Category: Gold and Silver 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, January 21, 2014
Silver Game Changer - Institutional Buying / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Steve_St_Angelo
The key to investing in silver is getting in before the big gains are made. Even though the price of silver is up substantially in the past decade, it has only kept in par with the rise of the cost of energy.
In 2004 the price of a barrel of Brent crude was $38 and silver was $6.67. Today the price of silver is $20.50 and Brent crude trading at an average $110 for the past month. Basically, the price of both have tripled in the past decade:
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Monday, January 20, 2014
Gold, Silver and Stock Market Swapping Trends / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The two trend reversals everyone has been waiting a year for are about to take place, but they have not yet started.
While I do think 2014 is the year we see gold, silver, miners and many other commodities rally, it is important to follow the trend and wait for a reversal to form before getting overly excited and long commodities.
Each time we see the daily charts form some type of bullish pattern gold market traders become instantly bullish. And each time this happens they get another reality check about their trading technique of trying to pick a bottom.
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Monday, January 20, 2014
Inside Story of Gold Price Manipulation - The Naked Gold Shorts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Paul_Craig_Roberts
Dr. Paul Craig Roberts and David Kranzler: The deregulation of the financial system during the Clinton and George W. Bush regimes had the predictable result: financial concentration and reckless behavior. A handful of banks grew so large that financial authorities declared them “too big to fail.” Removed from market discipline, the banks became wards of the government requiring massive creation of new money by the Federal Reserve in order to support through the policy of Quantitative Easing the prices of financial instruments on the banks’ balance sheets and in order to finance at low interest rates trillion dollar federal budget deficits associated with the long recession caused by the financial crisis.
Sunday, January 19, 2014
Gold and Silver Major Buy Signal Over the Next 2-3 Weeks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Toby_Connor
It's been my opinion for the last several weeks that gold formed an intermediate degree bottom on December 31. That being said I'm still a bit nervous that the sector could suffer another manipulation event (like the flash crash two weeks ago) so I haven't been willing to enter a firm long position just yet.
However there are definite signs that this bear market is probably over. The large momentum divergences on the weekly charts are one.
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Sunday, January 19, 2014
Silver Price – The Power Of Thought Will Ultimately Previal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Michael_Noonan
It has become universally recognized that the power of thought can change anything.
Silver remains incredibly undervalued, and that bodes well for all of us silver stackers. The fact that silver and gold have purposefully been suppressed by the moneychangers makes the future for the next price rise to be greater than ever. Any time anything has been artificially manipulated, it makes the ultimate outcome far worse than was planned by those doing everything possible to prevent a rise in prices. Central planning always fails.
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Saturday, January 18, 2014
Gold Disconnect Between Fundamentals And Price - Perception Rules / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Michael_Noonan
What will it take to turn the gold market around? One would think it would be obvious that fundamentals are not the answer, while so many believe that fundamentals rule. We are reminded of the fundamentalists, especially "value investors" whose financial world was literally turned upside down when the stock market crashed in 2008. While "value" and "fundamentals" were considered the economic bedrock of the stock market, it turns out that everything is really steeped in perception, for they changed dramatically.
Friday, January 17, 2014
Gold Drives Silver Price - Expecting Incredibly Bullish 2014 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Zeal_LLC
Investors’ interest in silver is starting to rebound after last year’s carnage. As capital prepares to return to this beaten-down asset, many investors are wondering how to game silver price action. Gold is the key. The white metal closely mirrors and amplifies the price action in the yellow one. Gold is not only silver’s primary driver, but its overwhelmingly dominant one. Gold is critical for timing silver buying and selling.
The more years you spend trading precious metals, the more self-evident this truth becomes. Gold drives silver, full stop. After my 14 years of closely watching gold and silver price action in real-time all day every day, I simply take this ironclad relationship for granted. I can scarcely even write about silver without mentioning it in passing. Gold drives silver is a core trading axiom much like buy low sell high.
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Friday, January 17, 2014
Something’s Afoot in Gold and Silver Market… / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Alasdair_Macleod
Almost unnoticed, Open Interest in gold futures has taken off spectacularly, increasing by over 35,000 contracts since the beginning of the month, which is shown in the following chart.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 17, 2014
Gold Bull Market Ahead - Ten Key Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: GoldCore
Mark O’Byrne writes: Today’s AM fix was USD 1,241.00, EUR 912.63 and GBP 754.68 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,237.25, EUR 908.61 and GBP 757.19 per ounce.
Gold climbed $1.90 yesterday, closing at $1,240/oz. Silver slipped $0.12 closing at $20.10/oz.
Gold bars (1 oz) premiums are between 4.75% and 5.5% and are trading at $1,309.36. Gold bars (1 kilo) premiums are between 3% and 3.5% and are trading at $41,301.81. Premiums are steady.
Gold is marginally lower today after gaining yesterday on the U.S. inflation data that showed that the cost of living in the U.S. increased by the most in six months. This increased the appeal of gold as an inflation hedge.
