Category: Gold and Silver 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Wednesday, January 29, 2014
Why Gold Looks Good to Me in 2014 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Sasha Cekerevac writes: Just the other day, I was talking to a friend of mine who seemed extremely cheerful. I asked why, and he said that his investments have performed well over the past few months and he saw no reasons to worry.
This is a common problem with investor sentiment; people tend to become complacent and only look to the recent past as an indication of what tomorrow will bring.
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Tuesday, January 28, 2014
Where Are Gold and Silver Heading into the Future ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The State of the Global Markets 2014 special 50 page report includes videos such as an 8-minute piece from Steve Hochberg's 'Elliott Speaks: What Lies Ahead?' Steve gave this presentation at the New Orleans Investment Conference where he showed how sentiment indicators signaled the top in gold and where gold and silver are headed in the future.
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Tuesday, January 28, 2014
Gold Price BOOM! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By Grant Williams
"What a year this has been for gold.
"The price of the yellow metal fell almost 30% from its peak at the end of August a year earlier, to bombed-out lows amidst a wall of selling which included several very sharp and somewhat counterintuitive selloffs, including violent plunges in both the April-May time frame and again into year-end.
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Tuesday, January 28, 2014
Gold Price Exploding In Emerging Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Mainstream economists and mainstream media remain convinced that the economy and markets are in full recovery mode. Along the same lines, gold is unanimously expected to decline in the year(s) head.One of the most recent appearances of that kind was the 2014 outlook of IMF economic counselor, Olivier Blanchard, who explained last week that global growth would average 3.7% in 2014.
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Tuesday, January 28, 2014
The Silver Price Bottom Is In / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
When the bulls are running for the doors, that is a sign that we have hit bottom and wise investors should hold on to their portfolios for the ride up, says Silver-Investor.com Editor David Morgan in this interview with The Gold Report . It may take a couple of resource war-addled years for gold and silver prices to move back to profitable levels, but the right companies—and he points to five from the members-only Morgan Report files—could make money all the way up.
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Monday, January 27, 2014
How Long Can Gold Prices Be Held Down - Supply Factors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Supply changes coming?
On the supply side, we note that newly mined gold supply in 2013 was around 2,800 tonnes [final figures yet to be published] and scrap gold was around 1,400 tonnes, before U.S. sales [which were around 1,200 tonnes in 2013]. That totaled 5,400 tonnes.
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Monday, January 27, 2014
Gold Price Canary In The Coal Mine / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The Cycles Roll On
On an almost predictable, totally certain cyclic basis, financial market crises throw up one pat question, with only one pat answer. What does the survival of our current finance, monetary and economic system depend on? It depends on people preferring fiat money more than gold. From the moment in 1971 when US president Nixon “broke the link with gold”, the dollar floated free and made the cyclic attempts to demonetize gold a permanent feature of the financial market system, and the collateral cause of its regular and cyclic crises. To be sure, we will not be told when the next “reset” will happen by the banksters operating this permanent rearguard fight against reality – but it will be soon.
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Monday, January 27, 2014
Silver Lagging Gold Price Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
While gold has rallied across its downtrend channel in recent weeks to arrive at its top boundary, silver has arrived at the upper boundary of its channel by limping sideways. Next week is decision time - either it breaks out upside from the channel or it drops into another downleg. The technicals suggest that it will do the latter, but also that this will likely mark the drop into the final low before an important reversal to the upside takes place.
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Sunday, January 26, 2014
Comex Gold Potential Claims Per Deliverable Ounces Rise to 112 to 1 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
As you know January is a non-active month for gold on the Comex, but February tends to be quite lively.
Here is the warehouse inventory picture for registered (deliverable) gold ounces. As you can see without exception the levels of bullion ready to be sold is quite low.
As a reminder, that is only one side of the picture. There is an additional category of gold held in these warehouses in 'eligible' bullion form that can be transferred to deliverable with the issuance of some fairly simple paperwork.
Sunday, January 26, 2014
Gold and Silver Confiscation? It’s Written In The Law / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Whilst most people in the precious metal community know about President Roosevelt’s gold confiscation in the 1930’s, less people are aware that there was also an executive order to confiscate silver which I wrote about here: http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article36933.html
The topic of gold and silver confiscation never seems to go away so I thought it would be interesting to look at the issue from a legal perspective. As I live in Australia, I looked at the two laws that cover our country:
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Saturday, January 25, 2014
Gold & Silver Chart Reading More Accurately Depicts Fundamentals/Technicals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Is there a difference between fundamental analysis v technical analysis? A qualified yes. How so qualified? We do not speak for others, not even from the "technical" camp for there is a distinct difference between strict technical analysis and "reading" a chart based solely on price and volume.
We are not fundamentalists, at all, with emphasis on at all. Nor are we technicians, as most technical analysts, [TA], are. TA rely upon a few or several technical tools as a means of interpreting the markets, such as moving averages, [even used by fundamentalists, to a degree], RSI, Bollinger Bands, MACD, trend lines, overbought/oversold indicators, etc, etc.
