero, not even at negative real interest rates, but at negative nominal interest rates. Hold your horses and constrain your joy – this does not concern the interest rate on your loan. It is the interest rate for the deposit facility at the central bank.
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Tuesday, July 08, 2014
German Gold Depots: Financial Supervisory Authority inquires Data / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Goldreporter obtained information that the Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) has asked German banks and investment intermediaries in a letter, to hand over data about their clients investments in precious metals until mid-July.
The state wants to know how much money Germans have invested in gold and silver. Information provided to Goldreporter shows that the BaFin requested copious information about client investments in precious metals from German banks and asset managers. But the requested information is only about derivatives.
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Sunday, July 06, 2014
Why Gold Prices Hit a Three Month High This Week / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Diane Alter writes: The current gold price as of July 1 represents a three-month high amid a weaker dollar and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Gold for August delivery traded up $4.70 at $1,326.70 an ounce in early market action Tuesday. At last check, spot gold was up $2.70 to $1,333.60, its highest level since March 24.
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Saturday, July 05, 2014
Gold And Silver Charts Proving More Reliable Than Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Pick your poison for knowing what news is impacting gold and silver these days. Both have been in year-long TRs, [Trading Range], within a broader down trend context. That may be in the process of changing, but change takes time to turn a trend.
From our limited point of view, the list of events that are impacting the suppression of gold and silver all revolve around the NWO [self] destruction of the petrodollar, that fiat Federal Reserve Note, commonly [mis]called the “dollar,” and soon to lose its status as the world’s reserve currency.
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Saturday, July 05, 2014
Shanghai Silver - Another Dog that Did Not Bark / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The 'headline numbers' for the Non-Farm Payrolls came in better than expected.
Gold and silver held their places well, and especially silver which is now the lead sled dog for my thinking. This is because July is an active month on the Comex of course but also because of the levels of physical inventory, both here and abroad.
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Saturday, July 05, 2014
Will Gold Price Continue to Consolidate? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Until recently, the world has forgotten about gold and gold futures prices it would seem. A few years ago, all we heard about was gold and silver futures making new highs on the back of the Federal Reserve’s constant money printing schemes. However, after a dramatic selloff the world of precious metals it became very quiet.
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Friday, July 04, 2014
Gold and Silver Price Underlying Strength / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Gold and silver spent most of the week consolidating recent gains by moving broadly sideways, but their underlying strength was a notable feature. The first chart is of gold and its open interest on Comex.The increase in open interest tells us that the rise in price was on the back of buying rather than a bear squeeze, which would have seen rising prices on steady-to-declining OI. This is an important development, because it indicates that speculators are beginning to think the downtrend of the last 30 months might be over. Without buying into a new rising trend, any rally would be limited to a bear squeeze. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 04, 2014
The Coming Two-Stage Silver Price Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
As the MSM, Wall Street and various so-called analysts waste time focusing on worthless and insignificant data, the price of silver is positioning itself for the coming TWO-STAGE RALLY. The majority of the precious metals analysts discuss the revaluation of silver as it pertains to the amount of fiat currency in the system.
While this is a good determination (from past historical guidelines), it only deals with one part of the overall equation. The second and maybe the more important factor... is the destruction of "PAPER CLAIM CHECKS" on physical assets.
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Thursday, July 03, 2014
Gold Will Be the Final Currency – Yes or No? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Will gold regain its monetary standing and will it again back a major currency as in previous centuries?
Readers on www.deviantinvestor.com responded to my question about the creation of a gold backed currency by July 2017. The voting shows about 78% believe that within 3 years there will be a gold backed currency – perhaps issued by China, Russia, or even the United States. This is sensible because readers on the DI site are generally pro-gold and suspicious of unbacked debt based paper currencies.
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Tuesday, July 01, 2014
Gold Prices Benefit From Economic Sins / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Governments, such as the United States, United Kingdom, Europe, and Japan, spend their paper currencies as if tomorrow will never come. They act as if they believe debts can increase forever, more money will always be available, and debts can be rolled over forever. A recent US vice-president even stated that “deficits don’t matter.” Such economic sins may help the financial elite but they ultimately hurt most people and most economies.
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Monday, June 30, 2014
Gold - Another False Start / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The latest COTs are indicating another false start for the Precious Metals sector. There was a very big jump in Commercial short positions in gold last week, but an astounding jump in Commercial short positions in silver, that is believed to be unprecedented. With both already at a high level as a result, it looks like we are in for a rerun of what happened after mid-March.
Gold is now at a crossroads, with the downtrend in force from late 2012 intersecting with the long-term uptrend in force from the start of the bullmarket back in 2001. Before considering the implications of the latest COTs, let's look at the intersection of these trends on the charts to see why this is such an important juncture.
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Monday, June 30, 2014
Silver Price Critically Overbought, Explosion in Commercial Short Positions / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Latest COT data released on Friday shows an astounding ramp in Commercial short positions in silver that it believed to be unprecedented, and given that silver is now critically overbought after 14 up days in a row up till last Thursday, it is safe to assume this means trouble.
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