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Friday, January 17, 2014
Gold Outlook for 2014 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: James_Turk
Before looking at the year ahead, it is useful to look back at the year just passed. This adage is particularly true now because little has changed. Three major markets - stocks, bonds and gold - will again be driven this year by the same forces that shaped 2013, but the outcome will be different in one key respect. This year the price of gold will rise.
In January 2013, my outlook for the year ahead focused on three specific events. These were a rising yield on the 10-year Treasury note, growth of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, and a decline in the gold/silver ratio.
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Friday, January 17, 2014
The End of Gold and Silver Price Market Manipulation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Seasoned and long term investors are familiar with the effects of price suppression. Very few traders can manage the complex positioning required to profit from egregious interference. And the consensus is that it will go on forever, because it has. This very consensus is perhaps the most bullish reason that it simply will not. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 17, 2014
Silver Prices When Monetary Demand Trumps Industrial Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
It is crystal clear to anyone willing to go a few steps beyond the headlines that massive intervention and ignorance of risk act as massive governors to progress, real economic growth and natural capital formation. Nevertheless, what is less clear is how these failures will manifest in precious metals - especially the silver market. The catalyst for much higher prices will be of a monetary, rather than an industrial, demand-led series of events.
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Friday, January 17, 2014
Was Mini Flash Crash Bearish for Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Submissions
Boris Mikanikrezai writes: Let me start by wishing you a very happy new year! I would like to go back on what happened on January 6, 2014.
February 2014 Gold Futures on January 6, 2014
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Thursday, January 16, 2014
Gold as a Deflation Hedge / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Michael_J_Kosares
(The following is the first of a five part series on how gold performs during periods of deflation, chronic disinflation, runaway stagflation and hyperinflation. The first installment examines gold’s safe-haven role during a deflationary event like the global 1930s economic depression.)
“The inability to predict outliers implies the inability to predict the course of history. . .But we act as though we are able to predict historical events, or, even worse, as if we are able to change the course of history. We produce thirty-year projections of social security deficits and oil prices without realizing that we cannot even predict these for next summer — our cumulative prediction errors for political and economic events are so monstrous that every time I look at the empirical record I have to pinch myself to verify that I am not dreaming. What is surprising is not the magnitude of our forecast errors, but our absence of awareness of it.”
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Thursday, January 16, 2014
Options Market Forecasting Future Gold Price Action Direction / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Submissions
Boris Mikanikrezai writes: I discuss how the gold options market is pricing calls and put to gauge traders’ sentiment and figure out whether gold option traders are biased for downside or upside price action.
Let's use risk reversals to assess the future evolution of precious metals. The risk reversal in options market can be defined as the implied volatility on call options minus the implied volatility on put options, both with the same delta and maturity.
Wednesday, January 15, 2014
Gold Contrarians’ Wildest Dream Coming True / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Jeff_Clark
As most readers know, Doug Casey's most notable characteristic as an investor is his highly successful contrarian nature. It's how he bagged some of his biggest wins—not just doubles and triples, but 10- and 20-fold returns.
There's only one way to realize these kinds of gains: You must buy when the asset is out of favor. Buying an investment that has already run up is at best chasing momentum and at worst a portfolio wrecker.
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Wednesday, January 15, 2014
Gold and Silver - Inflation and Deflation - Fire and Ice / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: DeviantInvestor
Fractional reserve banking and central banking began their reign of destruction upon our financial world a few centuries ago.
Politician's greed and need for control over people have been ever-present.
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Wednesday, January 15, 2014
GOLD Price Corrective Rally Within Downtrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Gregor_Horvat
GOLD DailyGold has turned bearish at the start of September, after the break through the rising trend line of a corrective channel. We knew at the time that it was an important signal for a change in trend, which means that bearish price action is back in play which also accelerated at the end of December, so we assume that price is moving down in larger wave 5) heading through 1180 June low. With that said, we think that current bounce is most likely just another corrective rally in the middle of a bearish trend. Resistance is seen around 1250/1270 from where new sell-off could occur.
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Tuesday, January 14, 2014
Gold - Is now the time to ‘Back Up The Truck’? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Peter_Degraaf
According to a famous trader of the past, W. D. Gann: “Time is more important (in markets), than price; when time is up, price will reverse.”
It has now been 29 months since gold last reached a new high in its current bull market cycle. The downtrend lasted 22 months (top to bottom), having bottomed on June 28th 2013 at $1180. Confirmation of the bottom came on Dec 31 when gold briefly touched $1182, and left behind a double bottom, see chart #3.
Tuesday, January 14, 2014
Reasons To Buy Gold NOW! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Money_Morning
Peter Krauth writes: Gold fell by 28% in 2013. That's a huge reversal of a decade-plus trend.
Between 2001 and 2012, gold managed positive gains every single year, a track record unmatched by any major asset.
The precious metal went from a low of $255 in April 2001 to a high of $1,900 in September 2011, for a peak return of 745%.
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