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Friday, January 24, 2014
Gold and Silver Trading Alert: Strong Rally’s Implications / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
In short: Opening a speculative short position (half of the regular position) in gold, silver and mining stocks might be a good idea right now.
Yesterday, gold rallied significantly, mining stocks rallied less significantly (didn’t close higher than on Tuesday) and silver moved higher very insignificantly. Let’s see how much changed (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Friday, January 24, 2014
Fiat Money Implications for Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By December, the most recent month for which statistics are available, the US dollar Fiat Money Quantity (FMQ) had grown to $12.48 trillion. This is $5.05 trillion more than if it had grown in line with the established average monthly growth rate from 1960 to the month before the Lehman Crisis. By this measure of currency inflation, since August 2009 inflation is now 68% above trend. This is illustrated in Chart 1 below.
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Friday, January 24, 2014
Germany’s Gold is the Story de Jour / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
It transpired last week that of the 43-odd tonnes per annum the Bundesbank expects to be returned from the New York Fed only 5 tonnes arrived in 2013. Furthermore, of the 373.7 tonnes stored with the Banque de France only 32 tonnes was delivered. This is little more than a morning’s delivery in the London market, so it is hard to swallow the Bundesbank’s excuses about logistics.
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Friday, January 24, 2014
Comparing Apples and Oranges of Silver and Gold Price Manipulation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By now, most observers have heard of precious metals price manipulation. As the issue creeps into the mainstream, more and more investors will come to understand it - along with its vast implications.We've covered the mechanisms used to manipulate the metals extensively, but it is important to point out the differences between gold and silver in terms of how they are managed. This is because it provides excellent insight into the relative character of each metal's unique supply and demand profile.
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Thursday, January 23, 2014
Black Swans, Yellow Gold - Gold as a disinflation hedge Part2 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
(The following is the second of a five-part series on how gold performs during periods of deflation, chronic disinflation, runaway stagflation and hyperinflation. The second installment examines gold’s safe-haven role during a disinflationary breakdown like the one in 2008-2009.)
Read full article... Read full article...“The inability to predict outliers implies the inability to predict the course of history. . .But we act as though we are able to predict historical events, or, even worse, as if we are able to change the course of history. We produce thirty-year projections of social security deficits and oil prices without realizing that we cannot even predict these for next summer — our cumulative prediction errors for political and economic events are so monstrous that every time I look at the empirical record I have to pinch myself to verify that I am not dreaming. What is surprising is not the magnitude of our forecast errors, but our absence of awareness of it.” - Nicholas Taleb, The Black Swan — The Impact of the Highly Improbable, 2010
Thursday, January 23, 2014
Silver 'Bullets' - Not just about Vampires and Werewolves / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The idea that bullets made from silver offered an effective (sometimes only) means of dispatching evil entities from vampires to werewolves, has been around in popular mythology for quite some time. A Brothers Grimm fairy tale called The Two Brothers, features a supposedly conventional bullet-proof witch being given an attitude adjustment via the use of silver bullets. According to Bulgarian legend, Delyo, a 17th century rebel who led forces against the Ottoman Empire, was immune to injury from either swords or guns, so his enemies cast a silver bullet in order to dispatch him from the scene.
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Thursday, January 23, 2014
Gold Investors Buy Signal Patience is Required / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
In my last post I noted that gold could give a major buy signal in the next 2-3 weeks. Let me stress again that patience is required right here. Gold has to confirm the intermediate rally first. That means it needs to break above $1268 and make a higher high. If it doesn't do that then no buy signal will be generated. Without a reversal of the pattern of lower lows and lower highs then this is just another weak bear market rally destined to roll over and break the bulls hearts again.
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Wednesday, January 22, 2014
What Does 2014 Hold for Gold and Silver? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Eric Lemieux, a mining analyst with Laurentian Bank Securities in Québec, is a realist, which makes his optimistic outlook for miners in 2014 that much more compelling. Lemieux believes that with the wheat separated from the chaff over the past tumultuous year, the truly strong companies have emerged. But you may be surprised by the jurisdictions he predicts will come to life in 2014. Lemieux makes some startling, but happy forecasts in this interview with The Gold Report.
The Mining Report: Eric, your top stock pick in 2013— Virginia Mines Inc. (VGQ:TSX)—outperformed the S&P/TSX SmallCap Index. What's your recipe for picking stocks in 2014?
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Wednesday, January 22, 2014
Gold Fix, Gold Market Rigging / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Gold fell back to test its 50 DMA in light trade today, and silver followed.
There was a little movement in and out of the Comex warehouses on Friday, but nothing of significance.
This is a holiday shortened week in the US, and trading will be even lighter than usual in the first part of this week thanks to winter storm Janus. Janus as you may recall is the two-faced Roman god of transitions, beginnings and endings. He might very well be the god of choice for politicians in the modern era as well.